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Author Topic: 20th 3dMACD bar started GREEN!  (Read 23004 times)
inca
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October 27, 2014, 07:43:09 PM
 #41

It is now or never Smiley
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ask
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October 28, 2014, 07:39:39 AM
 #42

It looks promising.

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October 28, 2014, 03:45:37 PM
 #43

Yes but in the long term view, it looks very bearish.

And lookin at the recent price action on LTC, it looks like BTC will go down further.

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October 28, 2014, 04:16:18 PM
 #44

It looks promising.

Although your "analysis" completely failed, there's still hope... Cheesy

Overestimation of abilities and emotional attachment to failed theories are the ingredients for loosing big. Markets are cruel and emotionless. It's preferable to admit defeat and try to come up with something better...

I'm also long on Bitcoin. But longterm and based on fundamental reasoning. And I admit that I don't know the future. Therefore I don't invest much, because it's better to have a little bit of something than a whole lot of nothing.

ya.ya.yo!
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October 28, 2014, 08:51:43 PM
Last edit: October 28, 2014, 10:55:00 PM by Wary
 #45

As far as I can tell the 3d MACD hasn't produced one false signal so far in the history of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin history is short. So "it had never happened before" is bad predictor. In bitcoin a lot of things happening the first time ever. Both bad ones (like current one-year-long downtrend) and good ones (like ATH).

Fairplay medal of dnaleor's trading simulator. Smiley
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October 28, 2014, 10:22:55 PM
 #46

It looks promising.

Although your "analysis" completely failed, there's still hope... Cheesy

Overestimation of abilities and emotional attachment to failed theories are the ingredients for loosing big. Markets are cruel and emotionless. It's preferable to admit defeat and try to come up with something better...

I'm also long on Bitcoin. But longterm and based on fundamental reasoning. And I admit that I don't know the future. Therefore I don't invest much, because it's better to have a little bit of something than a whole lot of nothing.

ya.ya.yo!

Not sure why you say failed. The three day MACD is still green. Smiley
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October 29, 2014, 11:56:24 PM
 #47

It looks promising.

Although your "analysis" completely failed, there's still hope... Cheesy


If it turns red, I'm expecting the "Today I bought 2000 Bitcoins!" thread.

Hope springs eternal...
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October 29, 2014, 11:59:22 PM
 #48

ask
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October 30, 2014, 08:42:28 PM
 #49

Really DENIED?  Cheesy

maker88
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October 30, 2014, 11:13:37 PM
 #50

i don't get why people keep saying your predictions failed. seems like it is indeed green on the 4th bar.
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October 31, 2014, 02:13:30 AM
Last edit: October 31, 2014, 02:40:10 AM by ask
 #51

i don't get why people keep saying your predictions failed. seems like it is indeed green on the 4th bar.

Because they (schmucks) don't see that the history repeats.

Capt Drake
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October 31, 2014, 02:44:11 PM
 #52

Just to make a point here, in the 3d chart the 20 MA and the 200 MA are crossing and this only happened in 2012.  Sad

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October 31, 2014, 02:47:06 PM
 #53

Just to make a point here, in the 3d chart the 20 MA and the 200 MA are crossing and this only happened in 2012.  Sad

img]http://s12.postimg.org/5k9f5k4od/analysis_as_of_141031.png[/img]

Isn't that a pretty bullish sign though??
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October 31, 2014, 03:36:33 PM
 #54

Just to make a point here, in the 3d chart the 20 MA and the 200 MA are crossing and this only happened in 2012.  Sad

img]http://s12.postimg.org/5k9f5k4od/analysis_as_of_141031.png[/img]

Isn't that a pretty bullish sign though??

eh, how it would be bullish?

Though not crossed yet, 3d mas can take a time.
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October 31, 2014, 03:49:53 PM
 #55

Just to make a point here, in the 3d chart the 20 MA and the 200 MA are crossing and this only happened in 2012.  Sad



What occurred the last time this happend?
SnokkomBTC
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October 31, 2014, 03:57:59 PM
 #56

Just to make a point here, in the 3d chart the 20 MA and the 200 MA are crossing and this only happened in 2012.  Sad



What occurred the last time this happend?
4 months stability then to the moon

Sometimes, if it looks too bearish, it's actually bullish
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October 31, 2014, 05:38:12 PM
 #57

Just to make a point here, in the 3d chart the 20 MA and the 200 MA are crossing and this only happened in 2012.  Sad



What occurred the last time this happend?
4 months stability then to the moon

Using Stamp's data for that early period is like using an obscure exchange now to determine price action in the wider market. You need to look at Gox.
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October 31, 2014, 07:37:35 PM
 #58

That 3D MACD is going to flip right back down to red if there isn't some steady growth in the next few days  Sad

coinableS
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October 31, 2014, 07:42:20 PM
 #59

The 3D RSI on stamp has double bottomed. It fell below 30 in Sept and then again in Oct and now we are rising. This has NEVER happened before with BTC.

Quote
Rising double bottom in RSI is a fairly reliable buy signal (given a reasonably healthy market). Using a backtest database of 50 stocks (137,500 bars) diversified across industries, beta, net return, and capitalization, the backtest gives the following results:

Percent profitable: 77.0%
Ratio avg win/avg loss: 1.23
Risk adjusted ann. return: 24.63%
Profit factor: 4.12
Total number of trades: 217
Number winning trades: 167
Number losing trades: 50

https://www.amibroker.com/library/detail.php?id=220

 



podyx
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October 31, 2014, 09:51:24 PM
 #60

The 3D RSI on stamp has double bottomed. It fell below 30 in Sept and then again in Oct and now we are rising. This has NEVER happened before with BTC.

Quote
Rising double bottom in RSI is a fairly reliable buy signal (given a reasonably healthy market). Using a backtest database of 50 stocks (137,500 bars) diversified across industries, beta, net return, and capitalization, the backtest gives the following results:

Percent profitable: 77.0%
Ratio avg win/avg loss: 1.23
Risk adjusted ann. return: 24.63%
Profit factor: 4.12
Total number of trades: 217
Number winning trades: 167
Number losing trades: 50

https://www.amibroker.com/library/detail.php?id=220

 

Where is this double bottom RSI?

Can you post a picture?
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