firetreeactual
Legendary
 Offline
Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
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November 08, 2016, 03:18:49 PM |
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Don't feel bad. I've been mining here since the beginning of the year, and a couple of large pools before that, and solo before that. I've got maybe 20TH right now. I have not found a block yet. Well, I have to expand that a bit...back in the day, before Mt. Gak, I found quite a few..but that's another tale.
Luck is not an explainable factor. It is what it is. What folks thought/may still think regarding the S9s and weird firmware is another issue..that would not be "luck" if it were true, which we don't know, and may never.
I love this job.
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To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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"Bitcoin: mining our own business since 2009" -- Pieter Wuille
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philipma1957
Legendary
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Activity: 4088
Merit: 7705
'The right to privacy matters'
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November 08, 2016, 03:21:30 PM |
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So I finally got all parts I was waiting on for my 1 blade s9 miner.
I got it running yesterday and it has been pointed here for 11 hours and 7 minutes.
We made 5 blocks in those 11 hours and 7 minutes!
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daemondazz
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November 08, 2016, 03:22:03 PM |
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To be clear, I am fully aware that it's not likely my luck affecting the pool, just an interesting correlation.
I've only ever found one block, back with the difficulty was 21 million, and it was found with one of those ASICMINER USB sticks. Another lifetime in Bitcoin terms!
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Computers, Amateur Radio, Electronics, Aviation - 1dazzrAbMqNu6cUwh2dtYckNygG7jKs8S
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philipma1957
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4088
Merit: 7705
'The right to privacy matters'
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November 08, 2016, 03:24:50 PM |
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So I figure this 1 blade down clocked s9 blade is our new lucky rabbits foot so to speak.
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firetreeactual
Legendary
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
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November 08, 2016, 03:43:58 PM |
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Whatever it is...keep 'em coming...I could get used to this again...  |
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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philipma1957
Legendary
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Activity: 4088
Merit: 7705
'The right to privacy matters'
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November 08, 2016, 03:47:22 PM |
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Whatever it is...keep 'em coming...I could get used to this again... lets see if we can do 5 more in the next 11 hours and 7 minutes  |
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ZACHM
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November 08, 2016, 03:49:12 PM |
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I'm on board with that idea. 11 hours, I'm sure we can get a couple more. |
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firetreeactual
Legendary
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
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November 08, 2016, 04:16:48 PM |
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I'm on board with that idea. 11 hours, I'm sure we can get a couple more. To steal a quote..."Yes, we can!" Baby needs a new A7... (how much ya bet we keep calling it the A7, despite the real label?)  |
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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mauricioxx
Newbie
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Activity: 6
Merit: 0
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November 08, 2016, 06:03:02 PM
Last edit: November 08, 2016, 06:17:45 PM by mauricioxx |
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HerbPean
Legendary
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Activity: 1638
Merit: 1005
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November 08, 2016, 07:12:06 PM |
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i have 4 S9's with 49TH/s and never found a block here!
Are you being serious? Nothing wrong with that ... Took me like 2-3 years to find a block ... I found 2 with the same S7 within a few days ... Luck is a bitch  |
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firetreeactual
Legendary
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
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November 08, 2016, 07:32:33 PM |
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...Luck is a bitch Indeed...but at least today she's being a lady...so far...  |
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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HerbPean
Legendary
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Activity: 1638
Merit: 1005
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November 08, 2016, 07:37:26 PM |
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...Luck is a bitch Indeed...but at least today she's being a lady...so far... Yeah ! |
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flameruk
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November 08, 2016, 09:39:06 PM |
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I'm sorry for the bad luck, I think it was my fault...
I've gotten back in to mining in the last couple of weeks with an S3+ and a couple of SP20s and the pool had a dry spell. Today one of the SP20s has lost a hashing board and this evening the other has disappeared completely off the network, and the pool starts finding blocks!!
And of course the miners are at a remote location where I won't be able to check on them for a couple of days :/
Nope, the bad luck wasn't your fault, it was all of the S9's I think it is because of election day here in the US. Just like how the gas prices go down before the election... i have 4 S9's with 49TH/s and never found a block here!
Are you being serious? But how long have you mined here? 'Fortunately' the bad luck here seems to be just that - bad luck. Things don't change one way or the other due to anything but bad luck, unless someone has a large amount of hash power to affect the luck. -- Some simple ways to look at it: If the pool was 30PH/s and someone added a mystical 5PH/s of 'bad luck', we'd still expect to find 30PH/s worth of blocks. Miner A (bad luck) can't magically effect everyone else's miners or To have a 10% affect on expected luck (yeah ONLY 10% effect) someone would have to add 11.1% of 'bad luck miners' (never finding blocks) to the pool. So at 30PH/s, they'd have to add 3.3PH/s of 'bad luck miners' -- So what's most likely happening? Nothing - luck is just swinging around as it does ... that's called variance  It goes up and down ... and up and down ... and ... The smaller the pool (compared to the network) the higher the variance. -- Block! Luck, if only we could adjust it for personal gains ........ It's been a good day today mining here I'm happy! |
Find my P2POOL node at www.ukp2pool.uk:9332Donations for operating node? BTC 1CYevtGy3aqr1reuq7CFceNFAT7snsz3VM |
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wmabern
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November 08, 2016, 11:08:59 PM |
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BITMIXER.IO Gone Baby, Gone.. ;-)
Not any good sig campaigns out there that I want!
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wmabern
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November 08, 2016, 11:35:59 PM |
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Just wondering why the "Blocks" field on "Monthly Statistics" is so red. I mean we're only about 2.5 blocks shy of our expected block count. I would think it would be more toward the black or neutral.
Thoughts anyone?
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BITMIXER.IO Gone Baby, Gone.. ;-)
Not any good sig campaigns out there that I want!
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kano (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 4466
Merit: 1798
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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November 08, 2016, 11:54:36 PM |
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Just wondering why the "Blocks" field on "Monthly Statistics" is so red. I mean we're only about 2.5 blocks shy of our expected block count. I would think it would be more toward the black or neutral.
Thoughts anyone?
It's (as I said when I set it up) based on the luck% (0.9 to 1.1), not the CDF[Erl] I guess for this month that's been bright red for most of it. It's really only the end of the month (or after lotsa blocks) that the colour matters - how we went for the whole month. |
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wmabern
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November 09, 2016, 12:01:44 AM |
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Just wondering why the "Blocks" field on "Monthly Statistics" is so red. I mean we're only about 2.5 blocks shy of our expected block count. I would think it would be more toward the black or neutral.
Thoughts anyone?
It's (as I said when I set it up) based on the luck% (0.9 to 1.1), not the CDF[Erl] I guess for this month that's been bright red for most of it. It's really only the end of the month (or after lotsa blocks) that the colour matters - how we went for the whole month. Thanks for the reply, Kano. Your explanation makes perfect sense. A larger sample size is closer to being correct. |
BITMIXER.IO Gone Baby, Gone.. ;-)
Not any good sig campaigns out there that I want!
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firetreeactual
Legendary
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
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November 09, 2016, 12:30:28 AM |
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Really wish I'd had Kano for a stats prof in grad school...I might have actually showed up for class. |
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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mamiakimo
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November 09, 2016, 01:02:39 AM |
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i bought another S9 13.5 today to add to my farm with 4 S9
i hope to found a block this month to be my first one here
i am here from Aug with one miner
every month i got a new one until now
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firetreeactual
Legendary
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
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November 09, 2016, 01:14:42 AM |
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i bought another S9 13.5 today to add to my farm with 4 S9
i hope to found a block this month to be my first one here
i am here from Aug with one miner
every month i got a new one until now
Patience, Grasshopper...in the American vernacular, that's the way it goes, my friend... No offense intended at all...you're going to be doing OK with 5 S9s, so long as they hold up. I hope, as well, that you find a block this month! More, even...and me, too... I think you've done quite well with a block a month with that hash rate. Mine on! |
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
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