How's the weather? Sunny with a chance of $?

[Solosanz]

This is not fair because Meteorologists know more than the average people.

It's crazy that the difference of each bet was just 1°, I think it's possible for people who bet much money to manipulate the weather.

I would avoid to bet in this kind event, if we compare from the 4 events including this one, better to bet on war because it's more unpredictable and no one know what the president will do.

[Odusko]

This is not fair because Meteorologists know more than the average people.

It's crazy that the difference of each bet was just 1°, I think it's possible for people who bet much money to manipulate the weather.

I would avoid to bet in this kind event, if we compare from the 4 events including this one, better to bet on war because it's more unpredictable and no one know what the president will do.

In this case I think meteorologists are blacklisted from taking the bets, but the bigger question is if how we are going to know which player is a weather forecasters and hard insider information, this time is we against the weather man let see how this goes, between I like the idea overall.

[CryptoHeadlineNews]

So, to put things into perspective, Americans are betting on the daily weather in 3 cities, the daily GDP of Salvador!

And not only American, because recently I came across an app while browsing on Twitter (X) called "GoWagr" that enable users place a bet on basic activities, both social media and none and stand a chance of winning real money if you are able to predict the exact outcome. Just as the one given above, whereby people predicting what could be the highest temperature in New York city. And judging by the fact that since the variable been gambled upon are activities which people could easily relate with, that's one criteria that could result to it having large number of people wishing to try their luck. Because with options like gambling if "Will Elon Musk next post on X get 70M views in 24hrs?" Likewise that of Trump and Ronaldo.



So, for those who will wish to give this a try can go to play store to download the "GoWagr" app

[Mia Chloe]

Then, how about the weather?
Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?  

Wouldn't it be easier for them to cheat on something like this? I'm saying this because many weather forecast do make predictions of how the weather will be before that particular day in fact some of them even make it weeks before that day. That aside , if people are not able to cheat via weather forecast, then they will totally be depending on luck unless someone has the opinion he's able to predict the weather without necessary equipments.
Anyways I don't know if it's just me but I find it a little bit weird dating on the weather likewise the other ones you made especially the one that talks about the coming of Christ.

[bitbollo]

crazy risky bets but ... in the meanwhile these are really fun since anyonce can play and make his guess.
pay attention however. in my opinion these markets have a clear bias since some "users" could have more and better information than yours!

[Ultegra134]

It's unbelievable that people are spending money to bet on the weather. Maybe they are people with great knowledge about the weather. I don't know if there is any website that shows information about whether there are people who are getting it right and making a lot of money with these weather bets.

If we had this data, we could see how many people are actually getting it right and how much money they are making. Because the only explanation I can find for people betting on the weather could be that they have great meteorological skills and are getting the predictions right. In any case, I wouldn't bet on it.

Nah, I highly doubt it. From my perspective, people are just messing around. I knew that Polymarket offered any kind of unimaginable bet, but weather? Really? Just like Stompix has posted and highlighted himself, I've seen war bets, political bets, Jesus' return, and now weather. I wanted to check myself and saw a wide variety of "unique" bets. I just stumbled upon a bet on whether Zelensky will wear a suit before July or the daily max temperature of London today. The intriguing thing is that millions of dollars have been placed on such bets.

[promise444c5]

Alright, now this makes more sense than Betting on War and return of Jesus.
I can bet on weathers anyways if available for my country but could there be possibility of wrong weather forecast from medias/sources just thinking about it anyways I don’t know if someone does have a good answer.. not all weather forecast are accurate btw but could this increase the chance of having even more of it ?

Bonus meme:

[Su-asa]

I am not from the United States, so that will not make me go for a bet like this. You mean to be betting on New York weather, I can not do it. If it is about betting on my town's weather, I can bet on it because I can still try to predict what will happen in my environment about weather.

At some point you actually need to bet on games or anything that you know more about so that you can understand what you are wagering your money into. However, betting on the weather is really not a bad idea but you can't bet on the weather if a city you don't know but only hear the name. However, if you bet on such thing with someone that leaves around that city just have in mind that he will win because he can actually predict it or use Google to get good analysis.

[Oluwa-btc]

Then, how about the weather?
Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?

So, to put things into perspective, Americans are betting on the daily weather in 3 cities, the daily GDP of Salvador!

I don't necessarily see or find it bad to bet on things that seem not important but the gambling perspective have been broaden to suit gamblers end product of enjoying the game and fun it brings but mostly it's not so important to bet on things such as war and some chaotic occurrence but in the aspect of the weather, you definitely can't bet on things you know nothing about which is why one need to study the weather so well.cause people bet on things as this all for the love of gambling.

[DaNNy001]

It's not a bad idea to predict the weather, I would pick this over betting on the coming of Christ or the war going on because it seems more ethical... Betting on this in my country is going to be kinda easy, but it's going to be more difficult when you are predicting the weather of a country that you don't live in..This actually makes more sense than the other options you listed initially,The poly market really makes a lot of random things available in the market

[KTChampions]

If I get no takers after this, I give up!  

People hated :
- the idea of betting on war (not my topic)
- betting on the return of Christ because of morality
- taking a bet on the 2028 election cause it's too early

Then, how about the weather?
Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?  

And yeah ladies and gentlemen, the volume the continous betting on NYC temperature has a volume of $45 million, 38 for Chicago, and 20 mills for Denver, at which point I am willing to bet with any non-American that 9 out 10 will need 5 tries to point it on amap with a radious of 100 miles!

So, to put things into perspective, Americans are betting on the daily weather in 3 cities, the daily GDP of Salvador!

Any takers?

Hmmm... I probably don't understand weather forecasting very well, but perhaps the average outcome should have the least probable odds? Similar to a draw in games with three outcomes? If so, then it is worth betting on the first or third outcome as they are undervalued. Of course, my theory is wrong if weather forecasters (i mean scientists) can predict the weather with the highest accuracy and the average outcome fairly reflects this probability.
And yes, I am surprised by the volume of bets, maybe there are some whales trying to make a profit here? But they must be playing against someone, do enough bettors really want to guess the weather.

[Reatim]

Then, how about the weather?
Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?  

good for bored people and people who have mastered the weather of their city lol i know that some countries may hate betting on their own weather because it’s too unpredictable

i think australian weather is unpredictable from what i’ve heard (cmiiw) i can see myself winning a few dollars in this tbh

[Obim34]

In this case I think meteorologists are blacklisted from taking the bets, but the bigger question is if how we are going to know which player is a weather forecasters and hard insider information, this time is we against the weather man let see how this goes, between I like the idea overall.

The big question is what disapproves the bet if one side knows best, it will be a life changing turn around if they decide to get involved with the bet. I have used weather forecast stations to watch the weather, and multiple times it has been right. Since the prediction is based on range it is easier to make prediction.

Betting on weather is comfortable than Christianity and War.

[Odusko]

In this case I think meteorologists are blacklisted from taking the bets, but the bigger question is if how we are going to know which player is a weather forecasters and hard insider information, this time is we against the weather man let see how this goes, between I like the idea overall.

The big question is what disapproves the bet if one side knows best, it will be a life changing turn around if they decide to get involved with the bet. I have used weather forecast stations to watch the weather, and multiple times it has been right. Since the prediction is based on range it is easier to make prediction.

Betting on weather is comfortable than Christianity and War.

That is it man, because they already have all it takes, most time, platform like this have tools that they use to detect insiders predictions and banning them immediately, but if there is nothing like that, then it will be a big pain in the ass trying to contain with the winning of those with the insider prevellage informations.

[Josefjix]

Op, is that futuur betting platform? Since I saw ohms to using for staking, that's what players use as alternative to crypto options.

I can bet on the weather you know! Very possible If I am residing over there, and to be honest I will surely win in many bet, since I dont see it as big deal.

I don't think you can win all bets even if you reside in the region, there are times the clouds will seems very dark and ready for rain, but it won't rain at the end. There are times also the clouds is radiating with hot sun but suddenly heavy rain will start dropping while there was no signalvof rain coming.

So it's just too hard to predict weather outcomes even if you follow the statistics from the TV channel.

[Agbamoni]

]
I don't think you can win all bets even if you reside in the region, there are times the clouds will seems very dark and ready for rain, but it won't rain at the end. There are times also the clouds is radiating with hot sun but suddenly heavy rain will start dropping while there was no signalvof rain coming.

So it's just too hard to predict weather outcomes even if you follow the statistics from the TV channel.

Did I say I can win all bet? I dont think say because that will be an exaggeration. I remember using the word "many". And yeah I will win many because it doesn't take long to start studying the weather of another country before getting used to it.

Also, it wont be difficult if you follow the weather forecast channel more often before you start betting on the outcomes in polymarket.

[acroman08]

How does the betting work on this? I mean, does the betting stop(stop being able to buy shares) a day before the actual date or 2 days before that? I mean, weather news can be accurate with their weather prediction and whatever their news is for June 27 would heavily influence how people bet.

[Churchillvv]

Bet no one will go against this one because it's definitely not so biased but however only indegenous people of America or those who live over there can be part of the gamble while the rest of us from other part of the world only see how it goes.

I assume this bet is more cool compared to the old ones that were attacked because one can use statistics, historical changes to determine the next weather in any area hence it's even possible to participate from anywhere because records are there on the internet even AI could generate the stats for you.

[uneng]

It must be similar to betting on cryptocurrencies' prices. You can bet on different margins for the specific day. If the temperature stays between 25,1 - 28 celsius degrees it's one alternative, 28,1 - 31 C° it's another one, and so on... The period of 24 hours must be analyzed, but how to award winners, then?

The temperature during the final second of the day is what matters after all, or the temperature margin which lasted for most time along the day is responsible for the winning?

I like the concept. It looks much better than betting on wars' outcomes. At same time, it's a very risky category of bet, as weather is quite unpredictable sometimes.

[robelneo]

The statistics are very attractive, and this could set off a new trend in betting. Betting on the weather is a good option, as it's more preferable than betting on wars and topics that are out of range. It's a localized bet that will attract bettors and create good statistics if the city happens to be a popular one.

Many of us will not participate in this one because it's location-based, but if you can do your research, you have a good chance of winning. The ones that will likely win here are people who are more familiar with the weather in the better cities.