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Author Topic: Do you follow sharp money or public betting?  (Read 531 times)
Gozie51
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February 07, 2026, 02:22:39 PM
 #41


Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Most of the sharp gamblers I have seen don't bet like the public, they wait for it and take the risk. So they are known for that and remain in that category.

So I think it can be splitted into category because I belong to the the public money group, I don't take unnecessary risk . I do my analysis and follow with the public is saying about certain games but not all the time. Waiting for the time to increase risk can get you into more bet when you lose because you are likely to chase your lose.

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February 07, 2026, 02:25:57 PM
 #42


Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Most of the sharp gamblers I have seen don't bet like the public, they wait for it and take the risk. So they are known for that and remain in that category.

So I think it can be splitted into category because I belong to the the public money group, I don't take unnecessary risk . I do my analysis and follow with the public is saying about certain games but not all the time.

That’s the normal way to gamble since the public choice usually depends on the statistic to determine the theoretical winning percentage of the game.

Although there’s some exception to this on matches that team involved are overrated due to popularity of the player/team.

The sharp bettor strategy comes perfectly on matches like that which overrated team is being over bet that result to high odds on the opponent team.

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February 07, 2026, 02:59:36 PM
 #43

While gambling, I always give my research the highest priority, if I can't decide which team to bet on, then I definitely follow experienced gamblers. Because by following experienced gamblers, you can gain various kinds of knowledge about gambling, but giving more priority to your research first, putting on dark glasses without understanding anything and always following the experts is not the right decision, this will not increase your knowledge about gambling.

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February 07, 2026, 03:32:06 PM
 #44


Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

The goal is always to get the best result in the game. I usually follow my own analysis, but I don't ignore those coming from outside sources.

My analysis cannot be perfect all the time, so I do comparisons, but I always end up trusting my analysis and only change and follow other sources if there is a compelling reason to change my mind.

 
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February 07, 2026, 03:35:33 PM
 #45

Sharp money can give you a hand to win with them, as they are professionals and have big money, but that doesn't mean they will always win. You can just get a trend from them, but if you are following them blindly, then it will be like hitting the axe on your own feet. Personally, I follow my own pattern and understanding. I analyze the team, trends, statistics, previous match records, and the current situation regarding whom they are fighting, etc. This gives me a complete understanding. If I lose, then my guilt level is lower compared to those who blindly follow others. It's important to at least give your own analysis a try.

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February 07, 2026, 03:40:46 PM
 #46

I personally think that it is not bad to listen to other people's opinions but it is better to make the final decision with your own head, And sometimes if you do a little research you can at least understand where you are stepping. However one thing is very important knowing your limits. Because just as winning comes suddenly, losing comes suddenly too, So the wisest thing to do is to play with a cool head.

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February 07, 2026, 03:44:42 PM
 #47

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

In general, I follow the money movement, but that doesn't mean I don't do analysis, I still do it & the end of the analysis goes to the more favored team. It's not easy to win by having different choices than most other bettors, because the fact is that the favored team wins more often, right?

But if we're in the right feeling, analysis & timing, we can win more money.


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Last November, Liverpool had a match scheduled against Nottingham Forest, many people were sure & believed that Liverpool would win easily, because besides being a stronger team, they were also playing at home. But what was the result of that match? Liverpool lost, not Liverpool 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest, but worse, Liverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest. Winning against the tide of public money isn't easy.

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February 07, 2026, 03:50:58 PM
 #48

~snip~
Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?


I was most successful when I trusted my own analyses, because realistically it doesn't pay to trust others in most cases. Most people bet for fun and on their favorite teams, and there are very few who do it very thoughtfully and with the aim of making a profit. This approach requires a lot of time and money, but it brings results for those who are patient.

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February 07, 2026, 03:51:42 PM
 #49

I don't follow money movement.

Also, I have a different definition when it comes to sharp and public money.

For me, sharp money means high hollers. Public money is what it says. Do I follow high rollers? Yes, I did. I won't be a hypocrite to say I didn't follow high rollers because I do believe that they have the best choice as losing ain't part fo their scheme.
I am wrong. That's a fact. It doesn't always mean that a high roller has a higher chance of winning. In fact, it may be the other way around.

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February 07, 2026, 04:00:30 PM
 #50

Sharp money, this is a new term to me but I don't follow anyone, sometimes I go with the odds but it is based on lot of stats not just where the money flows. I bet randomly or the team which I think will win, no more tricks because I don't believe in them.

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February 07, 2026, 04:01:04 PM
 #51

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?
I'm confused about the differences between the two strategies you mentioned.

I follow my analysis based on the teams, their weaknesses, and based on performance level at the moment, sometimes i assume how luck can play a huge role in the outcome of the fixture.
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February 07, 2026, 04:03:07 PM
 #52

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?


I don't know about the others but I'm typically a bettor who rely on my own decision.
I discovers my strategies and initializes with every necessary data's to analyse my games. I don't follow public but when I prefer to bet on the favourite leagues and teams.
My friends who had followed trends and relying on others haven't made it success than when attempts by their own strategies.

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February 07, 2026, 04:12:28 PM
 #53


Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

I follow my own analysis when I'm very familiar with the competing team or fighters, but if not, I check this sharp money, and if they have an interpretation or analysis, then I'll go for it.

When betting on sports, you have to trust your analysis because it's a lot of work to do analysis only to discard it because of others' analysis; that's wasted time and effort. Its ok to trust other bets if you are not so sure.

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February 07, 2026, 04:31:45 PM
 #54

Just hearing this your own term for the first time, it doesn't sound familiar but the meaning is something that is very familiar, it is about gamblers decision and also their respective choice of prediction patterns. I'm actually inconsistent with my  pattern because in betting, your winning is not guarantee, so if you are well experienced in betting, you will do your analysis and where ever the clock hand points, that's the option for you and it's not going to be the same thing always. For me, where my analysis points to, that's the option I normally go with.

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February 07, 2026, 04:54:37 PM
 #55

In sports betting, people always talk about public money and sharp money.


Really? first time im hearin these terms though but from your definition still either strategy is better because you can predict gambling but the public money sounds like people who actually just bet becuase thier team is playing, most a vote of confidence on thier favorite team, something like that is an example of gambling for entertainment, because the whole hope isnt on gambling no body fills any tension or pressure, probably just the pain your team lost and i feel thats how gambling should be, obviously your team wont play all the time, so it will limit how often you gamble and structure you viewing it as entertainment only.

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February 07, 2026, 05:18:12 PM
 #56

In sports betting, people always talk about public money and sharp money.

Public money usually comes from casual bettors who follow popular teams, hype, and headlines. Sharp money comes from so-called “smart” bettors who rely on data and analysis, and when they bet big, odds often move fast.

A lot of people try to copy sharp money or bet against the public, thinking it’s an easy edge. But does that really work, or are we just chasing another trend without fully understanding it?

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

It is better to trust one's own analysis over following the masses. There will be occasions when our own analysis will coincide with whatever the public has on their mind, so we bet along them, there is nothing wrong about it.

In general, the important point to keep in mind is we having a good sense of accountability ans personal responsibility with our bets.

If we started to bet based on others people appreciation of each match, then we would be irresponsible with our own money.

At least, that is how I picture it..

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February 07, 2026, 05:43:58 PM
 #57

But does that really work, or are we just chasing another trend without fully understanding it?

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?
There is is absolutely no exact strategy about the success of online gambling, which means that you can apply one today, it works and you try again the next couple of days or a week and it isn't working anymore. Which is why it's good to follow both methods as random, since the reward for non is guaranteed. Because as a gambler, your primary aim will be to able to double your income or betting capital, and as such, for me I always go for which I'm always most convinced about and knows it has a chance of success, rather than just follow the public without analyzing and trying to balance both before placing a bet.

 
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February 07, 2026, 06:25:48 PM
 #58

~
A lot of people try to copy sharp money or bet against the public, thinking it’s an easy edge. But does that really work, or are we just chasing another trend without fully understanding it?

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

I wonder how do these people get information on what is "sharp money" people made their bets on?

If it is from telegram groups with betting tips, I have my doubts fmthat this method really works, as I believe most of such groups with betting tips are fake or scam.

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February 07, 2026, 06:29:51 PM
 #59

I wonder how do these people get information on what is "sharp money" people made their bets on?

If it is from telegram groups with betting tips, I have my doubts fmthat this method really works, as I believe most of such groups with betting tips are fake or scam.
Most likely the tips come from telegram groups and similars, therefore there isn't any assurance such informations are reliable. The same person can create different betting groups on telegram, under different names, while predicting opposite outcomes for a same match. The ones who are on the winner's group will think the tips are sharp and hot, so they will be prone to giving money to the tipster in order to have access to further predictions.

That is when the scam takes place.

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February 07, 2026, 06:47:52 PM
 #60

In sports betting, people always talk about public money and sharp money.

Public money usually comes from casual bettors who follow popular teams, hype, and headlines. Sharp money comes from so-called “smart” bettors who rely on data and analysis, and when they bet big, odds often move fast.

A lot of people try to copy sharp money or bet against the public, thinking it’s an easy edge. But does that really work, or are we just chasing another trend without fully understanding it?

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

The true money makers out there are coming up with their own ideas and expected outcomes. You can use the crowd to get an indicator but if you always rely on it then you're likely to make less money because the margins are so slim compared to the risks. If you think you can beat the odds, then definitely factoring in what the P2P markets think is good, but the crowd can often be wrong and that can be quite expensive. Could you point to places where this sort of propriety information is shared publicly, because you talk about big bets moving markets yet I've never seen any company wanting to expose this kind of highly confidential information - unless we're talking about some new kind of concept like Polymarket?

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