If the war breaks out in Europe, what happens to Bitcoin?

[Darker45]

If war breaks out in Europe and mainly against the US, everything falls including Bitcoin, at least initially, perhaps even gold. That's a normal reaction of any market to something so devastating and, for a long time, unimaginable. But eventually Bitcoin will turn out the winner, and for obvious reasons. Bitcoin isn't physical. Its value isn't dependent on any country's stability and economic performance. It will stand the test of time. So, I agree to "long gold short term but long term long Bitcoin".

But if such a kind of war breaks out, a world war will ensue. All hell breaks lose. The disruption in everybody's day-to-day life would be massive it might be impractical to stack Sats. Perhaps stacking canned goods would be a lot better.

[macson]

The possibility of this happening is not high, but it still exists. However, I think that this is a very bad scenario and would cause massive turmoil, not only causing the price of Bitcoin to drop, but other instruments may also be affected.

However, we do not need to speculate too far in that direction. I do not think that high-ranking American officials are so foolish as to allow Trump and his stupid ideas to trigger World War III.

[logfiles]

Bitcoin rose in these years of war. Arguably, helped more people and businesses see it as a store of value (why speculators are jumping in, not why more people holding heh).

What is funny is that during the wartimes, some countries were even willing to take in donations in form of Bitcoin and crypto. The same crypto they were demonizing before the war. 
The same thing happened during the pandemic. Suddenly some people realized how convenient, boardless and cheap it was to perform transactions around the globe using Bitcoin.

[Oshio-man]

I don't think anything will happen to bitcoin as long US government is not the one controlling bitcoin, and even though the war break out now, it will not stop bitcoin not to be increase or decrease because demand and supply are the major forces that is making bitcoin price to reign in the market, I think you weakness what happened during COVID-19 where people are afraid to leave house for physical business but those that are into bitcoin where doing well because the COVID-19 varius was not affecting the price of bitcoin because is a decentralized currency that is not order any control of any government.

[DYOR+BTC]

I don't think anything will happen to bitcoin as long US government is not the one controlling bitcoin, and even though the war break out now, it will not stop bitcoin not to be increase or decrease because demand and supply are the major forces that is making bitcoin price to reign in the market, I think you weakness what happened during COVID-19 where people are afraid to leave house for physical business but those that are into bitcoin where doing well because the COVID-19 varius was not affecting the price of bitcoin because is a decentralized currency that is not order any control of any government.

I disagree with you on that, if war breaks out now between countries, its effect on the price of bitcoin will be significantly noticed as the true value of bitcoin have been altered by political involvements or interference of different kinds. Bitcoin was designed with buying and selling to be its propelling force from its original structure, but changed when investors mindset changes in regards to technological advancement and quest for dominance by countries.  For example on 6 march 2025 Donald trump talked of making strategic reserve in crypto world, immediately the price of bitcoin increased because most investors believed the US government will invest in bitcoin which is a typical example of political involvement having serious effects in the price of bitcoin.
Assuming the war occurs now most countries in war with US will disallow the operation of bitcoin in there country.

[danherbias07]

One thing is for sure, wars are not forever, so there will always be a stop, and that is when recovery happens.

Well, we cannot deny that some retail investors might have some weak hands, and they will probably sell when there's an opportunity or if they think the value of their asset will fall if something big happens to their country. It's not their fault because it's a simple reaction to a problem. Also, there's the fear of leaving a person with nothing in times of war, so they will need to hoard necessary items by selling their Bitcoin and then using the cash for emergencies.

The value will fall without any doubt, but I doubt it will stay that way. There will always be buyers and those who will take advantage of a cheaper price in exchange for later profits.

[yhiaali3]

As long as Trump remains in the White House, the chances of war breaking out exist not only in Europe but throughout the world, and a third world war is not out of the question.

In any case, in such difficult circumstances, people used to turn to gold and other precious assets. Today, Bitcoin has become one of the best of these precious assets.

Personally, I prefer to diversify my choices between gold and Bitcoin because, in the event of a third world war and a complete internet and power outage, it might be difficult to access my Bitcoin wallet.

I do not think the recent global instability is just an idea or merely what Trump want. If you pay attention, you will notice there is virtually no opposition from the Democratic Party, Congress to what he does. This show that Trump was simply representing the US in carrying out what they had planned beforehand. Therefore, if they still feel their leading position is threatened, they will not stop causing global instability regardless of who is president

Yes, I agree. Diversification would be the most effective solution if war broke out because Bitcoin cannot function without internet or electricity. Gold and cash would be very useful in situations like that.

I agree with you on this point. Yes, it is true that despite everything Trump does, we have not found any objection from the Democratic Party or Congress to his actions, and this means that they approve in one way or another of what Trump does.

I believe that all US presidents seek to implement the same policy in the long run, and the difference between them and Trump is that he is somewhat crazy and performs acrobatic stunts on air and is not afraid of anyone, unlike previous presidents who worked silently in secret.

[Iranus]

I don't think anything will happen to bitcoin as long US government is not the one controlling bitcoin, and even though the war break out now, it will not stop bitcoin not to be increase or decrease because demand and supply are the major forces that is making bitcoin price to reign in the market, I think you weakness what happened during COVID-19 where people are afraid to leave house for physical business but those that are into bitcoin where doing well because the COVID-19 varius was not affecting the price of bitcoin because is a decentralized currency that is not order any control of any government.

Let me remind you what happened during covid. Bitcoin and the entire speculative market were severely dumped when Covid hit and caused a global economic crisis. If I remember correctly, bitcoin dropped about 50% in just a few days and reached $4k at that time. It only really increased in price when the Fed and a series of central banks pumped trillions of dollar to save the economy. And not only bitcoin, but the stock market also exploded strongly at the same time

Think what would happen to us and bitcoin if the government didnt pump in money?

[0xredhot]

This is good take, I thought about the same, now the question is which currency is gonna be best for scenario like this.

[Strongkored]

I always wondered if the threat from US such as taking Greenland member of NATO by another NATO country will break Europe in pieces and it will definetely shake the markets, what are the bets? I know a lot people say best investment will be gold, but you wont be able to escape country with golden bars possibly but with crypto you can just with hardware wallet or software wallet. I am considering to trade these markets either long gold short term but long term long Bitcoin what is your take?

I don't know about other countries, but in my country, citizens can invest in gold online and still have the option to exchange it for physical gold. This eliminates the need to carry physical gold when selling, and it's guaranteed by the government. So, I don't think it's entirely accurate.
If the world is in crisis, it seems like gold will rise. We can't deny that for many people, gold is safer, and crypto is just a way to make money faster.
I'll share this, not only gold, but Bitcoin should still be considered a relatively safe investment asset unless something unexpected happens.

[Johnlomape]

The possibility of this happening is not high, but it still exists. However, I think that this is a very bad scenario and would cause massive turmoil, not only causing the price of Bitcoin to drop, but other instruments may also be affected.

However, we do not need to speculate too far in that direction. I do not think that high-ranking American officials are so foolish as to allow Trump and his stupid ideas to trigger World War III.

If anything happens to Europe as a continent, it is not only going to have effect on the price of Bitcoin but the entire financial market so the crypto market is not going to be the only one affected here. That means the stock market is going to crash including the bond, energy, forex and all other market. We are not praying for something like this to happen because that might be the beginning of the end of world.  Europe is known as the backbone of the consumer's market.
We are not looking for war at this time because it is going to have serious consequences whether we want it or not.

[Perfectbaby]

Irrespective of what outbreak be it war or fair, the best way to secure someone investment is through Bitcoin investment and as we know if you have your details secure, I mean having your hardware wallet and also make sure you have your Seed phrase secured very well you have no profile. However, if war happens today in Europe I don't think Bitcoin could be entirely down as there have been war in known countries yet Bitcoin did not fail neither does it collapse.
Although, even if it affects the market it wouldn't hold a strong bearished signs.

[Asuspawer09]

I always wondered if the threat from US such as taking Greenland member of NATO by another NATO country will break Europe in pieces and it will definetely shake the markets, what are the bets? I know a lot people say best investment will be gold, but you wont be able to escape country with golden bars possibly but with crypto you can just with hardware wallet or software wallet. I am considering to trade these markets either long gold short term but long term long Bitcoin what is your take?

Last time, as I remember, when the war, I guess the market price of Bitcoin was a huge amount, but after the war, it just recovered a huge amount, and I think that might happen again, or probably not. We just dont know what is going to happen in the market price when the actual war is going to happen, I mean It is just unpredictable, last time might not happened since investors might have already, and it's a different cycle, etc. Some are saying that gold is that safer haven when there was war, I mean it might be, but it just wasn't guaranteed when everyone is on survival mode, probably what is going to happened is more on assets, resources like oil, food, things that is going to help you survive, gold might not be valuablable at all since your not going to think of that when you are on survival mode but it still depends.

But small wars like we seen on the news, we dont really see any effect on the market price of Bitcoin, a lot of articles about war online, but the Bitcoin price still has no movement last time I checked, when the Venezuela thing happened as well.

[CryptoYar]

Should US ever try to take Greenland, it would ruin current setup of world group, and send buyers leaving normal stocks to move toward old style solid items. Your idea of gold as short term panic safety and Bitcoin as long term hold is a clever two sided plan for such trouble. It is perfect panic safety, and will do well to right away jump up in price minute news gets out, but it cannot be easily moved to another country in case you need to leave.

Bitcoin is Digital Gold with Wings, it fixes moving issue. You can actually have all your total wealth in your head with secret phrase which makes it better long term way to keep value when people lose trust in government money. Although gold may cause quick panic in market, fact of Bitcoin as no border money makes it best way out item as new world way becomes real so that you can move wealth with safety even as nations fall on each other.

[Jeorgejs]

I always wondered if the threat from US such as taking Greenland member of NATO by another NATO country will break Europe in pieces and it will definetely shake the markets, what are the bets? I know a lot people say best investment will be gold, but you wont be able to escape country with golden bars possibly but with crypto you can just with hardware wallet or software wallet. I am considering to trade these markets either long gold short term but long term long Bitcoin what is your take?

Just my take, but i don’t think Bitcoin really works as a hedge if a NATO fracture or something like the Greenland scenario happens suddenly. In real shocks people don’t think in theories, they grab what’s liquid and familiar like gold, USD, CHF. The whole “you can flee with a hardware wallet” idea assumes things unfold slowly, which they usually don’t. early on BTC probably dumps with risk assets. Longer term, if trust in institutions keeps breaking down, BTC makes more sense. Gold for panic, Bitcoin for distrust later.

[Vod]

but long term long Bitcoin what is your take?

Bitcoin is no longer a "special place".  We recently observed the overall market (including bitcoin) take a hit when Trump talked about invading Greenland.

The one thing bitcoin has that gold and real estate do not have is reliance on power.  Watch how easily the power grid goes down in this winter storm - without deliberate actions from invading forces.    Bitcoin was a great investment but the value it has (no third party) is worthless when society breaks down.   Just make sure you sell before the war.

[Mpamaegbu]

... what is your take?

For me, two things will come to play. If my country won't be directly involved in the war, I would do nothing. I won't be agitated a bit. Just find a way to DCA on Bitcoin because it will dip and keep hodling in Web3 wallet. If it's something that will affect my country, I would move everything I've to a Cex. I would maintain a single Cex and collapse others by moving my assets to the most trusted of them all. I can't bear the stress of moving around with pieces of papers for passphrases and passwords. With Cex, I can activate password and regain access easily.

We will likely see that happen.

It's better to see that diplomacy play out than witness another WW where sophisticated weaponry that can cause long lasting catastrophy will be put on display and used.

[Swordsoffreedom]

... what is your take?

For me, two things will come to play. If my country won't be directly involved in the war, I would do nothing. I won't be agitated a bit. Just find a way to DCA on Bitcoin because it will dip and keep hodling in Web3 wallet. If it's something that will affect my country, I would move everything I've to a Cex. I would maintain a single Cex and collapse others by moving my assets to the most trusted of them all. I can't bear the stress of moving around with pieces of papers for passphrases and passwords. With Cex, I can activate password and regain access easily.

However, with this method, you may face another risk, the collapse of the CEX. During wartime, things are bound to become chaotic and out of control, and centralized platforms are highly vulnerable because they depend on infrastructure and the government.
I think you face much greater risk holding bitcoin on a CEX, because they can go bankrupt, freeze or seize assets at any time, and you have virtually no power to resist


Recently, Tether complied with US orders and froze Venezuela's assets. Clearly, if they had used Bitcoin and a noncustodial wallet, they would have been safe

[Alonso_]

As long as Trump remains in the White House, the chances of war breaking out exist not only in Europe but throughout the world, and a third world war is not out of the question.

In any case, in such difficult circumstances, people used to turn to gold and other precious assets. Today, Bitcoin has become one of the best of these precious assets.

Personally, I prefer to diversify my choices between gold and Bitcoin because, in the event of a third world war and a complete internet and power outage, it might be difficult to access my Bitcoin wallet.

The way Trump is handling the Security of the World is with Diplomacy, Trump have set up a World Peace Board, I don’t think if he is interested in causing a war he wouldn’t be interested in setting up a Peace Board, Trump is mostly interested in bringing peace to the world he has ended 8 wars and he is very enthusiastic about ending the Russia and Ukraine war, I understand he is very concerned about taking Greenland but not in a ugly way of fighting over it, he wants it to be given to him, because if America doesn’t take it, Russia and China would be ready to take it, and Trump needs to protect the Arctics, The White House isn’t ready to create any war. However I understand that if a war should breakout most people will be mostly interested in taking their bitcoin for gold, considering that they might not have access to their bitcoin online and they can see there gold and silver physically, because of internet and power outages like you have mentioned that would be a challenge to hold bitcoin, if a war happens.

[Mpamaegbu]

[~

However, with this method, you may face another risk, the collapse of the CEX.

Of two evils, I choose the lesser one. That's why I would choose a Cex. I would rather worry about my life and escape at such a time than worry about a stash somewhere. There's a lesser chance that I could keep it safer than a Cex would do.

During wartime, things are bound to become chaotic and out of control, and centralized platforms are highly vulnerable because they depend on infrastructure and the government.

Of course, chaos and anarchy are the order of the day during wars. It's expected. Things, expectedly, would return to normalcy once wars are over. Operations and businesses would return. Cexs have their cold wallets, they would know how to reactivate and assess them. Mine would be to log in and assess my funds.

I think you face much greater risk holding bitcoin on a CEX, because they can go bankrupt, freeze or seize assets at any time, and you have virtually no power to resist

The odds are more against me hodling it than keeping on Cexs from my assessment of the hypothetical situation.

Recently, Tether complied with US orders and froze Venezuela's assets. Clearly, if they had used Bitcoin and a noncustodial wallet, they would have been safe

Their error. So, all those talks about Venezuela hodling Bitcoin were all a hoax?