Bitcoin speculation thread for February

[FirmWars]

What do you think about bitcoin price in February, will bitcoin increase in price or continue to fall or it will increase in this month?

The present price is $78380.

I was expecting to see a recent analysis of the Bitcoiners that were lamenting about a Bitcoin supercycle but there's not been any recent analysis I saw about it, if anyone see it, I would like to read too so I can feel convinced more that the 4 years cycle has failed. I have read some analysis only but those were not based on supercycle but was a realistic analysis of Bitcoin price from last month till April and the prediction is happening already, I was not surprised again when I saw price fall to $76,000 yesterday. This fall will continue until April but it's going to range between $70k and $88k.

[Stormisover]

What do you think about bitcoin price in February, will bitcoin increase in price or continue to fall or it will increase in this month?

The present price is $78380.

I think the current negative sentiment is due to the looming tension on the Middle East that involves US.

I believe the price for February will be slow just up down within a price such as 60K to 80K. I don’t see it dipping further below 60K but also it will not pump hard above 100K because we are still missing a catalyst to start another massive pump.

February will be a weak price action on Bitcoin.

No one can speculate and sit on it like making it happen just the way it has said, February might end up not being as weak price of Bitcoin as you said, don't be surprise if the opposite becomes the end of the story, there is no doubt to this because we have seen arose and become much stronger than expected, $60k to $100k down and up benchmark seems realistic even though we can be wrong it can go below $60k and above the $100k we talk about but however, an investor who has plans of buying and holding for more longer time to come might not give much attention to all this market movements while focusing on increasing the size of their bitcoin.

[LogitechMouse]

---
Some people said bitcoin will not fall but we all know that we are in bear season, just that some people thought bitcoin is matured enough not to experience a bear market, but many data has proven that we are in bear market now since bitcoin was unable to get to $100000.

What do you think about bitcoin price in February, will bitcoin increase in price or continue to fall or it will increase in this month?

The present price is $78380.

It might not be that visible and sorry for that, but I put the candle on a rectangle because I want to say that after seeing that candle, I immediately said to myself "We might be in for the bear market season already."

That candle that formed during the 28th was a Doji candle, and that's the candle that formed when Bitcoin went to as high as $98,000. For some, that shows that during that day, the buyers wanted to gain the momentum and wanted to push it to $100,000, but the bears still took control of it hence, the Doji candle being formed. Days after that, red candles everywhere, and it's still forming until now. Like what I've said, we've seen the "relief bounce" already, and the chances of the bear market happening goes up on a rapid pace... or it might be happening already.

As for my prediction for this month, I expect a more bearish move from the crypto market for the whole month. $100,000? I don't think it will happen this year, and I do hope that we all accept here that all things come to an end, and that includes the bull run year.

[Hazink]

Some people said bitcoin will not fall but we all know that we are in bear season, just that some people thought bitcoin is matured enough not to experience a bear market, but many data has proven that we are in bear market now since bitcoin was unable to get to $100000.

No matter the influence of the people who we have involved in bitcoin today, it's never going to stop the bear market from happening. Things might only change based on events happening, but when the time is right, we will definitely experience what we are witnessing.

The price drop came as a surprise. Some saying it's because of the US government house shutdown. While some claim it's just bitcoin doing Bitcoin and history repeating itself, it might actually go below this level. We don't know for sure, maybe down to $60k. Only then can some actually believe that we are fully on bear market.

[Miles2006]

I doubt if the bear is now to an extend, the bear market is still not certain despite the drop in price. The sign bitcoin is at the $77k to $78k range tells a lot about the rise probably a rise again if possible this time might surpass January highest price maybe afterwards the market will experience a dip. This is a mere speculation, no price prediction should be taken serious when dealing with bitcoin because the market is volatile although research are made whenever predicting the price and from my perspective the market will not go below the current price range well this is an opportunity to buy and hold now.

[SmartGold01]

This month could likely be the worst month for bitcoin because we already open the month with strong bear trend and this shows that the bull run hasn't started yet. As we know there were several speculation that this year we could see a supper cycle coming but I don't know if this was on the reversed where we could see a strong and a solid bear market. From how I have observed the market I wouldn't mind saying that we may like see the market going down lower than this current price where it would end up touching the price range of 30k as the lowest we could see for the year or for the entire bear market, and of course we know what that means, when it goes down this way it gives investors the more chance to keep accumulating the more in preparation for the bull run that is to come.

[free-bit.co.in]

We don't know for sure, maybe down to $60k. Only then can some actually believe that we are fully on bear market.

The peak of bitcoin was $126k and is currently trading around $76k, meaning it has dropped nearly 40%. I do not know if anyone still believes we have not entered a bear market. But if they do, they are probably clinging to belief rather than to data. If we are not yet in a bear market, what stage of the market are we in?

The bear market has been underway for some time now, and $60k is predicted to be the bottom of this cycle. Therefore, it would be too rigid and late to assume that the bear market only begins when Bitcoin drops to $60k.

[JeffBrad12]

My only hope is that the new fed chair gonna push for interest cut that could turn around the situation for crypto. The market is indeed looking pretty bad and from the looks of it, it could go well below $70k with the current bearish pennant chart structure.
If that didn't come into fruition then I just gonna accumulate on the bottom, after all there is nothing else to do. Turns out the supercycle that CZ is talking isn't coming.

[yhiaali3]

Yes, unfortunately, I was among those who thought Bitcoin was mature enough to avoid this stage, but unfortunately, we were wrong, and we have plenty of data proving that we are now in a bear market.

Based on current conditions, it is unlikely that the price of Bitcoin will stabilize in February 2026, and I think the market will remain volatile. In my opinion, the price range could be between $70,000 and $78,000, although a survey shows that 74% of traders expect the price of Bitcoin to stabilize around $75,000.

[Bitcoin_people]

Bitcoin highest price in January was $97950 but its lowest price which was yesterday before the month ended was $75680. This let us continue to know that the bitcoin 4 year cycle may not have finally be gone.

Some people said bitcoin will not fall but we all know that we are in bear season, just that some people thought bitcoin is matured enough not to experience a bear market, but many data has proven that we are in bear market now since bitcoin was unable to get to $100000.

What do you think about bitcoin price in February, will bitcoin increase in price or continue to fall or it will increase in this month?

The present price is $78380.

Although we have seen that the price of Bitcoin was somewhat mature in January, the market is not looking very favorable at the beginning of February. We certainly know that the current time according to the four-year cycle indicates that the market will enter a recession, but many have commented in different ways. Although the price of Bitcoin is planning to go up in February and we can see a sense of disappointment when looking at the candles of the market. The way the market is going down, it seems that there will be more dumping very soon as the market has dropped near $74600 today, which indicates instability in the market. However, we can imagine that the market may go up again after a week, but many of us have predicted that the market will touch $100k again. However, according to the current situation, we are in such a recession, so it seems that touching $100k may not be possible, the possibility is very low.

[dimonstration]

What do you think about bitcoin price in February, will bitcoin increase in price or continue to fall or it will increase in this month?

The present price is $78380.

I think the current negative sentiment is due to the looming tension on the Middle East that involves US.

I believe the price for February will be slow just up down within a price such as 60K to 80K. I don’t see it dipping further below 60K but also it will not pump hard above 100K because we are still missing a catalyst to start another massive pump.

February will be a weak price action on Bitcoin.

No one can speculate and sit on it like making it happen just the way it has said, February might end up not being as weak price of Bitcoin as you said, don't be surprise if the opposite becomes the end of the story, there is no doubt to this because we have seen arose and become much stronger than expected, $60k to $100k down and up benchmark seems realistic even though we can be wrong it can go below $60k and above the $100k we talk about but however, an investor who has plans of buying and holding for more longer time to come might not give much attention to all this market movements while focusing on increasing the size of their bitcoin.

I completely agree on this possible scenario that’s why we should always have backup plan strategies in case our prediction doesn’t go that way in actual.

We know how volatile the market is so there’s no certain prediction. Sharing our speculation is like having fun to test our prediction skills. There’s no right or wrong answer until we saw the result at the end of the month.

This is just my stand based on my own observation. Anyone are free to speculate their own view.

[Danica22]

My only hope is that the new fed chair gonna push for interest cut that could turn around the situation for crypto. The market is indeed looking pretty bad and from the looks of it, it could go well below $70k with the current bearish pennant chart structure.
If that didn't come into fruition then I just gonna accumulate on the bottom, after all there is nothing else to do. Turns out the supercycle that CZ is talking isn't coming.

Interest rates are one of the factor that influence the market, but they are not the key factor. Lowering interest rate will be ineffective if geopolitical tensions, trade wars persist, or if war breaks out.

It seems you still have not accepted that we have entered a bear market and are clinging to anything in the hope that it will pull the market up

CZ can be considered a whale and a major influencer in the market. But he is not the one who can control the market, so it is naive to believe what he says.

[fuguebtc]

This month could likely be the worst month for bitcoin because we already open the month with strong bear trend and this shows that the bull run hasn't started yet. As we know there were several speculation that this year we could see a supper cycle coming but I don't know if this was on the reversed where we could see a strong and a solid bear market. From how I have observed the market I wouldn't mind saying that we may like see the market going down lower than this current price where it would end up touching the price range of 30k as the lowest we could see for the year or for the entire bear market, and of course we know what that means, when it goes down this way it gives investors the more chance to keep accumulating the more in preparation for the bull run that is to come.

Do you mean Bitcoin could drop to $30k? Many people do not even believe that bitcoin will fall below $70k, and they think that $60k is the lowest bitcoin could reach. Many people will disagree with your prediction. But in recent days, I have also seen some people sharing the view that bitcoin could absolutely fall to $30k-$40k if history repeats itself. Although Im not entirely convinced yet, I would not rule this scenario out.

If Bitcoin drops to $30k, I think more people will panic than see it as an opportunity because that price is beyond their imagination. 

[MagnificentX]

If Bitcoin drops to $30k, I think more people will panic than see it as an opportunity because that price is beyond their imagination. 

I think an investor who would be in panic because Bitcoin dropped to $30k is an someone who just started following the trends of Bitcoin from 2024 because as of the year 2023, Bitcoin experienced a great dip and was around $16k but still it had a bull run months afterwards and got over $120k. Even during then, there were investors who accumulated aggressively seizing the opportunity and when Bitcoin got its ATH, they made massive profit over the time.
So newbies or new investors should not be shaken if Bitcoin drops below its current price because it is just an opportunity for investors to buy more before another bull run.

[EarnOnVictor]

Bitcoin highest price in January was $97950 but its lowest price which was yesterday before the month ended was $75680. This let us continue to know that the bitcoin 4 year cycle may not have finally be gone.

This is a huge fall that further confirms that the sentiment around Bitcoin's tradition of the 4-year cycle is still active, and hints that institutional investing has not been able to abolish it. Well, maybe later, but now that it has further breached the weekly chart Fibo level of 38.2% at $84,232, which had acted as a solid support for months, I do not have any hope for Bitcoin's rising this year, let alone in February.

[Ayers]

Yes, unfortunately, I was among those who thought Bitcoin was mature enough to avoid this stage, but unfortunately, we were wrong, and we have plenty of data proving that we are now in a bear market.

Many people believe that the 4 year cycle is no longer valid and that "this time will be different". However, that ultimately did not happen, but that's normal because the future is unpredictable.
Once its a prediction, it may or may not happen. The important thing is that as long as you have a backup plan for the opposite scenario, there is nothing to worry about.

Based on current conditions, it is unlikely that the price of Bitcoin will stabilize in February 2026, and I think the market will remain volatile. In my opinion, the price range could be between $70,000 and $78,000, although a survey shows that 74% of traders expect the price of Bitcoin to stabilize around $75,000.

Bitcoin has never been stable in a bear market, it is highly volatile, and the market will experience significant turbulence.  Therefore, what we need to do is prepare for the worst case scenario instead of expecting Bitcoin to remain stable.

[Dave1]

Bitcoin highest price in January was $97950 but its lowest price which was yesterday before the month ended was $75680. This let us continue to know that the bitcoin 4 year cycle may not have finally be gone.

This is a huge fall that further confirms that the sentiment around Bitcoin's tradition of the 4-year cycle is still active, and hints that institutional investing has not been able to abolish it. Well, maybe later, but now that it has further breached the weekly chart Fibo level of 38.2% at $84,232, which had acted as a solid support for months, I do not have any hope for Bitcoin's rising this year, let alone in February.

Yes, and we can't do anything about the 4-year cycle of Bitcoin, even if there are institutional investors that are already inside the market with their billions polling, they can't prevent the market from declining in this market.

So it's a question whether what this whales and institutions will do, are they also going to sell, or going to buy when the market is red? There are even reports that says they are going to manipulate or manipulating the market in their favor causing the market to fall.

But it's hard to say, we could really be going down hard in the first quarter alone and this is just the start.

[davis196]

Bitcoin highest price in January was $97950 but its lowest price which was yesterday before the month ended was $75680. This let us continue to know that the bitcoin 4 year cycle may not have finally be gone.

Some people said bitcoin will not fall but we all know that we are in bear season, just that some people thought bitcoin is matured enough not to experience a bear market, but many data has proven that we are in bear market now since bitcoin was unable to get to $100000.

What do you think about bitcoin price in February, will bitcoin increase in price or continue to fall or it will increase in this month?

The present price is $78380.

My most optimistic prediction would the BTC price to go back to 85-90K USD, but there's a little possibility for this to happen by the end of February. What surprised me the most in the last few days was gold and silver dropping after the news about the new candidate for Federal Reserve chairman. Precious metals are dropping, crypto is dropping, stocks aren't bullish. It seems that the bear wave will spread across all financial markets. This is going to be a tough winter for all traders. There's not enough liquidity on the cryptocurrency markets, and I expect more price drops to come, since the FUD will only grow bigger.

[landheer]

Many people say that BTC will not fall far, but in reality, BTC has fallen far and we don't know how long it will continue to fall. In my opinion, if BTC continues to fall tomorrow, I don't think BTC will return to $100k or $120k in the near future. It will probably rise again when the bear market is over. But if BTC can rise and break through more than $80k in the near future, I think BTC could rise to $100k or more than $100k. For February, I think BTC will increase, but only to test whether BTC will trend upwards again or not. So, at this time, it is very difficult to predict where BTC prices will go, but for me, whether it goes down or up, it doesn't matter because if the price goes down, I will buy it because it would be a shame if BTC's falling price was not bought. So, in conclusion, I think BTC will be able to rise in February if there are a lot of buyers at the moment, but if there are a lot of sellers, it seems that BTC in February will have the potential to reach the $60k range. We'll just have to see what happens later.

[Smack That Ace]

My most optimistic prediction would the BTC price to go back to 85-90K USD, but there's a little possibility for this to happen by the end of February. What surprised me the most in the last few days was gold and silver dropping after the news about the new candidate for Federal Reserve chairman. Precious metals are dropping, crypto is dropping, stocks aren't bullish. It seems that the bear wave will spread across all financial markets. This is going to be a tough winter for all traders. There's not enough liquidity on the cryptocurrency markets, and I expect more price drops to come, since the FUD will only grow bigger.

Indeed, immediately after news broke that Trump had chosen Kevin Warsh as his next Fed chairman candidate, gold and silver plummeted. Many people believe that's the reason, but is it the real reason? Because the entire financial market has declined in recent days, and this looks more like a broad wave of profit taking than a reaction to a news.

In recent months, only bitcoin and crypto have failed to increase in price. Meanwhile, not only metals but also the stock market have been consistently reaching record highs. I suspect they know something we do not, and they are quietly selling off assets that have increased significantly.