First off, as I've mentioned in many topics, I want to clarify that I have successfully taken profits. I’ve sold all the BTC and top coins in my portfolio and realized about a 100% profit this season. I am now holding USDT and am sitting on the sidelines. My primary expectation is to see the market establish a clear trend soon.
What I observe in a lot of threads is that most people continue to hold and hope for one last uptrend wave this cycle, pushing the BTC price to 150K USD or even 180K USD. This hope persists despite the fact that BTC lost momentum after falling out of the 100K USD range. No matter how we analyze it, it looks like BTC has ended its uptrend for this cycle. It appears to be moving sideways now, preparing for a downtrend that could last for about a year and take up all of 2026.
I don't intend to try and convince anyone about a downtrend, as I gain nothing from it happening right now. I’m not trading on the Futures market to open an x125 Short position. I’m also not rushing to buy BTC before 2027. I am simply curious to know what everyone else is expecting and what foundation they are basing those predictions on.
Of course, a new ATH could absolutely come for BTC this December or in Q1 of 2026, as many KOLs predict, but I have no basis to put my confidence and capital into that low-probability outcome. The same is true for altseason. The market is not obligated to create an altseason just for altcoin holders to take profit and get rich.
I want to know your opinion:
- What are you expecting for from the crypto market in the near future: a BTC ATH, altseason, or a downtrend?
- What is the basis for that movement to occur?
- Why are you expecting for that?
