60% of World Cup bettors on Polymarket were first-time crypto user

[suzanne5223]

I think this is the first time i will see something impressive from Polymarket due to how the 60% of the people who use crypto through their platform will experience the benefit, ease, and importance of crypto for the first time, which i believe will somehow build some enthusiasm among the people. But i just hope the Polymarket team won't use their shady gaming service to ruin everything.

[KTChampions]

In my opinion, this is a questionable study, I don’t see any justification for these percentages. In any case, I think the influx of newcomers to every gambling platform (including Polymarket) increases during major sporting events, which undoubtedly include the World Cup, so drawing conclusions based on such statistics is incorrect. As for Polymarket, they have an optional KYC and turn a blind eye to VPN use, so it's not surprising that, given the tightening of restrictions on internet users, they have a worldwide audience.

But the on-chain analysis of Bitget Wallet on Eight-fifty-seven thousand active users of Polymarket is very important. They can view direct wallet creation and activity connected to the platform.

You know,  they never claimed that all of these 60% users will hodl crypto for life. But it is more accessible than the old bookies stuck in legal regulations. Again, the advantage of crypto in borderless betting is revealed in its medium.

I think many of them are short-term gamblers but each new wallet will serve as a potential touchpoint for Bitcoin in the next cycle. I have seen such onboarding during election and sports events as well. Some users drop out of course, but the network effect is still compounded

I doubt it's possible to accurately define a wallet as "new" in the sense that it belongs to a crypto newbie. Many seasoned players create new wallets for specific events, maybe even several, but in the statistics, they will all show up as "newbies." That's why I don't trust these statistics at all. The only thing you can gather from them is that the World Cup is a big event and attracts a large audience, but that's true for all platforms, even traditional ones.

[X-ray]

The truth is that they are using crypto for the betting purpose. They have no intention to hold it for long term. To be fair, web3 market prediction aka gambling market prediction brings gateway for unfamiliar people to join crypto. However, as per the latest data. more than 60% of them are suffering the lose.

So it makes they have insignificant contribution to the crypto. Expecting these new users to push crypto doesn't match to the reality.

[rdluffy]

...
The truth is that they are using crypto for the betting purpose. They have no intention to hold it for long term. To be fair, web3 market prediction aka gambling market prediction brings gateway for unfamiliar people to join crypto. However, as per the latest data. more than 60% of them are suffering the lose.

So it makes they have insignificant contribution to the crypto. Expecting these new users to push crypto doesn't match to the reality.

I think some people might enjoy using crypto and stick with it

Everyone who uses crypto had an initial entry point
Mine was through ETH mining, others might have gotten started via betting and prediction markets

Ultimately, I believe this adds value, after all, they are using wallets and on-ramps, interacting with a network, paying transaction fees, and using the service (Polymarket)
At the end of the day, it represents real-world usage

[Charles-Tim]

The truth is that they are using crypto for the betting purpose. They have no intention to hold it for long term. To be fair, web3 market prediction aka gambling market prediction brings gateway for unfamiliar people to join crypto. However, as per the latest data. more than 60% of them are suffering the lose.

There is no way few among the 60% new users will not hold bitcoin. I may not be correct, but that is what I think.

Polymarket was found with deceitful marketing recently, this could be one of the reasons many people are registering on the site to win money, but after they lose money, they will understand that it is about gambling.