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Mahiyammahi (OP)
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April 20, 2025, 11:53:39 AM Merited by fillippone (1) |
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We thought we were in pre-bull phase before Trump's inauguration, but nothing has fallen into place and met our expectations. After trumps inauguration our market situation is Period | BTC 24h Volume (avg) | Total Crypto 24h Volume (avg)
January 2025 | $22B – $35B | $85B – $140B Feb – Early March | $30B – $45B | $120B – $180B Late March – April | $40B – $60B (volatility) | $150B – $220BBefore Trumps win in 2024-2025 Cycle which we most likely called pre bull phase Period | Avg. 24h BTC Volume |Total Crypto 24h Volume (avg) | Events
Q1 2023 | $12B – $20B | $35B-$55B | Post-FTX recovery phase, weak volume Q2 2023 | $15B – $25B | $45B-$70B | Slow growth, sideways market Q3 2023 | $18B – $30B | $60B-$100B | BlackRock ETF rumors started circulating Q4 2023 | $25B – $45B | $90B-$160B | Bitcoin ETF hype intensifies, BTC reaches ~$42K Q1 2024 | $35B – $65B | $120B-$250B | Spot BTC ETFs approved (Jan 10), volume spikes Q2 2024 | $40B – $70B | $150B-$300B | BTC hits $73K ATH in March 2024 Q3 2024 | $30B – $55B | $100B-$190B | Post-ATH correction, steady institutional flows Q4 2024 | $35B – $50B | $110B-$200B | Halving buildup, market stabilizes near $48–52KIt would be foolish to compare this market with bear cycle , but why we have a sneak peak to our situation ? Period | Avg. 24h BTC Volume | Total Crypto 24h Volume (avg) | Events / Market Conditions
Q1 2022 | $20B – $35B | $75B – $120B | Market begins cooling post-Nov 2021 ATH; Fed hints at rate hikes Q2 2022 | $18B – $30B | $60B – $100B | Terra (LUNA/UST) collapse triggers market-wide panic Q3 2022 | $15B – $25B | $50B – $85B | Contagion spreads: Celsius, 3AC, Voyager collapse Q4 2022 | $12B – $22B | $40B – $70B | FTX collapse (Nov), extreme fear and liquidity drop Q1 2023 | $12B – $20B | $35B – $55B | Post-FTX recovery, low sentiment, minimal retail interest Q2 2023 | $15B – $25B | $45B – $70B | Slow reboundtSo question yourself are we any position right now?It's like winning Trump in the election was a bubble burst, and this is what our consequences are. Here's a graph for all these data.  So what are you cuurently doin right now? following the previous bear market conditon or just observing
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April 20, 2025, 10:45:34 PM |
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I don't think volume is the best metric to measure how crypto market is performing. Sometimes a very bearish trend can lead to high trading volume, same thing with a very bullish trend. Also, there's no point of measure crypto trading volume in USD as well because the coin prices keep changing. Today 100,000 BTC traded = 8,400,000,000 USD. A couple of years back the same amount of BTC was worth 2,100,000,000 USD
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| . betpanda.io | │ |
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mirakal
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April 20, 2025, 11:01:41 PM |
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So what are you cuurently doin right now? following the previous bear market conditon or just observing
The best thing we can do is to observe the situation and just take action depending on the trend. But as traders, we don't just consider the past events, but rather focus on today and the incoming. As we believe that the market is changing, we can also assume that we might not be experiencing the same as before. Let us be patient. The market position is still good for traders. We are not yet in the bear season, so we can still earn well. Don't pressure your mind and remain optimistic. If we're struggling in trading now, then why not hold? Actually, smart traders will do this.
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| . betpanda.io | │ |
ANONYMOUS & INSTANT .......ONLINE CASINO....... | │ | ▄███████████████████████▄ █████████████████████████ █████████████████████████ ████████▀▀▀▀▀▀███████████ ████▀▀▀█░▀▀░░░░░░▄███████ ████░▄▄█▄▄▀█▄░░░█▄░▄█████ ████▀██▀░▄█▀░░░█▀░░██████ ██████░░▄▀░░░░▐░░░▐█▄████ ██████▄▄█░▀▀░░░█▄▄▄██████ █████████████████████████ █████████████████████████ █████████████████████████ ▀███████████████████████▀ | ▄███████████████████████▄ █████████████████████████ ██████████▀░░░▀██████████ █████████░░░░░░░█████████ ████████░░░░░░░░░████████ ████████░░░░░░░░░████████ █████████▄░░░░░▄█████████ ███████▀▀▀█▄▄▄█▀▀▀███████ ██████░░░░▄░▄░▄░░░░██████ ██████░░░░█▀█▀█░░░░██████ ██████░░░░░░░░░░░░░██████ █████████████████████████ ▀███████████████████████▀ | ▄███████████████████████▄ █████████████████████████ ██████████▀▀▀▀▀▀█████████ ███████▀▀░░░░░░░░░███████ ██████▀░░░░░░░░░░░░▀█████ ██████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░▀████ ██████▄░░░░░░▄▄░░░░░░████ ████▀▀▀▀▀░░░█░░█░░░░░████ ████░▀░▀░░░░░▀▀░░░░░█████ ████░▀░▀▄░░░░░░▄▄▄▄██████ █████░▀░█████████████████ █████████████████████████ ▀███████████████████████▀ | .
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BitMaxz
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Greediness is destructive.
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April 20, 2025, 11:06:52 PM |
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I don't think volume is the best metric to measure how crypto market is performing. Sometimes a very bearish trend can lead to high trading volume, same thing with a very bullish trend. Also, there's no point of measure crypto trading volume in USD as well because the coin prices keep changing. Today 100,000 BTC traded = 8,400,000,000 USD. A couple of years back the same amount of BTC was worth 2,100,000,000 USD
Plus the crypto market volume avg is the whole crypto there are many new coins and tokens born daily once it listed to the exchanges it will add into that average. That is why there was a spike last year due to lots of new projects about crypto. Not a good indicator or signal to know if the price of BTC is going to be bullish or bearish. @OP if you are going to determine the long term perspective on BTC only focus on BTC since it is the mother of all coins only focus on BTC. The current BTC condition, based on what I see, is that we are in consolidation phase and for daily BTC chart the downtrend is slowing down. There is no bearish movement yet and no signal that it would go more below $75k it's actually the major support due to the last ATH last year. I am expecting a huge bullish trend this coming next month depending on the news about Tariff.
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| . betpanda.io | │ |
ANONYMOUS & INSTANT .......ONLINE CASINO....... | │ | ▄███████████████████████▄ █████████████████████████ █████████████████████████ ████████▀▀▀▀▀▀███████████ ████▀▀▀█░▀▀░░░░░░▄███████ ████░▄▄█▄▄▀█▄░░░█▄░▄█████ ████▀██▀░▄█▀░░░█▀░░██████ ██████░░▄▀░░░░▐░░░▐█▄████ ██████▄▄█░▀▀░░░█▄▄▄██████ █████████████████████████ █████████████████████████ █████████████████████████ ▀███████████████████████▀ | ▄███████████████████████▄ █████████████████████████ ██████████▀░░░▀██████████ █████████░░░░░░░█████████ ████████░░░░░░░░░████████ ████████░░░░░░░░░████████ █████████▄░░░░░▄█████████ ███████▀▀▀█▄▄▄█▀▀▀███████ ██████░░░░▄░▄░▄░░░░██████ ██████░░░░█▀█▀█░░░░██████ ██████░░░░░░░░░░░░░██████ █████████████████████████ ▀███████████████████████▀ | ▄███████████████████████▄ █████████████████████████ ██████████▀▀▀▀▀▀█████████ ███████▀▀░░░░░░░░░███████ ██████▀░░░░░░░░░░░░▀█████ ██████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░▀████ ██████▄░░░░░░▄▄░░░░░░████ ████▀▀▀▀▀░░░█░░█░░░░░████ ████░▀░▀░░░░░▀▀░░░░░█████ ████░▀░▀▄░░░░░░▄▄▄▄██████ █████░▀░█████████████████ █████████████████████████ ▀███████████████████████▀ | .
SLOT GAMES ....SPORTS.... LIVE CASINO | │ | ▄░░▄█▄░░▄ ▀█▀░▄▀▄░▀█▀ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ █████████████ █░░░░░░░░░░░█ █████████████ ▄▀▄██▀▄▄▄▄▄███▄▀▄ ▄▀▄██▄███▄█▄██▄▀▄ ▄▀▄█▐▐▌███▐▐▌█▄▀▄ ▄▀▄██▀█████▀██▄▀▄ ▄▀▄█████▀▄████▄▀▄ ▀▄▀▄▀█████▀▄▀▄▀ ▀▀▀▄█▀█▄▀▄▀▀ | Regional Sponsor of the Argentina National Team |
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tbct_mt2
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April 20, 2025, 11:10:47 PM |
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I don't think volume is the best metric to measure how crypto market is performing. Sometimes a very bearish trend can lead to high trading volume, same thing with a very bullish trend. Also, there's no point of measure crypto trading volume in USD as well because the coin prices keep changing. Today 100,000 BTC traded = 8,400,000,000 USD. A couple of years back the same amount of BTC was worth 2,100,000,000 USD
In any market, trading volume is most important because if trading volume is high, it means there are somewhat more demand in the market and price will have fuel to rise up. If trading volume is down and like drained out, demand is smaller and price will fall down. With traders, if the market has good volatility, and trading volume is good, it's good market for trading. Trading volume in cryptocurrency market now is bigger than past years and it's good enough for trading. I remember in 2017, on Poloniex, you can easily see a sell or bu walls with 1000 BTC or even more but now you can not see it on centralized exchanges. Nowadays, trading is more manipulated by bots than in 2017 and buy or sell walls are smaller in BTC.
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April 20, 2025, 11:59:22 PM |
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I remember in 2017, on Poloniex, you can easily see a sell or bu walls with 1000 BTC or even more but now you can not see it on centralized exchanges. Nowadays, trading is more manipulated by bots than in 2017 and buy or sell walls are smaller in BTC.
Exactly my point. 1,000 BTC in 2017 was worth $20M at the all-time high, today 1,000 BTC is worth $84M! This is exactly why trading volume is not an accurate metric especially for the graphical representations that OP is trying to make Also, there's too much manipulation and wash trading and not forgetting the ETF and Derivatives effects. I wouldn't follow the volume metric religiously if I want to analyze the market performance over time.
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cryptoaddictchie
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April 21, 2025, 01:36:00 AM |
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So what are you cuurently doin right now? following the previous bear market conditon or just observing
Most likely observing, at this level we could trim down more but as expected in crypto theres always narrative that drives the market volume. Its not about having volume alone but these whales are trigger on macro level too to see if theres a gonna be a good effect on massive market position.
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shinratensei_
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April 21, 2025, 03:18:38 AM |
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When it comes to trading volume statistics, honestly I can't grasp anything out of it other than it goes high when significant price change happens and such significant price change doesn't happen too often. As of now the market is just going sideways and zig-zag, I expected the trading volume to be somewhat low, the thing that motivates people to make a move toward their asset and therefore caused the rising of trading volume is always something like flash dump or flash pump.
I don't even consider it an indicator toward bearish. Maybe just a good insight to know but that's about it. I prefer technical indicators more if i'm being honest.
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michellee
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April 21, 2025, 03:33:38 AM |
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We are in the sideways position for the market. Bitcoin price still trying to wait for the right time to increase and there is not fully related to Trump. Well, Trump could effect for a while but for too long because the price will be back normal.
We are still in the bullish cycle where $109k is not the highest new price. We may see another new highest price soon if not this year, that could happen in the next year. I am still trying to search for the time to buy low and sell high besides of accumulating more Bitcoin.
Observing the market condition give you more info about what happen to the market. So that will help you determine what you can do with the market situation and condition.
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| 10K WEEKLY RACE | | 100K MONTHLY RACE | | | ██
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slaman29
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April 21, 2025, 08:08:23 AM |
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Well if you want to see it like this, then I don't know what expectations were all over the world, mine was surely since we already hit ATH months ago then logically we should be dropping off to where we are. That's what happens with BTC, it's not a slow gain ATH after ATH like gold, its just a cycle looking at supply than suffering from all the speculator TP.
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Wexnident
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April 21, 2025, 12:25:33 PM |
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~
Personally think it's a lot better. At the very least we aren't standing on sticks lol. I'd much rather let the market take it slow and steady, fall of here and there while building its foundation rather than an immediate increase its price. It invites prolonged lengivity for the market imo. Kinda weird though right now since we jumped $3k ish, was fully expecting a slow increase instead but eh, I reckon it's still within range of acceptance for the market. Anyway just observing for now, continuing my DCA and stuff.
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Zaguru12
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April 21, 2025, 10:18:58 PM |
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I don't think volume is the best metric to measure how crypto market is performing. Sometimes a very bearish trend can lead to high trading volume, same thing with a very bullish trend. Also, there's no point of measure crypto trading volume in USD as well because the coin prices keep changing. Today 100,000 BTC traded = 8,400,000,000 USD. A couple of years back the same amount of BTC was worth 2,100,000,000 USD
Trading volume is one bad metric to use to analyze the crypto market although you can separate each cryptocurrency coin with its volume I think that still the volume is bad metrics. Bitcoin volume doesn’t signifies buying alone but can be also selling. A bearish day can have a very high volume due to sell pressure which doesn’t put the market at a good position. The bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market volume at large this days can be attributed to all this short term traders when they open positions most especially with high leverage I think it gives a very huge volume which we know isn’t significantly having any long term impact on the market as it is simply a short term trade
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serjent05
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April 21, 2025, 11:06:27 PM |
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Trading volume is one bad metric to use to analyze the crypto market although you can separate each cryptocurrency coin with its volume I think that still the volume is bad metrics. Bitcoin volume doesn’t signifies buying alone but can be also selling. A bearish day can have a very high volume due to sell pressure which doesn’t put the market at a good position. The bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market volume at large this days can be attributed to all this short term traders when they open positions most especially with high leverage I think it gives a very huge volume which we know isn’t significantly having any long term impact on the market as it is simply a short term trade
Trading volume is one of the many good metrics to analyze the market trend/quality. But relying on it alone is not enough to have a conclusion. We need to check the liquidity, the market sentiment, the market capitalization, the fundamental and technical indicator, the network activities and the wallet growth of the market. This way we can at least have several factors to support whether the market is better or was better. That given, comparing the current situation and milestone of Bitcoin, I believe it is much better today than what it is before. Now we have countries planning to have Bitcoin reserve which is even the idea were non-existent before. Well if you want to see it like this, then I don't know what expectations were all over the world, mine was surely since we already hit ATH months ago then logically we should be dropping off to where we are. That's what happens with BTC, it's not a slow gain ATH after ATH like gold, its just a cycle looking at supply than suffering from all the speculator TP.
I agree, in every price spike, correction always follows but Bitcoin has the record of performing another price spike after its correction. The history record of Bitcoin price can attest to that, so as long as the market has not transitioned to bear market yet, the possibility of Bitcoin market creating another ATH record is very possible.
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Strongkored
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April 21, 2025, 11:53:40 PM |
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So what are you cuurently doin right now? following the previous bear market conditon or just observing
Why just observe? is there any benefit to be gained by just observing? I think the important thing is the steps taken, I still have Bitcoin and sell when I feel the need to sell and also buy or save the results of the income from this forum, always observing the price without taking action will not get any profit, and whatever the current market conditions always calculate the risk.
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SilverCryptoBullet
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April 22, 2025, 02:23:13 AM |
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Why just observe? is there any benefit to be gained by just observing? I think the important thing is the steps taken, I still have Bitcoin and sell when I feel the need to sell and also buy or save the results of the income from this forum, always observing the price without taking action will not get any profit, and whatever the current market conditions always calculate the risk.
Observing the market is important and it is part of your learning and experiencing the market. Before you feel like you already understand the market, price cycle, psychology cycle, and news effects in this market, it's good to just staying beyond the market as an outsider and observing the market. After you feel it's enough for observation and you already have kind of master the market, you can enter it with better plans, and psychological preparation. It will help you to invest your money better in this volatile market and reduce risk of your overreactions which usually are too emotional with bad consequences. Pitfalls of psychological market cycle.
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joniboini
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April 22, 2025, 02:37:27 AM |
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I think the important thing is the steps taken, I still have Bitcoin and sell when I feel the need to sell and also buy or save the results of the income from this forum, always observing the price without taking action will not get any profit, and whatever the current market conditions always calculate the risk.
I don't think that's what he implies tbh. Observing doesn't necessarily mean not taking action for the whole cycle, although that's possible. I doubt most people can stomach seeing their assets decrease by 50% or so without doing anything unless they have tons of wealth already. But yeah, I also monitor the market and allocate some funds to take profit while I keep the rest for my cold wallet. Anyway, I'd say we're in a better position, judging from how many governments are trying to control the market right now, which implies there is enough liquidity and interest from the public for cryptocurrency. The bad news is that more control usually means stricter KYC, unreliable CS, and so on.
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slaman29
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April 22, 2025, 08:18:35 AM |
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Well if you want to see it like this, then I don't know what expectations were all over the world, mine was surely since we already hit ATH months ago then logically we should be dropping off to where we are. That's what happens with BTC, it's not a slow gain ATH after ATH like gold, its just a cycle looking at supply than suffering from all the speculator TP.
I agree, in every price spike, correction always follows but Bitcoin has the record of performing another price spike after its correction. The history record of Bitcoin price can attest to that, so as long as the market has not transitioned to bear market yet, the possibility of Bitcoin market creating another ATH record is very possible. It only happened in 2021 and this latest one. Only one more time in 2021, and already once now. So unless it can BREAK the record and make another ATH, we shouldn't be expecting another one. We are all hoping for new history with BTC, because if we are looking at history to repeat, then Bitcoin is on the way down. Its way past time in fact.
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maydna
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April 22, 2025, 11:50:21 AM |
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So what are you cuurently doin right now? following the previous bear market conditon or just observing
Besides observing, I try to take my chance to buy low and sell high as the price is up and down many times. I can get the time to buy low, hodl it for a while, and sell it when increase. I also can make a nice profit in leverage trading but I don't chase bigger profit, only take $3-$5 in every time I trade is enough for me. But if my analysis say the market will still down to the next low price, I will stop my trade and just observing. It is too risky if we still trade because in a few weeks ago, I lose my money in trading but fortunately, I still hold my Bitcoin and not sell it at a loss.
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hd49728
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April 22, 2025, 04:13:44 PM |
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Besides observing, I try to take my chance to buy low and sell high as the price is up and down many times. I can get the time to buy low, hodl it for a while, and sell it when increase. I also can make a nice profit in leverage trading but I don't chase bigger profit, only take $3-$5 in every time I trade is enough for me.
But if my analysis say the market will still down to the next low price, I will stop my trade and just observing. It is too risky if we still trade because in a few weeks ago, I lose my money in trading but fortunately, I still hold my Bitcoin and not sell it at a loss.
You can buy dips, buy lows and intend to sell highs but sometimes price can dip deeper and if you use leverage, you can be liquidated. So buy dips with Spot and if price dips deeper, you can hold and wait for recovery, it's safer than using leverage especially in most volatile time of the market. Dips, crashes in the market are times of mass liquidations and you are already wisely enough to stay observing and don't have any open position before a crash, so don't enter the market during crash with leverage and put your position at risk like other leveraged traders. If you are wise, be wise till the end and don't use leverage is good support for maintaining your safe and wise trading.
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| . betpanda.io | │ |
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