I have a big question. How can the price movements of all the previous three halving cycles be almost exactly the same? How it can be that the markets do not learn?
If the fourth cycle will be in the same line, then it could be very easy to forecast the future BTC prices.... 2026 will be the year of huge BTC price decline (just as were 2014, 2018 and 2022 - the only three BTC price decline years in the whole 17 year history), at the end of 2026 the BTC price will be around 50 000 usd. The next three years 2027, 2028 and 2029 will be bullish again and at the end of 2029 the BTC price will be around 170 000 usd
Yeah, this is more likely to happen, but as per other speculations, it will not happen again because there have already a lot of things happened, especially the market cap of Bitcoin and trading volume: it is already too huge compared to the past 3 halving cycles.
Luckily the last halving cycle, I was able to ride the train and expected for Bitcoin to reach above $60,000 and then skyrocket above $100,000.
