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Author Topic: Bitcoin long term linear trend  (Read 6647 times)
bitebits
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November 05, 2014, 09:09:47 PM
 #41

the long downtrend comes from mining being centralised and thus dumping harder and thus becoming more centralised.

Miners holding the coin they mine is a thing of the past. Bitcoin is a cashcow for everybody to milk. People buying bitcoin miss the point.

The exact opposite happens when we are in a bull market, human nature.

- You can figure out what will happen, not when /Warren Buffett
- Pay any Bitcoin address privately with a little help of Monero.
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Elwar (OP)
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January 03, 2015, 08:39:10 PM
 #42

The linear price should be around $350. Buy now while we are below the trend line.

It is not like you can just wait for it to come back down if it jumps up. If you bought at the trend line at $125 in October of 2013 you would have had to wait a year for it to return to normal with the price over $300.

It may hover below the trend line for a while too, but it will go back up. It's not like development of new Bitcoin companies and solutions is going to stop.

First seastead company actually selling sea homes: Ocean Builders https://ocean.builders  Of course we accept bitcoin.
Elwar (OP)
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January 09, 2015, 09:35:29 AM
 #43

Updated the chart.

Looks like we were close to the linear price (between halvings) until the BitStamp crash.

I am confident it will return eventually.

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January 14, 2015, 06:29:40 AM
 #44

Updated the chart.

Looks like we were close to the linear price (between halvings) until the BitStamp crash.

I am confident it will return eventually.

I sure hope but not his year, maybe return to 350$ but that is max till next year I personally think that this wont be happening.



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Elwar (OP)
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December 16, 2015, 01:48:09 PM
 #45

Updated the chart.

Looks like we're returning to the linear price. I look forward to the angle moving after the next halving.

First seastead company actually selling sea homes: Ocean Builders https://ocean.builders  Of course we accept bitcoin.
kehtolo
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December 16, 2015, 02:54:54 PM
 #46

Nice work Elwar, i just read this whole thread... interesting points.. and it's looking more and more like you're hunch is right...

IF we close out the year around $525 - i will have to send you a beer (in bitcoin of course!)

The next 24 hours are critical!
afbitcoins
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December 16, 2015, 11:30:46 PM
 #47

There is no long term linear trend.
Elwar (OP)
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July 09, 2016, 01:51:00 PM
 #48

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.



Next halving the price should be $1630.

First seastead company actually selling sea homes: Ocean Builders https://ocean.builders  Of course we accept bitcoin.
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July 09, 2016, 03:26:25 PM
 #49

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/6tL3k5m.jimg]

Next halving the price should be $1630.

elwar, since when did you turn to posting pessimistic fud  Cheesy

ok, as a worst case scenario i let you have your point...

 Wink
Elwar (OP)
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July 09, 2016, 03:52:25 PM
 #50

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/6tL3k5m.jimg]

Next halving the price should be $1630.

elwar, since when did you turn to posting pessimistic fud  Cheesy

ok, as a worst case scenario i let you have your point...

 Wink

I certainly want it to rise faster, but keeping this chart in mind has helped me to hoard as many coins as possible at low prices.

First seastead company actually selling sea homes: Ocean Builders https://ocean.builders  Of course we accept bitcoin.
craked5
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July 09, 2016, 04:13:39 PM
 #51

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/6tL3k5m.jimg]

Next halving the price should be $1630.

elwar, since when did you turn to posting pessimistic fud  Cheesy

ok, as a worst case scenario i let you have your point...

 Wink

You find 1630 to be pessimistic? Oo

Well, I'd me more than happy with such a price!
Let's firstly hope that post halving won't be a panic dump :/
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July 09, 2016, 04:17:46 PM
 #52

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/6tL3k5m.jimg]

Next halving the price should be $1630.

elwar, since when did you turn to posting pessimistic fud  Cheesy

ok, as a worst case scenario i let you have your point...

 Wink

You find 1630 to be pessimistic? Oo

Well, I'd me more than happy with such a price!
Let's firstly hope that post halving won't be a panic dump :/

i was joking. $1600 in 2020 would still beat every other asset class on the planet.

craked5
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July 09, 2016, 04:26:09 PM
 #53

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/6tL3k5m.jimg]

Next halving the price should be $1630.

elwar, since when did you turn to posting pessimistic fud  Cheesy

ok, as a worst case scenario i let you have your point...

 Wink

You find 1630 to be pessimistic? Oo

Well, I'd me more than happy with such a price!
Let's firstly hope that post halving won't be a panic dump :/

i was joking. $1600 in 2020 would still beat every other asset class on the planet.



Ah ok thanks for the explanation!
Cause I didn't see how such a rise would be a bad thing! ^^
600watt
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July 09, 2016, 04:32:17 PM
 #54


Ah ok thanks for the explanation!
Cause I didn't see how such a rise would be a bad thing! ^^


if you see lots of  Smiley  Wink  Cheesy  Grin
in a post, it usually means it is not to be taken too serioulsy.
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July 20, 2016, 12:26:25 PM
 #55


i was joking. $1600 in 2020 would still beat every other asset class on the planet.


$1600 could be reached in 2017 or 2018. That is easy if the user of the bitcoin increase by 50% or more.
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July 20, 2016, 03:31:50 PM
 #56


i was joking. $1600 in 2020 would still beat every other asset class on the planet.


$1600 could be reached in 2017 or 2018. That is easy if the user of the bitcoin increase by 50% or more.
Patience my friend. Patience. You must have patience. Patience is a virtue.

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July 20, 2016, 03:39:44 PM
 #57


i was joking. $1600 in 2020 would still beat every other asset class on the planet.


$1600 could be reached in 2017 or 2018. That is easy if the user of the bitcoin increase by 50% or more.

It's always the IF what messes up good predictions right?! Cheesy
Furthermore it's not only the number of users which would help to increase the price.
Think about institutional money which could have an interest in Bitcoin as well for speculative or investment reasons.
From halving 2012 (price 12,16) to this year's halving (price 635) Bitcoin has grown an amazing 5122%!!!!
I mean if that isn't an argument to have a closer look at it then what right?!
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July 20, 2016, 05:21:48 PM
 #58

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/6tL3k5m.jimg]

Next halving the price should be $1630.

elwar, since when did you turn to posting pessimistic fud  Cheesy

ok, as a worst case scenario i let you have your point...

 Wink

You find 1630 to be pessimistic? Oo

Well, I'd me more than happy with such a price!
Let's firstly hope that post halving won't be a panic dump :/

i was joking. $1600 in 2020 would still beat every other asset class on the planet.


i think the prices are going to be even higher at that time, i would predict something like 10000 dollars per bitcoin because the price is going to be booming of all the demand
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August 02, 2016, 10:07:17 AM
 #59

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/6tL3k5m.jimg]

Next halving the price should be $1630.

elwar, since when did you turn to posting pessimistic fud  Cheesy

ok, as a worst case scenario i let you have your point...

 Wink

You find 1630 to be pessimistic? Oo

Well, I'd me more than happy with such a price!
Let's firstly hope that post halving won't be a panic dump :/

i was joking. $1600 in 2020 would still beat every other asset class on the planet.


i think the prices are going to be even higher at that time, i would predict something like 10000 dollars per bitcoin because the price is going to be booming of all the demand

I believe the bitcoin price will be $5000 to $10,000 in 2020. The $1600 price could be reached next year.
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August 07, 2016, 12:01:28 PM
 #60

As the chart from 2014 shows the price at halving should be around $660.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/6tL3k5m.jimg]

Next halving the price should be $1630.

elwar, since when did you turn to posting pessimistic fud  Cheesy

ok, as a worst case scenario i let you have your point...

 Wink

You find 1630 to be pessimistic? Oo

Well, I'd me more than happy with such a price!
Let's firstly hope that post halving won't be a panic dump :/

i was joking. $1600 in 2020 would still beat every other asset class on the planet.


i think the prices are going to be even higher at that time, i would predict something like 10000 dollars per bitcoin because the price is going to be booming of all the demand

I believe the bitcoin price will be $5000 to $10,000 in 2020. The $1600 price could be reached next year.

I think so. If the bitcoin block size in creased to 2MB within a year, the price will be at least $2000 next year.
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