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Author Topic: “Sports betting strategy”  (Read 858 times)
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May 08, 2026, 06:48:51 PM
 #161

Without being told we should understand that no matter how much strategy or skills we put in our games or bet, luck is the only thing that determined our fate wether we like it or not. Luck is the main thing we should be looking out for as long as it's gamble we are talking about.

However,  when ever am gambling, the only thing am more concerned of is when I have the full fun I wanted, I really don't care if I'm in lost or profit what count is the fun I get, that's is because I don't fail to always stake what can afford to lost and that's my little secret in what has alway kept me safes in my gambling life.
The steps you are taking are basically the steps everyone should follow when they come to gambling. And I have something in common with you, and that is to mainly view gambling as entertainment.
But in my case, what I do is to set aside a bankroll of less than 5 percent of my income and salary for gambling every month and try to gamble with this for the month.
This basically helps me gamble in a stress-free way where I don't have to take any extra steps to deal with my losses. Because they are all within my power to lose.

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May 08, 2026, 07:06:18 PM
 #162

From the perspective of logic, it is a thinking error which we can label that way. However, from the standpoint of statistics it is just variance in outcomes. Given enough repetitions, anything that can happen will happen no matter how low the possibility of it happening. That is how it works. If enough people tried, eventually someone would win 100 times in a row by solely playing a ticket when he or she finds themselves in the process of pooping. Would that mean that the process of pooping increases the skills of a gambler?The answer for many idiots in this section would be a yes.  Cheesy
Your words are true for random(casino) games. When you can influence the result or play predictable games - it doesn`t works so.
Of course you can`t get 100% win rate, gambling can`t be 100% predictable, but you can win enough to get profit.
False, it seems you are missing a key understanding of statistics. In the context of outcomes, given enough repetitions (infinite time) any outcome that has a probability which is not zero will eventually happen. It does not matter if we are talking about random games or games where you can influence the result, the statistics principles apply to every single thing in existence. Here are some examples to avoid spreading misinformation:

  • A noob defeating a grandmaster in Chess is extremely improbable, but it is possible and with enough time it will happen.
  • An extremely unlikely outcome sequence such as 50 wins or 50 losses in a row will appear in every game that has this.

The first case involves games where both sides can influence it (skill), the second one doesn't. Get back to the basics of statistics before you start correcting people who have more years in the field than you have walked on this earth. Cheesy Do not spread misinformation about things that you do not understand.

If you’re betting on the winner market, then yes, there are always three possible outcomes on the line. But there are many other types of bets where you can exclude the third outcome yourself. For example, if you bet on totals, you can often choose over or under 2.5 goals, there is no third option there. This way, the probability can work more in your favor. The same applies to handicap betting, where you can also eliminate the third possible outcome in certain cases. This is exactly where strategy can help improve the probability of winning your bets.
Completely false nonsense again. The only part that is true is your description where you state that the third option is removed, everything else is misleading. In this way, the probability does not in any way improve your expected value. Reducing the number of possibilities is already factored in by the bookies, you are not gaining anything. Come on, this is the basic of the basics.

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May 08, 2026, 07:24:29 PM
 #163

The steps you are taking are basically the steps everyone should follow when they come to gambling. And I have something in common with you, and that is to mainly view gambling as entertainment.
But in my case, what I do is to set aside a bankroll of less than 5 percent of my income and salary for gambling every month and try to gamble with this for the month.
This basically helps me gamble in a stress-free way where I don't have to take any extra steps to deal with my losses. Because they are all within my power to lose.
That's a good approach, setting aside 5% or somewhere below that is a wise thing to do, but that's if that amount something you can actually afford to actually lose. The reason I say this is because not everyone is willing to lose up to 5% of their income, in fact there are people who cannot even afford to spare even up to 2% of their income, so any gambler who eventually finds themselve in this position should think twice before going ahead to allocate a particular amount of money to gambling, because the goal should be gambling with a fund they don't have a problem letting go.

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May 08, 2026, 09:21:33 PM
 #164

From the perspective of logic, it is a thinking error which we can label that way. However, from the standpoint of statistics it is just variance in outcomes. Given enough repetitions, anything that can happen will happen no matter how low the possibility of it happening. That is how it works. If enough people tried, eventually someone would win 100 times in a row by solely playing a ticket when he or she finds themselves in the process of pooping. Would that mean that the process of pooping increases the skills of a gambler?The answer for many idiots in this section would be a yes.  Cheesy
Your words are true for random(casino) games. When you can influence the result or play predictable games - it doesn`t works so.
Of course you can`t get 100% win rate, gambling can`t be 100% predictable, but you can win enough to get profit.
False, it seems you are missing a key understanding of statistics. In the context of outcomes, given enough repetitions (infinite time) any outcome that has a probability which is not zero will eventually happen. It does not matter if we are talking about random games or games where you can influence the result, the statistics principles apply to every single thing in existence. Here are some examples to avoid spreading misinformation:

  • A noob defeating a grandmaster in Chess is extremely improbable, but it is possible and with enough time it will happen.
  • An extremely unlikely outcome sequence such as 50 wins or 50 losses in a row will appear in every game that has this.

The first case involves games where both sides can influence it (skill), the second one doesn't. Get back to the basics of statistics before you start correcting people who have more years in the field than you have walked on this earth. Cheesy Do not spread misinformation about things that you do not understand.
Yeah, i understand your point of view. What probability to meet the dinosaur? 50% - you will meet him or not.
I especially marked you several words, that can be useful for you. Of course, you may be a professional in statistics, but may be it would be a good idea to visit some lessons where teach letters and words.

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