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Author Topic: Who is so stupid to sell so many bitcoins in that low prices??  (Read 2606 times)
kokojie
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October 05, 2014, 08:46:24 PM
 #21

What is so hard to understand? Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on PoW mining, so without inflow of new capital, the price of Bitcoin will perpetually decline, due to value being sucked out of the eco-system by PoW miners.

The mining system self regulates. If mining becomes unprofitable they switch off and difficulty falls. Who cares what miners spend? Perpetual decline, lol.

Miner's spending is eventually reflected in Bitcoin price, as they sell their earned Bitcoin at any opportunity, to cover their expense and hope for ROI. Yes some will unplug if price is low enough, but then Bitcoin stakeholders are hurting too, since the value of their Bitcoin has fallen.

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October 05, 2014, 08:48:12 PM
 #22

I see massive sales in Bitstamp and other exchange and my question is simply. Who is so stupid to sell so many bitcoins in that prices?? I cant understand this.

No one is stupid. But if you someone has more than 10K $ invested into bitcoins, then it is not easy to see a 10% decrease in the value per day. A lot of big holders would have lost half of their investments. But it is true, that this also decreases the price further.

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October 05, 2014, 08:48:30 PM
 #23

What is so hard to understand? Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on PoW mining, so without inflow of new capital, the price of Bitcoin will perpetually decline, due to value being sucked out of the eco-system by PoW miners.

If it were not PoW it would be "Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on <insert other security mechanism here>"

If it did not cost a lot, anyone could pay cheap prices to either destroy Bitcoin or get all of the bitcoins.

Proof of Stake systems are proven to be more secure, and cost a lot less (nearly nothing).

proof of stake means Mark Karpeles becomes in charge of mining, nope, no problem there...
kokojie
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October 05, 2014, 08:49:14 PM
 #24

Proof of Stake systems are proven to be more secure

No... no they aren't.

Then write a rebuttal of my points laid out in this thread:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=809588.msg9078791#msg9078791

I really do hope you could change my opinion, since right now I could see nothing PoW have that could match the advantage of PoS.

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October 05, 2014, 08:49:52 PM
 #25

I see massive sales in Bitstamp and other exchange and my question is simply. Who is so stupid to sell so many bitcoins in that prices?? I cant understand this.

This is as stupid as the people who sold at $600. ("we will never see sub 600 again").

"Morality, it could be argued, represents the way that people would like the world to work - whereas economics represents how it actually does work." Freakonomics
kokojie
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October 05, 2014, 08:52:34 PM
 #26

What is so hard to understand? Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on PoW mining, so without inflow of new capital, the price of Bitcoin will perpetually decline, due to value being sucked out of the eco-system by PoW miners.

If it were not PoW it would be "Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on <insert other security mechanism here>"

If it did not cost a lot, anyone could pay cheap prices to either destroy Bitcoin or get all of the bitcoins.

Proof of Stake systems are proven to be more secure, and cost a lot less (nearly nothing).

proof of stake means Mark Karpeles becomes in charge of mining, nope, no problem there...

I don't see a problem with that, if his customers didn't have a problem. Apparently, that's not the case though. A lot of PoS altcoin exchanges do mine with their stake, and pay their customer a interest, while securing the network, there's nothing wrong with that.

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Robert Paulson
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October 05, 2014, 09:02:31 PM
 #27

What is so hard to understand? Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on PoW mining, so without inflow of new capital, the price of Bitcoin will perpetually decline, due to value being sucked out of the eco-system by PoW miners.

If it were not PoW it would be "Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on <insert other security mechanism here>"

If it did not cost a lot, anyone could pay cheap prices to either destroy Bitcoin or get all of the bitcoins.

Proof of Stake systems are proven to be more secure, and cost a lot less (nearly nothing).

proof of stake means Mark Karpeles becomes in charge of mining, nope, no problem there...

I don't see a problem with that, if his customers didn't have a problem. Apparently, that's not the case though. A lot of PoS altcoin exchanges do mine with their stake, and pay their customer a interest, while securing the network, there's nothing wrong with that.

and when the exchange operator steals all their money and runs away with it then what?
not only does he have their money he can also 50% attack the network all he wants.
kokojie
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October 05, 2014, 09:10:49 PM
 #28

What is so hard to understand? Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on PoW mining, so without inflow of new capital, the price of Bitcoin will perpetually decline, due to value being sucked out of the eco-system by PoW miners.

If it were not PoW it would be "Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on <insert other security mechanism here>"

If it did not cost a lot, anyone could pay cheap prices to either destroy Bitcoin or get all of the bitcoins.

Proof of Stake systems are proven to be more secure, and cost a lot less (nearly nothing).

proof of stake means Mark Karpeles becomes in charge of mining, nope, no problem there...

I don't see a problem with that, if his customers didn't have a problem. Apparently, that's not the case though. A lot of PoS altcoin exchanges do mine with their stake, and pay their customer a interest, while securing the network, there's nothing wrong with that.

and when the exchange operator steals all their money and runs away with it then what?
not only does he have their money he can also 50% attack the network all he wants.

How is that a problem with PoS or PoW at all? exchange operator can steal money with both PoW or PoS network.

The difference is he needs to steal 51% of the stake to attack a PoS network, but he just need about 10% to buy enough hardware to attack a PoW network. Though I don't think he has any incentive to attack either.

Another difference is a PoS eco-system can form a consensus and block out the attacker's stake, making them useless/worthless, this is a big deterrent to potential attackers. A PoW system can't block out attacker's hardware, since there's no way to distinguish hardware.

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Robert Paulson
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October 05, 2014, 09:15:28 PM
 #29

What is so hard to understand? Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on PoW mining, so without inflow of new capital, the price of Bitcoin will perpetually decline, due to value being sucked out of the eco-system by PoW miners.

If it were not PoW it would be "Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on <insert other security mechanism here>"

If it did not cost a lot, anyone could pay cheap prices to either destroy Bitcoin or get all of the bitcoins.

Proof of Stake systems are proven to be more secure, and cost a lot less (nearly nothing).

proof of stake means Mark Karpeles becomes in charge of mining, nope, no problem there...

I don't see a problem with that, if his customers didn't have a problem. Apparently, that's not the case though. A lot of PoS altcoin exchanges do mine with their stake, and pay their customer a interest, while securing the network, there's nothing wrong with that.

and when the exchange operator steals all their money and runs away with it then what?
not only does he have their money he can also 50% attack the network all he wants.

How is that a problem with PoS or PoW at all? exchange operator can steal money with both PoW or PoS network.

The difference is he needs to steal 51% of the stake to attack a PoS network, but he just need about 10% to buy enough hardware to attack a PoW network. Though I don't think he has any incentive to attack either.

he can't just buy 50% of the hash power in hardware, the hardware does not get produced that fast.
plus it exposes his physical location making it much more likely the police will come asking questions.

with PoS he can just sit at home and anonymously double spend.
you never know what people's incentives are, some people just want to watch the world burn.

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October 05, 2014, 09:16:10 PM
 #30

Just bought 2 BTC @ 300.70 ... I think it will be okay 5 years from now
kokojie
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October 05, 2014, 09:16:59 PM
 #31

What is so hard to understand? Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on PoW mining, so without inflow of new capital, the price of Bitcoin will perpetually decline, due to value being sucked out of the eco-system by PoW miners.

If it were not PoW it would be "Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on <insert other security mechanism here>"

If it did not cost a lot, anyone could pay cheap prices to either destroy Bitcoin or get all of the bitcoins.

Proof of Stake systems are proven to be more secure, and cost a lot less (nearly nothing).

proof of stake means Mark Karpeles becomes in charge of mining, nope, no problem there...

I don't see a problem with that, if his customers didn't have a problem. Apparently, that's not the case though. A lot of PoS altcoin exchanges do mine with their stake, and pay their customer a interest, while securing the network, there's nothing wrong with that.

and when the exchange operator steals all their money and runs away with it then what?
not only does he have their money he can also 50% attack the network all he wants.

How is that a problem with PoS or PoW at all? exchange operator can steal money with both PoW or PoS network.

The difference is he needs to steal 51% of the stake to attack a PoS network, but he just need about 10% to buy enough hardware to attack a PoW network. Though I don't think he has any incentive to attack either.

he can't just buy 50% of the hash power in hardware, the hardware does not get produced that fast.
plus it exposes his physical location making it much more likely the police will come asking questions.

with PoS he can just sit at home and anonymously double spend.
you never know what people's incentives are, some people just want to watch the world burn.



Hardware does not need to be produced at all, he could just go ahead and buy some big existing mining farm, with a premium price offer. All of them will gladly sell, because PoW miners are profit chasers, they don't care about the eco-system, they have no stake in any eco-system since it's not required to mine, they only care about extracting value out of the eco-system.


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Robert Paulson
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October 05, 2014, 09:23:15 PM
 #32

What is so hard to understand? Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on PoW mining, so without inflow of new capital, the price of Bitcoin will perpetually decline, due to value being sucked out of the eco-system by PoW miners.

If it were not PoW it would be "Bitcoin currently spends $500 million per year on <insert other security mechanism here>"

If it did not cost a lot, anyone could pay cheap prices to either destroy Bitcoin or get all of the bitcoins.

Proof of Stake systems are proven to be more secure, and cost a lot less (nearly nothing).

proof of stake means Mark Karpeles becomes in charge of mining, nope, no problem there...

I don't see a problem with that, if his customers didn't have a problem. Apparently, that's not the case though. A lot of PoS altcoin exchanges do mine with their stake, and pay their customer a interest, while securing the network, there's nothing wrong with that.

and when the exchange operator steals all their money and runs away with it then what?
not only does he have their money he can also 50% attack the network all he wants.

How is that a problem with PoS or PoW at all? exchange operator can steal money with both PoW or PoS network.

The difference is he needs to steal 51% of the stake to attack a PoS network, but he just need about 10% to buy enough hardware to attack a PoW network. Though I don't think he has any incentive to attack either.

he can't just buy 50% of the hash power in hardware, the hardware does not get produced that fast.
plus it exposes his physical location making it much more likely the police will come asking questions.

with PoS he can just sit at home and anonymously double spend.
you never know what people's incentives are, some people just want to watch the world burn.



Hardware does not need to be produced at all, he could just go ahead and buy some big existing mining farm, with a premium price offer. All of them will gladly sell, because PoW miners are profit chasers, they don't care about the eco-system, they have no stake in any eco-system since it's not required to mine, they only care about extracting value out of the eco-system.



buying a single mining farm isn't enough to get 50% you would need to buy a whole bunch of mining farms.
you do not simply go and buy a big mining farm with your stolen money, something like that will get lots of headline news on coindesk and the guy will be in jail the next day.
no one cares about the eco-system, everyone only care about profit, doesn't matter if its PoW or PoS.
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October 05, 2014, 09:43:35 PM
 #33


buying a single mining farm isn't enough to get 50% you would need to buy a whole bunch of mining farms.
you do not simply go and buy a big mining farm with your stolen money, something like that will get lots of headline news on coindesk and the guy will be in jail the next day.
no one cares about the eco-system, everyone only care about profit, doesn't matter if its PoW or PoS.


It won't make news if the deal is done in private, so on the surface ownership of the mega farms is unchanged.

Sure everyone cares for profits, but there's a difference, PoW miners aren't stake holders in the eco-system, it's not required. PoS miners are naturally also stake holders of the eco-system, it's the definition of PoS, if they want to mine a PoS system, then they must be stakeholders of the system. If they are stakeholders, then they have to naturally care about the eco-system, otherwise it's their own money to lose.

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Robert Paulson
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October 05, 2014, 09:49:57 PM
 #34


buying a single mining farm isn't enough to get 50% you would need to buy a whole bunch of mining farms.
you do not simply go and buy a big mining farm with your stolen money, something like that will get lots of headline news on coindesk and the guy will be in jail the next day.
no one cares about the eco-system, everyone only care about profit, doesn't matter if its PoW or PoS.


It won't make news if the deal is done in private, so on the surface ownership of the mega farms is unchanged.

Sure everyone cares for profits, but there's a difference, PoW miners aren't stake holders in the eco-system, it's not required. PoS miners are naturally also stake holders of the eco-system, it's the definition of PoS, if they want to mine a PoS system, then they must be stakeholders of the system. If they are stakeholders, then they have to naturally care about the eco-system, otherwise it's their own money to lose.

PoW is a business, if the ecosystem doesn't succeed their business is worthless and their capital investment is lost.
PoW miners have just as much in stake as PoS miners, except in PoS you can also have a bunch of thieves who stole the money and couldn't care less .
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October 05, 2014, 09:51:06 PM
 #35

If you bought it at $1, you have no reason not to sell now.

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October 05, 2014, 10:02:04 PM
 #36

But you know that you don't have a roi in that prices. So why they don't just unplug the machines? Is better to keep selling until all their ecosystem to collapse? In my opinion this is still a stupid action.

ROI in USD is plain retarded. Only moron miners do that. The rest wants to ROI in BTC.
But with 99.9% of the ASIC Miners that is not possible. And BTC ROI is only indirectly price dependant (higher price, faster difficulty increase, because of new mining boons).

A fact is that most miners will lose money in the end. The actual system only works for early adopters, good traders and mining equipment sellers like butterfly labs and others  Wink


If you bought it at $1, you have no reason not to sell now.

Then you have all the reason to sell a small part (till 50%). Lock in some profits. It is 4 times worse than at the ATH, but still 300x UP!
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October 06, 2014, 02:35:48 AM
 #37


buying a single mining farm isn't enough to get 50% you would need to buy a whole bunch of mining farms.
you do not simply go and buy a big mining farm with your stolen money, something like that will get lots of headline news on coindesk and the guy will be in jail the next day.
no one cares about the eco-system, everyone only care about profit, doesn't matter if its PoW or PoS.


It won't make news if the deal is done in private, so on the surface ownership of the mega farms is unchanged.

Sure everyone cares for profits, but there's a difference, PoW miners aren't stake holders in the eco-system, it's not required. PoS miners are naturally also stake holders of the eco-system, it's the definition of PoS, if they want to mine a PoS system, then they must be stakeholders of the system. If they are stakeholders, then they have to naturally care about the eco-system, otherwise it's their own money to lose.

PoW is a business, if the ecosystem doesn't succeed their business is worthless and their capital investment is lost.
PoW miners have just as much in stake as PoS miners, except in PoS you can also have a bunch of thieves who stole the money and couldn't care less .

PoW is not tied to any one eco-system, the miners will mine the most profitable eco-system, they have no reason to care about whether any eco-system survives, as long as there's at least one eco-system for them to mine at. This phenomenal was very clearly demonstrated with scrypt mining, the biggest pools were the ones with instant switch capability, to mine the most profitable eco-system. The PoW miners could not care less if any specific eco-system survived. All they care about is how to extract value out of the most profitable eco-system, in the most efficient manner. Their "stake" is tied to their hardware investment, not to any crypto eco-system. Their only interest is to extract enough value out of any crypto eco-system, to pay for their hardware, electricity, and profit.

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October 07, 2014, 11:28:35 AM
 #38

Just bought 2 BTC @ 300.70 ... I think it will be okay 5 years from now

Not sure about 5 years from now, but for sure will be higher in the road till there at some point.
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