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Author Topic: London house prices a bubble waiting to burst?  (Read 2004 times)
TaunSew
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September 28, 2014, 08:45:57 PM
 #21

There are artificial shortages too.  I read that there are more short order cooks than carpenters in these hot real estate areas. 

Prices are also high because the home builder associations and city regulators are trying to keep inventory low to maximize prices.

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picolo
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September 28, 2014, 09:41:23 PM
 #22

I am not an expert in the housing market, so I wanted to ask your opinions. Is this price rise in London sustainable? I look at the price declines in the USA and Japan and ask why the UK is different?

Of course prices are not sustainable. The average salary in London is approximately £30,000. If you want to live in an area that doesn't have alcoholics and gypsies defecating in your front garden a house will cost half a million pounds. Loans to income levels are ridiculous.

Exactly. House prices in London and many other major cities in central Europe are excessive and are likely to come down substantially (adjusted for inflation) in the foreseeable future. I think the magnitude will be between -60% to -80% for the most expensive locations.


That will not happen for as long as there are people willing to pay and a shortage of houses.


The number of nice houses don't increase much but the number of millionaires increase in the UK and in the World, there is a lot of inflation and a lot of the buyers sell some real estate to buy real estate so they are immune to the price
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