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Author Topic: ★ The Lucky Bit Bet Count Prediction Promotion! ★ Win over 0.5BTC! ★  (Read 4902 times)
stingleword (OP)
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March 30, 2015, 12:09:45 AM
 #101

The results are in!
Before we begin, please stick around for a bit of "overtime"!

Let's start with a breakdown of each day's bets!
M 164937
Tu 177436
W 184940
Th 1911693
F 209141
Sa 215771
Su 225038
Subtotal48956
M 237276
Tu 242905
W 253718
Th 267989
F 273962
Sa 283106
Su 294943
Subtotal33899

... which makes our winner arallmuus, whose guess of 33939 missed the mark by just 40 bets!

Congratulations!
43e4984a72cedb4780fe86db5ad696b35243970eca8baf5cd96913510fd4595b

I'd like to keep this thread open to suggestions for improvement, and also an opportunity to post the source code I used to determine the results. If you have something to contribute, please do! I'm open to ideas and the promotions are community driven, so fire away.

Crypto is dead, its community is a series of bad jokes.
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onewiseguy
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March 30, 2015, 12:12:22 AM
 #102

Congrats I missed it damn it.
stingleword (OP)
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March 30, 2015, 12:17:27 AM
 #103

This code is built with the Lucky Bit Bet Browser API wrapper for Java. Some whitespace has been removed. I ran this tool for each day to get the individual results, then added them to get the week's totals.

Code:
package it.luckyb.etcount;
import it.luckyb.api.Bet;
import it.luckyb.api.LuckyBit;
import java.io.IOException;
import java.util.Iterator;
import java.util.LinkedList;
import java.util.List;
public class DayCounter {
public static final int LIMIT = 100; // API page size. 100 is best.
public static void main(String[] args) {
if (args.length != 3) {
System.out.println("Please provide YYYY MM DD");
return;
}
int yyyy = Integer.parseInt(args[0]);
int mm = Integer.parseInt(args[1]);
int dd = Integer.parseInt(args[2]);
System.out.println("Fetching data. Please wait!");
List<Bet> masterList = new LinkedList<Bet>();
try {
int page=1; boolean done=false;
while (!done) {
List<Bet> list = LuckyBit.getBetsByDate(yyyy, mm, dd, LIMIT, page);
if (list.size() < LIMIT) done=true; else page+=1;
masterList.addAll(list);
}
} catch (IOException e) {
e.printStackTrace();
System.out.println("- - - - -");
System.out.println("There was a communication error. Is Lucky Bit down?");
System.out.println("The full error above should be sent to stingleword.");
return;
}
if (masterList.size() == 0) {
System.out.println("- - - - -");
System.out.println("No bets were returned. Use YYYY MM DD.");
System.out.println(String.format("You provided %4d-%02d-%02d", yyyy, mm, dd));
return;
}
Iterator<Bet> it = masterList.iterator();
while (it.hasNext())
if (!it.next().isValid()) it.remove();
System.out.println("- - - - -");
System.out.println(String.format("Total valid bets for %d-%d-%d: %d", dd, mm, yyyy, masterList.size()));
}
}

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arallmuus
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March 30, 2015, 12:21:53 AM
 #104

The results are in!
Before we begin, please stick around for a bit of "overtime"!

Let's start with a breakdown of each day's bets!
M 164937
Tu 177436
W 184940
Th 1911693
F 209141
Sa 215771
Su 225038
Subtotal48956
M 237276
Tu 242905
W 253718
Th 267989
F 273962
Sa 283106
Su 294943
Subtotal33899

... which makes our winner arallmuus, whose guess of 33939 missed the mark by just 40 bets!

Congratulations!
43e4984a72cedb4780fe86db5ad696b35243970eca8baf5cd96913510fd4595b

I'd like to keep this thread open to suggestions for improvement, and also an opportunity to post the source code I used to determine the results. If you have something to contribute, please do! I'm open to ideas and the promotions are community driven, so fire away.


Thankyou luckybit for holding this wonderful competition and stingleword for managing this competition, I have received the prize of the competition, thankyou very much ! looking forward for another competition in the future

R


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LLBIT
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yahoo62278
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March 30, 2015, 03:24:33 AM
 #105

something that i think would make this contest more interesting is run the tie to predict a little differently. make it a 2 week contest. 1 week is open to make bets, then the next week people will have to wait and see if their prediction is a winner.

letting people have all the way up til 1 hour before contest ends takes all the fun out of the game. gives players time to pump the bets in during that 1 hour window to get their prediction closer to being a winner. im sure thats why you liked the idea of end time but as you saw during this 2nd week it was hardly pumped at all. LB was for the most part dead the last hour of the competition.

also another suggestion would be maybe have lb match the total of buyins for the prize. make the entry fee .01. we get 20 entrants thats .2btc in the pool and the lb match makes it a .4btc prize. still nice and its entirely possible if its ran as i mentioned above that we might get 50-60 users joining the contest. who knows, but its worth a shot

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..PLAY NOW..
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March 30, 2015, 04:18:44 AM
 #106

This is a unfaire competition... people who predict last win... so is an unfaire advantage for people what wait last to stole the prize...

I predicted 33000 with 8 hours before and was close... he predict with 3 minutes earlier than the limit and win. This game is not faire and I see people cheating.... In my country was 2 AM when the limit close so imposible for me to came and predict like they.


My predict: 33000 ( predicted 8 hours earlier )
He's predict 33939 ( predicted 3 minutes earlier )

Bets: 33939


PS: Why say " ... which makes our winner arallmuus, whose guess of 33939 missed the mark by just 40 bets! " when " guess " exactly the number

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March 30, 2015, 05:57:53 AM
 #107

This is a unfaire competition... people who predict last win... so is an unfaire advantage for people what wait last to stole the prize...

I predicted 33000 with 8 hours before and was close... he predict with 3 minutes earlier than the limit and win. This game is not faire and I see people cheating.... In my country was 2 AM when the limit close so imposible for me to came and predict like they.


My predict: 33000 ( predicted 8 hours earlier )
He's predict 33939 ( predicted 3 minutes earlier )

Bets: 33939


PS: Why say " ... which makes our winner arallmuus, whose guess of 33939 missed the mark by just 40 bets! " when " guess " exactly the number


How is this unfair?  Because he waited 3 mins before the game ended and got closer than you?  I don't think you read the game rules.


no one is cheating no one cares if its 2 am in your country at the time of the end game. I am pretty sure you are not the only that had to stay up to win .5 btc how do you know it wasn't 4 am his/her time.


no whinnying  please Smiley
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March 30, 2015, 08:59:13 AM
 #108

I agree that the 1 hour waiting period is small.
Make it 3 days and I will call that fair.
.
And I also will not be online at 00:00 GMT and the game is fair to those who makes the bet last. Which isn't very good.

I would like for 3 days instead of 1 hour.. or I would rather not waste my time. Note that this is supposed to be a prediction game..
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March 30, 2015, 09:19:06 AM
 #109

https://blockchain.info/address/1PvHjguFuvegFPXEJMtByCa1wAWN7BvGeM

43243

"Cyaman" here guys Wink  Roll Eyes
stingleword (OP)
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March 30, 2015, 02:04:45 PM
 #110

no whinnying  please Smiley

Normally I'd support this sentiment but in this case, I asked for the whining. I want to hear it!


This game is over.

Crypto is dead, its community is a series of bad jokes.
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April 02, 2015, 12:53:40 PM
 #111

I agree that the 1 hour waiting period is small.
Make it 3 days and I will call that fair.
.
And I also will not be online at 00:00 GMT and the game is fair to those who makes the bet last. Which isn't very good.

I would like for 3 days instead of 1 hour.. or I would rather not waste my time. Note that this is supposed to be a prediction game..
This was more fair and trasparent if the waiting period was at least 1 day to see who really guess well and win. next time he should do at least 1 day if not 3 days to satify all the participants.
stingleword (OP)
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April 03, 2015, 01:40:25 PM
 #112

Last chance to get your comments in - thread locks in 2 days.

I hear your comments about a longer period of uncertainty and will take that into account in the future. Anything else?

Crypto is dead, its community is a series of bad jokes.
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April 03, 2015, 06:15:25 PM
 #113

Last chance to get your comments in - thread locks in 2 days.

I hear your comments about a longer period of uncertainty and will take that into account in the future. Anything else?

The game has been fun so far and should not be changed. I mean how would it get changed?  I think the big issue is The time difference,
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