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Author Topic: Don't trust your intuition.  (Read 1903 times)
Lanatsa
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April 16, 2025, 08:18:45 AM
 #301


Trusting your intuitions might make you feel like you are into something only to find out that you are just chasing your shadow, funny enough there are times you'd actually feel like they are actually working but it's just luck. Having knowledge pays off even though it's not always going to help but most of the times it would put you in profit, this is why it's important for gamblers to go for the kind of betting that involves the use of skills rather than luck or intuition. Betting on sports with knowledge on football increases your chances of winning.
Even with games that’s dependent on skill, you’d still need luck at some point, and sometimes you’d even need to trust your own instincts and intuition. This is because these elements work hand in hand in order to secure you a win. For example, you’re into card games, which is believed to be a skill based game, you’d still need the ability to be able to effectively predict your opponent’s moves, which at this point, you’d still need luck and to trust your instincts and just hope they’re right.

Because gamblers are often ruined by their wrong intuition so the ending is that they always lose. Although they always rely on luck but in the end they always lose.
This is reality I am saying and it still happens until now in reality. So if we trust our instinct, there is still the risk.

Maybe for other gamblers it gives a comfortable feeling when they experience intuition or instinct. Isn't it true that when our instinct hits, they don't think they are lucky but they think that their intuition is right but in reality it is just luck.
Not all intuitions do ruin them on which there are still those intuitions that made out right and made them money and thats why it will be just that totally depending on what are their winning rate at the time that they have decided to trust up their intuitions. There are moments or times that those inner voices do comes in into our mind and having that kind of hesitation or having that change of choices at the moment that you do made out some bets despite on having that good analysis and basing up into those informations you have seek or even just that simply do know about history and match probabilities but still you have decided to follow on what that inner intuition do tell you about. If you do saw yourself having that good winning rate on trusting up your intuition for sometime then you will definitely be following this at the time or moment that you've seen yourself on such another condition too.

There are just that those times that because of having that choices then it will be that becoming stressful into your part and thats why other bettors wont be listening out with those inner voices and just that stick out with their earlier analysis on which i could say that its definitely that good and as long it wont be giving out that sense of regret then it will be that up to you on how you do handle up things from there. Just make those betting times to be fun and entertaining and not something which becomes stressful and problematic for whatever reasons that you've been that dealing into. Dont trust or to trust then its basing up on the history on which you've been that experiencing it out. Its impossible that you cant be able to determine it out.

R


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April 16, 2025, 09:25:23 AM
 #302

It seems to me that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give good forecasts consistently at the expense of intuition alone. But sometimes you can still be guided by intuition, when there is a certain confidence that everything should happen exactly as intuition suggests, it is like the effect of the sixth sense. When you do not need to idealize intuition, no one can give a guarantee of its effectiveness of its clues, so you should be aware that the outcome may not be what you expect. And in general, it is best to rely on the analysis, and if possible, it is better to make an analysis based on as many parameters as possible. Over time, on the basis of your experience, you will be able to identify those parameters, the consideration of which in your case gave the best result, and then you can save time on detailed analysis, without sacrificing the result.

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April 16, 2025, 11:53:15 AM
 #303

It seems to me that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give good forecasts consistently at the expense of intuition alone. But sometimes you can still be guided by intuition, when there is a certain confidence that everything should happen exactly as intuition suggests, it is like the effect of the sixth sense. When you do not need to idealize intuition, no one can give a guarantee of its effectiveness of its clues, so you should be aware that the outcome may not be what you expect. And in general, it is best to rely on the analysis, and if possible, it is better to make an analysis based on as many parameters as possible. Over time, on the basis of your experience, you will be able to identify those parameters, the consideration of which in your case gave the best result, and then you can save time on detailed analysis, without sacrificing the result.

I think intuition works more when you have a certain level of knowledge on the games you are betting on, being intuitive without having any idea is just luck dependency. Like you said it's best to rely on analysis and intuition can work better when you are a strategic gambler, you'd have clues of certain bets to avoid and the ones to pick. It's all about how experienced you are, you can't always expect to get lucky but as time goes on you would become more flexible with your predictions. But this isn't a reason to become overconfident.

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April 16, 2025, 11:57:47 AM
 #304

I always have it in mind, that losing is the most guaranteed in gambling, the more I have this in mind the careful I always become, there is no need to learn something to be a better gambling, just have it in mind that to lose is certain with gambling, you will always risk only what you can afford to lose.

To me a safe gambling is to keep risking that exact amount you are willing to lose to gambling because this can be going on for a while befote you get lucky, you don't want to lose so much and when you finally win it won't be enough to cover all the past loses.

The smaller the amount the better

Hahaha,, losing is the most guaranteed in betting. It's funny but thats the truth and I concur to that. The truth of the matter is that, wether we go into betting with high hopes, assurance, intuition or whatever you call it, our thoughts or wishes are like mare mirage, they are never realistic. And that's why losing is inevitable. Most of these games we play or bet on are already programmed, meaning they results are already known before the start of game, and if u predicted differently against the initial programming, what becomes your fate?, you have loosed. Some games like football are played for 90mins, with the both teams fighting for Victory, and then you sit at a corner, with your phone or a system predicting the outcome of a match that has not been played?

Bets are luck. If you win, then count yourself lucky for that day. I don't rely on intuition nor analysis. Yea, because they have proven so many times not realistic and cannot be trusted. That's why it is advisable to bet with what you can afford to let go else you hang yourself out of depression and sorrow, because we all lose more than we win.

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April 16, 2025, 02:14:23 PM
 #305

It seems to me that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give good forecasts consistently at the expense of intuition alone. But sometimes you can still be guided by intuition, when there is a certain confidence that everything should happen exactly as intuition suggests, it is like the effect of the sixth sense. When you do not need to idealize intuition, no one can give a guarantee of its effectiveness of its clues, so you should be aware that the outcome may not be what you expect. And in general, it is best to rely on the analysis, and if possible, it is better to make an analysis based on as many parameters as possible. Over time, on the basis of your experience, you will be able to identify those parameters, the consideration of which in your case gave the best result, and then you can save time on detailed analysis, without sacrificing the result.


It seems that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give accurate predictions always only at the expense of intuition.
Especially in gambling, gambling is also dictated by luck and chance and intuition cannot understand and predict these two things.
Just play to pass the time and that's it

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April 16, 2025, 02:41:11 PM
 #306

Bets are luck. If you win, then count yourself lucky for that day. I don't rely on intuition nor analysis. Yea, because they have proven so many times not realistic and cannot be trusted. That's why it is advisable to bet with what you can afford to let go else you hang yourself out of depression and sorrow, because we all lose more than we win.
Luck is certainly important winning in gambling, but if someone wants to give importance to intuition or analysis, they can do so. Because when we place bets, we do not only rely on luck, but also on our intuition and observation. Even if the result is not as expected, we try our best not to throw stones in the dark. Sometimes I rely completely on luck when gambling, and sometimes I also need intuition and analysis. I have to take decisions depending on the betting situation. If you can benefit from the strategy you apply, then you can follow it, but you should not rely only on luck nor only intuition or analysis. In the case of gambling, if a decision is made by considering all aspects, it is not bad.

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Awaklara
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April 16, 2025, 02:52:01 PM
 #307

It seems that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give accurate predictions always only at the expense of intuition.
Especially in gambling, gambling is also dictated by luck and chance and intuition cannot understand and predict these two things.
Just play to pass the time and that's it
If you rely on your intuition in gambling, it's the same as you surrender all your betting results to your luck. If you say it's not good, it's not good. But I'm sure some gamblers do it.
Currently, gamblers don't just bet to pass the time. You must also understand how gamblers also have a desire to win bets. No matter how you make predictions, the most important thing is that you know the risks and are responsible for the bets you make.

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hedgeh0g
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April 16, 2025, 02:52:47 PM
 #308

Bets are luck. If you win, then count yourself lucky for that day. I don't rely on intuition nor analysis. Yea, because they have proven so many times not realistic and cannot be trusted. That's why it is advisable to bet with what you can afford to let go else you hang yourself out of depression and sorrow, because we all lose more than we win.
Luck is certainly important winning in gambling, but if someone wants to give importance to intuition or analysis, they can do so. Because when we place bets, we do not only rely on luck, but also on our intuition and observation. Even if the result is not as expected, we try our best not to throw stones in the dark. Sometimes I rely completely on luck when gambling, and sometimes I also need intuition and analysis. I have to take decisions depending on the betting situation. If you can benefit from the strategy you apply, then you can follow it, but you should not rely only on luck nor only intuition or analysis. In the case of gambling, if a decision is made by considering all aspects, it is not bad.
I think that each player decides for themselves how much they trust their intuition in gambling, it's like an internal confidence that has formed in the player. Maybe the player relies on intuition more than other players because of past positive experiences that happened to them in life. And if, for example, there were many unsuccessful confirmations, then the player will not use intuition in the future. In short, it is unlikely that any of us will be able to convince other players how much intuition hinders us in the game, but what each player should remember is that you will not be able to win for a long time on intuition, because the calculated odds of the bookmaker will put everyone in their place in the end.

 
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xenomorfo
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April 17, 2025, 08:33:08 AM
 #309

If you rely on your intuition in gambling, it's the same as you surrender all your betting results to your luck. If you say it's not good, it's not good. But I'm sure some gamblers do it.
Currently, gamblers don't just bet to pass the time. You must also understand how gamblers also have a desire to win bets. No matter how you make predictions, the most important thing is that you know the risks and are responsible for the bets you make.

Exactly, if you rely only on your intuition in gambling, it is like entrusting all the results of your bets to luck.
Nothing changes. And there's nothing you can do.
You can't put a strategy in place, there are no strategies, only luck.

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April 17, 2025, 08:07:06 PM
 #310

It seems to me that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give good forecasts consistently at the expense of intuition alone. But sometimes you can still be guided by intuition, when there is a certain confidence that everything should happen exactly as intuition suggests, it is like the effect of the sixth sense. When you do not need to idealize intuition, no one can give a guarantee of its effectiveness of its clues, so you should be aware that the outcome may not be what you expect. And in general, it is best to rely on the analysis, and if possible, it is better to make an analysis based on as many parameters as possible. Over time, on the basis of your experience, you will be able to identify those parameters, the consideration of which in your case gave the best result, and then you can save time on detailed analysis, without sacrificing the result.


It seems that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give accurate predictions always only at the expense of intuition.
Especially in gambling, gambling is also dictated by luck and chance and intuition cannot understand and predict these two things.
Just play to pass the time and that's it


There are two categories of people, you have the gambler or bettor that doesn't have any idea or knowledge the. You have the one that is strategic and equipped with vital informations, the second type of gambler can make use of intuition and also get lucky it's very possible, sometimes luck might not be needed for someone who is knowledgeable. But like you said intuition cannot be relied on everytime and the same goes for luck as well, all you can do is to just enjoy the game

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Koadharber
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April 17, 2025, 09:47:46 PM
 #311

It seems to me that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give good forecasts consistently at the expense of intuition alone. But sometimes you can still be guided by intuition, when there is a certain confidence that everything should happen exactly as intuition suggests, it is like the effect of the sixth sense. When you do not need to idealize intuition, no one can give a guarantee of its effectiveness of its clues, so you should be aware that the outcome may not be what you expect. And in general, it is best to rely on the analysis, and if possible, it is better to make an analysis based on as many parameters as possible. Over time, on the basis of your experience, you will be able to identify those parameters, the consideration of which in your case gave the best result, and then you can save time on detailed analysis, without sacrificing the result.


It seems that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give accurate predictions always only at the expense of intuition.
Especially in gambling, gambling is also dictated by luck and chance and intuition cannot understand and predict these two things.
Just play to pass the time and that's it


There are two categories of people, you have the gambler or bettor that doesn't have any idea or knowledge the. You have the one that is strategic and equipped with vital informations, the second type of gambler can make use of intuition and also get lucky it's very possible, sometimes luck might not be needed for someone who is knowledgeable. But like you said intuition cannot be relied on everytime and the same goes for luck as well, all you can do is to just enjoy the game
When we do gamble whether on gambling casinos or having that sports prediction then there's always that two possible things that we do need to choose on which neither on that side or another side.
You can apply some analysis on which it will be basing up on what type of gambling that you are dealing into because there's always that relevance on applying analysis when you do sports betting and something which is useless when you do deal up with gambling casino games. So there are certain points on which applying something will be totally useless. On the moment or time that we have that kind of intuition and suddenly changed up on what we had choose up earlier then it will be that up to you whether you do gonna change it up or not. There are those times that you do become that having needing to change it up instead on trying out to stick on what you have chosen. Dont trust up your intuition? It will always be basing up on the numbers on how profitable you are when trusting up your intuition.

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xenomorfo
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April 18, 2025, 12:52:40 PM
 #312

There are two categories of people, you have the gambler or bettor that doesn't have any idea or knowledge the. You have the one that is strategic and equipped with vital informations, the second type of gambler can make use of intuition and also get lucky it's very possible, sometimes luck might not be needed for someone who is knowledgeable. But like you said intuition cannot be relied on everytime and the same goes for luck as well, all you can do is to just enjoy the game


Yes ok, there is the gambler or bettor who has no idea or knowledge.
Then there are those who are strategic.
Both play with different systems, but both are absolutely victims of luck and bad luck.
In poker for example, you can do all the strategies in the world and count cards, but if you don't have a good hand you just have to fold.

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April 20, 2025, 04:24:39 AM
 #313

I only trust my intuition when I play slots, when I play in games that are really given by pure luck, but I don't do it when I play poker, nor when I play blackjack, I always try to play with some strategy, I trust that I can do something with it, sometimes one can have intuition, but with Only intuition you will not get far, sometimes you must know in order to make decisions that are more Appropriate.

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April 20, 2025, 04:30:42 AM
 #314

If you rely on your intuition in gambling, it's the same as you surrender all your betting results to your luck. If you say it's not good, it's not good. But I'm sure some gamblers do it.
Currently, gamblers don't just bet to pass the time. You must also understand how gamblers also have a desire to win bets. No matter how you make predictions, the most important thing is that you know the risks and are responsible for the bets you make.

Exactly, if you rely only on your intuition in gambling, it is like entrusting all the results of your bets to luck.
Nothing changes. And there's nothing you can do.
You can't put a strategy in place, there are no strategies, only luck.

That has been said many times here, and still, many gamblers believe that strategies do work. i.e. Martingale

I believe that can not be erased. We are looking for something that will give us the upper hand against the house, which is why we try to create strategies that we think will work for our benefit. But the truth is that these gambling businesses won't be here anymore if there's a loophole. (the strategy that we will come up) They cannot make mistakes either in security or getting the upper hand against the gamblers, which is why their business is thriving.

We might as well just play the games and enjoy them. Even our instincts will sometimes just confuse us with having a strategy.

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April 20, 2025, 05:07:01 AM
 #315

That has been said many times here, and still, many gamblers believe that strategies do work. i.e. Martingale

Martingale has 2 main problems, losing will be bigger, winning will be bigger. Because increasing the bet every time you lose requires a mature strategy. The application of this strategy is not for unpredictable gambles. Example on Slots, we cannot apply the martingale strategy here, because the spins unable to predict. If it's a card game or sports betting, the potential is much better, but back to probability, the uncertainty of the cards on hand that will be obtained from the dealer, is still a risk when raising the bet 2x from the previous loss.

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April 20, 2025, 05:28:38 AM
 #316

Making bets based on logic rather than feelings, means focusing on the odds instead of intuition. Often, it's wiser to rely on the statistics rather, as this can lead to better value if the odds are advantageous.

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April 20, 2025, 06:03:36 AM
 #317

Scientists are obliged to fully understand this issue. Let the path be long, but it must be done. This will be a great step for all humanity. Then we will be able to use it to its full potential.

Maybe some people say it's lucky, because sometimes they try to reuse it and fail. I think it's still a debate and I agree that we need a better study for that.
If situationally I try to understand the state of my intuition. It is not something that suddenly appears without experience. A real example is when I trade. When I understand candle patterns, looking at the market sees another factor and it becomes a habit.

It is that habit that makes this intuition come out and give rise to quick ideas. What I understand is that this Intuition is a trained mind. It is not a Supernatural power. So there are patterns of habits and situations that are combined that produce an intuition. Although I believe Intuition isn't always right either.  IMO



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April 20, 2025, 06:08:25 AM
 #318


Martingale has 2 main problems, losing will be bigger, winning will be bigger. Because increasing the bet every time you lose requires a mature strategy. The application of this strategy is not for unpredictable gambles. Example on Slots, we cannot apply the martingale strategy here, because the spins unable to predict. If it's a card game or sports betting, the potential is much better, but back to probability, the uncertainty of the cards on hand that will be obtained from the dealer, is still a risk when raising the bet 2x from the previous loss.

This strategy can be tried only on bets, and only if you have previously managed to win most of your bets on bets, without long losing streaks. That is, you must have the ability to earn on bets, you must be a good bettor, without this condition doubling the bet will simply lead to the loss of your entire deposit faster, this is all that you can achieve. And in this case, intuition will definitely not help in any way, in this matter you need to rely only on your experience and previous achievements.

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April 20, 2025, 07:17:24 AM
 #319

I think intuition works more when you have a certain level of knowledge on the games you are betting on, being intuitive without having any idea is just luck dependency. Like you said it's best to rely on analysis and intuition can work better when you are a strategic gambler, you'd have clues of certain bets to avoid and the ones to pick. It's all about how experienced you are, you can't always expect to get lucky but as time goes on you would become more flexible with your predictions. But this isn't a reason to become overconfident.

Your quote is more useful in sports gambling. Because to win in sports gambling, we need experience and skills. We need to know how to analyze data correctly. And then we need to decide to place a bet. But I don't always see my favorite team winning. And this is where we need intuition. But it is a special ability. There are some people whose intuition is strong. But most people have less intuition power. So I would say that if we want to win in gambling, we have to rely on luck most of the time. If we have bad luck, none of our intuition, experience and skills are of any use.

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April 20, 2025, 08:04:12 AM
 #320

I think intuition works more when you have a certain level of knowledge on the games you are betting on, being intuitive without having any idea is just luck dependency. Like you said it's best to rely on analysis and intuition can work better when you are a strategic gambler, you'd have clues of certain bets to avoid and the ones to pick. It's all about how experienced you are, you can't always expect to get lucky but as time goes on you would become more flexible with your predictions. But this isn't a reason to become overconfident.

Being over confident when gambling can end up making you to lose because sometimes you only have to take the easy way out to secure your capital and your profits because gambling is so uncertain that despite you thinking that you have tick all the boxes of what's going tonamke you to win, you can still lose. Betting in a stronger club doesn't guarantee you victory because anything can happen and the club you thought was the stronger become the weakest. Intuition can be helpful and at th same time be deceitful hence it's the analysis that we have to depend on. Past history isn't enough reason for you to think that the result will go as you planned. Following your intuition should only matters when it supports your analysis as then you'll be making the right choices 50% of the time but there'll always be a 50% chance that you're wrong.

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