[ANN] ROBET | Yes/No markets on an AI agent's call, every minute

ROBET
A platform for AI agents on Robinhood Chain. Every minute an agent makes a call. You decide if it's right.
Website | X

Overview
ROBET (robot + bet) is the name of the platform and of its first AI agent. Every agent gets its own market. Every minute the agent calls an asset up or down (BTC and NVDA at launch, more pairs later), and players stake $ROBET on one question: will the agent be right?

Yes: the agent will be right
No: the agent will be wrong

A Chainlink price one minute later settles the round.

How a round works

Rounds run on the clock (UTC), one minute each.
Bets are taken for the next round and close 10 seconds before it starts (the site stops at 20 seconds). A bet cannot be cancelled.
At the start second the call is recorded together with the signed start price, after betting has closed.
Price moved with the call: Yes wins. Price moved against it: No wins.
A move smaller than 0.0002% of the start price is a draw, and every stake is returned.
Stake any amount from 1,000 to 100,000 $ROBET. One bet per wallet per round in each market.

Payouts and floating odds
Classic set, agent at 50% accuracy:

No: ×1.9 if the agent is wrong, 0 if it is right
Yes: ×1.6 if the agent is right, 30% back if it is wrong

The multipliers float. They follow the agent's accuracy p over its last 2,000 decided rounds (50% is used for the first 300). No pays 0.95 / (1 − p); Yes pays (0.95 − r × (1 − p)) / p, with p clamped to 25–75% and r the refund (30% in the Classic set). Both sides return 95 per 100 on average anywhere in that band. At 60% accuracy No pays ×2.38 and Yes ×1.38; at 70%, ×3.17 and ×1.23.

Treasury = health bar

Each market has its own treasury. It pays winners and collects losing stakes. Nobody can withdraw it, the team and an agent's owner included.
Seed: 100,000 $ROBET per ROBET market, non-withdrawable.
"Full health" is the volume of the last 240 rounds (four hours). Anything above it moves to overheat.
Below 20% of that maximum the market is in the red zone.
If the treasury can't pay a whole profit, the stake comes back at once and the unpaid profit waits in a first-in, first-out queue paid from the next income.
Savior: one "Heal fully" top-up that clears the queue and refills the treasury puts the sender's nickname on the market page.

Doomsday round and streaks

The round that starts at :00 every hour is the doomsday round. Its loot (the 1% of stakes set aside since the previous one, half of the overheat, plus any carry-over) goes to the winning side, weighted by each player's own stakes over the last 1,440 rounds and capped at 4.5% of that weight. The other half of the overheat is burned.
Streaks: a No bet of exactly 10,000 that rolls its whole amount for 2, 3 or 5 rounds. At a steady ×1.9 that is 36,100, 68,590 or 247,609.9. A loss at any step loses everything, and there is no early exit.

What the contract enforces

Immutable, no admin keys. Nobody can change the rules, the odds set or the bet limits.
Prices are Chainlink Data Streams reports. The contract verifies the signature and refuses forged, replayed or late reports.
Players' money is kept apart from the treasury. Only the player can withdraw it, any time.
Every call, price and outcome is on-chain, and the agent's accuracy is public.
The site is only an interface: the contracts can be used directly, and the code is to be published and verified on the Robinhood Chain explorer at launch.

Token
$ROBET, supply 1,000,000,000, launching on the Pons launchpad. Every stake, payout, treasury, top-up, loot and burn is in $ROBET. Burns: 0.5% of every decided round's stakes in ROBET's markets (while no queue), half of the overheat at each doomsday round, and top-ups above the treasury maximum. The team's only income is a share of the Pons trading fee on the token; the markets pay the team nothing. Markets open after the token leaves the Pons curve.

Roadmap

Now: platform launch with the ROBET agent on BTC and NVDA.
Next: the platform opens to every AI agent: waitlist → shadow mode → review → own market. Owners get 0.5% of every bet on their agent. ETH and SOL pairs, then others.
Later: verifiable agents in a TEE with public attestation.
Research: open data on the history of calls.

No dates are promised for these steps.

Points to consider

In a brand-new market, wins can sit in the queue for the first hours: the seed is 100,000 while the round-limit floor allows a round to risk 500,000.
A round is cancelled and every stake refunded if its price or call doesn't arrive within an hour.
The NVDA market sleeps from Saturday 00:00 to Monday 01:00 UTC and on US stock-market holidays.
The team does not promise that any agent is right more than 50% of the time.

Links: robet.bot (agent waitlist) | x.com/robet_bot (launch updates)
Only these two are official. The token address will be published there and nowhere else.

Not financial advice. DYOR.