Betting on favorites using point spread, is it actually profitable long term?

[mirakal]

Can't said, profits but mostly still ended with lost.

These bets is not the first time, I think a lots people using the system. If these system work, we already seeing so much thread, forum, video discussion how good these system was. IMO, the best way is always knowing at least the team you're behind, match, league and other.

Rather than using a point spread.

You’ll still need to use point spreads if you actually want to bet on teams properly. Betting on outright win is boring, especially when you’re backing a heavy favorite, you end up with odds like 1.20 or 1.30 and that’s just not worth it for me. I’d rather spend time analyzing games and aim for at least 1.90 odds whenever I place a bet.

I’m not always on heavy favorites either, sometimes I take underdogs too. But most of the time, when the spread is high and I see value, I’ll automatically lean toward the favorite and trust the line.

[joeperry]

You’ll still need to use point spreads if you actually want to bet on teams properly. Betting on outright win is boring, especially when you’re backing a heavy favorite, you end up with odds like 1.20 or 1.30 and that’s just not worth it for me. I’d rather spend time analyzing games and aim for at least 1.90 odds whenever I place a bet.

I’m not always on heavy favorites either, sometimes I take underdogs too. But most of the time, when the spread is high and I see value, I’ll automatically lean toward the favorite and trust the line.

Same thing, though I have another ways to get a higher odds though it's not always available. I do a in game live odds bet, there are times that the all time favorite team losses on the 1st-2nd quarter but after halftime they will make a come back, just like what Lakers did to the Nuggets. If I can remember, in halftime the odds were like x3 and they ended up winning. However if this is not available and the favorite team leads on the first half, I do what they OP do, game winner + spread and usually it's around 1.50-1.70 odds which is not bad for me.

[Beparanf]

You’ll still need to use point spreads if you actually want to bet on teams properly. Betting on outright win is boring, especially when you’re backing a heavy favorite, you end up with odds like 1.20 or 1.30 and that’s just not worth it for me. I’d rather spend time analyzing games and aim for at least 1.90 odds whenever I place a bet.

I’m not always on heavy favorites either, sometimes I take underdogs too. But most of the time, when the spread is high and I see value, I’ll automatically lean toward the favorite and trust the line.

Same thing, though I have another ways to get a higher odds though it's not always available. I do a in game live odds bet, there are times that the all time favorite team losses on the 1st-2nd quarter but after halftime they will make a come back, just like what Lakers did to the Nuggets. If I can remember, in halftime the odds were like x3 and they ended up winning. However if this is not available and the favorite team leads on the first half, I do what they OP do, game winner + spread and usually it's around 1.50-1.70 odds which is not bad for me.

I like timing my bet on live odds when the favorite team is down to increase the odds. But for me I preferred the safer way which is betting on +points handicap to favorite when they are down rather than taking the -points spread.

-point spread is not my preferred since it will need a lot of effort just to cover the spread while a simple playing normally just to barely beat the opponent will still result to lose.

Either ML or x point spread on live for me.

[Maslate]

I like timing my bet on live odds when the favorite team is down to increase the odds.

I felt the same way too when I was still new to sports betting. At first it was exciting, watching games live and placing bets along the way, but eventually I got bored and realized I was putting in too much effort for something that wasn’t even profitable. So I simplified things. I switched to just betting pregame odds, mostly ATS, and honestly life got easier. My win rate didn’t really change much, but at least the stress was gone, and for me that already made a big difference.

[hyudien]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

It is not guaranteed to win continuously, there are other things that can affect the result and make the favorite team unable to complete or cover the point spread you bet, but if in 10 attempts 7/6 of them are successful, your days of betting can be maintained for a long time. Basically all strategies or types of betting options are good and have a chance of success, it's just a matter of our analytical skills and leaving the success to luck.

[danherbias07]

There's a very rare chance that I will pick the Moneyline only, especially if it's a heavy favorite. x1.20 - x1.50 is not sufficient for me. I always want to be near the double when I pick, and that is why I always end up choosing a team with the spreads.
It's a fact that the NBA games and results are unpredictable. There are days when a bad team will suddenly play well, especially if they have stars who are injured, and the bench will be given a chance to play. This is where we should be careful when picking a spread. A 1-point different could make you lose, or it could help you win. There are times instincts will also help, especially if you follow the game and know about every team and how they play if they are up against the heavy favorites.

[Charles-Tim]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

It is not guaranteed to win continuously, there are other things that can affect the result and make the favorite team unable to complete or cover the point spread you bet, but if in 10 attempts 7/6 of them are successful, your days of betting can be maintained for a long time. Basically all strategies or types of betting options are good and have a chance of success, it's just a matter of our analytical skills and leaving the success to luck.

People should not even bet because of making money. This should first come to their mind. They should bet for making small amount of money so that if they do not win, they will only lose small amount of money which they will be able to afford to lose without affecting them physically, emotional and financially. This is very important for gamblers and bettors to know. Gamblers and bettors can go for whatever they like while betting, it is not necessarily about point spread.

[imamusma]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

It is not guaranteed to win continuously, there are other things that can affect the result and make the favorite team unable to complete or cover the point spread you bet, but if in 10 attempts 7/6 of them are successful, your days of betting can be maintained for a long time. Basically all strategies or types of betting options are good and have a chance of success, it's just a matter of our analytical skills and leaving the success to luck.

In gambling, when the win and loss percentages are balanced, you're considered a winner, and the strategy is worth sticking with in the long run. We know that luck ultimately plays a role, regardless of how well we analyze the odds. However, we should not focus too much on our favorite team, so that we get trapped in our own strategy.

[KTChampions]

I mostly bet on NBA games and sometimes other basketball leagues, and I’ve tried different strategies before, totals, underdogs, even some parlays, but honestly the easiest and most enjoyable one for me is betting on teams I actually like and watch.

The problem is, straight moneyline on favorites usually gives terrible odds, so to at least get a decent return, I end up taking the point spread instead. not aiming for 100% ROI or anything crazy, just something reasonable while still enjoying the games. (1.80 to 1.90 odds).

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

I often bet on favorites with a negative handicap to make the odds attractive, it makes sense. My idea is that if the favorite performs as expected, the spread will be covered, if not, even a simple bet on a win (with tiny odds) could lose. It's better to take additional risk to increase potential profit. As for profitability, it's hard to say, to gain an edge over bookmakers, many other factors must come into play. By the way, if you plan to place a live bet, be aware that the live odds will be worse than right before the game.