Powell OUT, Warsh IN as Fed Chairman SOON!

Trump is a bit of a brute and doesn't understand macroeconomics.

Higher rates were a hedge against inflation. There's many inflationary effects like oil prices as a direct result of the trump administration's actions right now.

If the FED lowers rates now, what is it going to help with?
The markets already performed very well with high rates.
Businesses kept having high profits in spite of inflation and the economy didn't collapse.

Does he think if rates are lowered now it's going to do any good?
I'm almost certain it was pointless to vote Powell out. Already he was very moderate.

There will be no point to see the S&P grow even more if a growing number of consumers have maxed their possible spending on basic goods and can't save at all. But I guess that's what they're rooting for now.

Lowering interest rates is a financial tool for stimulating entrepreneurial activity. However, this tool usually works very poorly (I'll explain in more detail below). 🙋

That is, it's a last resort, used when the economy has already accumulated enormous problems. Unemployment is high, no one wants to start new production... At this point, the temptation arises to offer cheap, practically free loans. This gives a chance to losers (bad entrepreneurs who have long wanted to start their own business but were afraid, realizing they lack the necessary skills). And if the loan is practically free, then they can overcome their fear and take a risk... But can losers create a truly strong economy?

This is precisely why interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve usually work so poorly. Because they are applied to an already troubled economy!

In the US, in my opinion, there is currently no reason to lower the Fed rate (other than the problem of servicing the enormous national debt). Unemployment in the country is low, oil prices are high, and there are no resources to create new industries...

The only logical reason for low interest rates now, in my opinion, is the illusory hope of devaluing the national debt through high inflation. Perhaps this is exactly what Donald Trump wants. But this is an incredibly dangerous gamble... In my opinion, it could lead to a complete abandonment of the US dollar both in the US and around the world. 🤷

That "complete abandonment" of the U.S. Dollar won't happen overnight though, no? It will probably take DECADES before it's actually "safe" for big economies like China and Japan to stop using the U.S. Dollar entirely.

The WHOLE Economic World System depends on it, and because Game Theory applies, even China doesn't want the Dollar system to fail.

At least three major economies (China, the European Union, and Russia) are currently preparing to transition to central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). 🙋

The United States is taking a different path. They are legalizing stablecoins, which require the creation of reserves, including bank Treasury bonds and US dollars. Essentially, these are the same fiat money, but with their own characteristics.

Will this system collapse instantly if inflation starts to accelerate? I don't think so. Although, when it comes to complex systems, anything is possible... They can exist for decades or centuries, and then suddenly collapse for no apparent reason.

I believe that since stablecoins are closely tied to Bitcoin, the price of Bitcoin will rise rapidly as inflation rises. This will eliminate the need to worry about the depreciation of the US dollar and stablecoins. Consumer markets will be sufficiently protected from inflation. On the other hand, many countries are moving away from the US dollar. And this is also a fact.

I'm not entirely sure what your point is, but none of those countries, including those countries in the European Union would want to U.S. Dollar to collapse. It's simply too useful for their economies.

Will they actually want to abandon it and kill their economies?

If you all talking about de-dollarization, it is still a work in the making and could take years to accomplish because almost every country of the world depend on the dollar and removing that without an already prepared backup currency like the BRICs currency or the crypto currency we are talking about here, won't just happen overnight.

Good thing that Kevin Warsh has officially been confirmed as the 17th Chairman of the federal reserve, I wonder that only one person has control as chairman of the federal reserve for central bank and cryptocurrency? Because how come he's the 17th if it is only as chairman of the crypto currency reserve banks which is distinct from the traditional central control bank.

One thing I know is that Kevin Warsh would have to sell off all his cryptocurrency holdings so as he doesn't get to make a biased decision as chairman, despite his vast technical knowledge of the crypto currencies world, why should someone be giving up their freedom of self sovereignty with cryptocurrencies asset across some major class worth almost $100 million, and despite the fact that he views Bitcoin as digital gold and a policy watchdog by his own understanding.

I bet Michael Saylor of microstrategy won't just sell off all his Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency he has acquired in all these years because he believes in the potential of Bitcoin, for one government position that watches his every move and decisions.

I think CBDC proponents want to create their own system of international financial settlements, independent of the US dollar (as the global reserve currency). It's just a very complex and lengthy process. 🙋

And you're absolutely right when you say it could take decades. First, CBDCs must be fully implemented in these countries. Only then can their central banks begin to consider unifying the international use of central bank digital currencies. It's a long process.

At the same time, the very creation of a CBDC precludes preserving the invariability of the US dollar. The old financial system based on the US dollar is crumbling before our eyes. Why is this happening? The point is that once the technology is created, you are forced to implement it, otherwise you will begin to lag behind the leaders of civilization. This is precisely why the US is now legalizing stablecoins.

So, the answer to your question is yes, the US dollar will gradually lose its position, while American stablecoins will gain wider adoption. For example, Iran is already actively using USDT to collect fees for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. This seems surprising.

Quote from: Smartprofit on May 21, 2026, 04:59:30 PM

They are not going to just stand and wait around for decades, they will do some other stuff while doing CDBC as well. But it is clear that the world is tired of the USD market covering the whole world and the yare selling it from their treasury as well.

Bitcoin in fact even plays a good role in this, there are many nations who sell their dollars and get bitcoin instead, not a lot, just a few thousand for now, so a small number, but in the end, all of the nations how had huge dollar number in their treasury is looking for a way to get out because dollar has been devalued way too much, and they have way too much debt for the future which makes it look like not a good idea to keep it for now. If USA gets better in near future, maybe it will go back, but right now it looks bad.

Stable coins are usually dollar biased or dollar based, hence it makes good sense for USA to back that phenomena and other major blocks such as EU or China to favor alternate implementations with less dollar bias.
Someone suggested recently that the stable coin usage rising is a back door entry for many minor countries' economies towards greater reliance on Dollar and I had not thought of it like that previously but seems a fair take. Even though dollar itself has falling value, the wider world has plenty of struggling economies where the people would benefit from stronger currency, BTC gains from that being true and the stable coins accelerate the acceptance of crypto in the common population generally by being more recognizable.

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Stablecoins are the biggest expansion of US monetary influence since Bretton Woods