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Author Topic: Bitcoin Predictinator: Tommorow's valuations today!  (Read 3244 times)
finway
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February 23, 2012, 08:28:56 AM
 #21

Update: Looks a little more refined. Still can't figure out why the price of BTC is rising so quickly on mtgox.

Better job than S3052!

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fellowtraveler
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February 23, 2012, 12:34:05 PM
 #22

Would be nice if the historical data contains TWO lines: the actual numbers and the predicted numbers.

It basically does. Its split down the middle, past numbers are -30 through 0, future numbers are 0 through 30.

Yes but what I'm saying is, to the RIGHT of the 0, we should see only one line (the prediction) whereas to the LEFT of the 0, we should see two lines (two colors) with one color showing the historical data for each data point while the other color shows what the prediction had been for that same data point.

That we can can see not only the historical data, and the prediction data, but we can see HOW THE prediction data measured up against the historical data WITHOUT having to compare to other images or data sets.

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February 23, 2012, 12:42:19 PM
 #23

Would be nice if the historical data contains TWO lines: the actual numbers and the predicted numbers.

It basically does. Its split down the middle, past numbers are -30 through 0, future numbers are 0 through 30.

Yes but what I'm saying is, to the RIGHT of the 0, we should see only one line (the prediction) whereas to the LEFT of the 0, we should see two lines (two colors) with one color showing the historical data for each data point while the other color shows what the prediction had been for that same data point.

That we can can see not only the historical data, and the prediction data, but we can see HOW THE prediction data measured up against the historical data WITHOUT having to compare to other images or data sets.


...and on the right hand side , can you add another line to predict what the predictinator will be predicting at that time? A Bitcoin Predictinator Predictinator if you will? That should increase your accuracy. Btw I did consider a Bitcoin Predictinator Predictinator Predictinator, but that would just be silly.

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DiabloD3
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February 24, 2012, 12:42:57 AM
 #24

Would be nice if the historical data contains TWO lines: the actual numbers and the predicted numbers.

It basically does. Its split down the middle, past numbers are -30 through 0, future numbers are 0 through 30.

Yes but what I'm saying is, to the RIGHT of the 0, we should see only one line (the prediction) whereas to the LEFT of the 0, we should see two lines (two colors) with one color showing the historical data for each data point while the other color shows what the prediction had been for that same data point.

That we can can see not only the historical data, and the prediction data, but we can see HOW THE prediction data measured up against the historical data WITHOUT having to compare to other images or data sets.

Yeah, but that would require me to record the prediction which requires more code than I've really wanted to put in it.

In addition, what would I record? Merely the next day? The whole 30 days is a complete prediction, so it may get the exact days wrong, but it'll get the general shape over the next 30 days right give or take. So, what you really want is for me to just allow you to predict the past on demand.

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February 24, 2012, 01:07:37 AM
 #25

I think having the prediction lines from yesterday, a week ago, and 30 days ago would be helpful.

D3 looks really cool.  Way prettier than flot.

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February 24, 2012, 02:09:12 AM
 #26

+1 to historical data

Looks good, we'll see if the price jumps up in a couple days eh

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February 24, 2012, 07:13:00 AM
 #27

+1 to historical data

Looks good, we'll see if the price jumps up in a couple days eh

Yeah, but we have to get past that drop first.

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February 25, 2012, 05:20:30 AM
 #28

Apparently, it seems if BitcoinCharts is down when my cronjob runs, my Predictinator can't download history and then doesn't update on time. Lawlz.

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February 27, 2012, 07:24:05 AM
 #29

Well, this is interesting. It is now predicting the market is going to go down, and the market is going down.

Gasp! I wonder if the Predictinator actually works.

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March 15, 2012, 05:15:33 AM
 #30

I've updated the algo slightly, it now fast forwards to make it stop continuing to try to predict things that already happened.

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March 15, 2012, 01:16:18 PM
 #31

Well, this is interesting. It is now predicting the market is going to go down, and the market is going down.

Gasp! I wonder if the Predictinator actually works.

You wonder? Who wrote Bitcoin Predictinator anyway? Did it fall backwards in time from some bitcoin dominated future?

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DiabloD3
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March 15, 2012, 03:11:03 PM
 #32

Well, this is interesting. It is now predicting the market is going to go down, and the market is going down.

Gasp! I wonder if the Predictinator actually works.

You wonder? Who wrote Bitcoin Predictinator anyway? Did it fall backwards in time from some bitcoin dominated future?

Yup, I emailed it to myself from the future.

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