There is always a third possibility (meaning both predictions are equally wrong) that we stay in a horizontal trend for a longer while. And that is what, I am afraid, is the most probable outcome right now. Long, boring horizontal trend that won't resolve until some substantial achievement is made, e.g., start of Gemini.
Though I wish Bitcoin to reach at least the stable "boring" long horizontal line, I have my doubts for that to happen.
Because when we reach that, the merchant adoption will go to the moon. Instead, while the trend is slowly downside, the merchants will just wait.