According to this expert, there will be another big dump

[bbc.reporter]

News update.

It appears that different experts have different predictions and speculations on where this market might arrive. There are experts who are declaring that the bottom is in and there are also other experts who have declared that there will be another big dump. Who is correct? I am shaking my head vigorously.



Bitcoin options market is quietly pricing a major downside move

Options data shows traders are bracing for a sharp bitcoin drop as weak demand and fragile positioning leave the market exposed to a break below key levels, a report from Bitfinex shows.

According to a recent Bitfinex report, the options market is showing a persistent gap between implied and realized volatility, with implied volatility holding in the 48% to 55% range while actual price swings remain subdued. This divergence suggests traders are paying a premium for protection, even as spot markets appear calm.

The more critical factor sits just below current levels. Analysts point to a “negative gamma environment” under $68,000, where market makers who have sold downside protection may be forced to sell bitcoin as prices fall in order to hedge their exposure.

That dynamic can turn a gradual decline into a sharper move. As prices drop, hedging activity adds further selling pressure, creating what the report describes as a “self-reinforcing feedback loop.”

Read in full https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/06/bitcoin-options-market-is-quietly-pricing-a-major-downside-move#

[bitbollo]

For sure can be seen as something interesting, an intricate theory but as "normal hodler" I would not too much scary of it.
Also I would see as a GREAT moment to buy new coins!

This is something critical in "pricing" bitcoin . People want a profit from it. But they are still using bitcoin like a "precious metal". Even if this can be the first idea if you think on bitcoin, you had also to think as... cash peer to peer.

To be honest there are other reasons that could "pull down the price". Probably options could be a trigger, but there is a "piggy bank account" that continue to grow indefinitely...

[Oshosondy]

It appears that different experts have different predictions and speculations on where this market might arrive. There are experts who are declaring that the bottom is in and there are also other experts who have declared that there will be another big dump. Who is correct? I am shaking my head vigorously.

It is not just appearing now but this has been from the old days. As you will see some analysts saying A, you will be seeing some analysts at the same time saying Z. I mean they will be saying something that is completely opposite. I have posted about it several times on this forum.

My prediction could be wrong but I do not think bitcoin is going below $60000 this month and bitcoin is not likely going to surpass $75000 despite those VIP that want to use their power to do it.

[GreatArkansas]

Pure speculations. These recent price actions of Bitcoin made a lot of "experts" become correct or wrong, and for sure, soon, they will lose their jobs as "experts".
But I understand these people are just sharing their speculations and analysis.
What I can see right now is that Bitcoin is on the neutral side. As we can see, we were able to break the $70,000 level recently, but it dumped again back below the $65,000 level.

[jcojci]

I will be happy waiting for that dump as that allows me buying Bitcoin at low price. The investors also waiting for that time and they prepare money to buy a lot. We should not have panic to the news and just be ready for anything that may happens according to the situation. If we already accumulated Bitcoin, we should continue that and not worry with the next news as we prepare the money to buy in a large amounts.

[rezakurnia66]

All people has their own speculation about bitcoin will be another big dump or big pump, its purely based on their prediction if predicting about bitcoin will fall down and its true most of them become an expert will repost their predicting. Difference way when predicting bitcoin will fall down but price of bitcoin raise up significant will forget about their speculation before and most of them saying about investing in cryptocurrency must Do your own research.
Actually many people waiting for if bitcoin will fall down although possibility big dump, chance to buy back open large and probably has moment to earn much profit later when bitcoin recovery to higher price, so don't fully trust about how much someone expert for predicting bitcoin make your own research.

[fullfitlarry]

We have some threads that the price can even go below $50k. So I'm not surprised that there will still be incoming dump. We are just barely in the first quarter, so there's a lot of things that can happen before the end of the year.

But if the price is going to decline, there could be a huge catalyst, so that is scary as we all know that the last catalyst is the FTX collapse. So I guess we can't do anything about the incoming dump, just stay positive and take advantage if that happens to buy cheap Bitcoin.

[Zlantann]

Pure speculations. These recent price actions of Bitcoin made a lot of "experts" become correct or wrong, and for sure, soon, they will lose their jobs as "experts".
But I understand these people are just sharing their speculations and analysis.
What I can see right now is that Bitcoin is on the neutral side. As we can see, we were able to break the $70,000 level recently, but it dumped again back below the $65,000 level.

I don't see Bitcoin experiencing another big dump except if the oil and gas market experiences a massive shock. Bitcoin is not performing badly this period, regardless of the Iran-US-Israel war. At some point, it was gaining more than precious metals. The price is going towards $70k, and the price might keep going up if the Strait of Hormuz becomes free for the passage of oil tankers.

Investors should just be expectant because the price can move in any direction. If the price drops, it's a good time to accumulate more coins.

[Jaweria parveen]

I will be happy waiting for that dump as that allows me buying Bitcoin at low price. The investors also waiting for that time and they prepare money to buy a lot. We should not have panic to the news and just be ready for anything that may happens according to the situation. If we already accumulated Bitcoin, we should continue that and not worry with the next news as we prepare the money to buy in a large amounts.

Now what more do you want to expect than that Bitcoin will go down even more and then you will start buying, although this price is also quite good and every investor waits for Bitcoin to go down and wants to put his money in it so that he gets more profit and you are also waiting for it so that you also get a big profit but if you look at it, this price is also quite good compared to the big price and whatever investment you have to make, do it now because now the time should be given to go up so that we can see something in the development of Bitcoin. We have seen many months on which there could have been a good investment but still people think that it will go below $68,000 but now it is difficult for it to go down. That is why we should earn more Bitcoin little by little if you have investment. If you do, then look at Bitcoin at some different prices so that your chances increase at every price.

[electronicash]

if you have not sold your coins even when the price hit 126k, this next dump that they are saying won't shaken you anymore. you already accepted the loss from 126k down to 60k.

but if you chase the opportunity thinking the price will really fall to 30k. you must be very sure it will really fall that low.

[rbynxx]

It appears that different experts have different predictions and speculations on where this market might arrive. There are experts who are declaring that the bottom is in and there are also other experts who have declared that there will be another big dump. Who is correct? I am shaking my head vigorously.

It always has and it will not change, people love to speculate whether they're a fan or a critic. The thing is, bitcoin have prove a lot from those critics before and most of them don't have anything to say now or they join the party. Well, if it dumps, could be another huge opportunity, it probably will never get to be that low if it dumps again this time. Been hearing those things but been sideline lately so it probably won't matter now, at least for me.

[Odohu]

I don't understand what that funny picture is doing in your post, could it be he is the expect that made the prediction? Bitcoin is in a range so expert knowledge is not needed to to know that before the market finally leave the range, we will experience some fake moves to the opposite direction of the real move of the market. In other worlds,  Bitcoin will see stop loss of people who are long already before it will finally rise to create liquidity for the market makers.

[Bit-Mj1014]

Every time we look like we’re going to blast past $70k, it just gets slapped back down to $65k or $68k. It’s exhausting to watch... My take is that for fact that we go past $73k I think there is a high possibility of a dump even below $50k before we can get back to the bullish season, I think this period is a good test of fate for investors and HODLers.

[EL MOHA]

I don't see Bitcoin experiencing another big dump except if the oil and gas market experiences a massive shock. Bitcoin is not performing badly this period, regardless of the Iran-US-Israel war. At some point, it was gaining more than precious metals. The price is going towards $70k, and the price might keep going up if the Strait of Hormuz becomes free for the passage of oil tankers.

Investors should just be expectant because the price can move in any direction. If the price drops, it's a good time to accumulate more coins.

I think the reason why the speculation posted by OP is bearish is because OP is because the market is actually experiencing lack of demand and this is actually true for some period of time now, when the war started there was a very good demand then coupled with the dollar taking a hit too and this was why the market had a pump then when even those metals were facing bearish sentiment. But the market pump couldn’t get past some resistance because of the weak momentum that the buyers had then.

This is the reason why we are still very much under $80k price now, for me I agree with the statement that the market is unpredictable and that investors should be cautious of the market as a trend can easily change, but for a wider trend I think the price will still be consolidating for while because there is no real sentiment yet to show which direction it will take

[Rabata]

It appears that different experts have different predictions and speculations on where this market might arrive. There are experts who are declaring that the bottom is in and there are also other experts who have declared that there will be another big dump. Who is correct? I am shaking my head vigorously.

Some experts believe that the Bitcoin price will rise while others believe that it will fall but it is most important to prioritize your own analysis without relying on anyone. No one can make the right speculation about Bitcoin. If some one knew about its correct movement in exchange for something, he would have been rich. Whatever experts say about Bitcoin is not a problem. If an investor tries to invest in Bitcoin for the long term, he will definitely benefit. Maybe it will be a loss for him in the short term, but in the long term it will definitely be profitable. For a long-term holder, I think this type of speculation is not a hindrance. Any person can speculate as he wishes, this is not a problem. Such speculation is very common in Bitcoin.

[Franctoshi]

From my perspective and my Technical analysis of the current trend, since we officially hit bear market this year and if Bitcoin will have bottom here, there's no business that Bitcoin have hovering around 60K-70k after it touched down that level, There's likely going to be another leg down to flush the weak hands out, however we're not too far away from Bottoming out, if Bitcoin didn't hold the 60k zone firmly then 48k is where we may likely find the market bottom.

[OgNasty]

Go back and look at what these experts were saying when we were at the top. If they weren’t saying to sell then, ignore what they say now.

Pay attention to the folks who told you to sell the top and what they’re saying now about the bottom. The same people who said to buy the top will be saying to sell the bottom…

[Issa56]

News update.

It appears that different experts have different predictions and speculations on where this market might arrive. There are experts who are declaring that the bottom is in and there are also other experts who have declared that there will be another big dump. Who is correct? I am shaking my head vigorously.

Right now I don’t think anyone knows who is correct among them, people predicting more dump might be right and also people predicting that the bottom is here also might be right, everyone are just making speculations, and nobody is sure about what’s going to happen. Either their is a dump or we are already at the bottom, I don’t have any problem with that, I don’t always trade which is going to make me panic about a sudden changes in bitcoin price. I don’t really believe all this people who call themselves experts, but with bitcoin price movement in the last few weeks, am not really expecting more dump again.

[JoyMarsha]

 To whose gain if Bitcoin experiences a big dump soon or later? It's our gain to buy at a discount price. For that reason, let the big dump happen if it can. If it doesn't, there won't be any problem to say, as the market is known to be moving up and downtrend movement of Bitcoin price without anyone speculating correctly or knowing the exact next movement of Bitcoin price. That makes the prediction of these analysts of Bitcoin price is all welcomed whether good or bad

[famososMuertos]

OP; stand-calm 
The reality is that the market has held up quite well over the past few months. Yes, those spikes or red candles might seem to validate what these experts are saying, but overall resilience has been strong. In my opinion, during this second quarter we can comfortably maintain an average above the $70K level, even if that acts more like a soft floor than a rigid one.

That said, (thoughts) we are still living with the sword of Damocles hanging over us due to the situation in the Middle East. There’s talk of another 24-hour ultimatum, and Bitcoin is currently hovering around $71K... so.