My Simple Soccer Betting Strategy to Spot Value Bets (No Paid Tools)

[Cantsay]

As I was reading the Op a thought came to my mind - although I bet for fun but still I’m curious to know if anyone here has become very lazy or have felt lazy about gambling after they decide that they are now gambling just for fun.

What I mean is that, there is a certain feeling you get when you know that something you’re doing is purely for fun - sometimes you won’t feel the need to do any extensive research or analysis since all your aim is just to have fun and you can do that by simply doing guess work and this habit usually lead to the generation of that lazy feeling so I’m curious to know if anyone has ever felt that kind of feeling.

If what I wrote above is true - then don’t that mean that playing for fun could also lead to less efficient bets? Since that lazy feeling makes you neglect your normal analysis and you might start having more bad bets as to when you’re more focused and balancing between income and fun.

[Davidvictorson]

Every day, more fake "soccer betting experts" pop up on Telegram promising easy wins. Most of them post fake winning screenshots just to convince people. Let’s be real: there’s no such thing as guaranteed profit in betting. I stick to one simple rule: bet for fun, not for income.

These fake sports betting experts are not only on Telegram. They are on anywhere where football and sports betting is discussed - Instagram, X, Facebook, TikTok. I am yet to see them on LinkedIn though maybe because the people there aren't real.

Here’s one of my personal sports betting strategies: I only use one bookmaker I trust. I check 5 to 10 games, then compare the odds my bookmaker offers to those available on other major sportsbooks to spot value bets. I don’t rely on paid tools or software.
Additionally, I focus on soccer news. I make it a habit to constantly check the latest updates on players and teams. This helps me track important changes that could affect the value of bets. For example, if a star player gets injured, a referee is replaced, or there’s a dispute between players on the same team, all these can influence odds (In general, I look for any potential drama or unexpected news before the game ). Bookmakers adjust their odds based on this kind of news, so if you're quick enough, you can use it to your advantage. After using these methods, I just move on with my day. If I win, great. If not, the excitement was still worth it

.
I like your strategy it is similar to the system I use. I share my time mostly on listening to football analysis because that is the method that is working best for me and I can get diverse perspectives from the analyst. Majorly, I can do other things while listening. My bets are then decided. I check is at least two bookmarkers for the best odds before I bet.

[Churchillvv]

I closely monitored one of the popular tip stars in my local sport bookies, I noticed that truly someone has an information that is an insider information that makes some of their predictions come true, however guys also took this opportunity to advantage to post whatever this tipstars predicts with additional bets that makes it wrong hence leaving people in regrets yet this is not totally true that everything they predict is 100% true but most times slightly close...

So here is my strategy; after looking at their predictions, I heard over to other predictions sites compared them, and also look at the possibilities that it could come through by checking the stats of each team then make my conclusions.

After I tried this it worked and I kept using it then one day it all failed so I started betting whatever I feel like not depending on anything know fully well that if luck plays in I'll win but if not it's a loss.

[_act_]

These fake sports betting experts are not only on Telegram. They are on anywhere where football and sports betting is discussed - Instagram, X, Facebook, TikTok. I am yet to see them on LinkedIn though maybe because the people there aren't real.

They can also be on other social media because that is where they will target but I see them more since few years ago on Telegram. I think Telegram is their base now probably they make more money on Telegram. I always avoid them because I have a friend that is losing money to gambling that joined some of the groups but nothing good came out of it to this present day. My friend do tell me of how people are winning but he is not winning. Although I do not think he has paid money for such thing before because the people will have free groups or channels to attract customers and also have paid one also.

[SATWAT]

These fake sports betting experts are not only on Telegram. They are on anywhere where football and sports betting is discussed - Instagram, X, Facebook, TikTok. I am yet to see them on LinkedIn though maybe because the people there aren't real.

They can also be on other social media because that is where they will target but I see them more since few years ago on Telegram. I think Telegram is their base now probably they make more money on Telegram. I always avoid them because I have a friend that is losing money to gambling that joined some of the groups but nothing good came out of it to this present day. My friend do tell me of how people are winning but he is not winning. Although I do not think he has paid money for such thing before because the people will have free groups or channels to attract customers and also have paid one also.

Few years back twitter and Facebook was their main objects to use but recently mostly are turning on telegram with their system is working better on this tool things have never been favorable for punters because they are not having results which admired them for jumping into this.

But good thing few horse racing and soccer experts are working for years and their fanbase is also increased due to their results few years back we run a group which was good in start but suddenly things gone wrong which give huge loses and all collapse gambling never works long time because they are paying some decent return of investment which is enough to give them improved fans but things never work consistently just staying for fun is always good.

[bitgolden]

I don't rely on any software or tipsters that call themselves experts because I believe sports betting is only for those who have a general interest in sports, and if you have a general interest in something, you should know enough about it without having anyone tell you anything for you to know it, so if you are already into sports, you don't need someone else to tell you which team is better or what game you should choose to make a bet on because you should already know it if you follow that sport closely.

What you do is mostly the things that any serious sports bettor does. If you are into sports betting, whether to get profits or to have some fun, you will do some analysis if you don't want to just keep losing and waste all your money, you keep yourself updated with the teams on which you plan to make bets, you stay updated about stadiums, player and team affairs, drama as you said, and all other stuff that might affect the outcome of a game.

[Wiwo]

Truth is that, scammers are every where and devising various means just to get their aim into limelight, so for sure tips stsrs4will definitely be trying they hands on a lot of speculations just to get the attention of sport bettors that are gullible to believe on their strategy that can never be consistent, as far as gambling is concerned, most especially sport betting, it's very hard to predict the outcome of games and get it right, so anyone that take fees or promote such offers to supply sure bets are scammers.

Sport games speculation and analysis is somewhat very easy to do, all that is needed is to be active in following sport games and event's and also being able to use past games to speculate future games and betting with in that line of thought, give you at least 30%.

[Z-tight]

As I was reading the Op a thought came to my mind - although I bet for fun but still I’m curious to know if anyone here has become very lazy or have felt lazy about gambling after they decide that they are now gambling just for fun.

Gambling for fun does not mean you do not want to win your bets, of course you want to. Gambling is about luck, so it is better you enjoy it as a fun activity rather than as a source of income, if not you'd run into different problems gambling and you may even become an addict or start selling your properties to gamble. I am enjoying the way i gamble and i have not felt lazy about it.

[alegotardo]

~~~

What about you guys: What’s your favorite strategy for spotting value bets? Or do you rely on tools and tipsters?[/size]

A thought like yours should be normal, but the reality is that it is increasingly difficult to find people like us who play for fun and not for profit.

I agree with you that being up to date with the news and updates about teams and players is essential to make informed decisions and make better bets because an injured player, a referee replacement or a conflict between players on the same team can significantly affect the odds and create opportunities for value bets that will not appear in ready-made statistics... this is something that only good bettors will be able to identify and take advantage of.

But, apart from this technical issue, I also think it is important not to get carried away by emotion and not to bet based on predictions or guesses from third parties... we need to have a critical and independent approach when betting.

I do not have a specific strategy for finding value bets, but I think that the combination of data analysis, news and discipline is essential to be successful when betting not only on football but on any other sport. And speaking of which, another important point is to only bet on what you really know... if you like basketball, and don't follow football, don't try to venture into betting on it just because they say the profits are higher.

[viljy]

Every day, more fake "soccer betting experts" pop up on Telegram promising easy wins. Most of them post fake winning screenshots just to convince people. Let’s be real: there’s no such thing as guaranteed profit in betting. I stick to one simple rule: bet for fun, not for income.
Here’s one of my personal sports betting strategies: I only use one bookmaker I trust. I check 5 to 10 games, then compare the odds my bookmaker offers to those available on other major sportsbooks to spot value bets. I don’t rely on paid tools or software.
Additionally, I focus on soccer news. I make it a habit to constantly check the latest updates on players and teams. This helps me track important changes that could affect the value of bets. For example, if a star player gets injured, a referee is replaced, or there’s a dispute between players on the same team, all these can influence odds (In general, I look for any potential drama or unexpected news before the game ). Bookmakers adjust their odds based on this kind of news, so if you're quick enough, you can use it to your advantage. After using these methods, I just move on with my day. If I win, great. If not, the excitement was still worth it.
What about you guys: What’s your favorite strategy for spotting value bets? Or do you rely on tools and tipsters?

Well, it's not even a strategy, that's probably what most bettors do, including me. A strategy is a definite plan, for example, to place a lot of small bets on high odds (on underdogs), or vice versa, a few big bets, but somehow for sure (on favorites).  In other words, a strategy is a generalized system that does not take into account specifics such as who quarreled with whom, and all sorts of internal contradictions in clubs. Why is that? It's stupid at first glance. Because the rumors and media stuffing themselves can be a deception, just calculated to ensure that bookmakers will take this into account in the odds. I won well last year using a strategy of multiple small bets. Of course, there was a bit of luck in this. However, the strategy requires a large bankroll, and if there is none, then my mostly place bets, similar to the system you described.

[Outhue]

If anyone really have a way to keep winning games here and there, you think the first thing they will want to do is come online and tell you about it? And in return you pay for the calls? They will firstly enrich themselves with the strategy before they can even think about anyone else.

This is why I don't believe anyone online saying that they can give accurate sports call unless they go into the future with a time machine and come back right in front of me, we all know that sports bet are pure predictions, even if you make a call right and win its pure luck, you won't get same result another time.

People who fall for these are those who can't think for themselves, the world is still full of gullible people, this is the reason why scammers won't stop scamming because victims are everywhere, vulnerable with no common sense.

[Su-asa]

Every day, more fake "soccer betting experts" pop up on Telegram promising easy wins. Most of them post fake winning screenshots just to convince people. Let’s be real: there’s no such thing as guaranteed profit in betting. I stick to one simple rule: bet for fun, not for income.
Here’s one of my personal sports betting strategies: I only use one bookmaker I trust. I check 5 to 10 games, then compare the odds my bookmaker offers to those available on other major sportsbooks to spot value bets. I don’t rely on paid tools or software.
Additionally, I focus on soccer news. I make it a habit to constantly check the latest updates on players and teams. This helps me track important changes that could affect the value of bets. For example, if a star player gets injured, a referee is replaced, or there’s a dispute between players on the same team, all these can influence odds (In general, I look for any potential drama or unexpected news before the game ). Bookmakers adjust their odds based on this kind of news, so if you're quick enough, you can use it to your advantage. After using these methods, I just move on with my day. If I win, great. If not, the excitement was still worth it.
What about you guys: What’s your favorite strategy for spotting value bets? Or do you rely on tools and tipsters?

For the fact that you are being hundred percent real means that your strategy deserves to be put out there, like you said a lot of experts on telegram talk about their strategies that are one hundred percent guaranteed, they say these to convince gullible people. My strategy is simple, I always use head to head stats to make comparisons before coming up with my over 1.5 selection. This is the only option I pick, it doesn't work everytime but 60 percent of the time it's profitable.

[kotajikikox]

What I mean is that, there is a certain feeling you get when you know that something you’re doing is purely for fun - sometimes you won’t feel the need to do any extensive research or analysis since all your aim is just to have fun and you can do that by simply doing guess work and this habit usually lead to the generation of that lazy feeling so I’m curious to know if anyone has ever felt that kind of feeling.

I understand this feeling. Though it depends because for some people, doing research is fun in itself. They might enjoy watching sports and speculating and betting on it so it does not seem like "work" to them.

If what I wrote above is true - then don’t that mean that playing for fun could also lead to less efficient bets? Since that lazy feeling makes you neglect your normal analysis and you might start having more bad bets as to when you’re more focused and balancing between income and fun.

It can go either way. Betting too seriously might make you anxious and uncertain even if you have made your analysis because you are so desperate for proper profit. You just need to find the balance that works for yourself.

[CryptoHeadlineNews]

Every day, more fake "soccer betting experts" pop up on Telegram promising easy wins. Most of them post fake winning screenshots just to convince people. Let’s be real: there’s no such thing as guaranteed profit in betting. I stick to one simple rule: bet for fun, not for income.

It's quite sad that the rate at which fake Telegram Sport betting experts emerges this days can never be totally erradicated, inasmuch as there exist a multitude of audience that hunger for these fake predictions that looks too good to be true, which is the exact strategy these fake Sport betting Telegram experts uses to make their fans believe it's legit, when most times they are literally a screenshot edit.  Hence, for me, the strategy usually use is avoid wasting time searching for value bets, as what I normally do before placing a bet on a game is to check their previous performance, the presence of its key players, if are they on injury or not and lastly the odds.

[taufik123]

Every day, more fake "soccer betting experts" pop up on Telegram promising easy wins. Most of them post fake winning screenshots just to convince people. Let’s be real: there’s no such thing as guaranteed profit in betting. I stick to one simple rule: bet for fun, not for income.

It's quite sad that the rate at which fake Telegram Sport betting experts emerges this days can never be totally erradicated, inasmuch as there exist a multitude of audience that hunger for these fake predictions that looks too good to be true, which is the exact strategy these fake Sport betting Telegram experts uses to make their fans believe it's legit, when most times they are literally a screenshot edit.  Hence, for me, the strategy usually use is avoid wasting time searching for value bets, as what I normally do before placing a bet on a game is to check their previous performance, the presence of its key players, if are they on injury or not and lastly the odds.

After all, why should you rely on other people's predictions or sports betting experts on Telegram,
when a group of scammers are trying to take your money by giving predictions that could be traps.

Now information can be accessed easily without anyone's help,
analyzing matches or looking at game data can be easily done and can be concluded who will win according to you and some of the influences.

If you want to save time, you can use the help of AI that can process data in real-time to determine which clubs or players are performing best.

[Awaklara]

For the fact that you are being hundred percent real means that your strategy deserves to be put out there, like you said a lot of experts on telegram talk about their strategies that are one hundred percent guaranteed, they say these to convince gullible people. My strategy is simple, I always use head to head stats to make comparisons before coming up with my over 1.5 selection. This is the only option I pick, it doesn't work everytime but 60 percent of the time it's profitable.

I also often consider the head-to-head of the two competing teams and the performance of several previous matches to make bets. I don't really consider the latest news from the teams that will compete. At most, I check related to several players who cannot compete due to injury or card suspension.
One more thing, I only bet on leagues and teams that I follow. I will not bet on teams whose leagues I have never followed the news. I don't make many bets, but sometimes I'm not lucky enough when compiling several predictions in a parlay bet.

[Victorybit1]

If you are carefully following such strategies would it be appropriate to say that you are gambling for fun? getting those matches through such tough analysis isn't easy and you are doing all that for entertainment, it doesn't really add up. Well, I guess everyone has their own preference of gambling. I use prediction tools and I'm okay with them since I'm not paying for them. I also do my own research before making my selections, I do all these when i plan to make profit but if I am just gambling got fun I don't bother with it

[Julien_Olynpic]

I know that top gamblers who call themselves professionals necessarily collect all the statistics on the upcoming match if their forecasts concern the market of upcoming games, and not bets in a live game. I once read a book by the famous analyst and forecaster Knight Silver, who developed a method for predicting the results of sports matches (in particular, baseball), analyzing in great detail the statistics of each player in a certain baseball league. Later, he transferred some of his developments to political forecasting. In general, it was a successful method and it was based on predicting the performance of players based on their age and some other features.

[Darker45]

You seem to have a great betting mindset. I agree with your value-bet spotting approach. I've actually realized the disadvantage of advance betting a long time ago. In the days between placing the bet and the actual game, anything could happen.

I've made the mistake many times of making an advance bet only to find out later on that the team's superstar or any vital player won't be playing. I'm not a huge fan of the cash-out option, so I'd normally just leave my bet as it is.

But I'm still doing this until now, especially when I'm busy on other things. I'll just bet and forget about it, even the game. If one has a lot of time, closely following the latest developments is a huge advantage for spotting value bets.

[Smartprofit]

Yes, I agree with you that you shouldn't trust experts who tell us which bet will bring us a huge win. It's all nonsense!

If these experts understood these issues, they would have been rich people themselves long ago and they would not have the need to give advice to other people. When I bet on sports, I trust my intuition.

I do not use any formal methods of analyzing information. Yes, I watch sports matches, read information on the Internet, listen to video podcasts of sports commentators on YouTube. At the same time, I understand that even with very detailed information, it is very difficult to make the right conclusions.

I like to meditate and it seems to me that it helps me in different areas of human activity, including gambling, and in particular, in sports betting. Although everything is determined by luck!