The current market situation has been relatively good since the beginning of this month, the price of Bitcoin in July is in a much better position than before. I do not see any possibility of the price of Bitcoin down $50,000 this month, I expect the price of Bitcoin to be between $65,000 and $70,000 in July and the price of Bitcoin may increase further in the coming month. The quickly fall or increase in the price of Bitcoin makes this process more attractive to general people to investing.
Based on how the market has moved since the start of the month, there is nothing wrong with thinking Bitcoin is unlikely to drop to $50k this month. But I would not rule it out completely.
The bear market is not over yet, and all it take is one event to change market sentiment and send the price the other way.
Bitcoin was above $80k in May, then fell below $60k in June. So I do not think it makes sense to base longer term prediction, or even next month's outlook on short term price action alone.