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Author Topic: I'll watch a team to get profitable, this new season  (Read 1033 times)
Sammye3
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July 23, 2026, 09:45:58 AM
 #41

This should be another good strategy to stay profitable, more like compiling profits over time but it also has a limiting advantage because it would have little profits on return when betting on only a single game and a loss would entirely wipe out your winning streak.

In a case of a strong opponent like Manchester City, Chelsea or Manchester United, other options could be considered aside a straight win or it's best to avoid such games because the outcome could go the other way round. Patience and discipline is needed in this kind of betting strategy.

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July 23, 2026, 09:54:02 AM
 #42

This should be another good strategy to stay profitable, more like compiling profits over time but it also has a limiting advantage because it would have little profits on return when betting on only a single game and a loss would entirely wipe out your winning streak.

In a case of a strong opponent like Manchester City, Chelsea or Manchester United, other options could be considered aside a straight win or it's best to avoid such games because the outcome could go the other way round. Patience and discipline is needed in this kind of betting strategy.
Then you should have a completely different strategy, one that clearly defines what you'll do against a stronger opponent. Here, the OP suggests a very simple and straightforward one, where you always bet on the favorite. But I think many of us have tried this strategy, and it's unlikely to produce the expected results. Unless your goal is simply to come out with at least a small profit, then I think it might work.

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July 23, 2026, 09:58:41 AM
 #43

Have you ever tried long term sports betting across multiple leagues? Or are you only talking about your experience with the WC?

I've tried it several times, and there have even been people here who experimented by always betting on the favorite in every match, like Arsenal or other top teams. In the long run, it wasn't profitable.

The odds on favorites are simply too low, and all the profits you've made can be wiped out by a single upset, when an underdog beats the favorite. There are no guarantees of winning in the long run when it comes to sports betting.  Wink
People are prone to error. In this case, for me, that's exactly it. Such thoughts develop into overconfidence. And where does that lead? To losing bets. Many years ago, I made exactly the same mistake. I believed in myself too much and was punished for it by losing money. Isn't it time to think more reasonably and rationally? Betting and gambling should be approached with a cool head and without unnecessary emotional tension.

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July 23, 2026, 10:18:58 AM
 #44

I wish you success in gambling!

However, I want to point out that, in my opinion, betting on the favorite isn't always a winning strategy. Yes, Argentina is a strong football team, but there were other strong teams at the World Cup (for example, Germany) that lost early and were eliminated.

The likelihood of Argentina losing quickly was certainly low. However, if this had happened, you would have lost a significant amount of money. Bookmakers set odds based on the potential of a given football team.

Generally speaking, the less you risk, the more you stand to lose if an unlikely event does occur. And vice versa. The more you risk, the more you stand to win if an underdog team actually defeats their opponent.

You don't necessarily have to bet on the favorite. The key is to bet on the winner! But the problem is that until the match is over, we don't know who will win.🤔


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July 23, 2026, 10:37:26 AM
 #45

In fact, it is great and deserving of a proper study, not to be thrown away, to be profitable over a World Cup. Argentina logic was right at the start, defending champions with tournament experience, world class keeper, and Messi still at the top of his game. This is not blind betting. It is reading value correctly. However, the approach was not proven wrong by their loss in the final as Argentina did reach the final as predicted.
Things get more complicated with the Premier League switch, however, One tournament with clear favorite is very different to 38 game season with different factors affecting every game such as form, injury, game schedule and squad rotation. Fact that Arsenal are strong does not mean that they win every week and blind loyalty betting on one team in a season will mostly come to a bad end.
It is the proper habit to track your actual profit and loss the way you did. Most people dont like it because of numbers. Continue this with Arsenal and see ifmethod works on larger set of tests.

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July 23, 2026, 10:47:55 AM
 #46

Profitability will unfailingly rely in chance. If you only bet because you want to earn money with it, you will not only waste your money, but also your time. But if you bet because you enjoy watching the matches and you want to maximize the thrill, then the money and time will be well spent.

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July 23, 2026, 10:56:41 AM
 #47

You know they said in significant amount of time your pnl in gambling will be in loss,
But I don't think that's the case for soccer gambling (for few people). At the end of this world cup I calculated all my profits and all my losses and I came to realize that I was in profit from the starting to the ending of the world cup so that got me thinking there is actually profitability in gambling as well
But you can only be profitable when you strictly follow some setting things and I will speak based on my experience.
Argentina had the upper hand of defending champions that alone will increase their desperation,
In addition they have good and experienced players and most importantly their keeper will prevent them from conceding goals, so with all these I definitely knew they might end up winning or worst case scenario getting to the finals, and with this I always place them to win in all their matches and results I got profitable in this world cup.

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.

Your wins in sports betting during the World Cup aren't a benchmark for generalizing bets. Even though you have a benchmark for each team's chances, we've seen France, Argentina, Portugal, England, the Netherlands, and even Germany eliminated. This demonstrates how difficult it is for gamblers to place bets correctly. Besides your wins during the World Cup, there are also many significant losses for gamblers who bet throughout the World Cup.

Okay, let's see if the winning benchmark applies throughout the domestic league.

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July 23, 2026, 11:00:22 AM
 #48

You got lucky, that's all I can say about you being in profit despite picking Argentina over other teams in every match but is it even categorized as a strategy? I don't think so because you did nothing, you just picked a strong team and bet on them just like the majority of sports bettors. Probably you did that for the whole tournament which makes you different from casual ones.

Arsenal for the Premier League is a good pick but I don't think you can be in profit all the time with this strategy.


Luck was really on his side all through the game else it would have been a huge loss, because there is nothing strategic about it reason being that he already knows how good Argentina is and it turns out that his prediction was right, lot of bettors did the same thing and were lucky too,  that is the confidence from their previous performances so no doubt, everyone expected and believe that they will not be anything close to going below the level they have attain to, games are so strange that at times our prediction is just the expected result while some times it's the opposite.

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July 23, 2026, 11:02:46 AM
 #49

Most of the favorites won their games during the World Cup, and I think that's the reason why you have good results regarding your bets in the said event.

If you apply this to other events or leagues, we still don't know if it will also have a positive result. You might want to check the records of Arsenal and their matches in the Premier League. Check their winning rate and also the draws.
Also, you have to consider the odds that the oddsmaker will input. If they are always the favorite and losing some games, you might still be in the red because of the low multipliers that will be given if they win and also the favorite.

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July 23, 2026, 11:06:28 AM
 #50

You know they said in significant amount of time your pnl in gambling will be in loss,
But I don't think that's the case for soccer gambling (for few people). At the end of this world cup I calculated all my profits and all my losses and I came to realize that I was in profit from the starting to the ending of the world cup so that got me thinking there is actually profitability in gambling as well

The end of the World Cup is a really good stage to take stock of your betting aspirations and think about how profitable the episode turned out to be. Of course, like everyone else, I bet on one of the teams, and Spain won.
My opinion was based on the fact that at one point my friends and I thought that Argentina, in fact, had not met a single truly serious opponent. I don't want to say anything bad about Messi, he's always a legend. But the loss of his team allowed the totality of my bets to be a plus.

 
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July 23, 2026, 11:07:09 AM
 #51

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.
Come on man, why would you plan to have a very boring experience in a whole season by betting on only Arsenal to win all their matches, it's too rigid for me. Would you also bet blindly if you see they have lesser chances on winning?

The world cup only lasted for a little over a month, but a new season lasts for 9 months, it's such a long time to be that rigid Grin. Anyways, its your decision.

I wouldn't do that myself, being a lover of parlays and someone who watches multiple matches, I've a lot of favorites which I always patronize, and most importantly there would be lots of developments in the season proceedings which should shape my decisions at some certain points in the competition. I don't see myself being that rigid at all.

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July 23, 2026, 11:14:27 AM
 #52

The end of the World Cup is a really good stage to take stock of your betting aspirations and think about how profitable the episode turned out to be. Of course, like everyone else, I bet on one of the teams, and Spain won.
My opinion was based on the fact that at one point my friends and I thought that Argentina, in fact, had not met a single truly serious opponent. I don't want to say anything bad about Messi, he's always a legend. But the loss of his team allowed the totality of my bets to be a plus.

Argentina evokes a lot of mixed emotions, I don't want to discuss it now, but their matches leave more questions than answers. Spain couldn't beat Argentina and only managed to do so in extra time, when Argentina received a red card. I also placed a few bets on Argentina at this World Cup, but I didn't think about betting on them throughout the entire tournament because they had different opponents, and it's always more difficult for me to bet on national teams because I don't know how well they play.

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July 23, 2026, 12:10:45 PM
 #53

.
Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.


Gambling will still be fun if you risk a less significant amount, every season is not always the same, your favorite team could end up underperforming the way you might have expect them to perform and that could cause you losing the huge amount which you said you will be playing with. For the fact that the FIFA World Cup must have made you profitable is not a guarantee that same will happen in the primer league season. 

I also made profit in the World Cup but I never risked with the money that I couldn't have afford to lose and it was still fun.

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July 23, 2026, 12:33:54 PM
 #54

Winning in gambling can't be predicted, but one of the things to consider in betting on a team to win.

- The first thing to look out for is the general performance of the team, and
- secondly, the individual performance of the players on the team and how consistent the team is in winning their games.

Gambling is uncertain, and there is no doubt about it, but there is a need for critical reasoning about why a team must be chosen as the winner. Unexpected mistakes can occur from a team, which might prevent them from winning as usual, but performance is what needs to be looked at because it can bring better chances to win a bet.

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July 23, 2026, 01:09:52 PM
 #55

and with this I always place them to win in all their matches and results I got profitable in this world cup.
As far as I remember, this has been discussed before.
Consistently bet on strong teams or the ones we predict will become champions at the end of the season.
The ones that need to be consistent aren't just the teams we pick, but also us in consistently choosing them, even if those teams might have a few losses or draws, because sometimes we can change, and the odds might not be good, so 1-2 losses could wipe out our capital.

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July 23, 2026, 01:27:55 PM
 #56

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.

I know that way, you might be more careful with your bets. So you would only bet on teams that you actually monitor and have a chance of winning in the long run. 
Would you only bet on just one team? Or maybe you could try the top teams from each major league that have a higher chance of winning. Bets like that could be considered long-term bets, maybe half a season or a full season.

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July 23, 2026, 01:28:56 PM
 #57

You know they said in significant amount of time your pnl in gambling will be in loss,
But I don't think that's the case for soccer gambling (for few people). At the end of this world cup I calculated all my profits and all my losses and I came to realize that I was in profit from the starting to the ending of the world cup so that got me thinking there is actually profitability in gambling as well

Is profitability in gambling, this is from the gamblers end and we have to see it that not all gamblers will still make it to be in profitable in gambling, because we are all not playing the same game or using the same option when it comes to gambling decision, the risk we also takes differs from each other, all these are part of what in make it more difficult for some gamblers to be profitable and at the same time make it easier for some to achieve something while gambling, this means same condition does not remain applicable to everyone in gambling.

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July 23, 2026, 01:36:17 PM
 #58

I believe you were just on the lucky side that’s why it was profitable to you throughout the World Cup and it wasn’t to some persons too. As you said about watching a team on their general performance, and also performance of the players involved, how often the team is always on the winning side, is another advantage when betting but one might not be lucky always, that’s why it is gambling.

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July 23, 2026, 01:59:49 PM
 #59

You know which competition in this forum you can spend a lot of time in but you will after 2 or 3 seasons almost guarantee profit? Bitcointalk Sports Fanatics League, come and join it OP and everyone,,, you start for free if you are new, and play all the weeks every for around 18 rounds, and win prizes. Currently,,, sponsored by Rainbet and it is freebets every week and cash prizes every season.

There is a fee in upper levels but usually your prize covers the fee plus some.

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July 23, 2026, 02:35:48 PM
 #60

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.
You are not the first person to do that and people have been doing it t place bet though you have a good knowledge to analyze the teams before betting but that will not give you a guarantee win. You can still loss flat and you can see what Argentina was playing in the recently concluded World Cup. They can come from behind after they have received some goals down and still win the match and that can happen to any team. Therefore don't solonmly depends on that strateg. 

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