There are 5 days left in May, bitcoin got to $78090 not long ago before falling back to $76500 which is the price presently. Did you check the daily candles? I used BB for it. Did you see double top? The first was on 21st and the second was today.
I do not know what will happen in the month of June, but this has shown us that bitcoin may not rise again this month above $78200.
Why did I post this on this thread? Swing traders and other traders should be able to answer that. I hope the month of June will not be bearish, but triple top in another month could indicate bear market.
Bitcoin dropped in a four-step staircase pattern early this year. The recovery shaping up for the second half of the year will move within those exact boundaries.
In April, Bitcoin cleared the first step, but in mid-May, an attempted breakout from the sideways consolidation triggered a deep correction. I've highlighted this area on the chart.
The fundamental backdrop here perfectly mirrors what we are seeing today. Just like back then, initial positive headlines about a Middle East ceasefire were completely overshadowed by news of stalled and dragging negotiations.
Bitcoin’s drop from the second-step resistance is also due to the uncertainty surrounding the reopening timeline of the Strait of Hormuz. However, we are currently at the local bottom, right at the tail end of this correction.
Iran has agreed to hand over its uranium—which is the key driver here—and the US is prepared to lift some of the sanctions. This sets the stage for a bullish trend in June, with BTC finally breaking out and securing a foothold above $80K by month-end.
From there, the path will open up toward $90K, the third-step resistance level.
