I do sports betting myself, and I do spend time analyzing before I place a bet, and actually I even check different sources just to compare stats and make sure I am not missing anything. But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.
That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?
Statistics and analysis are a wonderful and sound idea. If we’re talking about events that follow certain patterns, laws, or "mathematical formulas"
But sometimes a process that is entirely statistically predictable can go wrong due to completely unpredictable factors. A good example is in the neighboring thread:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5584294.0 Statistically, the result should have been different-100% different! But...