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Author Topic: What kind of prediction is this?  (Read 134 times)
Oshosondy (OP)
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June 08, 2026, 07:24:14 AM
Last edit: June 08, 2026, 07:35:30 AM by Oshosondy
 #1

It is in another language, you can use a translator for it, but this is also it:

Quote
Bitcoin Long-Term Chart: A Huge Signal
The uptrend since December 2022 → has been broken.
A huge head and shoulders pattern is forming.

Technical Conclusion:
The market will likely test the long-term trendline since December 2018.
If it holds → bottom $25K - $27K

If it fails to hold → the entire structure needs to be reassessed.
This is not a prediction. This is the possibility that technical analysis is telling you.

Long-term trendlines don't lie.
It's just a matter of whether you're willing to read it.
The structure has changed. Your thinking needs to change too.

https://x.com/Wuming_Mr_/status/2063642890140541240?s=20

I do not know someone can predict that bitcoin may go down to $25000 - $27000.

And some people will believe such a person.

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June 08, 2026, 07:43:08 AM
 #2

There's no impossibility in the market and technical analysis surly doesn't lie. It now depends on the level of experience of the person who is analysing the structures and giving his own view of the market. Bitcoin broke the long term trendline, and normally when a trendline is broken to any direction it signifies a shift in structure on a long term. But here is the catch. Trendline doesn't just function because there is a break. We have other ways and method of confirming if a trendline breakout is actually going to push the market towards the opposite direction. Everyone can draw a trendline but only a few can confirm it's price action, so there's little to worry about. Technically it might hold, but we don't have only one view of the market. We analyse using both technical and fundamentals so both has to align for price to make certain moves.

R


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Oshosondy (OP)
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June 08, 2026, 08:50:25 AM
 #3

technical analysis surly doesn't lie
What if a coin is oversold according to a technical analysis, thinking it will rise back and you bought the coin and it it later continue the selling trend?

What if a coin is overbought, thinking the price will come down, but the buying trend continues?

Although it is from the technical analysis that I know that the person is very wrong. From the weekly and monthly candles, they are only pointing to the price not going much below $60000.

At worst, bitcoin is not goong below $46000. I do not even think it can go to that point because if this $60000 remain too long, any further dip to $50000 - $55000 will be a significant buy back.

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June 08, 2026, 08:55:02 AM
 #4

There could be lost in translation?

In any case, this could be one of the loom and doop prediction, as I haven't seen a prediction that says we will go and test the $20k'ish. Almost all others that predicts that price is on the $50k'ish as the lowest low.

I'm not saying that I don't believed this prediction, but the likely hood to happen might be slim.


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June 08, 2026, 09:34:31 AM
 #5

Havent seen a prediction as low as $25k so far - it does seem extremely low though.

It could possibly just be an attempt to influence the followers and others like a self fulling prophesy, maybe
Wuming_Mr_ really desperately wants to buy at $25k and is trying his damnest to make the market drop?

I wonder if there is anyone who is following this market trendline he talks about or is it just nonsense?

Personally I want to buy Bitcoin at the cheapest price ATM but I doubt the market will get a chance to go that
low, the lower it goes surely the greater the buy pressure?

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June 08, 2026, 10:03:48 AM
 #6

Actually, the market structure on the monthly time frame is looking like a head and shoulder pattern but I think is not so accurate like the obvious head and shoulder pattern. In the middle of his post, he said it's not a prediction, lol. Just a probability that technical analysis has shown but we also know that that can be very inaccurate. The only time I will believe that this can happen is if price falls below the $49k support level but if price continues to go uptrend again, then it might brake above the $83k resistance.

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June 08, 2026, 12:39:05 PM
 #7

Are you unhappy just because someone predicted a 25-27K Bitcoin price bottom? We should be happy, if the BTC price ever hits such bottom.
Buying at 25-27K and selling at 120K or 150K would be awesome. I wonder what would trigger such low price bottom. The Trump administration suddenly becoming anti-crypto? Grin The war in the Middle East going on an escalation and causing a global oil shortage(highly unlikely to happen in the long run)? The AI bubble bursting and the S&P 500 collapsing(this has nothing to do with Bitcoin, but a crash on one major market can cause massive selloffs in other financial markets)?

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June 08, 2026, 01:24:12 PM
 #8

I do not see a head and shoulders on the monthly. Maybe with a lot of imagination you could potentially argue there is a similar pattern with a slanted neckline and a smaller right shoulder but this is not a true head and shoulders.

I would not mind 25-28k though. Good way to quadruple your money once Bitcoin inevitably goes back to 100k, which is what everyone is waiting for. Who would be generous to sell me 25k bitcoin?

Unlike twitter crypto "influencers" I am not callous enough to spread FUD to achieve that discount.

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June 08, 2026, 02:08:43 PM
 #9

Havent seen a prediction as low as $25k so far - it does seem extremely low though.

It could possibly just be an attempt to influence the followers and others like a self fulling prophesy, maybe
Wuming_Mr_ really desperately wants to buy at $25k and is trying his damnest to make the market drop?

I wonder if there is anyone who is following this market trendline he talks about or is it just nonsense?

Personally I want to buy Bitcoin at the cheapest price ATM but I doubt the market will get a chance to go that
low, the lower it goes surely the greater the buy pressure?
Yeah, 25k seems like way too down, I understand going lower, and I do expect it to go lower too, but not to 25k. I think around 60k should be the bottom this time around, I am expecting it to stay above 55k, I am saying around 60k so under 55k is possible too, but going under 40k would be a big crash and I do not expect that to happen that easily.

Maybe something like it goes to 50k for one day and bounce back up as the absolute bottom but that is all that I can see it happening.

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June 08, 2026, 03:26:41 PM
 #10

technical analysis surly doesn't lie
What if a coin is oversold according to a technical analysis, thinking it will rise back and you bought the coin and it it later continue the selling trend?

What if a coin is overbought, thinking the price will come down, but the buying trend continues?

Although it is from the technical analysis that I know that the person is very wrong. From the weekly and monthly candles, they are only pointing to the price not going much below $60000.

At worst, bitcoin is not goong below $46000. I do not even think it can go to that point because if this $60000 remain too long, any further dip to $50000 - $55000 will be a significant buy back.
Let see how the current bitcoin market trend plays out, and I understand with you onnthe analysis or thought that bitcoin can never go down to $46000. But we can't also be too confident enough and not say never, because of the unpredictable nature of bitcoin market movement since December 2025 to thus very moment, with such market reality we can be forced to shift focus from being too bullish to being bearish, although this is just speculations.

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June 08, 2026, 08:07:44 PM
 #11

Actually, the market structure on the monthly time frame is looking like a head and shoulder pattern but I think is not so accurate like the obvious head and shoulder pattern. In the middle of his post, he said it's not a prediction, lol. Just a probability that technical analysis has shown but we also know that that can be very inaccurate. The only time I will believe that this can happen is if price falls below the $49k support level but if price continues to go uptrend again, then it might brake above the $83k resistance.
I think it comes out clearly on the weekly timeframe chart pattern, I mean the head and shoulders pattern but definitely not so accurate neither does it look dependable as the OP is sure of in his post. There has being periods that this patterns forms but later changes the direction maybe due to an unexpected fundamental structures affecting demand and supply thereby erasing all technical analysis that was almost looking accurate to the analyst. Price going below $49k would apparently require a strong market sentiment at the macro levels.

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June 08, 2026, 11:53:36 PM
 #12

I do not know someone can predict that bitcoin may go down to $25000 - $27000.
You probably haven't seen them, I even read people waiting for it to come down to $10k. They might be trolling or they're serious.

It's a prediction after all.

And some people will believe such a person.
That's okay because that's how it works. When someone tells the world what they want to hear, they'll believe that.

There's no right or wrong with that and that's free speech for every prediction that we read.

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Today at 03:36:44 AM
 #13

I do not know someone can predict that bitcoin may go down to $25000 - $27000.
You probably haven't seen them, I even read people waiting for it to come down to $10k. They might be trolling or they're serious.

It's a prediction after all.

I don’t see anything unusual about that. For last year, there were predictions that the price would reach half a million, with some even suggesting it could hit a million. And in the previous cycle, there were also very optimistic predictions that didn’t come to pass. So it’s not unusual, in a bearish market, to have fairly pessimistic predictions. Whether they come true is another matter. The more exaggerated they are in either direction, the less likely they are to come true.


 
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Today at 05:23:50 AM
 #14

Are you unhappy just because someone predicted a 25-27K Bitcoin price bottom? We should be happy, if the BTC price ever hits such bottom.
Buying at 25-27K and selling at 120K or 150K would be awesome. I wonder what would trigger such low price bottom. The Trump administration suddenly becoming anti-crypto? Grin The war in the Middle East going on an escalation and causing a global oil shortage(highly unlikely to happen in the long run)? The AI bubble bursting and the S&P 500 collapsing(this has nothing to do with Bitcoin, but a crash on one major market can cause massive selloffs in other financial markets)?


I do not think Bitcoin will drop to $25k-$27k. But actually, if that happen, we should be glad, as it would be an opportunity to generate huge profit in the future.

The bursting of the AI bubble is the most likely scenario, but honestly, I am somewhat skeptical about it. We have been discussing this possibility since last year, but so far there is been no indication that it will happen. On the contrary, the demand and trends for AI are growing even more strongly.

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Today at 05:44:22 AM
 #15

I am happy if that's really happens Grin

It is normal if people believes and waiting for that moment comes and delaying their buying time. But we don't have just believes them like that without research and observation.

No one know or could predict accurately so I consider that still just prediction from them.

Instead that is really happen or not, we should prepares for anything so we will not panic and could use the moment for our benefit.

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Today at 06:01:36 PM
 #16

I do not know someone can predict that bitcoin may go down to $25000 - $27000.
You probably haven't seen them, I even read people waiting for it to come down to $10k. They might be trolling or they're serious.

It's a prediction after all.

I don’t see anything unusual about that. For last year, there were predictions that the price would reach half a million, with some even suggesting it could hit a million. And in the previous cycle, there were also very optimistic predictions that didn’t come to pass. So it’s not unusual, in a bearish market, to have fairly pessimistic predictions. Whether they come true is another matter. The more exaggerated they are in either direction, the less likely they are to come true.
Yes, not unusual and many of these predictions comes out timely and they're favoring whatever is the current situation of the market.

So for those who are predicting lowly of the price, they're basing it off through the bear market.

And wait until this bear is done and we go back to the bull run and before that which is the halving, we'll see again the high predictions.

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Today at 06:44:34 PM
 #17

I think there is no point in paying attention to such predictions. People are free to predict whatever they think and its up to us not to follow any prediction but to make decisions after doing necessary research. When Bitcoin price is going down, we hear such predictions that Bitcoin is going to extraordinary low value. Right now $60,000 is providing good support to Bitcoin and it looks like once again Bitcoin will avoid going below $60,000.

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Today at 07:36:06 PM
 #18

There are already so many predictions circulating online from "experts". But this is a prediction that, honestly, is way off the mark. People might say that nothing is impossible in the market, but still, realistic analysis and logic should be required—if it's like this, I don't see it as an objective analysis. But whatever the case, people still have the right to make their own analyses, whether one choose to take them seriously or not is entirely up to them.

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Today at 08:38:23 PM
 #19

https://x.com/Wuming_Mr_/status/2063642890140541240?s=20

I do not know someone can predict that bitcoin may go down to $25000 - $27000.

And some people will believe such a person.

That’s actually crazy, real crazy.

For the lots that feel they had lost the opportunity to invest in Bitcoin when the price was way low and didn’t have much for worth, of course this is the kind of prediction they want to hear, that price would some day dump to a point where they wouldn’t feel cheated when they put in their money.

Now seems like the time when such news would be very believable, when the market is dumping and it creates a fertile mind for this sort of prediction to take hold and bloom. Unfortunately, that’s not going to happen.

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Today at 08:42:48 PM
 #20

Although that sounds unconvincing, but do you remember that the bearish history of Bitcoin collapsed in 2018 reaching around 84%, then in 2022 Bitcoin collapsed to around 77.5%.

I think as long as no one says Bitcoin will reach 1000$ it's still legitimate. Especially to those who can show their technical analysis with valid data.
Honestly, I'm a person who values analysis, not just opinions. Because many people just talk without any basis, yes in the end they reject the price of Bitcoin down with a hope.

This is not to say that I agree with him what he said, just that I want to emphasize that all possibilities in crypto can happen at any time. considering the history of Bitcoin, I have also clearly mentioned above.

One thing to keep in mind is that Bitcoin is currently only down about 52% from its ATH price last year.

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.Duelbits PREDICT..
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.WHERE EVERYTHING IS A MARKET..
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Will Bitcoin hit $200,000
before January 1st 2027?

    No @1.15         Yes @6.00    
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