The Lucky Bit Big Win Prediction Game!

[stingleword]

Results for 30-11-2014 are final. 1Miss1 wins!

No need to split the house edge in this case, since I won it all.
TXID e1ae17124e7a558bffe4b38abeb780d968b2aa9c03ea48503c8b4be3d611f855

Wagers for 01-12-2014 are in. Here's the list:

Bet on 1Hits1
(nobody...)

Bet on 1Miss1
1GAf35L4i1N5nyJrruYEtEwBssdrLXAVLH - 0.001BTC

Total prize pool: 0.001BTC

Collections for 02-12-2014 begin immediately.

[1714944799]

1714944799

[BRE]

Hmm too bad today someone hit red x999  1Hit should win today
So for tomorrow do we will see somebody hit :
Blue x2   
Green x22
Yellow x111
Red x999
Promo x10     

Place your bets in 1Miss or 1Hit ( for further information see the first page from this thread )
GoodLuck 

[stingleword]

Results for 01-12-2014 are final. 1Hits1 wins!
1Grjv43NFvDUG3ZWNdbgkwAvWEnJpAZD4Q bet 0.002 on red and hit x999, winning 1.998BTC. Congratulations!

No winners this round - 0.001BTC held for next round.

Wagers for 02-12-2014 are in. Here's the list:

Bet on 1Hits1
(nobody...)

Bet on 1Miss1
1WayStGErPLgjrGpK7Ro36ZA2eeraoaMi - 0.01BTC

Total prize pool: 0.011BTC

Collections for 03-12-2014 begin immediately.

[stingleword]

It seems easy money to bet on "miss" close to the end of the day, if there's more than 0 currenlty on "hits."

May be that's why nobody bets on "hits" any more...

Betting is always for the following day. You don't improve your chances by betting at any given time.

[BRE]

It seems easy money to bet on "miss" close to the end of the day, if there's more than 0 currenlty on "hits."

May be that's why nobody bets on "hits" any more...

I don't think so , For the first 2 days 1Miss was win in this event.
But yesterday Red x999 has been hit twice in LuckyBit .

[stingleword]

Results for 02-12-2014 are final. 1Miss1 wins!

No need to split the house edge in this case, since I won it all.
TXID 63944e0d2e097ed3655b37bd3a68fc26eb94b25f0e8e9f1f0d4e973d4c917b1a

Wagers for 03-12-2014 are in. Here's the list:

Bet on 1Hits1
1BtcBoSSnqe8mFJCUEyCNmo3EcF8Yzhpnc - 0.0001BTC

Bet on 1Miss1
1H42iHQekuuDVWf66Z4haZWxXJqf8zxuTo - 0.0025BTC

Total prize pool 0.0026BTC

Collections for 04-12-2014 begin immediately.

[erre]

Results for 02-12-2014 are final. 1Miss1 wins!

No need to split the house edge in this case, since I won it all.
TXID 63944e0d2e097ed3655b37bd3a68fc26eb94b25f0e8e9f1f0d4e973d4c917b1a

Wagers for 03-12-2014 are in. Here's the list:

Bet on 1Hits1
1BtcBoSSnqe8mFJCUEyCNmo3EcF8Yzhpnc - 0.0001BTC

Bet on 1Miss1
1H42iHQekuuDVWf66Z4haZWxXJqf8zxuTo - 0.0025BTC

Total prize pool 0.0026BTC

Collections for 04-12-2014 begin immediately.

Hey, btcboss,  that's not a fair strategy!  

I need to check the addresses before betting next time, if things work like this I have some chanches of losing 5% of my 0.0025, and some chanches of lose all!
You, on the other side, are risking nothing...

Pls sringer fix this, or nobody will bet again...

[stingleword]

Pls sringer fix this, or nobody will bet again...

Fix what? This is the way the game was designed. Besides, you only put up 0.0025 which is also a tiny risk. Another player could drown both of you out of the game by simply betting 0.01BTC.

If you have a specific suggestion I'll be happy to read and consider it, but if you don't propose a solution (or even state a problem) then I have no motivation to make changes.

[erre]

Pls sringer fix this, or nobody will bet again...

Fix what? This is the way the game was designed. Besides, you only put up 0.0025 which is also a tiny risk. Another player could drown both of you out of the game by simply betting 0.01BTC.

If you have a specific suggestion I'll be happy to read and consider it, but if you don't propose a solution (or even state a problem) then I have no motivation to make changes.

The problem is: if only a few people bets very different sums, there's a chanche that one side will end with many more bitcoins than the other. In a free betmarket of thousand of people this would probably auto-regulate and this difference would reflect the different odds of 1miss vs 1win, but that's not the case. I'm not whining about my 0.0025, but exposing something that, Imho,  could be considered a bug in your game. And I also think that btcboss wisely used this " exploit" betting the minimum amount on the most unlikely event, and he deserves my money (in the case he'll win). I like your game.
Proposed solution: a minimum 0.002 token

[erre]

Double post

[stingleword]

Results for 03-12-2014 are in. 1Miss1 wins!

0.0026 * 99.5% = 0.002587BTC sent to 1 winner. Since the edge didn't pay the fee, it's being routed through my wallet.
TXID 3963af2f91b84a3d01529fbb4e79cd708fa481d9133439989bf18d0fba9e474b

Wagers for 04-12-2014 are closed. No bets received.

Since there are no outstanding funds, now is a good time to instance the change suggested by erre. There is now a minimum bet of 0.001BTC.

Collections for 05-12-2014 begin immediately.

[stingleword]

Wagers for 05-12-2014 are closed. No bets received.

Collections for 06-12-2014 are underway. Come on guys, are you allergic to fun or what?

[michietn94]

Wagers for 05-12-2014 are closed. No bets received.

Collections for 06-12-2014 are underway. Come on guys, are you allergic to fun or what?

If I bet BTC 0.001 to YES
how much the payout if I win ?

[stingleword]

Wagers for 05-12-2014 are closed. No bets received.

Collections for 06-12-2014 are underway. Come on guys, are you allergic to fun or what?

If I bet BTC 0.001 to YES
how much the payout if I win ?

That depends on how much is bet each round, and how much of the winning side was your bet. This is explained in the topic post.

The resulting pay is the total sum of BOTH sides and will be divided proportionally with all players from the winning side, minus 0.5% house edge to cover operational costs.

[stingleword]

Wagers for 06-12-2014 are closed. No bets received.

Collections for 07-12-2014 are underway. I'm going to bet on hit, just to see if anyone will come try to win it.

[erre]

Betted on miss

[stingleword]

Wagers for 07-12-2014 are closed. Here's the list:

Bet on 1Hits1
1WayStGErPLgjrGpK7Ro36ZA2eeraoaMi - 0.005BTC

Bet on 1Miss1
13wZt74rDowJznv1TACrZVHiPywKAynYCe - 0.001BTC

Total prize pool: 0.006BTC

Collections for 08-12-2014 begin immediately.

[stingleword]

Results for 08-12-2014 are in. 1Miss1 wins!

0.006BTC * 99.5% = 0.00597BTC paid to 1 winner. Since the edge didn't cover the fees, the payment is routed through my wallet.
TXID c296c40a71fbdbc71a659ede06cb8bde763cc2676d37e2bd44ada055a2a78f21

Wagers for 09-12-2014 are closed. Here's the list:

Bet on 1Hits1
(nobody...)

Bet on 1Miss1
1BHN7Y8X9CHhHdDuosc9vBa79QVmPphE9A - 0.001BTC

Total prize pool: 0.001BTC

Collections for 10-12-2014 begin immediately.

[stingleword]

Results for 09-12-2014 are in. 1Miss1 wins!

0.001 * 99.5% = 0.000995BTC sent to 1 winner. Since the edge didn't cover the fees, the payment is routed through my wallet.
TXID 84be4d7b355225b34ca8c2418eae7c659b6543e7d980a59a5537010437ae48f2

Wagers for 10-12-2014 are closed. No bets received.

Collections for 11-12-2014 begin immediately.

[stingleword]

Wagers for 11-12-2014 are closed. No bets received. A lot more people said they would play this game than are actually playing it.

Collections for 12-12-2014 begin immediately. Anyone? ......anyone?