‎Who will win the 2026 Ballon D'or?

[yixichloro2xx]

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‎Date: October 26, 2026
‎Location: London, England
‎Edition: 70th anniversary ceremony (first time hosted in London)
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‎Hello guys ,now that a new season is starting and also the Ballon d'or award is also coming up, I decided to share my top 5 candidates for this year’s award.
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‎I will be providing  their individual statistic, award and achievements for both clubs and National team.
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‎These are my personal picks, and I would love to hear your own opinions and rankings as well.
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‎CANDIDATES

‎-Harry kane (Bayern Munich/England) FW

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‎Major Season stats (2025-2026) + world  cup
‎ 1. Goals -- 69 goals
‎ 2. Assist --- 8 Assists
‎ 3. Goals contributions --77 goals      contributions
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‎ Major  Trophies/awards
1. ‎Bundesliga 🏆
2. ‎DFL-supercup🏆
3. ‎FIFA world cup Bronze medal (3rd place) 🥉
4. ‎European Golden boot
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‎-Lamine Yamal (Barcelona/Spain) FW

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‎Major Season stats (2025-2026) + world cup
‎ 1. Goals -- 25 goals
‎ 2. Assist ---  17 Assists
‎ 3. Goals contributions -- 42 goals contributions
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‎ Major  Trophies/awards
‎  1. Laliga trophy 🏆
‎  2. Spanish super cup  🏆
‎  3. FIFA world cup Champion 🏆
‎  4. La liga player of the season
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‎-kylian Mbappe  (Real Madrid/France) FW

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‎Major Season stats (2025-2026) + world cup
‎  1. Goals -- 54 goals
‎  2. Assist --- 11 Assists
‎  3. Goals contributions --65 goals  contributions
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‎ Major  Trophies/awards
‎  1. La liga top scorer award Pichichi
‎   2. UEFA Champions Golden boot
‎   3. FIFA world cup Golden boot
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‎-Osumane Dembele (PSG/France) FW

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‎Major Season stats (2025-2026) + world cup
‎  1. Goals -- 25 goals
‎   2. Assist --- 15 Assists
‎   3. Goals contributions -- 40 goal       contributions
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‎ Major  Trophies/awards
‎   1. Ligue 1🏆
‎   2. UEFA champions league 🏆
‎   3.  UEFA super cup 🏆
‎   4.  FIFA intercontinental champions 🏆
   5. ‎ Ligue 1 player of the season
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‎-Rodri (Manchester city/Spain) DMF

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‎Major Season stats (2025-2026) + world cup
‎ 1. Goals -- 2 goals
‎ 2. Assist --- 1  Assists
‎ 3. Goals contributions --3 goal       contributions
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‎ Major  Trophies/awards
‎1. FA cup winner 🏆
‎2. EFL cup winner 🏆
‎3. FIFA world cup winner 🏆
‎4. FIFA world cup golden ball (best player of the tournament)
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‎Drop your opinions 👇👇

Well, all the above listed players performed excellently well in their various leagues but unfortunately Mpappe didn't get to the world cup finals and didn't win a major trophy this season but he has scored a lot of goals and won three golden boats awards and also ranked the highest goalscorer in the world cup history for the moment and if he has won a major trophy to me he deserves to be name the Ballon Dior winner but he's out of the discuss now due to not winning a trophy.

Kane and lamine Yamal are in better position to debate for the award because Yamal won the world Cup and other trophies while Kane placed in third place in the world cup so between this two if the Ballon Dior is awarded to any of them it will be a deserving one without bias, Harry Kane would have been at an advantage if he had won the world cup but I see Yamal winning the Ballon Dior because of his world cup trophy.

You made a nice point, if we were to look at these 5 candidates the battle is between Harry kane and Lamine Yamal. Kane showed us one his best performance this season, breaking alot of goal records. Did well in the FIFA world cup till the semi-final, he won 2 titles and medal, but I feel the world cup might give Yamal an advantage over here. Even Yamal didn't really perform well in the world cup, but if we look at his Season at club with Barcelona were Rahphina wasn't really available, Lewandowski wasn't really that good, Yamal really carried Barcelona. The world cup will surely be the winning card here. Harry kane lost the Bundesliga POTY to Olise while Yamal won the POTY in laliga, so Yamal still looks like the favorites here. Mbappe might end up in 3rd position because he didn't win anything in both club and national levels expect goals (golden boot). And one of the Ballon d'or criteria might involve trophies.

[Webutxo]

Honestly, I think people who vote for these guys are so biased and don't really put into consideration all these contributions towards the game.. if really it was going to be based on impact and contributions I would say Mbappe to win it, but because of his attitude they might not give him the votes to land the Ballon d'Or !

What are the odds that old time favourite "Messi" can return it strange things happening in football these days

Young Yamal isn't ready for this one unfortunately, still needs some polishing 

I don't think we can make conclusions about Balon D'or vote if we don't know the criteria they used to make list of contestants. How do you give all credits to Mbape and you forgot Kane. He is one the players that crush his domestic league, he had highest goal like Mbape had in Laliga, Mbape had 15 goals as and become highest goals score in the Champions League while Kane had 14, just 1 goals, the world cup kane had 6 while Mbape had 10, the difference are not much but Mbape did not have any trophy.

Everywhere, the Balon D'or winner is always controversial that's why I don't bother myself on who is going to win and who is going to lose. We don't know what voters are going to use, it's like unanimous decisions and there is nothing you can do about the result, it's best to enjoy who they are going to give the award and go back to your sleep. If they like, they should give it to Yamal, we can't change the decision of the voters.

[sokani]

Yesterday I saw Ronaldo's opinion on this matter and it made me nervous (because I bet on Kane to win and Yamal not to receive the prize), he thinks that Mbappe should win the prize because last season was not dominant for anyone, but Mbappe is the best in an individual sense (he repeats this argument too).
Ronaldo is influential, maybe his opinion will make someone change their vote.

Do you expect Ronaldo to throw his weight behind Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal, or any other player? Of course, not. His choice will be Mbappe. Ronaldo is being biased, and I'm not surprised because he's an ex-Real Madrid star. If I were you, I wouldn't worry too much. His opinion won't really matter. Also, I read your initial post where you made a compelling argument why you think Kane will win the Ballon d'Or, and you are indeed spot on.

[puloweh555]

If the choice were based on World Cup trophies, I think Rodry is the deserving winner not Yamal. Rodry performance this season was brilliant, including leading Spain to the World Cup title where he also won the Golden Ball award as the tournament's best player. His chances of winning the award again are high for several other reasons, such as his role as Spain most central player throughout the World Cup.

But if the Ballon d'Or were based on individual success, then I would make Mbappe my favorite to win. He was the top scorer in the last two World Cups and is now the all time top scorer in the World Cup with 22 goals in just three World Cups. Furthermore, he can also be the top scorer in three different competitions in a single season La Liga, the Champions League, and the World Cup. Even though he won no trophies with Real Madrid last season, his status as the top scorer in the World Cup is more tempting than Rodri as the Spanish captain who had the status of the best player who successfully led Spain to win the World Cup.

[Ashawowo(OS)]

If the choice were based on World Cup trophies, I think Rodry is the deserving winner not Yamal. Rodry performance this season was brilliant, including leading Spain to the World Cup title where he also won the Golden Ball award as the tournament's best player. His chances of winning the award again are high for several other reasons, such as his role as Spain most central player throughout the World Cup.

I was about dropping this point when I saw yours... Good Points!!. Rodri should be a better contender if it is only cup victories that places the edge, but Rodri had some challenges earlier last season which stalled his club performance, so if they combine club and country performance, Yamal tops him. I'm yet to see how Yamal or Mbappe is more deserving of getting this recognition than Kane. Kane was in super form last season, up until world cup. He has all it takes to win it.

But if the Ballon d'Or were based on individual success, then I would make Mbappe my favorite to win. He was the top scorer in the last two World Cups and is now the all time top scorer in the World Cup with 22 goals in just three World Cups.

Ballon d'Or is given with respect to the current football year, your past records doesn't really count to the points for consideration in giving the award for a current year.

[moneystery]

Of these names, they all have an equally good chance of winning the Ballon d'Or. But my feeling is that Mbappe will win the Ballon d'Or this year. Although he didn't win the World Cup, he was the top scorer at the last World Cup and made a significant contribution to France's performance. He also had 42 goals and 7 assists in all competitions last season. His only weakness was not winning a single major trophy last season, which was quite unfortunate, but considering it from an individual perspective, his case is still incredibly strong to win the Ballon d'Or this time.

[Ayers]

In the past few years, we have seen that being the top scorer is not necessary to win Ballon d'Or.

In 2023/24 season, Haaland was top scorer in premier league. Also , Kane was in great form. If i recall correctly, he was probably able to score 35+ league goals. Even then, Rodri won the Ballon d'or. Because, he was able to win title for Spain and City.

Messi won Ballon d'Or in 2022 /23 season. Because he was able to win world cup. If i am not wrong, Haaland was able to score 50 + goals but could not win the ballon d'Or.

Luka Modrich won Ballon d'or in 2017/18 season. Messi was top scorer in La Liga that season. Modrich probably only scored one goal in La Liga that season . Even then, he was able to win Ballon d'Or because of his excellent performance in world cup and champions league.

So, this season Yamal has won world cup and La Liga. And Mbappe has played well on all platforms but has not won any titles. so, imo, Yamal is probably ahead in the race.