ABCbits
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March 20, 2025, 07:59:58 AM |
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IMO the idea of "burning" (some people call it "freezing") is less worse than idea of redistribute Bitcoin from all vulnerable address, which also bring debate on how to perform the redistribution.
For re-distribution, there would be a quite easy and uncontroversial method: adding the coins to the future mining rewards to make the halving curve a bit smoother. IMO if this is an option the rewards should be moved into the far future, for example when the regular reward has fallen below 0.1 BTC or so. Distribution method you mentioned definitely less controversial than other method i've seen. But aside from hard fork, it also add some technical complexity about changed mining reward & which Bitcoin from which vulnerable address/UTXO should be taken.
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franky1
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March 20, 2025, 09:44:12 AM Last edit: March 20, 2025, 09:58:57 AM by franky1 |
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so he proposes locking up funds stored on legacy keys
the idea to make a new keypair type and transaction format that is quantum resistant. but to also at same time then switch off legacy spending (emphasis at same time) is just dev-politics gone mad. not even giving an opportunity to move funds to a safer keypair before "quantum supremacy"
seems some dev-politicians(core) are steadfast wanting to panic people into cludgy segwit and taproot(only option so far), but now they are trying to pretend its for the goodness of their heart
now imagine anyone who has coins and like most pension plans/long term investments, they just dont touch it for 10-40 years, and do as the community preach "hoard"(hodl) and then come back to find out some centralised dev-political group have just locked you out from ever spending your coin.
... now imagine one of the cludgy things of taproot/segwit was found to have its own bug that makes it far more easier for a hacker group to brute segwit/taproot than the FALSELY perceived risk of quantum vs legacy
well we cant then do any backward compatible spending to legacy until the bug is fixed
.. i have been seeing for last few years how a couple certain core devs whom act like judge jury executioner and politician all rolled up, have been pushing to kill off legacy access to bitcoin spending, without fixing the issues of segwit/taproot cludgy code.
so how about they clean up segwit/taproot issues first or create a more secure new keypair system and transaction handling method. and then allow people to move funds to safer keys... before trying to lock people out of their funds
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Darker45
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March 21, 2025, 04:01:19 AM |
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IMO the idea of "burning" (some people call it "freezing") is less worse than idea of redistribute Bitcoin from all vulnerable address, which also bring debate on how to perform the redistribution. For re-distribution, there would be a quite easy and uncontroversial method: adding the coins to the future mining rewards to make the halving curve a bit smoother. IMO if this is an option the rewards should be moved into the far future, for example when the regular reward has fallen below 0.1 BTC or so. Distribution method you mentioned definitely less controversial than other method i've seen. But aside from hard fork, it also add some technical complexity about changed mining reward & which Bitcoin from which vulnerable address/UTXO should be taken. Would that be how the actual redistribution takes place? Or is it actually just a free-for-all treasure-hunting of vulnerable funds? Moreover, what will probably happen is an exclusive and elite race, one which even Bitcoin developers and contributors couldn't join. The participants would only be those who have the resources. Who knows, it might even be the Lazarus Group who'd first acquire quantum computing capabilities to break open people's wallets? After all, they're trained, financed, ran by a government. Perhaps we can only think of a proper redistribution after being certain that those vulnerable funds are recovered by saintly actors, which we cannot. Otherwise, perhaps rendering those QC-vulnerable funds unspendable is the most practical thing to do. And perhaps ethical, too.
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ABCbits
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March 21, 2025, 08:55:36 AM |
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Distribution method you mentioned definitely less controversial than other method i've seen. But aside from hard fork, it also add some technical complexity about changed mining reward & which Bitcoin from which vulnerable address/UTXO should be taken. Would that be how the actual redistribution takes place? Or is it actually just a free-for-all treasure-hunting of vulnerable funds? No, what i and @d5000 discussed is mere theory, without any related serious proposal or BIP. It's not exactly treasure-hunting either, since @d5000 mentioned it's redistributed through mining with fixed amount can be claimed.
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d5000
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emphasis at same time
No. Read Lopp's blogpost again. The burning would take place at least a year after the addition of "quantum proof" cryptography, as the idea is exactly that the users should migrate. I continue to not like the proposal though as a mandatory option -- only as a nuclear option to threaten attackers preventively, which ideally never should be used. Would that be how the actual redistribution takes place? Or is it actually just a free-for-all treasure-hunting of vulnerable funds?
That's what Lopp fears when nothing is done via QCs, it's not a "redistribution proposal". A redistribution based on some arbitrary parameter ("treasure hunting") would indeed not make sense, and an "equal amount distributed to all currently active UTXOs" would have probably no effect because sell pressure would decrease the Bitcoin price or market cap, perhaps more than by the (pre-restribution) value of the redistributed coins, due to anticipation/panic/liquidation effects. Best case is that even Satoshi moves (to an unused P2PKH or similar address) or migrates his coins voluntarily, and thus the burning isn't even necessary, but nobody knows if he's still able to do so. And a return of Satoshi to activity could also make Bitcoin crash, even if it would be bullish because we can probably expect Satoshi to be less prone to sell his coins instantly than an attacker. In the case of the more recent wallets with re-used addresses Lopp mentions, I guess however that more than 95-99% would be migrated or moved. Perhaps the Bitcoin community could launch a campaign to move coins from re-used addresses, particularly older ones, now that the fees are relatively low? Otherwise when a quantum threat is visible on the horizon, this could make fees explode if everybody's moving/migrating ... Distribution method you mentioned definitely less controversial than other method i've seen. But aside from hard fork, it also add some technical complexity about changed mining reward & which Bitcoin from which vulnerable address/UTXO should be taken.
Of course. However most other proposals also add complexity. Regarding vulnerable addresses however, as I already wrote I would limit them to scripts which expose the private key from the beginning, like P2PK. This would cover probably most old coins affected by this problem.
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PrivacyG
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March 21, 2025, 10:11:55 PM |
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Is there something I am missing? Satoshi had a stash, it is clear enough by now. But while it is clear to us, is there any legitimate way of proving which Bitcoin is still on hold in the addresses owned by Satoshi?
And then a few other things come to my mind. What if Satoshi simply did not care enough by now to move his Bitcoin and by the time he wants to move them, they are impossible to move? What if the Bitcoin becoming impossible to move are simply some Bitcoins still 'sleeping' on an old hard disk in the attic of a person who simply has not gone through it yet. Is there an actual accurate number of how much Bitcoin Satoshi owns in the first place?
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Faisal2202
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March 22, 2025, 04:00:10 PM |
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Looking at history, they'll just take it for themselves. Does anyone remember when US government seized BTC-e exchange, where BTC-e user never get their BTC back?
You are right, there have been no such time when any government gave the seized funds back, but what if they tag these BTC as recovered BTC not seized so maybe they pass some bill where whoever recovered those BTC are responsible for giving them back to the rightful owner? Well, if that happens, then we might see thousands of people declaring themselves the Satoshi. Or maybe if Satoshi also upgrades its wallet security by moving funds to QCs resistance wallet.
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SquirrelJulietGarden
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March 22, 2025, 04:48:56 PM |
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Is there something I am missing? Satoshi had a stash, it is clear enough by now. But while it is clear to us, is there any legitimate way of proving which Bitcoin is still on hold in the addresses owned by Satoshi?
It's all calculations or estimations from identification of possible Satoshi Nakamoto addresses. These figures are surely not exact numbers with big or small inaccuracy, we can not know. And then a few other things come to my mind. What if Satoshi simply did not care enough by now to move his Bitcoin and by the time he wants to move them, they are impossible to move?
I disagree. Satoshi Nakamoto is not a careles person like this according to his post and his advice to Bitcoin users. Sigh... why delete a wallet instead of moving it aside and keeping the old copy just in case? You should never delete a wallet.
I agree that there is chance of Satoshi Nakamoto already died and in this case, his stashed lost forever and belonged to history. If he let his stashes as inheritance to someone else, perhaps that person already moved bitcoin and sold it.
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cr1776
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March 25, 2025, 01:50:54 PM |
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I don't think there's anything we can do aside from finding ways to make sure this doesn't happen. We can stop billionaire corporations from building quantum computers and the fact they assure us that they will do no sure thing isn't enough. We also can't rely on the government to regulate them. I personally don't think its something to be scared about because for now it's beyond expensive to build a quantum computer and I doubt any company that manages to do it will involve themselves in such a risky act.
There is essentially no way to stop someone, somewhere from building a QC. Whether it is in the US, China, the EU, UK, Japan etc, someone, somewhere will do it. There is a ton of research on it going on and no way will it stop unless we move to some type of totalitarian system worldwide. Whether a QC will eventually be able to cause an issue for bitcoin is somewhat open to debate but the length of time to respond with upgrades etc is quite long which is why people are discussing it now. Either with a QC or freezing coins the owner will no longer have access to them so it is just a question of whether they should be frozen or not. It seems to be a no-brainer that freezing is preferable to what would probably amount to a destruction of bitcoin if they are not. :-) There would be a period of many years (5-10?) where people would know to move the coins or they'd be lost vs suddenly, one day, everyones coins are moved by a QC and (potentially) dumped.
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d5000
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March 25, 2025, 07:40:57 PM |
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But while it is clear to us, is there any legitimate way of proving which Bitcoin is still on hold in the addresses owned by Satoshi? Lopp's blogpost isn't really about Satoshi's coins, but about all coins which are "lost" or are still sitting on addresses belonging to scripts like P2PK where the public key is exposed in a block (normally the pubkey is only exposed after you send the coins anywhere, that's why addresses shouldn't be reused). Thus it would not be necessary to determine Satoshi's addresses. Satoshi is here very likely only namedropped to drive attention to the thread - i.e. as a clickbait  in a forum that's completely legit I think. The original blog post title is "Against Allowing Quantum Recovery of Bitcoin". However, Lopp has used the word "Satoshi's stash" in a video called "Safeguarding Satoshi's stash". What if Satoshi simply did not care enough by now to move his Bitcoin and by the time he wants to move them, they are impossible to move? Well if such a hard deadline is set and the period to move is long enough I guess Satoshi and all others sitting on Bitcoins on old hard disks in the attic would move, as long as they still have access (the guy with the HD buried in a trash dump may have bad luck though). As described above, Lopp proposes a generous migration time. Is there an actual accurate number of how much Bitcoin Satoshi owns in the first place?
There is a quite fundamented estimation by Sergio Demian Lerner, who discovered the so called "Patoshi pattern". See The Well-deserved fortune of Satoshi Nakamoto and this follow-up. We're talking about 980k to 1.1 million BTC (around 4-5% of the circulating supply). Later Lerner made some other posts going more into detail.
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Wakate
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March 25, 2025, 08:12:53 PM |
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A new blog post appeared on Jameson Lopp Against Allowing Quantum Recovery of BitcoinIn this article, Jameson Lopp addresses the potential threat quantum computing poses to Bitcoin's security. Jameson outlines scenarios where quantum computers could potentially exploit Bitcoin's current cryptographic vulnerabilities to access funds, especially those in addresses with exposed public keys. Lopp argues that permitting such quantum-based recovery would lead to wealth redistribution favouring entities with early access to quantum technology, undermining Bitcoin's principles of decentralisation and property rights. He proposes some measures, such as implementing quantum-resistant cryptographic schemes, something that is relatively trivial, but above all, potentially rendering vulnerable funds (such as Patoshi funds), unspendable, to preserve the network's integrity and trust: It is obvious that Jameson Lopp is trying to push for the protection of Bitcoin from those who could use the early power of quantum computers to deopardize and steal Bitcoin from vulnerability wallets. There is need for the government to control the development of quantum computers so it wouldn't be used to steal from old or reused wallets that are vulnerable to attack and exploit. I don't think there's anything we can do aside from finding ways to make sure this doesn't happen. We can stop billionaire corporations from building quantum computers and the fact they assure us that they will do no sure thing isn't enough. We also can't rely on the government to regulate them. I personally don't think its something to be scared about because for now it's beyond expensive to build a quantum computer and I doubt any company that manages to do it will involve themselves in such a risky act.
Quantum computing is quite an expensive technology and I've heard that countries like USA, China including private companies like Microsoft, Google, Amazon etc are spending billions of dollars on Quantum technologies research. Maybe soon we could start seeing the use of this computer that has higher performances than the super computers. This has been one of the things Jameson Lopp was emphasizing on because he knows that by the time the quantum computer has reached the final stage where it could be used to break codes and sophisticated computations, it could have a vast implication on the Bitcoin Elliptic Curve Cryptography(ECC) which is responsible for the security of every transaction. We all need to stand in support of Bitcoin and the government ought to create implementations that will not compromise the Bitcoin cryptographic security that could be breached by the time the quantum computer is in full operational stage.
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re-start
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March 26, 2025, 08:34:00 PM |
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I don't think there's anything we can do aside from finding ways to make sure this doesn't happen. We can stop billionaire corporations from building quantum computers and the fact they assure us that they will do no sure thing isn't enough. We also can't rely on the government to regulate them. I personally don't think its something to be scared about because for now it's beyond expensive to build a quantum computer and I doubt any company that manages to do it will involve themselves in such a risky act.
Building a quantum computer might seem a bit expensive. However, companies that aim to achieve quantum computers are supported by the government (or governments). If such a thing is possible, the government will definitely support it. Just like some hacking companies in certain countries whose goal is hacking wallets, exchanges, and other countries banks—all of them are backed by the government.
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Smartvirus
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March 26, 2025, 09:32:09 PM |
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This proposal leaves me with mixed feelings.
What is your position on this proposal?
Indeed I do share in this mixed feeling as, most of us Bitcoiners and investors in this field like to view and believe that the vulnerabilities that might exists within the system is one that haven’t got nothing to do with the security of whatever wallets there might be, used in securing and storing of our Bitcoin hodlings. The singular idea that this could be exploited by quantum computation simply means, nothing is ever safe as, it doesn’t stop with Satoshi’s starch but, every other exposed public key like you’ve said is a target. We hope not to get to that point though but like he said, hope isn’t a strategy however, we can only hold on to what we’ve got. Also, we can’t truly decide what to do with those starch because, we don’t own it and don’t know if the owner be it Satoshi and the long list of lost private key owners to some wallets out there might be, you never know what’s the deal with them for sure. Any compromise would be undermining the integrity of the innovation.
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d5000
Legendary
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Activity: 4354
Merit: 9174
Decentralization Maximalist
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March 29, 2025, 03:36:51 AM Merited by fillippone (3) |
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There is need for the government to control the development of quantum computers so it wouldn't be used to steal from old or reused wallets that are vulnerable to attack and exploit. That will not be entirely possible. While they have indeed prevented "private" entities to develop nuclear weapons, one should never be sure that that can be achieved for other potentially harmful technologies. Quantum computers are, in addition, easier to deal with than nuclear weapons. You don't need tests on a remote island, airplanes etc.; basically you need a good laboratory. And of course North Korea is a potential developer of QCs too and could use it to improve Lazarus' crypto hacking capabilities ...
As proposed in this post, I've launched a little "campaign" (or more humbly: a reminder) to move coins from re-used (and P2PK) addresses/UTXOs to freshly generated addresses. I don't know if there was a similar thread yet (didn't find it in "Beginners & Help") but I think that anyway such a reminder should be launched every now and then, especially when fees are low as now (when I wrote the post it was at 1 sat/vByte and weekend is beginning). So feel free to answer/bump: Fees are low? Make your coins more private and (almost) quantum safe!
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fillippone (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 2604
Merit: 18758
Duelbits.com - Rewarding, beyond limits.
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April 20, 2025, 10:40:46 AM |
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A big part of the quantum upgrade at the protocol level will be just moving the coins to safe addresses. I cannot think of a similar congestion on the network. Better to prepare earlier than later. Now the fees are very low from a historical perspective. Better act timely.
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