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Author Topic: THERE ARE NO CYCLES  (Read 307 times)
BlackHatCoiner (OP)
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Today at 06:58:47 AM
 #41

We enter a significant Bull Run every approximately four years.  And considering we have one significant run every Halving, is that not a cycle?
Maybe speculation about the halving does move the market. But, overtime the halving effect must be reduced; in the first four years 10.5 million bitcoin were mined, and the next four years it was 5.25 million, which is a massive difference. But, today, the reduction in new supply is simply too small to trigger bull runs of the same magnitude.

And we neither see the same pattern as "it used to". In the previous cycles, the bull run started after the halving. Last time, the bull run started before the halving.

 
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Wind_FURY
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Today at 07:28:20 AM
 #42

But there is, and it's actually still intact, no?



Are these really cycles? Or is it just bull markets followed by bear markets?


 

What you described is actually a cycle, no?

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

There are Market Cycles, Business Cycles, Boom/Bust Cycles, Bitcoin's Four-Year-Cycle - There are DIFFERENT Cycles, and it doesn't matter how you explain the "WHY" and the "HOW", they will always be there.

Although, they could change, BUT there will always be Cycles.

purple_sparkles
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Today at 09:42:28 AM
 #43

Cycles are patterns that tend to repeat themselves. In the case of bitcoin, this usually happens over a period of about four years. During that time, the price can fall significantly, and then later rise above the previous all-time high.Each cycle is different in its own way, but there is still a common pattern, growth toward a new maximum. That is why there is no need to focus too much on searching for differences and inconsistencies between cycles. It makes more sense to take advantage of the pattern that has continued to work so far. In my opinion, this is currently a very good time for accumulation.

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