Bitcoin Forum
December 03, 2016, 02:39:12 AM *
News: Latest stable version of Bitcoin Core: 0.13.1  [Torrent].
 
   Home   Help Search Donate Login Register  
Pages: « 1 [2] 3 »  All
  Print  
Author Topic: resistance at $5.3 deteriorating  (Read 4266 times)
bitcoinBull
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 826


rippleFanatic


View Profile
June 04, 2012, 09:43:23 PM
 #21

I scoff at your 'walls'...

The walls set the price.

The walls come and go. They don't effect the probability/price distributions, and contain about the same amount of information as noise. I have measured it. And that is about all the information I feel like feeding this market.

Its not easy to measure the information in a signal. I guess I have to sacrifice one of my own secrets to win this battle.



Quote
One of the key observations of inventory models is that the shape of the order book is predictive of impending changes in the market price. Figure 10.4 illustrates the phenomenon identified by Cao, Hansch, and Wang (2004). In panel (a), market price is “pushed” by a large concentration of conservative limit orders.
Cao, Hansch, and Wang (2004) find that the shape of the limit order book is actively exploited by market-making traders. Cao, Hansch, and Wang (2004) also find that the breadth and depth (also known as the length and height) of the limit order book predicts 30 percent of the impending price moves. Furthermore, the asymmetry in the order book generates additional information.


College of Bucking Bulls Knowledge
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction. Advertise here.
1480732752
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1480732752

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1480732752
Reply with quote  #2

1480732752
Report to moderator
1480732752
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1480732752

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1480732752
Reply with quote  #2

1480732752
Report to moderator
FreeMoney
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1246


Strength in numbers


View Profile WWW
June 05, 2012, 01:09:37 AM
 #22

Resistance is futile.

Play Bitcoin Poker at sealswithclubs.eu. We're active and open to everyone.
bitcoinBull
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 826


rippleFanatic


View Profile
June 05, 2012, 03:03:00 AM
 #23

<pats self on back>

That was another good call proudhon. Somehow we both managed to be right today!

College of Bucking Bulls Knowledge
bitcoinBull
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 826


rippleFanatic


View Profile
June 05, 2012, 03:07:45 AM
 #24


College of Bucking Bulls Knowledge
adamstgBit
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904


Trusted Bitcoiner


View Profile WWW
June 05, 2012, 04:12:38 AM
 #25

it just keeps looking better eh...


this is not good  Lips sealed

Hexadecibel
Human Intranet Liason
VIP
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 536


I still <3 u Satoshi


View Profile
June 05, 2012, 04:36:36 AM
 #26

That wall at 5.25 doesn't look well built.
adamstgBit
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904


Trusted Bitcoiner


View Profile WWW
June 05, 2012, 04:45:00 AM
 #27

if anything what we are seeing signal's the end of this stability

so hold on to your hats and remeber these numbers

5.6 , 6 , 5.4, 7, 5.99, 8

good luck! Wink

Breaks into song .
Mr bitcoin!
Bring me money
give me a chance, out of this Economy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5WiXMcsfvXE

bitcoinBull
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 826


rippleFanatic


View Profile
June 05, 2012, 05:06:30 AM
 #28

Again with the walls... They come, they go, unless you know in advance where they will show or drop it's not tradeable.

Market makers adjust the depth of their limit orders to the rate of market orders (usually). Thin depth on one side indicates high demand and low supply. As short-term signals they are as good as anything else, probably one of the best. Who can deny that the recent action is due to the massive bid wall?

Nobody knows anything in advance (except insiders). What's more tradable than walls?

College of Bucking Bulls Knowledge
adamstgBit
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904


Trusted Bitcoiner


View Profile WWW
June 05, 2012, 05:25:39 AM
 #29

Again with the walls... They come, they go, unless you know in advance where they will show or drop it's not tradeable.

Market makers adjust the depth of their limit orders to the rate of market orders (usually). Thin depth on one side indicates high demand and low supply. As short-term signals they are as good as anything else, probably one of the best. Who can deny that the recent action is due to the massive bid wall?

Nobody knows anything in advance (except insiders). What's more tradable than walls?

Quantitative probability...

a(a) + $Xr(B/A) + %X[%Xr(B/A)] + 2%X(v(B/A)+a(B/A)

= 8$

 Cheesy

ildubbioso
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 406



View Profile
June 05, 2012, 07:16:32 AM
 #30

if anything what we are seeing signal's the end of this stability

so hold on to your hats and remeber these numbers

5.6 , 6 , 5.4, 7, 5.99, 8


Why exactly 8 ?


Succesfully traded with:

wariner ; diego1000 ; zer0
adamstgBit
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904


Trusted Bitcoiner


View Profile WWW
June 05, 2012, 07:32:48 AM
 #31

if anything what we are seeing signal's the end of this stability

so hold on to your hats and remeber these numbers

5.6 , 6 , 5.4, 7, 5.99, 8


Why exactly 8 ?



Because adamstgBit is smoking too much V^2 + 2E + D
Lol!
i smoke once in a while....


I've been saying 8$ for a long time and I'm sticking to it.  Grin


edit : to see who smoked what see this thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=62753.0

bitcoinBull
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 826


rippleFanatic


View Profile
June 05, 2012, 12:45:57 PM
 #32

Again with the walls... They come, they go, unless you know in advance where they will show or drop it's not tradeable.

Market makers adjust the depth of their limit orders to the rate of market orders (usually). Thin depth on one side indicates high demand and low supply. As short-term signals they are as good as anything else, probably one of the best. Who can deny that the recent action is due to the massive bid wall?

Nobody knows anything in advance (except insiders). What's more tradable than walls?

Quantitative probability...

I suppose you're right. And if you calculate that for the rest of us mere mortals, you can use it to give us... walls.

College of Bucking Bulls Knowledge
cypherdoc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1764



View Profile
June 05, 2012, 12:54:59 PM
 #33

Again with the walls... They come, they go, unless you know in advance where they will show or drop it's not tradeable.

Market makers adjust the depth of their limit orders to the rate of market orders (usually). Thin depth on one side indicates high demand and low supply. As short-term signals they are as good as anything else, probably one of the best. Who can deny that the recent action is due to the massive bid wall?

Nobody knows anything in advance (except insiders). What's more tradable than walls?

+1
proudhon
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1148



View Profile
June 05, 2012, 03:47:37 PM
 #34

Again with the walls... They come, they go, unless you know in advance where they will show or drop it's not tradeable.

Market makers adjust the depth of their limit orders to the rate of market orders (usually). Thin depth on one side indicates high demand and low supply. As short-term signals they are as good as anything else, probably one of the best. Who can deny that the recent action is due to the massive bid wall?

Nobody knows anything in advance (except insiders). What's more tradable than walls?

Quantitative probability...

I suppose you're right. And if you calculate that for the rest of us mere mortals, you can use it to give us... walls.

I have, and it hurt my profits.

I'm glad you're back.
byronbb
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1400


HODL OR DIE


View Profile
June 05, 2012, 10:40:43 PM
 #35

Does the current inability to short have anything to do with this move?

hazek
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1078


View Profile
June 05, 2012, 11:42:11 PM
 #36

Does the current inability to short have anything to do with this move?

I strongly suspect that it does and I can't wait for kronos to come online.

My personality type: INTJ - please forgive my weaknesses (Not naturally in tune with others feelings; may be insensitive at times, tend to respond to conflict with logic and reason, tend to believe I'm always right)

If however you enjoyed my post: 15j781DjuJeVsZgYbDVt2NZsGrWKRWFHpp
bitcoinBull
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 826


rippleFanatic


View Profile
June 06, 2012, 08:40:03 AM
 #37

I have, and it hurt my profits.
I'm glad you're back.

Me too. But I'm sad he deleted most of his posts!

There are many factors that could affect profits, stochastic variations (outside the assumptions of a particular quantitative probabilisitic model) for one. Bitcoinica spreads could be another.

Chodpaba should put his model back up. It might increase profits if perhaps instead of trying to follow market, the market tries to follow chodpaba!

College of Bucking Bulls Knowledge
cloon
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 387



View Profile
June 06, 2012, 06:58:34 PM
 #38

this tread should be called: resistance at $5.5 deteriorating

welcome back chodpaba! it would be great, if you start sharing your information again! u can take much more profit while doing it ;-)

donations to 13zWUMSHA7AzGjqWmJNhJLYZxHmjNPKduY
Tittiez
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 686



View Profile
June 06, 2012, 07:17:16 PM
 #39



There's a good wall at $5.50
cloon
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 387



View Profile
June 06, 2012, 07:20:58 PM
 #40

this tread should be called: resistance at $5.5 deteriorating

welcome back chodpaba! it would be great, if you start sharing your information again! u can take much more profit while doing it ;-)

If I wanted to manipulate the market with that sort of signaling I totally would. But I don't think it is the best thing for the health of Bitcoin exchange markets, and I'm not that interested in the short game.
i just think, that another hard increase of bitcoinvalue would produce much media-backing what could bring Bitcoin to the final breakout and more bitcoin acceptance.

donations to 13zWUMSHA7AzGjqWmJNhJLYZxHmjNPKduY
Pages: « 1 [2] 3 »  All
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Sponsored by , a Bitcoin-accepting VPN.
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!