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Author Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker  (Read 1651798 times)
ManBearPig
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April 16, 2013, 09:14:10 AM
 #23521

My first published chart since the crash.



Disclaimer: it's just numbers and a little bit of extrapolation in case we revert to a generally bullish trend set in the first couple of months of this year so perma-bears and perma-bulls please don't bite Wink

I tweet crypto nonsense: https://twitter.com/DunningKruger_
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simonk83
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April 16, 2013, 09:14:33 AM
 #23522

Well, I've quadrupled the amount of coins I had free before the run up, and I'm now in hold mode Smiley    In it for the long term, so at least when it spikes again I won't be as annoyed with myself that I didn't buy when they were cheaper.
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April 16, 2013, 09:23:53 AM
 #23523

This trend is obviously broken. There is no reason to believe there is exponential amount of new money keep flowing in after the huge correction.

My first published chart since the crash.



Disclaimer: it's just numbers and a little bit of extrapolation in case we revert to a generally bullish trend set in the first couple of months of this year so perma-bears and perma-bulls please don't bite Wink

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pinger
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April 16, 2013, 09:31:44 AM
 #23524

Is not as huge, still 42 times most value a BTC than a €

People who bought at 32 in 2011 have wins if they don't sold.

ManBearPig
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April 16, 2013, 09:39:18 AM
 #23525

This trend is obviously broken. There is no reason to believe there is exponential amount of new money keep flowing in after the huge correction.

My first published chart since the crash.

Disclaimer: it's just numbers and a little bit of extrapolation in case we revert to a generally bullish trend set in the first couple of months of this year so perma-bears and perma-bulls please don't bite Wink

The sum of all recent trends fits this trend-line (1.8% daily) very well. We can only speculate, none of us have magic powers.

I for one will use that as a reference point and would wager that big money waiting to come in would have something similar in mind.

The strategy of buying into that kind of growth and exiting when it either increased or decreased would have netted you a massive gain. It might be worth bearing in mind for the future.

I tweet crypto nonsense: https://twitter.com/DunningKruger_
Grouver (BtcBalance)
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April 16, 2013, 09:41:12 AM
 #23526

The biggest support from where this rally started was the the ATH of 2011 $32~.
If it breaks this one i will be worried.

rpietila
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April 16, 2013, 09:44:33 AM
 #23527

The biggest support from where this rally started was the the ATH of 2011 $32~.
If it breaks this one i will be worried.

What exactly are you going to do when you get worried? Sell all your coins at the bottom?

I think the only sane choice with a long term position is to buy until one of the following happens:
- The network breaks down beyond repair
- Bitcoin hits mainstream.

Everything else is a zero-sum game. Ah well, denominated in fiat even speculators can get return Smiley

just1nmc
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April 16, 2013, 09:53:23 AM
 #23528

BTC5k coins bought up to $60
Grouver (BtcBalance)
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April 16, 2013, 09:58:15 AM
 #23529

The biggest support from where this rally started was the the ATH of 2011 $32~.
If it breaks this one i will be worried.

What exactly are you going to do when you get worried? Sell all your coins at the bottom?

I think the only sane choice with a long term position is to buy until one of the following happens:
- The network breaks down beyond repair
- Bitcoin hits mainstream.

Everything else is a zero-sum game. Ah well, denominated in fiat even speculators can get return Smiley
Hold ofcourse.
But $32 will be a huge support which means if it gets past that we will see crash #2.

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April 16, 2013, 10:04:44 AM
 #23530

Some trades like buying of 5k upto 60, are an attempt to invert the trend, but it seems ineffective. Its not looking good!

How Ripple Rips you: "The founders of Ripple Labs created 100 billion XRP at Ripple's inception. No more can be created according to the rules of the Ripple protocol. Of the 100 billion created, 20 billion XRP were retained by the creators, seeders, venture capital companies and other founders. The remaining 80 billion were given to Ripple Labs. Ripple Labs intends to distribute and sell 55 of that 80 billion XRP to users and strategic partners. Ripple Labs also had a giveaway of under 200 million XRP (0.002% of all XRP) via World Community Grid that was later discontinued.[29] Ripple Labs will retain the remaining 25 billion"
deepceleron
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April 16, 2013, 10:11:36 AM
 #23531

My first published chart since the crash.

I have a chart if you really want to discount the bubble and project where we might be:

ManBearPig
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April 16, 2013, 10:14:39 AM
 #23532

I'm half-in at $58. I will keep this ratio until we either break below $50 or above $70.

This is a nice balance for me as I have both my original amount of coins and my original cash investment.

So barring North Korea chucking a nuke at Mt Gox...

I tweet crypto nonsense: https://twitter.com/DunningKruger_
ManBearPig
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April 16, 2013, 10:15:41 AM
 #23533

My first published chart since the crash.

I have a chart if you really want to discount the bubble and project where we might be:


I only think it became a bubble in late March 2013 personally (my opinion). So much has changed since last year.

I tweet crypto nonsense: https://twitter.com/DunningKruger_
cbeast
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April 16, 2013, 10:17:57 AM
 #23534

Right now mining is at 8.43 blocks per hour. I wonder if ASIC mining and over supplying Bitcoins is affecting the price.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
GreekGeek
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April 16, 2013, 10:20:57 AM
 #23535

Right now mining is at 8.43 blocks per hour. I wonder if ASIC mining and over supplying Bitcoins is affecting the price.

a bit

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just1nmc
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April 16, 2013, 10:22:46 AM
 #23536

I don't really see a reason for the price to go back down to $20. Bubble or not, more people have bitcoins now than they did a few months ago. It has brought a ton of media coverage that is still going on.

And although the price has gone down, the number of merchants accepting bitcoins continues to increase, more exchanges are opening, and there are many projects being worked on.

The number of users on blockchain.info has increased from 75k to 222k since January. So why should we expect to go back to the same price before that happened?

Ivanhoe
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April 16, 2013, 10:30:03 AM
 #23537

Looks like we are going up again... please no.. I'm still waiting in the verification qeue of Mt.Gox....
just1nmc
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April 16, 2013, 10:30:39 AM
 #23538

Lol gox finally lags on some buys

ManBearPig
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April 16, 2013, 10:31:22 AM
 #23539

Lol gox finally lags on some buys


Yep was about to post it myself: this is good Smiley

Watching the lag, it's easy to see how it would mount cumulatively on a panic sell OR buy.

Bid wall (fake or not) up to 37K at $50


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fitty
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April 16, 2013, 10:33:59 AM
 #23540

The golden goose still has a little fight left in her. Wink
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