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Author Topic: Milestones  (Read 12573 times)
Tzupy
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October 14, 2014, 10:24:43 PM
 #81

I think it's time to bump this thread.
I'm betting 0.05 BTC we just passed 398 for the last time.


Way to jinx it  Grin lasted about 30 minutes lol

Argh! You beat me to it...

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
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Adrian-x
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October 14, 2014, 11:43:43 PM
 #82

I think it's time to bump this thread.
I'm betting 0.05 BTC we just passed 398 for the last time.


Way to jinx it  Grin lasted about 30 minutes lol

Argh! You beat me to it...

good to see people paying attention.

it seems just BTC-e is lagging, then again i operate much slower that most, if you dont mind I'll take my time  Smiley

Thank me in Bits 12MwnzxtprG2mHm3rKdgi7NmJKCypsMMQw
Adrian-x
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October 15, 2014, 12:04:14 AM
Last edit: October 15, 2014, 01:07:59 AM by Adrian-x
 #83

I think it's time to bump this thread.
I'm betting 0.05 BTC we just passed 398 for the last time.

How long of a timeframe on the bet? Are you willing to have an escrow hold the bet money? What exchange are you going by?

Ok Mr Big, my first bet with Bitcoin, - ever - I'm now a gambling man Roll Eyes
I'll take you up if you agree to these terms,
price average as displayed on http://winkdex.com/

start: Oct 14, 2014 8:01pm EDT (12:01am UTC) fro 1 year. edit: effective the moment you reply when the price is above $398 Smiley

if I win you can send the 0.05 BTC to this address: 16uniUFpbhrAxAWMZ9qEkcT9Wf34ETB4Tt and sign a message posted in this thread.

if during any time over the next year it dips below 398 on the Winkdex I'll send 0.05 to an address of your choosing and sign it if you want.

Thank me in Bits 12MwnzxtprG2mHm3rKdgi7NmJKCypsMMQw
JayJuanGee
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October 15, 2014, 01:06:57 AM
 #84

I think it's time to bump this thread.
I'm betting 0.05 BTC we just passed 398 for the last time.

How long of a timeframe on the bet? Are you willing to have an escrow hold the bet money? What exchange are you going by?

Ok Mr Big, my first bet with Bitcoin, - ever - I'm now a gambling man Roll Eyes
I'll take you up if you agree to these terms,
price average as displayed on http://winkdex.com/

start: Oct 14, 2014 8:01pm EDT (12:01am UTC) fro 1 year.

if I win you can send the 0.05 BTC to this address: 16uniUFpbhrAxAWMZ9qEkcT9Wf34ETB4Tt and sign a message posted in this thread.

if during any time over the next year it dips below 398 on the Winkdex I'll send 0.05 to an address of your choosing and sign it if you want.


At least you could come up with a more interesting bet...  and also be clear to settle the terms of the bet before it is lost.

This one is likely to be lost within 24 hours, no?  possibly more likely within less than 4 hours.

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
Adrian-x
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October 15, 2014, 01:09:57 AM
 #85

I think it's time to bump this thread.
I'm betting 0.05 BTC we just passed 398 for the last time.

How long of a timeframe on the bet? Are you willing to have an escrow hold the bet money? What exchange are you going by?

Ok Mr Big, my first bet with Bitcoin, - ever - I'm now a gambling man Roll Eyes
I'll take you up if you agree to these terms,
price average as displayed on http://winkdex.com/

start: Oct 14, 2014 8:01pm EDT (12:01am UTC) fro 1 year.

if I win you can send the 0.05 BTC to this address: 16uniUFpbhrAxAWMZ9qEkcT9Wf34ETB4Tt and sign a message posted in this thread.

if during any time over the next year it dips below 398 on the Winkdex I'll send 0.05 to an address of your choosing and sign it if you want.


At least you could come up with a more interesting bet...  and also be clear to settle the terms of the bet before it is lost.

This one is likely to be lost within 24 hours, no?  possibly more likely within less than 4 hours.

if he had taken the bet I'd have lost, but I'm not interested in betting actually, i just wanted justusranvier to update the milestones, looks like we cant cross off 389.11 yet.

bitcoin moves from week hands to strong, 0.05 could just slip through my fingers.

Thank me in Bits 12MwnzxtprG2mHm3rKdgi7NmJKCypsMMQw
JayJuanGee
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October 15, 2014, 01:26:47 AM
 #86

I think it's time to bump this thread.
I'm betting 0.05 BTC we just passed 398 for the last time.

How long of a timeframe on the bet? Are you willing to have an escrow hold the bet money? What exchange are you going by?

Ok Mr Big, my first bet with Bitcoin, - ever - I'm now a gambling man Roll Eyes
I'll take you up if you agree to these terms,
price average as displayed on http://winkdex.com/

start: Oct 14, 2014 8:01pm EDT (12:01am UTC) fro 1 year.

if I win you can send the 0.05 BTC to this address: 16uniUFpbhrAxAWMZ9qEkcT9Wf34ETB4Tt and sign a message posted in this thread.

if during any time over the next year it dips below 398 on the Winkdex I'll send 0.05 to an address of your choosing and sign it if you want.


At least you could come up with a more interesting bet...  and also be clear to settle the terms of the bet before it is lost.

This one is likely to be lost within 24 hours, no?  possibly more likely within less than 4 hours.

if he had taken the bet I'd have lost, but I'm not interested in betting actually, i just wanted justusranvier to update the milestones, looks like we cant cross off 389.11 yet.

bitcoin moves from week hands to strong, 0.05 could just slip through my fingers.

If you were to want to structure a genuine bet regarding "BTC prices will NOT go below ____X____ by ____Y___ time"  I am sure that there would be quite a few posters on this forum who would be willing to take you up on such a bet, especially if it is only for .05 BTC and they perceive that it is fairly likely that they could win the bet.

Personally, I am rarely so confident as to the short-term BTC price movement.. but there may be even instances and certain framings of bets that I would be willing to get involved in.

In this case, as you seem to have conceded, you never really gave enough time for any real serious and genuine consideration to the settlement of your bet terms, so in those kinds of circumstances, you will be hard-pressed to find any takers.. in order to genuinely follow through.. that is if you had been attempting to make such a bet within such a short time window.

Anyhow, since you seemed to have NOT been serious about your bet, proposing the bet was more like trolling... and sorry to use such a harsh description which seems to have been the case, here.

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
MrBig
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October 15, 2014, 01:34:47 AM
 #87

I had to go offline a bit. It seems the bet offer has been retracted. No worries, I imagine we'll be going below $400 quite a few times in the coming weeks.
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October 15, 2014, 01:36:34 AM
 #88

I need to update my spreadsheet that tracks this data when I have time...
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October 15, 2014, 01:52:36 AM
 #89

I think it's time to bump this thread.
I'm betting 0.05 BTC we just passed 398 for the last time.

How long of a timeframe on the bet? Are you willing to have an escrow hold the bet money? What exchange are you going by?

Ok Mr Big, my first bet with Bitcoin, - ever - I'm now a gambling man Roll Eyes
I'll take you up if you agree to these terms,
price average as displayed on http://winkdex.com/

start: Oct 14, 2014 8:01pm EDT (12:01am UTC) fro 1 year.

if I win you can send the 0.05 BTC to this address: 16uniUFpbhrAxAWMZ9qEkcT9Wf34ETB4Tt and sign a message posted in this thread.

if during any time over the next year it dips below 398 on the Winkdex I'll send 0.05 to an address of your choosing and sign it if you want.


At least you could come up with a more interesting bet...  and also be clear to settle the terms of the bet before it is lost.

This one is likely to be lost within 24 hours, no?  possibly more likely within less than 4 hours.

if he had taken the bet I'd have lost, but I'm not interested in betting actually, i just wanted justusranvier to update the milestones, looks like we cant cross off 389.11 yet.

bitcoin moves from week hands to strong, 0.05 could just slip through my fingers.

I have posted "we will never see $xxx.xx" again only to eat my words.  I have decided not to say that anymore.  It does feel like we are way undervalued right now and I have no idea why we keep dipping back down.  Maybe when the price hits $600 and up we can safely say we will never see the 300's or even 400's again. 

1BitcHiCK1iRa6YVY6qDqC6M594RBYLNPo
MrBig
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October 15, 2014, 02:01:15 AM
 #90

I think it's time to bump this thread.
I'm betting 0.05 BTC we just passed 398 for the last time.

How long of a timeframe on the bet? Are you willing to have an escrow hold the bet money? What exchange are you going by?

Ok Mr Big, my first bet with Bitcoin, - ever - I'm now a gambling man Roll Eyes
I'll take you up if you agree to these terms,
price average as displayed on http://winkdex.com/

start: Oct 14, 2014 8:01pm EDT (12:01am UTC) fro 1 year.

if I win you can send the 0.05 BTC to this address: 16uniUFpbhrAxAWMZ9qEkcT9Wf34ETB4Tt and sign a message posted in this thread.

if during any time over the next year it dips below 398 on the Winkdex I'll send 0.05 to an address of your choosing and sign it if you want.


At least you could come up with a more interesting bet...  and also be clear to settle the terms of the bet before it is lost.

This one is likely to be lost within 24 hours, no?  possibly more likely within less than 4 hours.

if he had taken the bet I'd have lost, but I'm not interested in betting actually, i just wanted justusranvier to update the milestones, looks like we cant cross off 389.11 yet.

bitcoin moves from week hands to strong, 0.05 could just slip through my fingers.

I have posted "we will never see $xxx.xx" again only to eat my words.  I have decided not to say that anymore.  It does feel like we are way undervalued right now and I have no idea why we keep dipping back down.  Maybe when the price hits $600 and up we can safely say we will never see the 300's or even 400's again. 

We keep doing down in price because the supply of BTC is outpacing the demand more each day. Until that pattern changes, I would not expect a sustained bull market.
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October 15, 2014, 01:56:23 PM
 #91

I guess we will have to wait till the next halving of the block reward.
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October 15, 2014, 04:05:07 PM
 #92

I guess we will have to wait till the next halving of the block reward.

When is that?

Demokrati: Två vargar och ett lamm röstar om lunchmenyn.      Democracy: Two wolfes and a lamb votes about the lunch menu.
Frihet: Ett väl beväpnat lamm opponerar sig mot omröstningen.  Freedom: A well armed lamb opposes the outcome.
MrBig
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October 15, 2014, 04:23:16 PM
 #93

I guess we will have to wait till the next halving of the block reward.

When is that?

Around August 2016 according to bitcoinclock.com. The exact date isn't known though
Arriemoller
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October 15, 2014, 04:30:45 PM
 #94

So, two more years of wandering in the valley of the shadow of death then.

Demokrati: Två vargar och ett lamm röstar om lunchmenyn.      Democracy: Two wolfes and a lamb votes about the lunch menu.
Frihet: Ett väl beväpnat lamm opponerar sig mot omröstningen.  Freedom: A well armed lamb opposes the outcome.
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October 15, 2014, 05:09:55 PM
 #95

So, two more years of wandering in the valley of the shadow of death then.

I think we can say that this is the "worst case scenario" of when we know without a doubt Bitcoin will increase in value. Wink

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October 15, 2014, 05:20:11 PM
 #96

So, two more years of wandering in the valley of the shadow of death then.

I think we can say that this is the "worst case scenario" of when we know without a doubt Bitcoin will increase in value. Wink
Bitcoin survived 2011 and 2012, despite two years of price stagnation.
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October 15, 2014, 10:43:16 PM
 #97

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0ArD8rjI3DD1WdFIzNDFMeEhVSzhwcEVXZDVzdVpGU2c#gid=1

I wouldn't exactly call it a stagnation.

Demokrati: Två vargar och ett lamm röstar om lunchmenyn.      Democracy: Two wolfes and a lamb votes about the lunch menu.
Frihet: Ett väl beväpnat lamm opponerar sig mot omröstningen.  Freedom: A well armed lamb opposes the outcome.
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