BTC will never to break 120$ before the next halving! Share your opinion....

[uchegod-21]

Christmas is near.
Just share my experience don't take it seriously. I am also waiting to know about your experience!!!......
More people are trying to sell some of btc and trade amount as my previews work experience I don't think btc will not break 120$ before the next halving. I Share my experience from using and face this situation Since 2017.

Just share my experience you can put your experience about your trade and btc life history.

I am still trying to understand what you wrote here and how you are so certain that bitcoin will never break 120k before the next halving. I don't know what experience you are talking about but if truly you've been in the system since 2017 as you claim, you will understand that bitcoin is full of surprises. It is difficult to accurately predict bitcoin due to its unpredictable nature. We still have a long way to go before the next halving, anything can happen before then. Just focus on accumulating bitcoins, ignore short term noise circulating and keep your fingers crossed.

[ginsan]

Christmas is near.
Just share my experience don't take it seriously. I am also waiting to know about your experience!!!......
More people are trying to sell some of btc and trade amount as my previews work experience I don't think btc will not break 120$ before the next halving. I Share my experience from using and face this situation Since 2017.

Just share my experience you can put your experience about your trade and btc life history.

There is no guarantee at all that this is speculation, right now I can't say what you said because December is not over yet and also the middle of Q1 has not met yet, I will say this after that, because based on what I calculated this cycle is not finished while the adoption of institutions still continues, and other things like the Fed's interest announcement and QE are still very much in question as to what will happen in the next year, it's clear that what we knew before looks different this season, and that could make a difference, I doubt that the previous cycle will be repeated.

There is still a chance for BTC to get back to $120k, even as fast as it did before when the US government shutdown, Bitcoin moved quickly and no one could even predict the limit of its rise to $126k before, and it could happen again.

[tygeade]

As you said, bitcoin hit ATH before the halving due to ETF trading demand. That means for bitcoin to hit ATH again before the halving, we need a catalyst as big or bigger than ETFs. What do you think it is? If not, I don't think BTC can do it again.

Bitcoin has recovered above $90k and may even hit $100k as some are predicting, but what does that guarantee? The opposite could also happen, instead of thinking that the price will continue to rise to $120k after breaking above $90k. Why don't you think it could go back down and we enter a bear market?
I wouldn't be surprised if that happens and the market cycle repeats itself.

I would say that would not happen next time, but the point is that we can still hit it afterwards and that's fine. Next halving suppose to be in 2028, that means 2029 suppose to be a bull run. We are already going into 2026, which means that's 3 years left, and 2026 should be a very big bear year if you let it be and because of that I think it should be not that big of a deal. It is clear that we are seeing things be very different and for that reason I do not think we are ready for it.

In 2026 if we can gather some more then we are going to see it change very differently. We need to be able to gather that much without much trouble. Then in 2029 those bitcoins you get in 2026 will be worth a lot more.

[WatChe]

There is still a chance for BTC to get back to $120k, even as fast as it did before when the US government shutdown, Bitcoin moved quickly and no one could even predict the limit of its rise to $126k before, and it could happen again.

What we have seen in past is that majority of predictions regarding Bitcoin future price went wrong and that's why I never believe in predictions about Bitcoin future price. Moreover it's also a norm now that if Bitcoin price went up there are speculations about new ATH and in case price went down we have speculations about new lows. As far as Bitcoin price of 126k is concerned, I am sure Bitcoin will cross 126k one day and it also has the potential to rise to 150k and 200k. We just need to stay patient during time of bearish season because this will eventually pass.

[Perfectbaby]

This is just about predictions on what they market will results at.., And of a true we can't demonstrate and also expressed how where and how we should be seeing bitcoin soaring, and thing i will do is that, before if anyone ask such a question I wouldn't mind referencing them to go over there and how people are predicting price of bitcoin. Maybe who could see more people putting out numbers where bitcoin price would reach for the next day.

[Creeper0]

It may or may not happen. Bitcoin does not always follow the previous figures and the future of Bitcoin is uncertain. The market has been hovering around 90 for a long time. It may reach $100k very soon or there will be a big dump. Anything can happen. However, as a prediction for the next 3 months, I will choose the dump, because the spending during Christmas will affect Bitcoin. But I cannot believe that Bitcoin will have to wait for the next halving to reach $120k.

[Jegileman]

Christmas is near.
Just share my experience don't take it seriously. I am also waiting to know about your experience!!!......
More people are trying to sell some of btc and trade amount as my previews work experience I don't think btc will not break 120$ before the next halving. I Share my experience from using and face this situation Since 2017.

Just share my experience you can put your experience about your trade and btc life history.

I feel the market will not break $120K before the next halving base on my experience of the market in the past. The all time high is just some few thousand dollars above $120K, so before the next halving the market may even trade below $100K, which then after the halving, we may see a major push in the market to break the current all time high.

This is my own view though. But if eventually the market don’t want to obey this trend it has been using in the past, I will still not be surprised if the market breaks above $120K before the next halving, just like how the market reach the ATH before the halving took place in the most recent bull season. Bitcoin market is still very unpredictable, and most of our predictions won’t happen as speculated.

[salad daging]

Your experience in 2017 or in 2021 will be different from now, the cycle will not be the same of course there are differences, you said it will not go to $120K before the next cycle, no one knows about this but the decline in bitcoin is still not too far away so there is a possibility of going up and returning to that price.

Maybe at the end of the year the price of bitcoin is badly declining, who knows in 2026 there is an increase, although there is no definite data, confidence is still there.

[skarais]

There's always the potential to hit $120k again later this year, even if much of that optimism has faded due to the major correction. Long-term holders will always maintain their optimism and continue building their portfolio, but weak hands will sell regardless of the reason.

The market will always move up and down, the potential is always there, we just have to wait for the momentum. It's not easy to maintain a healthy psychology amidst market uncertainty, but I will always appreciate those who are able to get through it patiently.

[FiliOrangGila]

The four-year halving occurred in 2016, not 2017, and the decline started sharply in 2018 and continued downward. Recovery only began in 2019, and the price reached a new all-time high after the next halving. The pattern for each halving is like that: the price will peak high, then drop drastically, and then rise again approaching the halving. If the price did not fall below 120k, now the price of Bitcoin is already below 100k dollars, having dropped significantly from its highest point during the 2024 halving era.

[Powerjumboo]

Christmas is near.
Just share my experience don't take it seriously. I am also waiting to know about your experience!!!......
More people are trying to sell some of btc and trade amount as my previews work experience I don't think btc will not break 120$ before the next halving. I Share my experience from using and face this situation Since 2017.

Just share my experience you can put your experience about your trade and btc life history.

We saw Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $126,000 and from there it dumped to $80,000. Bitcoin has been around $95,000 a few times since $80,000 but the volatility in the market has kept me from making any accurate predictions at the moment so all we are doing is guessing. However, I think Bitcoin has a chance of hitting $100,000 again by 2025 and by December and hitting an all-time high around January 2026.We don't need to go until the next halving before Bitcoin surpasses $120,000.

[liuka]

It is no problem if Bitcoin does not break $120k before the next halving. That gives us more time to accumulate more especially if the price can go down further. I am wondering how low the price will go if the bear market comes but it could be below $60k-$70k. No need to worry and don't sell your Bitcoin in panic because you may regret it. Just hodl your Bitcoin, wait for a low time to buy, and keep hodling until the bull run comes again. Let other people panic so you can see your chance to buy at low.

Just don't be pessimistic when it doesn't reach $120K if the intention is for the long term then they expect a lower drop to be able to buy more bitcoin and grow their portfolio.
And indeed it seems that bitcoin will be sideways for longer after that decline, while we have a lot of experience from previous cycles and passed several challenges including bear markets, so what can be done is to buy at the bottom price.

[l99l]

In my experience, with a market as volatile and unpredictable as bitcoin, never say never and don't make any definitive statements. Anything is possible. So, as investors, what we need to do is always have a backup plan and never put ourselves in a position where we have to completely depend on a single scenario. A scenario is based on prediction and there is no guarantee it will happen.

Don't forget that bitcoin hit an all-time high before the halving in this cycle, and that has never happened before. So don't be too quick to assert anything based on your past experiences.

Many people and analysts say we won't be able to break above $120,000 again, and that the cycle is over.
When it comes to Bitcoin, there's never a clear answer. Maybe they're right, maybe they're not; we'll never know if there will be another peak.
You're right, making assumptions based on past experience doesn't make sense. Cycles can change, market conditions can change, and everything can change in an instant. There are so many variables.

[Alpha Marine]

As you said, bitcoin hit ATH before the halving due to ETF trading demand. That means for bitcoin to hit ATH again before the halving, we need a catalyst as big or bigger than ETFs. What do you think it is? If not, I don't think BTC can do it again.

I don't believe we will need something more than the ETF. A lot of investors are currently waiting for the slightest signs of Bitcoin going upward for them to invest in it. So if more positive news or even rumours keep coming about Bitcoin, it can take the price to $120k.
There is always a chance of Bitcoin going lower and a chance for it to go higher, but I believe it will be in the $90k region for a while, and it will go up again.
There are three years before the next halving, and that is a lot of time. A lot can happen in three years. In the same way the political turbulence caused by the US affected the price of bitcoin, same way the political, economic and financial decisions can affect the price of bitcoin positively in the next three years.

[Darker45]

If I'm not mistaken, Decembers have been red more than green. I think it's because it isn't a season for saving. It's a season for spending, for taking profit, for giving gifts, attending parties, celebrations, and whatnot. It's a month of selling rather than buying.

But that's only for December. I don't agree that Bitcoin won't break $120,000 before the next halving. I can bet on it. If your basis is the 4-year cycle, that's already been broken. You can't rely on it anymore. Around a month prior to the most recent halving, an ATH was already reached. That's the signal. The pattern is already old and obsolete. I'm looking forward to another ATH in 2026.

[bounceback]

Christmas is near.
Just share my experience don't take it seriously. I am also waiting to know about your experience!!!......
More people are trying to sell some of btc and trade amount as my previews work experience I don't think btc will not break 120$ before the next halving. I Share my experience from using and face this situation Since 2017.

Just share my experience you can put your experience about your trade and btc life history.

Sometimes the market movement in the past has a correlation with the movement that will occur in the future, but this will not always happen so we cannot use it as a guide to the growth of bitcoin prices in the future, every time after the halving occurs it will make the price of bitcoin soar high and can even bring its movement to reach a new ATH and if we look at the history of the market in the past, the incident was almost similar but who would have thought that if the halving that occurred this year bitcoin was able to reach 2x ATH which never happened during the halving in the past, so we can conclude that the history of price movements in the past cannot be used as a benchmark to determine price movements for now, especially since we know that bitcoin price movements often experience surprises that cannot be predicted.

[CryptoBuds]

If your basis is the 4-year cycle, that's already been broken. You can't rely on it anymore. Around a month prior to the most recent halving, an ATH was already reached. That's the signal. The pattern is already old and obsolete. I'm looking forward to another ATH in 2026.

Bitcoin hit ATH before the halving in this cycle and the reason is because of ETFs involvement. That somewhat makes the bitcoin cycle no longer true but to assert this pattern is outdated and old. We need more data, and more precisely, we need to wait until the end of the year to see if bitcoin is really entering a new cycle or is simply going through a temporary change.

Many people like you believe this time will be different and we will reach ATH in 2026 instead of bear market like other years. However, I think that although things have changed, it is not significant and the market cycle will repeat itself.

Let's wait and see who will be right.

[Darker45]

~

Bitcoin hit ATH before the halving in this cycle and the reason is because of ETFs involvement. That somewhat makes the bitcoin cycle no longer true but to assert this pattern is outdated and old. We need more data, and more precisely, we need to wait until the end of the year to see if bitcoin is really entering a new cycle or is simply going through a temporary change.

Many people like you believe this time will be different and we will reach ATH in 2026 instead of bear market like other years. However, I think that although things have changed, it is not significant and the market cycle will repeat itself.

Let's wait and see who will be right.

Whatever the reason is, the pattern has already been proven wrong.

It's unfortunate there's no market offered on Polymarket whether Bitcoin would reach an ATH in 2026, or whether it would break $120,000. It would be interesting to learn from it what's the larger sentiment.

How I wish there's also a somewhat similar market here on the forum. I could have given you 2.10 or even 2.20 odds on Bitcoin not breaking $120,000 in 2026. I'm so convinced it will that I'm willing to put my money where my mouth is.

Anyway, only time will tell. I hope I can go back to this thread as early as the 1st quarter or 1st half only to tell you "I told you!"

[suhadi88]

Just don't be pessimistic when it doesn't reach $120K if the intention is for the long term then they expect a lower drop to be able to buy more bitcoin and grow their portfolio.
And indeed it seems that bitcoin will be sideways for longer after that decline, while we have a lot of experience from previous cycles and passed several challenges including bear markets, so what can be done is to buy at the bottom price.

That true. What matters more is ensuring that one’s strategy remains coherent steady accumulation where possible, disciplined risk management, and the patience to allow multi-year cycles to play out.

Sideways phase following a decline would align with past cycle behaviour. In that sense, whether we see $120k sooner or later is secondary because Bitcoin has repeatedly demonstrated that its long-term value is not determined by the timing of any single milestone.

[Fullcoinese]

More people are trying to sell some of btc and trade amount as my previews work experience I don't think btc will not break 120$ before the next halving. I Share my experience from using and face this situation Since 2017.

The previous cycle that occurred and has often been used as a reference can also change. The reason is the market's response and adoption regarding the future use of Bitcoin. If in a short time there is a possibility of large-scale adoption of Bitcoin by institutions or other parties, the increase to reach $120,000 could happen sooner. 
However, it is also possible that if the decline is deep enough and the market continues to weaken, there is a chance that Bitcoin will stay below $100,000 for a long time.