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Author Topic: Attack on Iran - effects on markets/Bitcoin  (Read 331 times)
philipma1957
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March 03, 2026, 08:12:10 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)
 #41

I'm not seeing a significant effect on the Bitcoin market that could clearly be attributed to the attack on Iran.
In fact, the price of bitcoin has risen after the US-Iran conflict. Could it be that some people are turning to bitcoin as an alternative?

Of course, a spike on oil prices is expected. That's probably the specific market where the impact of the attack is truly felt considering that massive supply distributions passing through the strait of Hormuz would certainly be halted because of the conflict.
I don't know if oil prices are starting to rise now? I know that the Strait of Hormuz is a route for intercontinental trade, with at least 20% of trade passing through it, according to the news. Other reports say that the Strait of Hormuz is being heavily guarded by Iranian forces.

Some are saying the Abraham Lincoln air craft carrier was hit by four missles.

If true we could see a crash on monday morning.
This has caused confusion. There are reports on X that the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln was attacked by missiles from Iran, while major media outlets are saying the Abraham Lincoln is fine. I don't know which is true.

I spent five years in the Navy I checked quite a few sources that most people do not know about and I have no proof and no disproof which is very interesting in and of itself.

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March 03, 2026, 08:22:01 PM
 #42

Well as we have seen so far, it did not really impacted a whole lot. Because of the ban on Iran from almost everything by the west, the price of bitcoin was a little higher there than everywhere else, I am guessing soon that will be done.

But remember that the regime has not changed yet, their leader is dead but I am sure there must be some other de facto leader right now. They are not suddenly some secular nation like they used to be, that will take some time and pain until it happens, then maybe we can see them joining crypto world like us without any bans. The war itself has started, one leader is dead, many missiles, world is worried and yet crypto has not moved much, so clearly crypto world doesn't care at all.

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March 03, 2026, 08:55:00 PM
 #43

Bitcoin price has decreased by 1% in the last 24 hours and less than 5% in the last week, so I don't see any impact of the war on the price of Bitcoin. Things may change as events change, but 1% is not a decrease that could be due to an event.
Even if it does have a significant impact on bitcoin price it's gonna be the usual short time shocking impact on the market and we start seeing price rising shortly after but the coincidence with this geopolitical situation with Iran and US is happening at a time when bitcoin is bearish, which may appear as though the war is really that having a major effect on bitcoin price in the long.


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March 04, 2026, 12:40:38 PM
 #44

Bitcoin price has decreased by 1% in the last 24 hours and less than 5% in the last week, so I don't see any impact of the war on the price of Bitcoin. Things may change as events change, but 1% is not a decrease that could be due to an event.
Even if it does have a significant impact on bitcoin price it's gonna be the usual short time shocking impact on the market and we start seeing price rising shortly after but the coincidence with this geopolitical situation with Iran and US is happening at a time when bitcoin is bearish, which may appear as though the war is really that having a major effect on bitcoin price in the long.

Indeed Bitcoin would do what it always do, it reached 71000 today which means that tension in the middle east won't have a strong impact on the market when the bulls start running.

 I'm really surprised that even with how the tension has escalated from threats to wars, people are still holding strong. I excepted that it would drop lower after the gulf of hormuz got closed by Iran but instead we're seeing more gains than loses this period.

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March 04, 2026, 02:14:18 PM
 #45

So this morning USA attacked Iran, a move that is probably not much of a surprise to anyone, as this was brewing for quite some time now.
For me, I'm not too worried about the As-israel vs. Iran is against crypto market speculation, the fact is that today if you look at the war continuing to rage they are responding to each other's missiles, but Bitcoin on the market today rose 6.81% in 24 hours.

That is, overall it has no impact on the crypto market, the war in the Middle East has been going on for a long time, Iraq, Afghanistan, Sudan, Lebanon and others, the crypto market but on true speculation, but the As-israel vs. Iran will have an impact on the stock market, not on the crypto market that's my speculation.

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March 04, 2026, 03:21:11 PM
 #46

I don't know whether the price of Bitcoin has increased because of the news about the attack or it is just a coincidence, but in my country what has increased dramatically in just a couple of days is the price of the gasoline, and everybody is saying that the worst is yet to come.

I hope I don't have to end up selling my sats to refuel my car any of these days...


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March 04, 2026, 04:20:36 PM
 #47

I don't know whether the price of Bitcoin has increased because of the news about the attack or it is just a coincidence, but in my country what has increased dramatically in just a couple of days is the price of the gasoline, and everybody is saying that the worst is yet to come.

The price of BTC is supposedly going up because of spot ETFs have been buying the coins in large quantities for the last 4-5 days. On the other hand, the price of fuel is going up only because those who sell it have a justification to raise prices - so while those in Asia may have a reason to, given that the oil that passes through the Strait of Hormuz mostly goes to Asia, those in Europe had no reason to, and they raised fuel prices quite a bit in my area yesterday.

Most countries have at least 90 days of oil reserves anyway.

I hope I don't have to end up selling my sats to refuel my car any of these days...

Why would that be a problem? Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency and you should use it as such from time to time.

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March 04, 2026, 04:26:44 PM
 #48


Why would that be a problem? Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency and you should use it as such from time to time.
I don't know about his reasons, but I definitely wouldn't like to start spending bitcoin on the daily expenses these days due simple reason of bitcoin being far from ATH.

I do spend bitcoin regardless of the price though, but only for smaller expenses like VPN, IPTV, little bit of betting etc. For bigger expenses, I still try to time it.  

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March 04, 2026, 04:29:19 PM
 #49

I'm not seeing a significant effect on the Bitcoin market that could clearly be attributed to the attack on Iran.
In fact, the price of bitcoin has risen after the US-Iran conflict. Could it be that some people are turning to bitcoin as an alternative?

Of course, a spike on oil prices is expected. That's probably the specific market where the impact of the attack is truly felt considering that massive supply distributions passing through the strait of Hormuz would certainly be halted because of the conflict.
I don't know if oil prices are starting to rise now? I know that the Strait of Hormuz is a route for intercontinental trade, with at least 20% of trade passing through it, according to the news. Other reports say that the Strait of Hormuz is being heavily guarded by Iranian forces.

Some are saying the Abraham Lincoln air craft carrier was hit by four missles.

If true we could see a crash on monday morning.
This has caused confusion. There are reports on X that the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln was attacked by missiles from Iran, while major media outlets are saying the Abraham Lincoln is fine. I don't know which is true.

I spent five years in the Navy I checked quite a few sources that most people do not know about and I have no proof and no disproof which is very interesting in and of itself.

Well, the video they released showed a spacecraft flying into a ship that was sunk 80 years ago, so there's that...

The Abraham Lincoln has a whole lot of American soldiers on it.  If it was struck with missiles, every news outlet in the world would be showing those images and blaming Trump for the loss.

I would also say it is possible that both the news and the non-event are true.  An aircraft carrier can both be attacked by missiles and be fine.

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March 04, 2026, 04:49:15 PM
 #50

Bitcoin price has decreased by 1% in the last 24 hours and less than 5% in the last week, so I don't see any impact of the war on the price of Bitcoin. Things may change as events change, but 1% is not a decrease that could be due to an event.
Even if it does have a significant impact on bitcoin price it's gonna be the usual short time shocking impact on the market and we start seeing price rising shortly after but the coincidence with this geopolitical situation with Iran and US is happening at a time when bitcoin is bearish, which may appear as though the war is really that having a major effect on bitcoin price in the long.

While most of the people thought that bitcoin price will behave bearish during the start of the war but this is not the case this time. In fact ever since the Iran - Israel war has started, the bitcoin is usually on the higher side, pumping most of the time and as of this writing we have reached 73K.

This price action has been taken by surprise by most of the bitcoin traders and most of them weren't expected this kind of movement. Anyways I think that people have realized that in uncertain situation, it is bitcoin BTC that can hold its value and also it is even better than gold because you can hold it digitally.

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March 04, 2026, 05:24:24 PM
 #51

Well it does seem that a ship has been sunk.


"https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/live/iran-live-updates-us-submarine-sinks-iranian-warship-in-international-waters-hegseth-says-142632357.html


Iran live updates: U.S. submarine sinks Iranian warship in international waters, Hegseth says
More than 1,000 people have been killed in Iran; six American service members have died in retaliatory strikes.
The United States sank an Iranian warship in international waters with a torpedo fired from an American submarine, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Wednesday, as the widening military conflict continues to intensify.

“We are just accelerating, not decelerating,” Hegseth said at the Pentagon.

"


Now if true I feel for those sailors for the sea can be a harsh mistress.

Hopefully more details will arise and that the USA is not simply killing the survivors of the Iranian warship.

Having been at sea for years I can tell you it is big and we are small so I do hope the survivors are being treated by the rules of war and not as targets in life boats.

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