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January 15, 2026, 12:18:37 PM *
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Poll
Question: Green or Red
Green - 10 (23.3%)
Red - 9 (20.9%)
Bitcoin will go above 100000 this year - 8 (18.6%)
Bitcoin will get to all time high this year - 4 (9.3%)
Bitcoin will go below $50000 this year - 3 (7%)
Bitcoin will go below $60000 this year - 9 (20.9%)
Total Voters: 31

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Author Topic: Bitcoin speculation thread for 2026  (Read 486 times)
ChocolateBitcoinK
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January 03, 2026, 07:36:14 PM
 #41

Some last year's population many people emphasize that the price of Bitcoin will not appreciate in 2026 but I don't believe that such speculation will you come to reality but the thing is that what that will make the price of Bitcoin to increase will it be determined from the investors right now we have seen that is such speculation of different persons last year is not really showing the way they said it, I know that it is too early to know if bitcoin will it fall or the Bitcoin will continue to rise because what I'm seeing in Bitcoin price is different thing and the price of Bitcoin have increased a little immediately we entered 2026 so I don't know if the price will keep on increasing or it will later run decreases.
No matter how much we research, no matter how much we speculate, Bitcoin is ultimately unpredictable, we can never say for sure how it will move forward. 2026 has just begun, Bitcoin will not show us any surprising movements right now, there is no alternative to patience, the only way we have to stay stable with Bitcoin is through patience, when Bitcoin needs to rise, it will rise very well.

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January 03, 2026, 08:17:58 PM
 #42

Bitcoin opened price in 2026 is $87650, hope bitcoin will go up this year. Let us see what well-known people said about bitcoin end of bear market will be possible truly this year or if the year would be of supercycle. Many people said it last year, or bitcoin will be red this year?

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?

Huge bet on the green probably going to back up on the hundred twenty mark in the coming months for sure, we can surely see the huge increase in the market price because of the Bitcoin adoptation and popularity for sure it is going to huge in the coming years, I just dont see Bitcoin droping its market price since we already see there are a huge resistance in the price around 80k-90k$, it would be a huge surprise if Bitcoin even go back to around 50k$ even though it was only around a few months when Bitcoin market price was at that price range.

It is also in a lot of articles already, and i kinda agree with it since I just dont see how Bitcoin is going to drop due to its popularity and governments are supporting it as well, we already see the cryptocurrency reserved as a thing and a lot of country is planning to have that as well. The demand just keep on growing so after a few years it is surely going to get huge and with a very little risk since it is still not guaranteed, wars are also a thing but I dont see any movement right now even though we have wars in venezuela.

 
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January 04, 2026, 05:53:22 AM
 #43



Huge bet on the green probably going to back up on the hundred twenty mark in the coming months for sure, we can surely see the huge increase in the market price because of the Bitcoin adoptation and popularity for sure it is going to huge in the coming years, I just dont see Bitcoin droping its market price since we already see there are a huge resistance in the price around 80k-90k$, it would be a huge surprise if Bitcoin even go back to around 50k$ even though it was only around a few months when Bitcoin market price was at that price range.

It is also in a lot of articles already, and i kinda agree with it since I just dont see how Bitcoin is going to drop due to its popularity and governments are supporting it as well, we already see the cryptocurrency reserved as a thing and a lot of country is planning to have that as well. The demand just keep on growing so after a few years it is surely going to get huge and with a very little risk since it is still not guaranteed, wars are also a thing but I dont see any movement right now even though we have wars in venezuela.

The adoption of bitcoin is still going strong, and there is no doubt that bitcoin will thrive in the long term. But let's not forget that financial markets are heavily influenced by economic and political factor, and are very volatile in the short term, and Bitcoin is no exception. If war breaks out, global instability will increase dramatically. The massive outflow of money from financial markets, especially speculative markets like bitcoin and stock is inevitable.

Therefore, do not become complacent just because Bitcoin's adoption is increasing. Having a contingency plan is essential

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January 04, 2026, 12:38:12 PM
 #44

As for me, based on my own observation, I feel that Bitcoin will start to experience a bear market this year. However, it is very possible that the bear market may not start early in the year. We might likely experience some bullish movement before we start to see the bear market. But let's just wait and see what happens from now until March, as Bitcoin's price is unpredictable. Especially, it’s clear that it is very hard to say what direction Bitcoin’s price may actually go. But the reason I even predict a bear market is because we have been in a bullish phase for a while now, and it's time to expect a bear period. But anything is very possible with Bitcoin.

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January 04, 2026, 02:33:22 PM
 #45

I don't think Bitcoin will come below $80,000 because the way it started the year, it is on the green side and not red. But we don't know what will happen later in the year. Right now the price is going up. And it is $91,382.2 which is a good start. For the first and second quarter of the year, bitcoin will do well but from the third to fourth quarter of the year. Bear market will hit the coin. Everyone should prepare themselves in that way.

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January 04, 2026, 03:24:10 PM
 #46

Some last year's population many people emphasize that the price of Bitcoin will not appreciate in 2026 but I don't believe that such speculation will you come to reality but the thing is that what that will make the price of Bitcoin to increase will it be determined from the investors right now we have seen that is such speculation of different persons last year is not really showing the way they said it, I know that it is too early to know if bitcoin will it fall or the Bitcoin will continue to rise because what I'm seeing in Bitcoin price is different thing and the price of Bitcoin have increased a little immediately we entered 2026 so I don't know if the price will keep on increasing or it will later run decreases.
No matter how much we research, no matter how much we speculate, Bitcoin is ultimately unpredictable, we can never say for sure how it will move forward. 2026 has just begun, Bitcoin will not show us any surprising movements right now, there is no alternative to patience, the only way we have to stay stable with Bitcoin is through patience, when Bitcoin needs to rise, it will rise very well.
I have already realized this thing wayback and people should be doing so, because once you do speculate numbers then if it turned out that the price wont be moving on what you had expected then it will be causing up with that stress and this is something that you should be changing up your views or simply this is inevitable because once you do able to experience on how market moves or how it works then you would be making up that realization. This is why i had stopped on trying out to make some fixated numbers and just that going with the flow and make some good decisions when making some re-entry or buybacks. Well, this cant be that precise but at least once you do have that experience then you do already know on how to deal up with the market.

For 2026 then if we do base up on the casual timeline or cycle then we are already on bear market but just like been said that there's no guarantee that everything would be that getting inline with the cycle and as we do all know that crypto market is totally unpredictable.

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January 04, 2026, 04:59:51 PM
 #47

The market will likely be in the red, given that market conditions are also not so good, and investor sentiment tends to be pessimistic, this will cause Bitcoin's price to weaken and move sideways, possibly below $60k, due to minimal buying interest from institutional investors. while anything is possible, and the price could move above that level, but what is clear is that Bitcoin's market conditions this year might make many people feel frustrated.
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January 04, 2026, 05:16:39 PM
 #48

Quite a lot of people are skeptical about the increase in the price of bitcoin in the current year because they think that in the previous year bitcoin has reached the ATH so after that the decline may be this year which is considered a decline.

Now bitcoin is moving slightly above the current price of $91K as it marks an increase to $100,000 at the beginning of the month only this is not predictable this ongoing increase.

I hope bitcoin can return to $100,000 this year, at least there is no shock to the market to make the price drop dramatically, until now it is still not a vote to observe the market first.

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January 04, 2026, 06:44:53 PM
 #49



Huge bet on the green probably going to back up on the hundred twenty mark in the coming months for sure, we can surely see the huge increase in the market price because of the Bitcoin adoptation and popularity for sure it is going to huge in the coming years, I just dont see Bitcoin droping its market price since we already see there are a huge resistance in the price around 80k-90k$, it would be a huge surprise if Bitcoin even go back to around 50k$ even though it was only around a few months when Bitcoin market price was at that price range.

It is also in a lot of articles already, and i kinda agree with it since I just dont see how Bitcoin is going to drop due to its popularity and governments are supporting it as well, we already see the cryptocurrency reserved as a thing and a lot of country is planning to have that as well. The demand just keep on growing so after a few years it is surely going to get huge and with a very little risk since it is still not guaranteed, wars are also a thing but I dont see any movement right now even though we have wars in venezuela.

The adoption of bitcoin is still going strong, and there is no doubt that bitcoin will thrive in the long term. But let's not forget that financial markets are heavily influenced by economic and political factor, and are very volatile in the short term, and Bitcoin is no exception. If war breaks out, global instability will increase dramatically. The massive outflow of money from financial markets, especially speculative markets like bitcoin and stock is inevitable.

Therefore, do not become complacent just because Bitcoin's adoption is increasing. Having a contingency plan is essential

Last time I remember, I think it was the ukraine and russia war where Bitcoin market price significantly dropped a hug epercentage I think it was around 40% drop it wasn't a quick drop but a lot of people started to feel fear when the war started and start to sell off some Bitcoin, I was kinda afraid as well because some articles as far as I can remeber spreadout news of the possible world war 3 starting, since it involved russia it is really going to be a huge war incase things get heated and a lot of countries for sure is going to get involved because they don't accept being neautral its ether you side with the US or Russian or else your gonna get treated as an enemy as well.

There was war in Venezuela as well, but luckily it didn't affect the market price of Bitcoin big time, I guess Bitcoin gets more popular at this moment compared in the past where investors easily get shaken off. But things could easily change so it's always better to diversify at some point, I guess some investorshave  already learned from the past wars.

 
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January 04, 2026, 07:35:22 PM
 #50

Quote from: Oshosondy link=topic=5570151.msg66242534#msg66242534 d,  ate=1767228075
Bitcoin opened price in 2026 is $87650, hope bitcoin will go up this year. Let us see what well-known people said about bitcoin end of bear market will be possible truly this year or if the year would be of supercycle. Many people said it last year, or bitcoin will be red this year?

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?
Firstly, I'll say let's just expect anything because this year it is possible for a massive increase and it is possible for a massive bear market. But this is just the fourth day of the year, and the price of Bitcoin is around $90 to $92.

This means there might be an increase early in the year, and we may also see a decrease towards the end of the year. This is just my own speculation about the market this year. The Bitcoin price was very interesting last year, so I don't really know if it will be the same this year too.

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January 04, 2026, 09:59:04 PM
 #51

Quote from: Oshosondy link=topic=5570151.msg66242534#msg66242534 d,  ate=1767228075
Bitcoin opened price in 2026 is $87650, hope bitcoin will go up this year. Let us see what well-known people said about bitcoin end of bear market will be possible truly this year or if the year would be of supercycle. Many people said it last year, or bitcoin will be red this year?

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?
Firstly, I'll say let's just expect anything because this year it is possible for a massive increase and it is possible for a massive bear market. But this is just the fourth day of the year, and the price of Bitcoin is around $90 to $92.

This means there might be an increase early in the year, and we may also see a decrease towards the end of the year. This is just my own speculation about the market this year. The Bitcoin price was very interesting last year, so I don't really know if it will be the same this year too.

I dont know how certain this is but I think this year is supposed to have a dip according to the records of the four year cycle run although this time around isn't actually working quite well as the most anticipated altcoins season and pump of Bitcoin didn't show towards the end of last year.

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January 04, 2026, 10:34:58 PM
 #52

I will go with Green this year although it wouldn't create a new ATH but it would be moving within 90-120k without it crossing the previous ATH. However, I believe there would be an altcoin season where many altcoin would have to create new ATH as usual because this last year was unusually strange on coin and not all altcoin where able to create their ATH as usual back then 2021, but I believe since that did happen last year it would definitely happened this year.
Note that; this is not a financial advise as I wouldn't encourage anyone to invest in altcoin.

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January 04, 2026, 11:30:22 PM
 #53

I voted for the scenario where Bitcoin falls below $50k, and the market ends the year in the red.

The reason is that, given the increasing geopolitical instability between major powers, I'm not very optimistic about the economy this year. Bitcoin has never performed well in an unstable economy.

Additionally, I don't expect the market to continue rising, because the bull market has lasted too long and needs to end. I've never seen a financial market that only has bull markets without bear markets.
It feels like we haven't experienced a full bull season. Only Bitcoin has risen. Even Ethereum hasn't surpassed its previous all-time high, I'm not sure if this can be called a full bull run.
By the way, I think the probability of Bitcoin falling below $50k seems low, even if bears come in, the bottom would probably be a bit higher. At least $55k-60k would be the bottom price for Bitcoin.
With so many institutional investors and demand even during its worst times, I don't think it will go much lower now.

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January 05, 2026, 01:03:49 AM
 #54

With so many institutional investors and demand even during its worst times, I don't think it will go much lower now.


But let's not forget that the ultimate goal of investors and institutions is also profit. They're not spending billions of dollars buying bitcoin and holding it forever without selling.

Their entry into the market is like a double-edged sword, there are both good and bad sides. Instead of thinking that with their enormous capital, they wouldn't let bitcoin drop too much in price by buying large quantities every time the price falls further. The opposite can also happen, they could be the ones causing or contributing to a worse market, with the aim of creating better prices for themselves.

Even retail investors like us understand that the lower the buying price, the better. Do you think they don't know that?

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January 05, 2026, 03:54:18 AM
 #55

As for me, based on my own observation, I feel that Bitcoin will start to experience a bear market this year. However, it is very possible that the bear market may not start early in the year. We might likely experience some bullish movement before we start to see the bear market. But let's just wait and see what happens from now until March, as Bitcoin's price is unpredictable. Especially, it’s clear that it is very hard to say what direction Bitcoin’s price may actually go.
You're right mate, if you flash back last year you will know that bullish market was everywhere to make short term investors and long term investors smile, since the price of bitcoin did not increase to $100k before the end of December,  I don't think there will be bullish season this year because what investors are expecting now is bearish market so that they will use this year to prepare themselves against next bullish market that will appear, we know that everything is possible with bitcoin but bitcoin price will not going to increase to switch to bullish market this year despite the price of bitcoin has increased to $93k few hours ago.

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January 05, 2026, 06:27:30 AM
 #56

You're right mate, if you flash back last year you will know that bullish market was everywhere to make short term investors and long term investors smile, since the price of bitcoin did not increase to $100k before the end of December,  I don't think there will be bullish season this year because what investors are expecting now is bearish market so that they will use this year to prepare themselves against next bullish market that will appear, we know that everything is possible with bitcoin but bitcoin price will not going to increase to switch to bullish market this year despite the price of bitcoin has increased to $93k few hours ago.
That's not certain either, we might be wrong with our prediction. Everything depends on the market's performance this year. If what happens is an increase in adoption, even if it occurs gradually, the price could possibly rise close to the previous all-time high. 

Investors who might be waiting to buy, of course, hope for the market to drop further. But those who are accumulating Bitcoin with DCA may not be too concerned with small-scale price fluctuations, whether up or down.

 
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January 05, 2026, 10:51:41 AM
 #57

Bitcoin opened price in 2026 is $87650, hope bitcoin will go up this year. Let us see what well-known people said about bitcoin end of bear market will be possible truly this year or if the year would be of supercycle. Many people said it last year, or bitcoin will be red this year?

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?
We can never be certain how accurately Bitcoin's trajectory can be predicted and some even predict the price will reach $200,000 this year. I'm optimistic about Bitcoin's growth and have never doubted its trajectory, but given the current momentum, it seems likely we'll see a shift, particularly regarding bearish and bullish markets. Bitcoin's movement has been relatively solid since the close of 2025, but whether this marks the beginning of reaching the predicted price as I outlined above is uncertain, as we need to first see support in the first and second months of this year.

Arthur Hayes even predicted a BTC price of around $500,000 by the end of 2026, a fairly large figure considering his prediction, as we should have seen Bitcoin's price move to $200,000 first, although considering the multiples of the ATH, this prediction might be considered reasonable. I personally never question price predictions because Bitcoin is known to be quite speculative, so the price could be higher than many people predict.

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January 05, 2026, 05:30:32 PM
 #58

Bitcoin opened price in 2026 is $87650, hope bitcoin will go up this year. Let us see what well-known people said about bitcoin end of bear market will be possible truly this year or if the year would be of supercycle. Many people said it last year, or bitcoin will be red this year?

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?
Bitcoin's open price has increased from $87,650 to $93,705, signaling a new bull market for the new year. I don't think it's necessary to worry about what influential and well-known people in the world are saying. However, I am positive and optimistic that the price will increase in the new year and new ATS will be touched. If this year is the year of the supercycle, then my prediction is that it won't take long for the price of Bitcoin to reach $200,000. We are already seeing signs of a green market -

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January 05, 2026, 11:44:05 PM
 #59

Bitcoin opened price in 2026 is $87650, hope bitcoin will go up this year. Let us see what well-known people said about bitcoin end of bear market will be possible truly this year or if the year would be of supercycle. Many people said it last year, or bitcoin will be red this year?

In the above poll, you have 2 options that you can choose, what will happen to bitcoin price this year?
If we look at the market, we can see that the Bitcoin market is going up. We ended 2025 with Bitcoin at $87650, then in the new year, Bitcoin started to increase and today we saw Bitcoin at $94789. However, I have selected two options in the survey you gave here and there I mentioned that Bitcoin will end in the green and reach an all-time high. I think in 2026, Bitcoin will surpass the all-time high of $126000 and touch a new all-time high and end 2026 in the green.

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January 07, 2026, 07:05:48 AM
 #60

If we look at the market, we can see that the Bitcoin market is going up. We ended 2025 with Bitcoin at $87650, then in the new year, Bitcoin started to increase and today we saw Bitcoin at $94789. However, I have selected two options in the survey you gave here and there I mentioned that Bitcoin will end in the green and reach an all-time high. I think in 2026, Bitcoin will surpass the all-time high of $126000 and touch a new all-time high and end 2026 in the green.
This could be because speculative assets like Bitcoin can strengthen or even correct relatively quickly. Some observers were concerned about Maduro's arrest by the United States which could potentially shock Bitcoin assets, but the opposite has actually happened. Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing a slight increase since the end of last year. I believe this increase is influenced by several factors which we can see based on many events. To see how bitcoin will perform in the next year, perhaps we need to see a strong push in the process going forward so that the end of the year will be a little clearer about the price of bitcoin like last year.


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