technically, deepbit should have the least variance, which is better no? still making deepbit look good
these new pools are just too small for me to join atm... All the things deepbit offers is well worth the 3% for now...
The newest pools have not showed me they are trustworthy enough yet. I made the mistake of trusting bitcoinpool once, and my password may have been compromised because they stupidly stored it as plain text. I had to change the password of every account associated with that password ( I only using 5~6 different passwords, but I have many account in different things)
Every connection you make to deepbit sends your password in plaintext over the open internet. Anyone with access to the network between you and deepbit could sniff it. Anyone who has compromised deepbit's servers or the hosting provider can sniff it.
Eligius doesn't have any passwords that anyone could steal. Eligius pays out of the generated block— so your exposure should Eligius run off with their accounts is no more than the work you've done on this block (plus a max of 1btc rollover if you didn't make a btc in the prior block). If the pool cheated by inserting fake shares that would show up as a disagreement between the public share balances and the rate of block success.
If your only concern is variance I'm sure we can find people who will pay you a _constant_ rate to mine which is just as or more attractive than deepbit's PPS… Of course, you don't want to pay that much overhead, because you do care about things other than variance. So the question is how much is it worth to you? Is it work compromising the security and sustainability of bitcoin itself?
Eligius has a higher hash rate than deepbit did two months ago. People were willing to pay for a 3% overhead back then to get the same amount of variance that you can get for ~free now. People are weird.
As a pool grows its variance benefit diminishes. At best the variance can only be as good as the overall bitcoin block finding variance. Right now the entire network will find a block within 17 minutes 95% of the time, a pool with 2% of the capacity of the network (~50GH/s) would find a block in 95% of the time within 11.25 hours. So even a small pool like Eligius will find multiple blocks per day with very high confidence, even after today's huge difficulty increase.
Slowness and caps on payments probably mean that you're not getting paid faster with a larger pool than about 50GH/s anyways. I never saw more than two payments a day from deepbit, and two payments per day is the least you can expect from Eligius on 95% of all days.