Bitcoin Holds Above $91,000 as Market Eyes Next Big Move

[ultrloa]

Prices bounced back quickly after news of U.S. military action in Venezuela, where President Trump claimed that Nicolas Maduro and his wife were captured. The news increased global uncertainty, and investors turned back to Bitcoin, pushing the price above $91k again.

I don't think there is a strong enough link.

You see bitcoin was supposed to recover at some point and that recovery was postponed to after the new year's holidays. And what we are seeing today is that recovery as we entered the new year. Something that should speed up more as days pass from January.

The reason I have is from historical cases. Usually in short term bitcoin reacts negatively to such destabilization acts by the US regime that creates chaos, such as abduction of president of another country. But in the long run the recovery is bigger because as you said investors turn into bitcoin as safe haven.

It's gold that reacts positively in short term as we saw it start rising back up again after the abduction.

Its not good to tied it up with what happen on Venezuela. Since at some point there are some rumors or news that Bitcoin might fall down its because there's geopolitical tension happening in that country, they try to established that Venezuela have some significant BTC but it didn't affect much the market after those troubles exist.

Recovery is provably bound to happen especially that we have already seen a huge dump exist for many days. Its just happen that after holiday the recover start to occur after all investors  is back with their normal activities.

Gold naturally reacts its because this is first thing will came up on the mind of people if they talk about safe haven. That's the reason why maybe we see it reacting after seeing those issues.

[TheUltraElite]

This would be a good time to sell and book some profit, if you are in need of some quick cash. Otherwise price will go up and then tumble down in my opinion. Correction back to 90k is what I expect, but we might all be wrong and bitcoin might stop at somewhere beyond 100k.

Sentiment seems good, if the price consolidates above 100k then we should be looking at the next bull run.

However if the price crashes back, get ready to buy more at 85k and 80k levels.

Whatever it happening in the world politics right now, we just have to get our pockets full.

[EL MOHA]

This would be a good time to sell and book some profit, if you are in need of some quick cash. Otherwise price will go up and then tumble down in my opinion. Correction back to 90k is what I expect, but we might all be wrong and bitcoin might stop at somewhere beyond 100k.

Sentiment seems good, if the price consolidates above 100k then we should be looking at the next bull run.

However if the price crashes back, get ready to buy more at 85k and 80k levels.

Whatever it happening in the world politics right now, we just have to get our pockets full.

Next bull run you mean, I think it will be rather a bull trap because of the market sentiment at the moment rather than a bull run but we cannot predict the market exactly. I think many people have been tying the world economics way too much to bitcoin this days in as much as the world economic is actually affecting bitcoin it doesn’t have to be associated with bitcoin sentiment.

According to the technical analysis aspect bitcoin breaking $95k will mean a very strong resistance is actually broken, the price has actually been below this price for far too long but yet I don’t still see this current sentiment gathering much momentum to actually break that though. Probably this is a leg up for another support level to be broken

[Asiska02]

With the current market alot of users are already digging in, trading competitions, new year euphoria has set it, let's see if the momentum continues and we see a sustained move by BTC as Longer-term predictions are much more bullish, with some analysts expecting $150k by the end of 2026 or higher, based on historical price trends and improving global economic conditions.

We shall get to see by then. But we should not always forget that the current condition of the market plays a very big role in what we expect to be the outcome of the market in the long run. This is just the beginning of 2026, so we can’t come to early conclusions yet about the market, we have to see how the market will farewell in the long run first.

The boost in the market most recently is not enough to assume that the market trend has finally shifted, we have to get to see more from this market and showing a true shift in trend and not for the short time before a full consideration on the shift of trend will be made from it.

Global economic condition will play a role, but if the market is not yet stable enough, their effects will only be for the short term and not have any long term effect in the market. The market current trend and conditions based on history is more followed by the market, so priorities should be give more to it than any other external factor that can affect the condition of the market.

[JiiBs]

Looks more like a trap to me, lower your expectations, even if we go back up to 105k it is still looking like a trap.

Do you care to explain more.

I don't know his specific reasons but here is my take: if you look at the graph for the few days we've had so far this year, you can see a slight upward trend, but that's nothing in the context of a long-term graph. The bullish reasons you mention make sense, but there were even more bullish reasons at the beginning of 2025, and look how that turned out.

Indeed, at the beginning of 2025 we had more bullish reasons given that, we had just finished a halving and it’s customary that the market would respond positively to an upward movement coupled with the news that surround the time frame, ETF, reserves and what have you.

In this year, it’s a whole lot different because, we haven’t got much activity and all we have rest on speculations for individuals and corporate bodies taking up investments to serve their purposes in a new year.

[pooya87]

Prices bounced back quickly after news of U.S. military action in Venezuela, where President Trump claimed that Nicolas Maduro and his wife were captured. The news increased global uncertainty, and investors turned back to Bitcoin, pushing the price above $91k again.

I don't think there is a strong enough link.

You see bitcoin was supposed to recover at some point and that recovery was postponed to after the new year's holidays. And what we are seeing today is that recovery as we entered the new year. Something that should speed up more as days pass from January.

The reason I have is from historical cases. Usually in short term bitcoin reacts negatively to such destabilization acts by the US regime that creates chaos, such as abduction of president of another country. But in the long run the recovery is bigger because as you said investors turn into bitcoin as safe haven.

It's gold that reacts positively in short term as we saw it start rising back up again after the abduction.

Its not good to tied it up with what happen on Venezuela. Since at some point there are some rumors or news that Bitcoin might fall down its because there's geopolitical tension happening in that country, they try to established that Venezuela have some significant BTC but it didn't affect much the market after those troubles exist.

Recovery is provably bound to happen especially that we have already seen a huge dump exist for many days. Its just happen that after holiday the recover start to occur after all investors  is back with their normal activities.

Gold naturally reacts its because this is first thing will came up on the mind of people if they talk about safe haven. That's the reason why maybe we see it reacting after seeing those issues.

The reason why the speculation exists that high tensions in a certain area can affect bitcoin price is not because that country has a lot of BTC. It is about the global economy. Any tensions can significantly affect it. For example in case of Venezuela, a war there would disrupt the supply chain, affect the oil price and consequently worsen both inflation and recession. That effect on economy is what affects the bitcoin price negatively.
It's the same with tensions in Western Europe. When war broke out over there between NATO and Russia a couple of years ago, bitcoin was affected because the global economy was affected (ie. energy and food crisis + supply chain disruption => bitcoin crash in short term).

Another important characteristics of the tensions in the Caribbeans is that the increased tension (the abduction of Venezuela President) lasted a very short time. It was basically a single hit and run operation that lasted couple of hours at best and the tensions remained up 1 whole day. Then it's back to lower levels of high tension (the blockade, piracy, sanctions, terrorist attacks on Venezuelan fishing boats,...)!

But if an actual war were to break out in the Caribbean Sea and tensions were to last at least a week, then things could be very different. We may see a negative impact in bitcoin market.

[ultrloa]

Prices bounced back quickly after news of U.S. military action in Venezuela, where President Trump claimed that Nicolas Maduro and his wife were captured. The news increased global uncertainty, and investors turned back to Bitcoin, pushing the price above $91k again.

I don't think there is a strong enough link.

You see bitcoin was supposed to recover at some point and that recovery was postponed to after the new year's holidays. And what we are seeing today is that recovery as we entered the new year. Something that should speed up more as days pass from January.

The reason I have is from historical cases. Usually in short term bitcoin reacts negatively to such destabilization acts by the US regime that creates chaos, such as abduction of president of another country. But in the long run the recovery is bigger because as you said investors turn into bitcoin as safe haven.

It's gold that reacts positively in short term as we saw it start rising back up again after the abduction.

Its not good to tied it up with what happen on Venezuela. Since at some point there are some rumors or news that Bitcoin might fall down its because there's geopolitical tension happening in that country, they try to established that Venezuela have some significant BTC but it didn't affect much the market after those troubles exist.

Recovery is provably bound to happen especially that we have already seen a huge dump exist for many days. Its just happen that after holiday the recover start to occur after all investors  is back with their normal activities.

Gold naturally reacts its because this is first thing will came up on the mind of people if they talk about safe haven. That's the reason why maybe we see it reacting after seeing those issues.

The reason why the speculation exists that high tensions in a certain area can affect bitcoin price is not because that country has a lot of BTC. It is about the global economy. Any tensions can significantly affect it. For example in case of Venezuela, a war there would disrupt the supply chain, affect the oil price and consequently worsen both inflation and recession. That effect on economy is what affects the bitcoin price negatively.
It's the same with tensions in Western Europe. When war broke out over there between NATO and Russia a couple of years ago, bitcoin was affected because the global economy was affected (ie. energy and food crisis + supply chain disruption => bitcoin crash in short term).

Another important characteristics of the tensions in the Caribbeans is that the increased tension (the abduction of Venezuela President) lasted a very short time. It was basically a single hit and run operation that lasted couple of hours at best and the tensions remained up 1 whole day. Then it's back to lower levels of high tension (the blockade, piracy, sanctions, terrorist attacks on Venezuelan fishing boats,...)!

But if an actual war were to break out in the Caribbean Sea and tensions were to last at least a week, then things could be very different. We may see a negative impact in bitcoin market.

I totally agree with those things you have said since Bitcoin usually reacts on global issues because its been tied with the sentiments of investors. What investors didn't pay much attention is the market don't just got this fear on oil disruption or any supply chain issues itself, the fair of uncertainty hit peoples hard that's why negative sentiments then fear came out.

If those rumors prolong the conflict can possibly trigger huge sell offs since many investors might go on they think common safe assets like gold or even dollar.

Those short incidents cannot move automatically the market, but if it can spark crisis and will last for long times it can provably have negative impact on Bitcoin because many will provably got afraid on what will happen on the market after those situation occurs. But its really good nothing happen that affect Bitcoin and now we see it climbing back at $90k which is healthy state for all investor.

 

[jossiel]

Indeed, at the beginning of 2025 we had more bullish reasons given that, we had just finished a halving and it’s customary that the market would respond positively to an upward movement coupled with the news that surround the time frame, ETF, reserves and what have you.

That's based on the 4 year cycle and halving happened on 2024. And usually when the halving is done after a year, that's the impact of it takes into effect.

But it was an incredible year because the adoption that had went through the private sectors and the institutional investors happened.

In this year, it’s a whole lot different because, we haven’t got much activity and all we have rest on speculations for individuals and corporate bodies taking up investments to serve their purposes in a new year.

Just give it time, we're just started for this year.

[Dunamisx]

Looks more like a trap to me, lower your expectations, even if we go back up to 105k it is still looking like a trap.

I don't see anything like a trap here, if we can fall right from $126,000 down to $80,000 and we are having a pump to maintain $90,000 and above and support it, then i don't see it as a trap, because this is not happening as if it was then fake out from a sudden reaction, the pattern is only changing and that is how you may continue to picture it till we arrive at $120,000 before you know.

[leonair]

Looks more like a trap to me, lower your expectations, even if we go back up to 105k it is still looking like a trap.

Why do you think it is a trap? And do you think anyone can control Bitcoin alone? Bitcoin is not in the hands of just a few people, it is in the hands of millions of people, so it is not possible for anyone to control Bitcoin alone. So if you say that the increase in the price of Bitcoin is such a trap. Then it will never be credible. If you have a logical explanation, you can do that to clear your opinion

[batang_bitcoin]

Looks more like a trap to me, lower your expectations, even if we go back up to 105k it is still looking like a trap.

Why do you think it is a trap? And do you think anyone can control Bitcoin alone? Bitcoin is not in the hands of just a few people, it is in the hands of millions of people, so it is not possible for anyone to control Bitcoin alone. So if you say that the increase in the price of Bitcoin is such a trap. Then it will never be credible. If you have a logical explanation, you can do that to clear your opinion

I think he think it as a trap because once it moves up again and goes back to that given price, an awaited dump is about to happen. And that's probably the trap that he's talking about. No one can control Bitcoin and all of the said speculations are just guesses and predictions that we don't know might happen or it cannot be. It can be back to the former ATH that we have seen or it won't be and only near to that after it recovers.