Taking +110/-110 all the time thinking it's a 50/50 chance is a wrong idea.

[XPB]

Live betting is a good option if you are able to watch the game. You may not get great odds, but you'll be able to see what team is dominating and chase a few bucks vs going in blind before the game starts. Never know what can happen before a game starts or who is having an off night.

Before the game starts, both sides are full of hope that they will win the game. They roleplay in different ways how to defeat the opposing team. Invariably, the moment before the game starts, a positive and beautiful mindset works inside everyone. No one can say if and in which direction the game will go later, but the initial situation reveals an excellent moment.

[Japinat]

Before the game starts, both sides are full of hope that they will win the game. They roleplay in different ways how to defeat the opposing team. Invariably, the moment before the game starts, a positive and beautiful mindset works inside everyone. No one can say if and in which direction the game will go later, but the initial situation reveals an excellent moment.

Clearly, winning is every team's goal. But as a gambler, you're up against the betting odds. Your job is to choose the team you think will win or cover the spread. That's the tricky part, you have to decide if the offered spread is a good bet. I'm pretty confident I can pick a winner about 50% of the time, but when it comes to point spreads, that's a whole different ball game.

[Eternad]

Before the game starts, both sides are full of hope that they will win the game. They roleplay in different ways how to defeat the opposing team. Invariably, the moment before the game starts, a positive and beautiful mindset works inside everyone. No one can say if and in which direction the game will go later, but the initial situation reveals an excellent moment.

Clearly, winning is every team's goal. But as a gambler, you're up against the betting odds. Your job is to choose the team you think will win or cover the spread. That's the tricky part, you have to decide if the offered spread is a good bet. I'm pretty confident I can pick a winner about 50% of the time, but when it comes to point spreads, that's a whole different ball game.

Point spread is much easier to predict than choosing match winner bet because you have a chance of still win your bet if you’re team lose when you choose + spread points.

On the other hand, - point spread is indeed very hard to win since even a favorite team lose or perform low that makes their score just even to the weaker team so I always preferred + spread when placing bets in handicap.

[stompix]

Instead, he suggests looking at moneyline odds, whether for the favorites or underdogs, to find better opportunities.

Moneyline odds are just American odds compared to European ones or the UK, also, what are you going to do in soccer with those? Cause it's definitely not 50/50, I see no reason why he would give an advice for situations that are so specific it's harder to find them than to actually avoid playing on them


You could say taking 1.9/1.9 in tennis games is a bad idea, or is betting on any game just because of the odds.You bet for the things you might think might happen, not because of the odds, you take a 1.2 with a 4.5 in an array if you're sure of the fundamentals.

Point spread is much easier to predict than choosing match winner bet because you have a chance of still win your bet if you’re team lose when you choose + spread points.

And what value do you get for that, for example in Barcelona's upcoming game, go for the spread and you end up with 1.10.

[Jawhead999]

For me, I feel like it’s a waste of time. Based on my experience, I usually lose because I get carried away by emotions while watching the game. And sometimes, what we expect to happen just doesn’t happen.

Like in a recent basketball game I bet on, the best player of one team had 5 fouls by the end of the 3rd quarter, meaning he’d have limited minutes in the 4th. So, I quickly bet on the other team that wasn’t in foul trouble (which was also the pre-game favorite).

But in the end? I still lost. 

You should be really familiar with the sports and the teams if you want to bet on live bet.

When you really understand about the sports and the teams, you will know like which teams tend to comeback and which teams tend to make mistakes in the last minutes. So, if the team that like to comeback is currently behind the opponent, you should bet on them instead of the opponent.

It's risky, but experience usually not go wrong.

[Botnake]

You should be really familiar with the sports and the teams if you want to bet on live bet.

When you really understand about the sports and the teams, you will know like which teams tend to comeback and which teams tend to make mistakes in the last minutes. So, if the team that like to comeback is currently behind the opponent, you should bet on them instead of the opponent.

It's risky, but experience usually not go wrong.

That's true, and when you're betting live, you're only focused on a few games since you can't watch them all at once. That's even better, I think your chances of winning are higher with live betting compared to pregame bets. In live games, you can spot injuries, check shooting percentages, and track fouls. These real-time details give you a better chance to analyze and make a winning bet.

[Free Market Capitalist]

Without knowing much about the subject, I think he is right. Moreover, I think the cases where it is a pure 50/50 will be rare. If there is a favorite it will be very lopsided and if they are roughly evenly matched I'm sure someone with a good eye and experience can find the 60/40 or 55/45. Even a stats program or an AI can surely find you those closer percentages.

[Eternad]

Point spread is much easier to predict than choosing match winner bet because you have a chance of still win your bet if you’re team lose when you choose + spread points.

And what value do you get for that, for example in Barcelona's upcoming game, go for the spread and you end up with 1.10.

I usually do this on live betting. I’m waiting for the favorite team to have a slow start while underdog team manage to have an intro run which commonly they can’t finish in the end.

I usually get an odds above 1.7 especially if the lead is high. I’m doing this on NBA which typically team can cut a huge lead with a single quarter especially on 3rd quarter. I’m not sure if this is possible on football since it’s very hard to score in there compared to basketball.

[peter0425]

What do you think based on your knowledge? Do you agree or disagree, and why?

Assuming every bet has a chance of 50/50 may not be the best because it doesn’t take odds into consideration. If you assume all bets have 50/50 chance, you wouldn’t be able to maximize everything out of your bet.

Basically if you just pick a team to win or lose and keep that simple, you may have lesser chances of winning. If you analyze the odds and see which ones are misplaced aka if the odds are undermining the actual chances of one tesm then you can bet on that. It’s not just 50/50. Most of the time it’s, 60/40.

[EarnOnVictor]

-snip-
What do you think based on your knowledge? Do you agree or disagree, and why?

The guy is saying the reality but the reason to back it up is slightly different from mine. Above all, we should learn how to define risks in betting differently, they are not just the same for all bets. How you should approach the probability in casino games is different from how you should approach it in sports betting. And even in sports betting, you should know that the tightness of a team winning can't be the same for all games, so the 50/50 is not "even" for all bets.