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xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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April 22, 2026, 12:17:52 AM |
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https://ibb.co/FkXqkVwgi dont usually tag wxyxz but this run looks suspicious until breaking that high imo Especially inside of z looks like an abc  Alternatively, an impulsive five wave structure could be underway perhaps... 
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Tzupy
Legendary

Activity: 2366
Merit: 1104
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May 04, 2026, 01:28:02 PM |
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Since we made a slightly higher high, your last posted count was invalidated. Any new scenarios?
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Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
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xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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May 04, 2026, 05:31:53 PM |
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Since we made a slightly higher high, your last posted count was invalidated. Any new scenarios?
No invalidation yet: At the moment, given the overbought momentum oscillators such as the RSI on the 4-hr timeframe, considering an Irregular B-wave for now... 
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kunt3p3r
Newbie

Activity: 12
Merit: 0
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May 04, 2026, 08:02:29 PM |
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My bullish count https://ibb.co/S41GVmZbBearish count (scares me this selling pressure at the upper band of the channel) Also I defend bullish bias until golden pocket is broken https://ibb.co/FbXd6gKZThis pitchfork contact and after making higher highs made me bullish day by day. I prefer count this structure as an extended flat https://ibb.co/Fkxt5jL7This is my macro idea, I was waiting one more low until couple weeks ago but now if correction has not over yet, structure will be broken imo https://ibb.co/wF9n80YbWhat are your thoughts about this counts
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xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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May 04, 2026, 10:28:38 PM |
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My bullish count https://ibb.co/S41GVmZbBearish count (scares me this selling pressure at the upper band of the channel) Also I defend bullish bias until golden pocket is broken https://ibb.co/FbXd6gKZThis pitchfork contact and after making higher highs made me bullish day by day. I prefer count this structure as an extended flat https://ibb.co/Fkxt5jL7This is my macro idea, I was waiting one more low until couple weeks ago but now if correction has not over yet, structure will be broken imo https://ibb.co/wF9n80YbWhat are your thoughts about this counts In regards to your macro idea, the uptrend wave from the 21-JUN-2021 low to the 08-NOV-2021 high, may be considered as a B-wave; because... 1. the uptrend wave appears as a corrective three wave structure 2. the uptrend wave fails to surpass the prior all-time high in the ETFs such as GBTC 
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sparkl3t
Newbie

Activity: 5
Merit: 2
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May 07, 2026, 10:07:14 AM |
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kunt3p3r
Newbie

Activity: 12
Merit: 0
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May 18, 2026, 05:49:11 PM |
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https://ibb.co/4xD54pDIn nested 1-2, do you consider time relationships? I wouldn’t like this correction if it takes longer than the second wave of the first correction. Which the correction we are counting rn should end today imo 
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xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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May 18, 2026, 06:01:30 PM |
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 In nested 1-2, do you consider time relationships? I wouldn’t like this correction if it takes longer than the second wave of the first correction. Which the correction we are counting rn should end today imo  Haven't spent time on time relationships; but yes, a worthwhile study to consider. 16-MAR to 29-MAR: 309 1-hr bars 06-MAY to 19-MAY: 309 1-hr bars
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josegines
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May 20, 2026, 10:23:29 AM |
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So, we could have already seen the 2, and then will come the famous because it's usually fast and big Third Wave  No one would have guessed it, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and Trump threatening to annihilate Iran. But at some point, it will have to rise if they want to launch the massive AI ICOs in the US by the end of the year and generate enough FOMO. I suppose some of you have noticed the high correlation between BTC and the IGV software index; they are practically identical.
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xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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May 20, 2026, 10:57:56 AM |
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So, we could have already seen the 2, and then will come the famous because it's usually fast and big Third Wave  No one would have guessed it, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and Trump threatening to annihilate Iran. But at some point, it will have to rise if they want to launch the massive AI ICOs in the US by the end of the year and generate enough FOMO. I suppose some of you have noticed the high correlation between BTC and the IGV software index; they are practically identical. Markets climb a wall of worry... https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/wallofworry.asp
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josegines
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May 20, 2026, 11:17:53 AM |
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So, we could have already seen the 2, and then will come the famous because it's usually fast and big Third Wave  No one would have guessed it, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and Trump threatening to annihilate Iran. But at some point, it will have to rise if they want to launch the massive AI ICOs in the US by the end of the year and generate enough FOMO. I suppose some of you have noticed the high correlation between BTC and the IGV software index; they are practically identical. Markets climb a wall of worry... https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/wallofworry.aspInteresting, the wall of worry. "However, a continued advance is much less certain if the wall of worry forms near a major market peak, in which case a subsequent decline is more likely." Another way to look at it is that strong hands are accumulating now (since February), with the wall of worry, and will sell at the peak, when the wall falls and the smaller investors are encouraged to buy, like SpaceX and Anthropic. As for Elliot, if a wave 3 comes along, it could be spectacular, right?
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kunt3p3r
Newbie

Activity: 12
Merit: 0
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June 01, 2026, 05:53:07 PM |
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https://ibb.co/7PBr7DFThis Nested w1-w2 scenario’s time-price relationships are bothering me. So I am leaning on finish with truncated count somehow, and start a new impulse count 
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xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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June 01, 2026, 06:15:13 PM |
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 This Nested w1-w2 scenario’s time-price relationships are bothering me. So I am leaning on finish with truncated count somehow, and start a new impulse count  Price action is currently hovering at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, needs a weekly close above this level for the count to remain intact... 
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josegines
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Today at 12:32:00 AM |
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It's best to wait a bit and see where it stops, if it doesn't break the low of February 6th.
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