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Author Topic: Is it still gambling if you're sure you're going to win?  (Read 1244 times)
entertheabyss
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July 25, 2025, 10:49:44 AM
Last edit: July 25, 2025, 11:39:21 AM by entertheabyss
 #21

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?

The 10% left is enough to make a gambler lose so it is still gambling. Even if the gambler is 100% sure it is still gambling since something is always at stake. It is the confidence that always make a gambler wants to gamble. Just as the gambler would want to stake high if he is sure to win so also it will be for the gambler not to stake if he is also sure that he has a zero chance of winning. It will not even be reasonable for a gambler to decide to lose when it will be safer for him to ignore gambling at that particular session.

On some occasions a gambler would be afraid to place a stake due to fear and uncertainty and at the end the game will play and he will regret not playing the game. Others times, a gambler would be confidence and certain that he will win but end up losing. Regardless of how certain a gambler is there is always no winning guarantee and that is what makes it gambling. If gamblers starts winning everyday the bookies will close down and that is why gambling is always in the bookies favour to ensure that they profit continuously and remain in the market.

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July 25, 2025, 10:49:52 AM
 #22

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.


Op can you at least explain to us about the event you're talking about Here? though you're right when you said about certainty because in gambling there is two things involve is either you win or you lose so this two things is very certain rather it takes a lot of time before we can experience wining that's depending on the method we are using to gamble, this is the reason why some people don't easily give up in gambling because they believe that some day that they will be lucky to win just like other people, this motivates most people to keep gambling without thinking of stopping whether they're in a losing streak or not they don't care.

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July 25, 2025, 10:55:19 AM
 #23

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
Based on what I’ve been through, every time I feel almost 100% certain that I’m going to win, that’s exactly when I lose. it just happens like that. But still, it doesn’t mean you should always doubt yourself. Eventually, you’ll figure things out through experience and start to see which side makes more sense to go with. Just don’t rely on emotions all the time. It’s better to back it up with some research so at least you’re not just guessing, you’re confident both mentally and emotionally.

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July 25, 2025, 11:02:32 AM
 #24

Even how small the chance of losing you can't guarantee yourself that you'll going to win, and like what you said OP, in such event you may use big amount of money and when upset happened surely the dissapointment will not be at ease, there are times that gambler expereinced this kind of situation thinking that it's a easy game to predict as the team or player that they'll going to bet with got an upper hand and got that heavy favor from the bookies, but then again, since that you are still inside gambling chances of being upset still possible to take place.

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July 25, 2025, 11:04:31 AM
 #25

When you have, for example, 90% of chances of winning, the odds are very low and the payout will be smaller compared to more risky bets. Apocollapse is right when he mentions the "less than 1.10 odds". And, in the long run, you have less than 50% of chances of winning money, no matter how "sure" the bets are. Therefore, chances of winning single bets alone don't turn a game into gambling or not, but the combination between the probability and the odds.

We all know the house edge, so think about it this way: if a gambler had the conviction that in the long run he will win, like casinos do, because the relation between the probability and the odds is unbalance in his favor, to me, that could not be called gambling. Unfortunately, this doesn't happen in practice.

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July 25, 2025, 11:11:28 AM
 #26

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
It is still gambling because there's a money involved.

Moreover, even you're too confident that your prediction is going to happen, in gambling, nothing is certain. It can go the way you didn't expect it to be. Confidence is not sufficient to win since there are many gamblers who do so yet they still lose. There's no such thing as sure, because if that's the case then probably many gamblers are already rich by now.

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July 25, 2025, 12:06:37 PM
 #27

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?

If someone comes to gambling, it means that he has already heard about it in a positive way from friends or from advertising or from news about a lucky person who won a lot of money.
And our perception is arranged in such a way that we always wish ourselves the best and believe in the positive, therefore many people, once they learn about the lottery, for example, immediately begin to believe that they will also succeed. And by buying a lottery ticket they will be able to win a big prize.

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July 25, 2025, 12:08:24 PM
 #28

You will still gamble if you use money, whether you are sure to win or have no clue. Gambling gives you no certainty about the result so you don't have a high expectation of winning. Even if you are sure about winning the match, that still does not guarantee you can win because many things can happen in the middle of the match.

You can be sure of winning but you should accept it if somehow you lose in gambling. You will not know what the final result will be so you need to place the money you can afford to lose. That is a prevention for you not to use too much money to bet. Besides that, you reduce the risk of losing a lot of money.

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AbuBhakar
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July 25, 2025, 12:10:52 PM
 #29

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?

Unless it’s not 100% you are still gambling even if it’s 99.9999% winning percentage since there’s still a chance of losing with minimal risk. Gambling means you are betting your money for a chance to win. If there’s a risk no matter how low it is means you are gambling.

I bet even on fixed match your bet still can’t be considered as 100% sure win because there’s a chance that party involved bust or doesn’t do the agreed outcome on the game.

There’s always a risk involved on gambling.

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July 25, 2025, 12:58:18 PM
 #30

What event are you referring to? Are you referring to sports betting or something else? You've already written the word "prediction," meaning there no certainty or guarantee of success even if you're confident you'll win. Of course I won't deny that I'm optimistic when placing a bet from the start, I mean we should be confident in the bets we're going to place but the final outcome! Whether we succeed or not depends on luck.

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July 25, 2025, 01:09:44 PM
 #31

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?

You still have a 10% chance of losing all the money you bet (which is no small thing).
Unlike investing in a business, where you invest in equipment to work with the hope of recouping your investment through hard work (you're not guaranteed to work, but you're investing in your business), in this case you still have a margin for recovery. If things go badly, you can sell off your equipment and still recover the loss.
Differently, with a bet, if you have a 90% chance of winning but things still go badly, what do you do? You lose everything and have no way of recovering.
I absolutely consider it gambling.

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July 25, 2025, 01:16:33 PM
 #32

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
This your question is contradictory because so far as you stake your money on an event that you can either win or lose, it doesn't matter if you have the conviction that you are going to win but it's still gambling. Haven't you seen in a boxing match whereby one of them is a popular boxer that everyone knows that he will win the fight and they bet in his favor and at the end of the day he will still win so we cannot say because the outcome of an event is already known and not call it gambling anymore, besides you can even bet the likely outcome since you are very sure but it can still go against your expectation and you lose the bet. That notwithstanding, there is no such thing as a sure bet in gambling because if there is, some people will beat the casino in the sense that as soon as they see a sure bet, they can take loan and even sell their properties to stake such bets knowing fully well that they will live a better life after winning huge from the bet.

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July 25, 2025, 01:17:54 PM
 #33

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?

I think you answered your own question- even if there is a high chance of CERTAINTY that you will going to win, it is still considered gambling UNLESS the result is absolute.

Gambling is a game of chance. You are pretty much aware that even the slightest odds of winning may be in or against your favor depending on your general luck. So even if you argue that a person has 90% chance of winning, never discount the possibility of that 10% even if the odds are still 99% against 1.

At the end of the day, gambling is all about luck. What gives gambling the sensation of anxiety and adrenaline is its nature of not being absolute but random. Even if the odds may be in your favour, nothing is still absolute in this environment.
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July 25, 2025, 01:18:57 PM
 #34

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
The 90% prediction is believed to win, who doesn't want to place a bet, if I can make sure Valentino Rossi can beat Lorenzo, Marc Marquez, in the fantastic MotoGP racing arena, of course I will place an infinite bet.

But whether the prediction can guarantee an accurate victory, that is fearful that gamblers, sometimes the prediction can turn 100c not as expected, for that junction Normally as usual, too arrogant to place bets on uncertain frequencies.

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July 25, 2025, 01:45:11 PM
 #35

There's still a 10 percent chance of losing, so it is still a gamble. If there is risk, it is still gambling. Yes, 90 percent is a high winning chance, but I have never seen that happen. If it does, you won't really get much profit, considering the odds will be like x1.02 - x1.10. You will need 100k - 1M of dollars at risk just so you could feel the profit, and there are rarely people who would do that because of the "what if?". What if they lose?

It's scary. So a gambler would probably just go for the 50-50 with a good profit of x1.80- x1.90, or maybe use some spreads rather than go for a very low profit with large money on the line.

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July 25, 2025, 01:46:01 PM
 #36

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.
I thought you are going to say that the downside of it is that we might get disappointed after being overconfident that we are going to win but lost at the end of the day. But however such confident can be misleading, because it will make a person stake a huge amount of money in hoping to win big, but at the end of the match it turns out that your confidence is being turn down on. That's why it's not good to put your hope on an uncertain event no matter how real it looks like or how you feel it will be.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
Yes we can say it's gambling even though the event is almost %100 sure to happen. But since it has not yet happened then it is classified as betting because it is still under probability.

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July 25, 2025, 02:01:03 PM
 #37

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?

Even though the odds of winning are very high (90%), you're not guaranteed to win or lose every playing session. In the short term, you might experience losses. However, if you play repeatedly day by day, you'll tend to win overall based on the given probabilities.

It's like flipping a modified coin with heads and tails. If the coin lands on "heads" 9 out of 10 times, you'll see heads most of the time, but occasionally, "tails" will still appear, and you can't predict the outcome of the next flip. This means you're still playing with probability.

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July 25, 2025, 02:05:32 PM
 #38

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
Yes it is still gambling, because deep down in you no matter how sure you are that you will win, there's always going to be a feeling it doubt in your confidence. You might be thinking that you are going to win but there's always that tiny voice saying "what if" and that's also you taking the risk regardless so yes it's gambling all the same, even with a 90% certainty it's still gambling because that 10% uncertainty is you taking the risk to gamble. Gambling is a game of 50/50% and even if you have your luck at 95% that remaining 5% is the anxiety that makes it gambling.

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July 25, 2025, 02:23:09 PM
 #39

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?

With that one of the best way before to act is assisted with the help of the statistical side for example if you are playing with the sports betting most of us will not just rely only with the odds or the percentage of win rates but also we can also use the statistics from the player, team and the match history of the game so you can make a fully decision where to put a bet. Now if you are playing slot games for sure you will be use the RTP rate percentage to check if the game is giving a good win rate or not. Always use the data presentation its not just a design at all there.

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July 25, 2025, 02:27:57 PM
 #40

No matter how sure you are, once you risk your money on it, it’s still gambling, even if you’re 99% or 99.9% confident. Unexpected events, like injuries during the game, can instantly drop your chances of winning from 99% to 50%, or even flip the outcome completely. Even without any unfortunate events, there are times when the underdog performs well and the favorite ends up having an unlucky or bad game and that's nothing new in sports.


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