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Author Topic: Why Bitcoin is volatile and will it progress in future like in stable way  (Read 1117 times)
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January 21, 2025, 04:12:31 AM
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 #21

Don't invest, at least not yet. Don't get into something you don't know. Spend hours getting to know Bitcoin. Don't be in a hurry. If you're convinced it has a good potential, proceed to learn the technicalities associated with it. Don't invest until you're sufficiently informed about wallets, private keys, backups, and what not.

They're pre-requisites to Bitcoin investing. They're a must. If you don't pass through them, you're more likely duped into scams. Your funds will more likely be stolen from you. You'd come back here crying, asking for help, clueless as to what happened.

I've recently started a discussion here about newbies like you who bought Bitcoin only to donate them to scammers. Don't be too eager like them. Take your time. Learn from the mistakes of other newbies like keeping a wallet's backup in a cloud or sharing it to strangers.

I hope you will indeed take time reading the replies here. If your so-called friends just advise you to buy Bitcoin without explaining to you what it is and the dos and don'ts about it, don't listen to them. They just want everybody to buy so that their holdings will increase in value.

Don't worry about volatility for now. It's not the concern of any newbie. You'll understand it in due time. If Bitcoin is volatile, learn Bitcoin first before it being volatile.

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January 21, 2025, 04:14:38 AM
 #22

That means you're better to invest in bonds instead of Bitcoin, bonds give average return 4%-5% per year, if the inflation rate in your country is 4%, so technically the return are enough to hedge against inflation.

No one in this world can control your decision, even your colleagues ask you to join them, but if you don't want to invest in Bitcoin, it's completely fine.

Speaking from my experience, I DCA-ing Bitcoin from the last 4 years and now my money doubled from my capital, which mean the average return I get is 20% per year.
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January 21, 2025, 06:24:57 AM
 #23

I'm to believe that you've been given tips of orientations on the volatile movements of bitcoin and its potentials benefits.
Gone are those days when we've to just stock our monies which we don't have anytime usage plans for in the bank as it's stable in the fiats amount figures but can be diminished in values of exchange due to economy inflations.
Bitcoin is a source which when having your funds stocked in, it's there by performs potential value fluctuations in respect of its volatile potentialities.
So you've definitely got it a good thought of not just weighing your funds on a  stable valuable source of bitcoin but has out formed it potential increase of values that's is investment which could give you alternative of earning aside your agricultural farming.
You've really mentioned a huge some of money with the value of $10,000 which if you get it invested on bitcoin and holds patiently within this current market situation, you're sure of greeners harvest at the wrap base and wrap up of the bull run which would give you least 40% of interest within the exercise.
I don't know if bitcoin would go Dip of bearish enough again to say you if we considers your accumulating of bitcoin with the Dcas otherwise, I'd suggest you invest as much as you can bear to hold patiently while you either not panic of using the fund soon nor worried about the markets fluctuations.


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January 21, 2025, 07:28:30 AM
 #24

That means you're better to invest in bonds instead of Bitcoin, bonds give average return 4%-5% per year, if the inflation rate in your country is 4%, so technically the return are enough to hedge against inflation.

No one in this world can control your decision, even your colleagues ask you to join them, but if you don't want to invest in Bitcoin, it's completely fine.

Speaking from my experience, I DCA-ing Bitcoin from the last 4 years and now my money doubled from my capital, which mean the average return I get is 20% per year.

Great points here.
A person should himself give Bitcoin a try on paper, learn about it, think broadly about it, and then make a decision based on facts he gathered and understood.
No one in the world would be eager to get you without your own determination into something, unless it's a rug  Wink

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January 21, 2025, 07:49:05 AM
 #25

Don't invest in bitcoin just because of your friends' advice and don't invest in it if you haven't taken the time to learn everything about it.

I think instead of asking people and getting hundreds of different advices that will confuse you more, you should spend some time learning the basics of bitcoin and it is not difficult to find it on the internet. It is obvious that you are attracted by the stories of high returns of bitcoin but you feel scared when you witness its huge volatility. So I have only one piece of advice for you: the higher the return, the higher the risk. Everything has its price, nothing can bring high profits without risk and safety, don't be too naive.

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January 21, 2025, 07:51:28 AM
 #26

Don't invest in bitcoin just because of your friends' advice and don't invest in it if you haven't taken the time to learn everything about it.

I think instead of asking people and getting hundreds of different advices that will confuse you more, you should spend some time learning the basics of bitcoin and it is not difficult to find it on the internet. It is obvious that you are attracted by the stories of high returns of bitcoin but you feel scared when you witness its huge volatility. So I have only one piece of advice for you: the higher the return, the higher the risk. Everything has its price, nothing can bring high profits without risk and safety, don't be too naive.

Agreed through and through.
Thoughts of others may help to indicate where to dig for the OP, but other than that, it's his own battle, one that we all went through and are still in it with Bitcoin  Wink
Once he understands more about it, there would be no confusion, only an understanding of the situation.

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January 21, 2025, 10:13:19 AM
 #27

Thanks again to all members for quick reply. I got it.
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January 21, 2025, 12:44:12 PM
 #28

Volatility is a feature not a bug. If you understand how Bitcoin moves in four year halving cycles, you can use its volatility to your advantage. Sells some high a year after the halving by, buy some low 18 months after the cycle high. Bitcoin will become more stable as time goes on, it’s still a relatively new asset class so volatility is to be expected.
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January 21, 2025, 02:18:03 PM
 #29

Volatility is a feature not a bug. If you understand how Bitcoin moves in four year halving cycles, you can use its volatility to your advantage. Sells some high a year after the halving by, buy some low 18 months after the cycle high. Bitcoin will become more stable as time goes on, it’s still a relatively new asset class so volatility is to be expected.
It's not easy to time the market and find absolute bottom and ATH. History and past cycles can help us to make some price predictions and our plans of entry and exit, but we won't be able to do it perfectly.

If you have profit or good profit and actually make your withdrawal, exit to take profit, it's good and it's enjoyable experience. Don't worry or feel bad if you miss an ATH of a market cycle. Chasing absolute ATH will only make you missing profit taking chance, and stuck in a bear market.

Bitcoin price history.

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January 21, 2025, 02:37:44 PM
 #30

I don't think It will become stable, Maybe for some time It will but something will always move the markets, if a casino or a exchange gets hacked that will move the price, or if there is a whale who decide to sell that will move the price too. So, we can't say bitcoin will become stable at some point, the stability will always be affected for an externa fact.
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January 21, 2025, 08:52:22 PM
 #31

Bitcoin will probably remain volatile for decades, although the higher the number of users the more stable it will become. As companies and funds start to allocate for the long term, bitcoin will become more stable because these funds will not be able to react to every single piece of news. They will need to vote on whether and how much they want to move from cold storage.

The largest percentage is held by these co called diamond hands, the less volatility we will experience, because institutions are rarely driven by fear and greed. They do the math, calculate everything and discuss it at meetings, while the largest bitcoin moves are often driven by the media, like it was with the supposed China bans, covid pandemic news, or the recent situation with US applying to sell bitcoin.

You know what the problem is? The problem is that the world hasn't moved away from Fiat as the standard unit of account (particularly, the USD). People are measuring BTC's price relative to Fiat, instead of sats.

I dream of a future where we could pay in BTC terms without ever needing to know its value in Fiat terms. A future where 1 BTC = 1 BTC no matter what. That would finally make Bitcoin "stable". Maybe it's too late for that? With companies spreading the "digital Gold" propaganda, it's hard to believe things will change anytime soon. Nothing is set in stone, so anything's possible. Smiley

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January 21, 2025, 09:29:11 PM
 #32

My only advice is, invest only in bitcoin when you have understood it well deeply. When you’re no longer scared of volatility. Because bitcoin will always be volatile no matter what, although it could be less volatile in the future if ever global adoption may achieved and that certain rules and regulations may apply on it. But no matter what, its volatility is what makes bitcoin more thrill and even more exciting to invest, as long as you know how volatility plays for bitcoin.
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January 21, 2025, 09:48:10 PM
 #33

Op if you are scared, don't invest because you will not have peace of mind and you will be thinking your bitcoins and always checking the price movement to see if it will be on your favour or against. If you want to invest you have to Zero your mind and invest for a long time and be using the DCA strategy to acquire more when you have money. And another thing again don't bring family issue into your bitcoin investment because it will not help you. And don't procrastinating the whole process and start now. Please if really you are newbie, read the forum rules and they are pinned at the top of Meta Board and Beginners and help. And also each board has their own rules. Follow up.

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January 22, 2025, 03:55:09 AM
 #34



You know what the problem is? The problem is that the world hasn't moved away from Fiat as the standard unit of account (particularly, the USD). People are measuring BTC's price relative to Fiat, instead of sats.

I dream of a future where we could pay in BTC terms without ever needing to know its value in Fiat terms. A future where 1 BTC = 1 BTC no matter what. That would finally make Bitcoin "stable". Maybe it's too late for that? With companies spreading the "digital Gold" propaganda, it's hard to believe things will change anytime soon. Nothing is set in stone, so anything's possible. Smiley

Bitcoin still has a chance to become an alternative payment method alongside fiat, but the dream of a world without fiat and bitcoin becoming the sole major currency is unrealistic.

But we should stop blaming companies and institutions when they promote bitcoin as “digital gold” and say they are the reason why bitcoin cannot become a currency. Because years ago, when governments and institutions were still not interested in bitcoin, retail investors like us considered it an investment and speculation. We never considered it a real currency as we said. It can be said that we have also contributed to bitcoin not becoming a currency.

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January 22, 2025, 07:23:24 AM
 #35

Many people have analyzed that bitcoin may reach1,50,000  to 1,80,000 dollar this year. In this moment, the value of bitcoin is very low, so why is it not safe for a customer to invest all his  asset in bitcoin or why should he invest half of his asset? 

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January 22, 2025, 07:29:31 AM
Merited by d5000 (1)
 #36

Quote
Hello I have some FD in my bank which is approximately 1,100,000 INR which is less than 10k equivalent in USD. My few colleagues are here in this community and suggested me to join but I'm not to knowledgeable about Bitcoin technology and I'm farmer who works daily for my parents and I have responsibilities too to look after them. I'm willing to invest in Bitcoin but seeing volatility that scares me a lot. Will Bitcoin gets slow down in volatility like stable way. I don't want my money to gets double, triple or a hundred times of my investment but I want my money to grow in slow, slow way which can helps on inflation.

Why the Bitcoin is mostly volatile sir, mam? What do you think of this my move is I am doing good or bad. Please genuine suggestion only. Thank you

Bitcoin has high price volatility, because it has limited total supply(which means scarcity) plus unstable demand. The demand for BTC is growing in the long term, but it has short-term ups and downs.
If you are too scared of Bitcoin's price volatility just don't invest in BTC. You might panic, when a price crash/bear market occurs and you might sell BTC at a loss. Just try to diversify your portfolio of assets and don't put too much money in high risk and volatile assets.
Maybe you should seek advice from a licensed broker or accountant. Asking random people on the internet for financial advice is a mistake.

 
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January 22, 2025, 08:24:15 AM
 #37

I don't think It will become stable, Maybe for some time It will but something will always move the markets, if a casino or a exchange gets hacked that will move the price, or if there is a whale who decide to sell that will move the price too. So, we can't say bitcoin will become stable at some point, the stability will always be affected for an externa fact.

If Bitcoin becomes stable, just like the stablecoins, it would lose its double-edged sword.
Without volatility, there is no punchline for cycles to happen at all.

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January 22, 2025, 02:33:17 PM
 #38

I'm willing to invest in Bitcoin but seeing volatility that scares me a lot. Will Bitcoin gets slow down in volatility like stable way. I don't want my money to gets double, triple or a hundred times of my investment but I want my money to grow in slow, slow way which can helps on inflation.
The volatility is what makes Bitcoin unique, and as a newbie who is interested in investing in Bitcoin, it's advisable you invest an amount you can always afford to lose, if you are scared of it's volatile nature, because depending on how long you wants to invest your money, it's also advisable you don't invest an amount that have been set aside for a project within a week or months time, with the sole aim of making profits. Because you will literally be disappointed in such scenario. Hence, it's good you invest an amount you are solely comfortable about.

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Why the Bitcoin is mostly volatile sir, mam? What do you think of this my move is I am doing good or bad. Please genuine suggestion only. Thank you
Bitcoin as a decentralized digital currency was developed to be volatile right from day one by it's created Satoshi Nakamoto, and it is it's volatile nature that has made it skyrocket from less than a dollar to over hundred thousands dollars today. Hence, there is no problem with it's volatility, if only you invest an amount you can always afford to lose. But, be rest assured, it is the best asset for long term investment.

 
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January 22, 2025, 09:34:12 PM
 #39

Volatility is a feature not a bug. If you understand how Bitcoin moves in four year halving cycles, you can use its volatility to your advantage.
I highly advise to not only make your decisions dependant on chart patterns which take into account the price behavior in the past.

Most of these patterns, including the so-called "four year cycle", will eventually collapse. And the four-year cycles are not even really confirmed as there only were two of them (2013-17 and 2017-21). An important high in late 2025 could look like a confirmation of the four-year pattern, but it still can be simply coincidence, above all because the 2017-21 pattern was quite bumpy and could also be regarded as two separate bull-bear cycles (2017-19 and 2019-21).

Instead a better idea, in my opinion, is to try to read the attention cycles. There are periods where Bitcoin is in the media/news, and others where it's "under the radar", nobody talks about it, and you'll even perhaps be ridiculed when you ask your friends about it. The second type of periods are good for buying, even if the price is increasing -- as long as Bitcoin's ecosystem as a whole keeps growing in the long term.

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January 23, 2025, 01:00:32 PM
 #40

I'm willing to invest in Bitcoin but seeing volatility that scares me a lot. Will Bitcoin gets slow down in volatility like stable way. I don't want my money to gets double, triple or a hundred times of my investment but I want my money to grow in slow, slow way which can helps on inflation.

Why the Bitcoin is mostly volatile sir, mam? What do you think of this my move is I am doing good or bad. Please genuine suggestion only. Thank you



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If you are willing to invest into Bitcoin and can hold the bitcoin for like 4 years interval, there's a high possibility that you are going to make profit on your investment but if you want to invest today and get profit the next day, it might not be possible because bitcoin is a volatile asset and without its volatility, you can not also make profit from it. Bitcoin is not a get rich quick scheme and like you already said, you want your profit to grow gradually which what you can do is to invest then transfer your coins to a safe cold wallet and leave it there for some years.

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