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Author Topic: Proof of Stake from an austrian school perspective  (Read 2792 times)
Erdogan
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January 29, 2015, 02:17:44 PM
 #21

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So the monetary value has nothing to do with the use value (and can be much larger - that is even the case for gold whose shear usage value is in fact pretty low).  But Austrians started from the idea that in order for an intermediate good to *become* money, it needed to be a highly marketable (and hence valuable) asset.

yes, this is what I understood from Mises.
So did Bitcoin started from nothing ? or can we consider its first purpose when started (buying illegal stuff) could be considered "use value" and not "monetary value" ?
If so, the use value of today is very different from what it was in the beginning. But the "insert into blockchain" I described can't be considered as the first "use value" that made it highly marketable.

It started from nothing and there is no use value. Pure money.
dinofelis
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January 29, 2015, 03:09:50 PM
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So the monetary value has nothing to do with the use value (and can be much larger - that is even the case for gold whose shear usage value is in fact pretty low).  But Austrians started from the idea that in order for an intermediate good to *become* money, it needed to be a highly marketable (and hence valuable) asset.

yes, this is what I understood from Mises.
So did Bitcoin started from nothing ? or can we consider its first purpose when started (buying illegal stuff) could be considered "use value" and not "monetary value" ?
If so, the use value of today is very different from what it was in the beginning. But the "insert into blockchain" I described can't be considered as the first "use value" that made it highly marketable.

Well, my idea is that the kick-off from a highly marketable (useful) asset to a monetary asset is only just one way to get a monetary item.  It could just as well start out as something else.  If the pure Austrians don't agree with that, then I'm not following them there.

Fiat money started out in another way: it started out as a "proof of holding gold or silver" or was "backed" in some or other way.  But now, fiat money stands on itself, as a state-issued token, printed on paper, or even just acknowledged in a computer account.

My point is that a monetary asset is just an asset of which enough people think it is a monetary item.  How that collective belief is established, is in fact somewhat irrelevant.  It could be by the Austrian way.  It could be by the fiat way, initially backed and later uncoupled.  Or it could be in the bitcoin way.  Maybe there are other ways to establish a collective belief that some asset is going to get accepted by others as money.  It is a kind of a bi-stable situation: if most people don't believe something is a monetary item, and hence don't accept it as such, then it is not a monetary item.  If most people believe something is a monetary item, and hence accept it as such, then it IS a monetary item. 

How an asset transits from the non-monetary state to the monetary state is a kind of mystery, and probably there are many ways.  We're maybe seeing, with bitcoin, such a transition with our very eyes.
The opposite transition is also possible: usually this is called hyperinflation, after which the former monetary item is reduced to something like toilet paper (that is, takes on its former simple usage price).

Nicolas Dorier (OP)
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January 29, 2015, 03:47:48 PM
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The opposite transition is also possible: usually this is called hyperinflation, after which the former monetary item is reduced to something like toilet paper (that is, takes on its former simple usage price).
Which I think why Austrians argues that having a use value is important. If you have a use value, then it can't disappear like toilet paper, despite market manipulation/volatility, which is very important to establish durable trust in the asset.

"Inserting in the blockchain" is freaking useful. Even if Bitcoin has not started with a use value, we can't deny it has one now.

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DanielT
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January 29, 2015, 04:55:40 PM
 #24

Fiat money started out in another way: it started out as a "proof of holding gold or silver" or was "backed" in some or other way.  But now, fiat money stands on itself, as a state-issued token, printed on paper, or even just acknowledged in a computer account.

You are forced to pay taxes in fiat. USA (and other countries) have a powerful army they use to back fiat. States offers financial titles and other stuff. Fiat is backed by many ways.

My point is that a monetary asset is just an asset of which enough people think it is a monetary item.  How that collective belief is established, is in fact somewhat irrelevant.

This is problematic, as you are merely creating a ponzi scheme.
Nicolas Dorier (OP)
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January 29, 2015, 05:36:26 PM
 #25

You are forced to pay taxes in fiat. USA (and other countries) have a powerful army they use to back fiat. States offers financial titles and other stuff. Fiat is backed by many ways.

So you say that the "use value" of fiat is that USA accept it as payment of taxes, but this is an "exchange value" not a use value.

Fiat has no use value, unlike gold and bitcoin.
Once the population discredit their own government and stop to pay taxes because they become persuaded of the immorality of their government, then your fiat lose this value.

This can't happen with Bitcoin nor Gold.
Which is why I think there is more chance that Euro fall than Bitcoin.
With the Blockchain, as services develops on top of it everyday for other thing than monetary use, you are sure you'll be able to sell your Bitcoin because people will always need to insert in the blockchain.

As with Gold, that can always be used industrially or for jewel.

Such use value is very important because despite of the volatility or manipulation of the market, you know that what you have will be useful anyway, independently of its exchange value.

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hashman
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January 30, 2015, 01:29:48 AM
 #26


 USA (and other countries) have a powerful army they use to back fiat.



I never understand what people mean by that.  Can I bring my note to the bank and they will give me a soldier? 
The army is a huge cost to an average fiat holder/user, not a benefit. 
dinofelis
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January 30, 2015, 07:35:10 AM
 #27

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The opposite transition is also possible: usually this is called hyperinflation, after which the former monetary item is reduced to something like toilet paper (that is, takes on its former simple usage price).
Which I think why Austrians argues that having a use value is important. If you have a use value, then it can't disappear like toilet paper, despite market manipulation/volatility, which is very important to establish durable trust in the asset.

Well, if the monetary value is what comes on top of the usage value, and is large compared to the usage value when the asset becomes money, then hyperinflation just brings the monetary part down to 0, and what remains is the usage value.  But the monetary part of the asset value is still 0.  Of course, it kind of "limits the damage".

Let us look at gold.  Let us say that the monetary value of gold is $1200.- and the usage value is $10.-.
If ever there were a hyperinflation of gold, so that nobody kept gold as a speculative (monetary) asset to "hold value" but only to USE it, then gold would go down from $1200.- to $10.-
People using gold would still buy it at $10.- to make some jewellery and to make certain electronic components.  Nobody would buy gold to hold it to re-sell it for value (which was the demand that made the price go up to $1200.-).
So the "worst case" devaluation of gold would be something like a factor 120 then, while with pure money, it is infinite.

With paper fiat bank notes, it has about the usage value of toilet paper, which is also not strictly zero :-)

But the monetary part is just as well gone, whether it was in addition to some usage value or not.

Concerning bitcoin, I don't understand the argument, because I think it is backward.  Of course, the blockchain is a valuable "store of irreversibly registered data" ... on the condition that bitcoin is expensive !
Because if bitcoin is not expensive, then the difficulty will be very low, and the security of the blockchain will be very low too.  So the value of the blockchain is derived from the price of bitcoin, and not the other way around !

If, for one or other reason, tomorrow, a coin is traded $0.000001 and remains there for a few years, then with all the hashing machinery that is lying around, I can, at a certain cost, corrupt the blockchain, because difficulty will have gone down with a factor a billion or so.

With all that hashing machinery I would be able to redo the blockchain from a certain point onward, and the "value" of the graving in stone of the blockchain would totally evaporate.

So it is the price of bitcoin that keeps the value of the blockchain causally, and not the other way around.

Proof: look at the "value" of the blockchain of any shitty altcoin with no value.  That chain is just as valueless as its coin.  You cannot trust the irreversibility of that chain. Nevertheless, technologically, it is the same !

Erdogan
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January 30, 2015, 10:05:42 AM
 #28


 USA (and other countries) have a powerful army they use to back fiat.



I never understand what people mean by that.  Can I bring my note to the bank and they will give me a soldier? 
The army is a huge cost to an average fiat holder/user, not a benefit. 

Well the military of Germany, which was maybe the best between the wars, did not help the value of their money. One example is enough to defeat that argument.

General trust in the power of the managers of some fiat is of course important for the speculators (which basically are everybody), but oversupply of money can take any currency down.

To wage a war, which is extremely costly, a government has to confiscate a large portion of the productive workers for soldiers, turn much of the rest of the economy towards war production, confiscate private assets that can be used in the war, loan the financial wealth of the citizens in the land through war bonds, confiscate the value in the cash holdings of the citizens through money printing. Basically, they take everything. No wealth, no investments, bad productivity, poverty. Running a big war machine will make people poor and in the end crush the money system. So I would not bet on the military to keep the money afloat.
Nicolas Dorier (OP)
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January 30, 2015, 01:28:05 PM
 #29

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With paper fiat bank notes, it has about the usage value of toilet paper, which is also not strictly zero
Well, it makes good combustion also ! very useful for surviving zombie apocalypse ! Cheesy

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Proof: look at the "value" of the blockchain of any shitty altcoin with no value.  That chain is just as valueless as its coin.  You cannot trust the irreversibility of that chain. Nevertheless, technologically, it is the same !
So your say the use value of bitcoin is driven by its monetary use...
Indeed, interesting point of view, again one more thing that never happened for any money in history. Does a PoS have the same problem ?



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dinofelis
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January 30, 2015, 01:47:02 PM
Last edit: January 30, 2015, 02:06:15 PM by dinofelis
 #30

So your say the use value of bitcoin is driven by its monetary use...
Indeed, interesting point of view, again one more thing that never happened for any money in history. Does a PoS have the same problem ?

In a way, yes.  This is the funny thing with the block chain: it needs something monetary to be technologically valuable.  The blockchain without a monetary incentive to have high (and distributed) difficulty has not much technological sense, because who would have a stake at securing the block chain with high difficulty, if it is not exactly the kind of person or organisation that has also a stake in compromising it ?

Block chain technology without monetary incentive is in-existant.  This is why I don't understand people who say that bitcoin as a currency is shit, but the block chain is valuable.  No, the block chain gets its technological value (that is, the "graving in stone") from the fact that there is a monetary and distributed incentive to secure it, larger than any other stake to modify it.

If you would like to use the block chain to "grave in stone" things of which there would be a financial incentive to alter that, which is larger than the (cumulated) financial incentive to do the PoW to secure the chain, then obviously it would be financially interesting for the party who has a stake in it, to deliver the larger PoW to alter the chain.

So or you use the block chain simply as the ledger for bitcoin itself, and then its technological value is of course limited to the financial value of bitcoin itself.  Or you use the block chain for other applications (such as registering your will, or historical events or whatever) which has itself (financial) value, but then the block chain becomes insecure from the moment there are higher financial stakes to alter this, than the price of the PoW (which is derived from the bitcoin price) to mine the coins....

Example: suppose that Bill Gates has engraved his will in the block chain at date X, and Joe will inherit all his fortune.  Now, imagine that Jack could also have been the beneficiary of the will.  So Jack has a financial stake in altering the chain from moment X onward, with a new (fake) will of Bill Gates, which is essentially worth Gates' fortune.  He's willing to spend half of that on altering the chain to modify Bill Gates's will.  If bitcoin is worth only $0.01 then it will not be difficult to pay for sufficient hashing power with half of Gates' fortune to redo the chain from moment X onward, right ?  It may take a year or so.  It doesn't matter.  Jack will buy up enough hashing asics and will be willing to use sufficient power to redo the chain.  He will not make public that fork until when he has almost catched up, so the financial mining incentive of the bitcoin miners who only do it for about $0.01 a coin, is no game for the financial muscle of Jack.  If Jack's a nice guy, he includes most of the transactions that people had already placed on the block chain in order not to crash the trust in bitcoin entirely (otherwise his engraved modified will will also be worthless if the block chain is given up as a whole).

People will see of course that the block chain is altered in some way for about a year.  But if the protocol is to take the longest chain, no matter what, the new chain will have the go of the miners.

So the technological value of the block chain is linked to the price of the coin it handles, because that determines the financial cost of the PoW that is put into maintaining the integrity of the block chain.

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January 30, 2015, 03:04:50 PM
 #31

I like how you link the technological value of bitcoin to the financial incentive to alter it, this is a generic way to evaluate the technological value of a blockchain. And it takes into account other usage than purely monetary. Your explanation stays relevant whatever we consider PoS or PoW or monetary usage versus technological usage (colored coins or proof of publication)

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