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Author Topic: Warren Buffet advise not to buy bitcoin. Expect bitcoin price to collapse.  (Read 8569 times)
chesthing
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December 29, 2014, 06:29:48 PM
Last edit: December 30, 2014, 02:04:10 AM by chesthing
 #61

Let's hide the real message in with 5 other no brainer, super general statements that would apply to every year since the great depression to not make it to freakin obvious he has an agenda. Then, let's play to grandma and compare btc to checks and money orders, cause, you know, they still use and understand those. Sweet article.
The only cold hard fact you can take away is he either doesn't get it or he really isn't this ignorant and has an alt motive.
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December 29, 2014, 06:58:14 PM
 #62

Buffet spreading FUD so he can buy in sub $300  Cheesy
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December 29, 2014, 07:15:09 PM
 #63

This should be a forum sticky:

"Among the holdings that Buffett increased were his stakes in credit card giants Visa and Mastercard, as well as IBM."

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/berkshire-hathaway-13f-filing-november-14-2014-11#ixzz3NIzuC5XR

He's a statist that requires Bitcoin to fail for his investments to succeed.

ooh thats why hes saying that bitcoin will crash otherwise he wont have any profit ftom those now i get it Cheesy

Lol exactly what I said on the first page. His wealth is based on the success of the dollar. Of course he's going to bash Bitcoin.
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December 29, 2014, 07:21:44 PM
 #64

ITT:  We convince ourselves that a multibillionaire don't know notin' bout money.
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December 29, 2014, 07:35:35 PM
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ITT:  We convince ourselves that a multibillionaire don't know notin' bout money.

I can run minecraft from a thumb drive and open a coinbase account, therefore... smarter than Warren Buffet.  Cool

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December 30, 2014, 01:34:03 AM
 #66

Price didn't collapse. /thread

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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December 30, 2014, 02:08:14 AM
 #67

ITT:  We convince ourselves that a multibillionaire don't know notin' bout money.

Gates has more money than Buffet, and he likes btc. Now, look at both backgrounds and decide who is more likely to be right. You should watch the '90's Letterman interview with Gates, where Gates tries to explain the internet to a baffled Letterman. All 3 of these men are very intelligent, just on different subjects.
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December 30, 2014, 02:20:56 AM
 #68

ITT:  We convince ourselves that a multibillionaire don't know notin' bout money.

Gates has more money than Buffet, and he likes btc. Now, look at both backgrounds and decide who is more likely to be right. You should watch the '90's Letterman interview with Gates, where Gates tries to explain the internet to a baffled Letterman. All 3 of these men are very intelligent, just on different subjects.

How much has Gates invested in BTC again?  Or are you extrapolating from his comment on blockchain technology, i.e. crypto in general?
chesthing
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December 30, 2014, 02:52:34 AM
 #69

ITT:  We convince ourselves that a multibillionaire don't know notin' bout money.

Gates has more money than Buffet, and he likes btc. Now, look at both backgrounds and decide who is more likely to be right. You should watch the '90's Letterman interview with Gates, where Gates tries to explain the internet to a baffled Letterman. All 3 of these men are very intelligent, just on different subjects.

How much has Gates invested in BTC again?  Or are you extrapolating from his comment on blockchain technology, i.e. crypto in general?

Who knows? Who cares? neither of these guys need to worry about whether btc succeeds, why would Gates bother buying any? as far as what he's said about btc, dyor.
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December 30, 2014, 02:56:48 AM
 #70

ITT:  We convince ourselves that a multibillionaire don't know notin' bout money.

Gates has more money than Buffet, and he likes btc. Now, look at both backgrounds and decide who is more likely to be right. You should watch the '90's Letterman interview with Gates, where Gates tries to explain the internet to a baffled Letterman. All 3 of these men are very intelligent, just on different subjects.

How much has Gates invested in BTC again?  Or are you extrapolating from his comment on blockchain technology, i.e. crypto in general?

Who knows? Who cares? neither of these guys need to worry about whether btc succeeds, why would Gates bother buying any? as far as what he's said about btc, dyor.

Huh, so you just like to make up rosy bullshit about bitcoin?  K, I don't judge.
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December 30, 2014, 03:19:38 AM
 #71

Just took a look at your post history, Silver. Looks like you either lost a shitload of btc value and already dumped or still holding. Either way sorry about that.
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December 30, 2014, 04:58:11 AM
 #72

^Started selling on the way up last year, averaged ~660.  Could have done better, but you know what they say.
How's about yourself? 
Ah, never mind, i'll spare you the trouble of answering with an educated guess:
If you're posting from your only account, you joined this forum on Dec. 3, 2014, *exactly* as  the BTC bubble burst.  And the boy who sold you your coins probably didn't even kiss you Sad 
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December 30, 2014, 05:04:15 AM
 #73

Just took a look at your post history, Silver. Looks like you either lost a shitload of btc value and already dumped or still holding.

Or just looking for another 50 cents.

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December 30, 2014, 05:07:18 AM
 #74

Just took a look at your post history, Silver. Looks like you either lost a shitload of btc value and already dumped or still holding. Either way sorry about that.

Lol, just looked at YOUR post history.  Could have done worse, I suppose.  Not much worse, but still Undecided

All I know is I bought my first 5 BTC on Monday at $700. [...]

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December 30, 2014, 05:07:57 AM
 #75

How much has Gates invested in BTC again? 
Lots of people are invested in Bitcoin. Obviously no major investor will admit to the amount of bitcoins in their portfolio unless they are directly involved in its development and are  giving full disclosure. Otherwise there is a secrecy rule for filing SEC form 13F for investors like Buffett so they can protect themselves and their clients. Bitcoin still has a media stigma it will shake in time like Arthur Anderson.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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December 30, 2014, 06:36:02 AM
 #76

Forget Buffet, let's talk about that hit piece somebody posted in the comment section:

Quote
Most people who are currently under the "Bitcoin as a currency" illusion are missing some very important details (on multiple levels) regarding Bitcoin. Most of the information that they've gathered is based on false premises that have been perpetuated by snake oil salesmen, scammers and intellectually dishonest idealists who rely on tenuous and also factually incorrect information. Bitcoin is a cult, it is not a money or currency. It is predicated on a system of half-truths and lies that fall on their face when put under the microscope.

These omissions, misperceptions, half-truths and lies are not at all trivial. They cut right to the core of why Bitcoin (the currency) is faulty at its core, and why it will soon hit a technological, economic and regulatory brick wall.

I'll do you and everyone reading a favor, and I'll provide a list of a few of the problems with Bitcoin, and explain how you've been lied to, where your fundamental misunderstandings are, and why Bitcoin is flawed on a technical, economic and regulatory level.

I'll start with the technical side:

1. In Bitcoin, proof-of-work (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proof-of-work_system) is the method used to create reusable tokens (i.e. BTC) that can be sent and received by someone else with a Bitcoin address. When new Bitcoin are created by a Bitcoin Miner/Mining Pool, transactions from the previous (on average) 10 minutes are incentivized through fees (of BTC) to be included in the next ledger, which is built upon the previous ledger.

2. Bitcoin Mining is *HIGHLY* centralized among often anonymous operators. There is very little "distribution" of "hash-rate" to secure the network. Healthy proof-of-work systems require wide distribution of compute power to protect against byzantine faults, and to protect a network against a 51% attack. Bitcoin completely lacks this feature of a healthy network.

3. The Satoshi White Paper DID NOT assume or predict that Bitcoin Mining would become centralized and controlled by very few groups and individuals. or that specialized equipment would be built to enable the level of centralization we are now seeing. When confronted with this fundamental problem of theory vs. reality, Bitcoin promoters brush the issue aside and explain that miners are "Rational Actors", and as such, they have an economic interest to ensure that the network continues in an orderly way. Unfortunately for the promoters, however, "Rational Actor Theory" (which they base their argument on) is a theoretical model that can not be applied to real world outcomes, and is only useful in flat controlled simulations (Game Theory) where all data points are known. It is intellectually dishonest to use the Rational Actor Theory as an excuse for why the Bitcoin network is safe and secure.

4. The Bitcoin network will never be able to scale to support thousands or even hundreds of transactions a second. There is a very real and impossible to overcome barrier in terms of distributed networks, physics, and proof-of-work, that simply cannot be solved, yet just like with the (dishonest) application of Rational Actor Theory, Bitcoin promoters continue to assume that physical and mathematical limits that are inherent and immutable in the proof-of-work system will somehow be overcome in the future. They will not be overcome. Ever.

5. The Bitcoin network is powered by a patchwork of virtually unusable codebase that was originally developed as a "proof of concept" for reusable tokens, much in the way that other academic software system research projects demonstrate novel solutions. The Bitcoin codebase was not designed to scale, yet early on, non-technical libertarians co-opted Bitcoin, raised its perceived currency/monetary value, and created an intractable greed based dilemma: In order to change network consensus methods (proof-of-work, mining centralization), implement solutions that might enable the Bitcoin network to be robust at scale (newer, more efficient messaging methods & optimized peer networking methods), or to be true to the Satoshi White Paper premise of wide distribution of Miners, the price of Bitcoin has to be trivially low. Remember, Miners have spent many millions of dollars to develop and purchase specialized equipment. This is tantamount to vendor lock in. Once the price of Bitcoin went up, and the investments in specialized mining equipment started, the ability to get Miners to *ever* agree to an economic disincentive (like changing the rules of the network to ensure fairness and robustness) evaporated.

6. There is no network or protocol level exchange mechanism. Bitcoin externalizes the exchange duties to 3rd parties (exchanges) in order to support its use as a money transfer instrument. These exchanges have bank accounts in various parts of the world that custody exchange customer USD's, Euros, etc. Bitcoin is completely valueless by itself. Bitcoin promoters often create the illusion that it is a perfect money, and that we will eventually not need exchanges in order for BTC to function as its own economy and currency. The last 2 years have demonstrated that the vast majority of Bitcoin "investors" only care about one ultimate outcome: More Fiat currency in their pockets.

7. Bitcoin (the currency) is totally and completely illegal as a value transfer method in its current state, as demonstrated on numerous occasions by regulators and governments who have made demands of the exchanges that they must either comply with regulatory burdens that other Financial Institutions must follow, or necessarily be criminally liable. This takes us back to the intractable problem of Miners and the flawed implementation of Bitcoin as we now know it: Any types of controls or additional protocol modifications that could be created to help Bitcoin (the currency) to comply with existing laws & regulatory regimes are impossible to implement without the agreement of *at least* 51% of the network. More realistically, the threshold required exceeds 80% of all Miners. Given that miners are heavily centralized (read above), and heavily financially invested in the core premise that Bitcoin promoters have espoused over the past 3-4 years, it is virtually impossible to expect that the Bitcoin network will ever be able to comply with worldwide regulatory requirements. Ultimately this means that existing exchangers of Bitcoin will lose their banking facilities in 2015 and beyond, and Bitcoin (the currency) will very quickly start to approach its real value, which is between $0 and $0.01.
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December 30, 2014, 06:50:50 AM
 #77

Forget Buffet, let's talk about that hit piece somebody posted in the comment section:

Quote
Most people who are currently under the "Bitcoin as a currency" illusion are missing some very important details (on multiple levels) regarding Bitcoin. Most of the information that they've gathered is based on false premises that have been perpetuated by snake oil salesmen, scammers and intellectually dishonest idealists who rely on tenuous and also factually incorrect information. Bitcoin is a cult, it is not a money or currency. It is predicated on a system of half-truths and lies that fall on their face when put under the microscope.

These omissions, misperceptions, half-truths and lies are not at all trivial. They cut right to the core of why Bitcoin (the currency) is faulty at its core, and why it will soon hit a technological, economic and regulatory brick wall.

I'll do you and everyone reading a favor, and I'll provide a list of a few of the problems with Bitcoin, and explain how you've been lied to, where your fundamental misunderstandings are, and why Bitcoin is flawed on a technical, economic and regulatory level.

I'll start with the technical side:

1. In Bitcoin, proof-of-work (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proof-of-work_system) is the method used to create reusable tokens (i.e. BTC) that can be sent and received by someone else with a Bitcoin address. When new Bitcoin are created by a Bitcoin Miner/Mining Pool, transactions from the previous (on average) 10 minutes are incentivized through fees (of BTC) to be included in the next ledger, which is built upon the previous ledger.

2. Bitcoin Mining is *HIGHLY* centralized among often anonymous operators. There is very little "distribution" of "hash-rate" to secure the network. Healthy proof-of-work systems require wide distribution of compute power to protect against byzantine faults, and to protect a network against a 51% attack. Bitcoin completely lacks this feature of a healthy network.

3. The Satoshi White Paper DID NOT assume or predict that Bitcoin Mining would become centralized and controlled by very few groups and individuals. or that specialized equipment would be built to enable the level of centralization we are now seeing. When confronted with this fundamental problem of theory vs. reality, Bitcoin promoters brush the issue aside and explain that miners are "Rational Actors", and as such, they have an economic interest to ensure that the network continues in an orderly way. Unfortunately for the promoters, however, "Rational Actor Theory" (which they base their argument on) is a theoretical model that can not be applied to real world outcomes, and is only useful in flat controlled simulations (Game Theory) where all data points are known. It is intellectually dishonest to use the Rational Actor Theory as an excuse for why the Bitcoin network is safe and secure.

4. The Bitcoin network will never be able to scale to support thousands or even hundreds of transactions a second. There is a very real and impossible to overcome barrier in terms of distributed networks, physics, and proof-of-work, that simply cannot be solved, yet just like with the (dishonest) application of Rational Actor Theory, Bitcoin promoters continue to assume that physical and mathematical limits that are inherent and immutable in the proof-of-work system will somehow be overcome in the future. They will not be overcome. Ever.

5. The Bitcoin network is powered by a patchwork of virtually unusable codebase that was originally developed as a "proof of concept" for reusable tokens, much in the way that other academic software system research projects demonstrate novel solutions. The Bitcoin codebase was not designed to scale, yet early on, non-technical libertarians co-opted Bitcoin, raised its perceived currency/monetary value, and created an intractable greed based dilemma: In order to change network consensus methods (proof-of-work, mining centralization), implement solutions that might enable the Bitcoin network to be robust at scale (newer, more efficient messaging methods & optimized peer networking methods), or to be true to the Satoshi White Paper premise of wide distribution of Miners, the price of Bitcoin has to be trivially low. Remember, Miners have spent many millions of dollars to develop and purchase specialized equipment. This is tantamount to vendor lock in. Once the price of Bitcoin went up, and the investments in specialized mining equipment started, the ability to get Miners to *ever* agree to an economic disincentive (like changing the rules of the network to ensure fairness and robustness) evaporated.

6. There is no network or protocol level exchange mechanism. Bitcoin externalizes the exchange duties to 3rd parties (exchanges) in order to support its use as a money transfer instrument. These exchanges have bank accounts in various parts of the world that custody exchange customer USD's, Euros, etc. Bitcoin is completely valueless by itself. Bitcoin promoters often create the illusion that it is a perfect money, and that we will eventually not need exchanges in order for BTC to function as its own economy and currency. The last 2 years have demonstrated that the vast majority of Bitcoin "investors" only care about one ultimate outcome: More Fiat currency in their pockets.

7. Bitcoin (the currency) is totally and completely illegal as a value transfer method in its current state, as demonstrated on numerous occasions by regulators and governments who have made demands of the exchanges that they must either comply with regulatory burdens that other Financial Institutions must follow, or necessarily be criminally liable. This takes us back to the intractable problem of Miners and the flawed implementation of Bitcoin as we now know it: Any types of controls or additional protocol modifications that could be created to help Bitcoin (the currency) to comply with existing laws & regulatory regimes are impossible to implement without the agreement of *at least* 51% of the network. More realistically, the threshold required exceeds 80% of all Miners. Given that miners are heavily centralized (read above), and heavily financially invested in the core premise that Bitcoin promoters have espoused over the past 3-4 years, it is virtually impossible to expect that the Bitcoin network will ever be able to comply with worldwide regulatory requirements. Ultimately this means that existing exchangers of Bitcoin will lose their banking facilities in 2015 and beyond, and Bitcoin (the currency) will very quickly start to approach its real value, which is between $0 and $0.01.
1. True
2. False. There are thousands of independent miners and few large mining farms. He's plain wrong.
3. His strawman is intellectually dishonest.
4. Engineering problems that can't be solved. Seriously?
5. Bitcoin is a protocol, not a codebase. He's wrong and doesn't understand Bitcoin.
6. "No protocol exchange mechanism" is a meaningless statement. Most bitcoins have not been recently exchanged, proving it's not all about fiat.
7. Bitcoin is illegal. He must be from Ecuador.

He understands that miners don't work for free. That's his entire knowledge of Bitcoin.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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December 31, 2014, 04:39:14 AM
 #78

Well this kind of speculation might tip the price.

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December 31, 2014, 06:20:02 AM
 #79

The arrogence of broke kids thinking they know more about investing than a multi billionaire.  LOL

Buffetts point is that there's no intrinsic value  in the aartificial scarcity because the code can be created ad infinitum.  Anyone can create a currency.  The hard part is to get others to accept it as money
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December 31, 2014, 07:26:37 AM
 #80

The arrogence of broke kids thinking they know more about investing than a multi billionaire.  LOL

Buffetts point is that there's no intrinsic value  in the aartificial scarcity because the code can be created ad infinitum.  Anyone can create a currency.  The hard part is to get others to accept it as money

that applies to every currency


for the most part fiat currency comes in two forms paper or metal, yet far more money is moved electronically than via paper or metal currency so clearly electronic currency is the big winner here. 

Many around the world pay big money to order international wires for the ability to move large sums of money from point 'a' to point 'b', where is the "scarcity" or "intrinsic value" in a wire transfer?

Cryptocurrency solves a real problem in the world of electronic money and electronic money transfers, once the system is safe it will produce many trillionaires and quadrillionaires --  well beyond Buffet bucks.   

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