Bitcoin Forum
May 02, 2024, 09:25:41 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: [1] 2 3 »  All
  Print  
Author Topic: How to recognise a ponzi scheme  (Read 6290 times)
Vladimir (OP)
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 812
Merit: 1001


-


View Profile
July 04, 2012, 10:19:08 PM
Last edit: July 07, 2012, 04:42:52 AM by Vladimir
 #1

The Inventor:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ponzi


The Champion:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madoff



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ponzi_scheme

I know one thing, it
"sounds too good to be true"
It seems there are lots of experts on the topic around here.
 
Feel free to share with us what ponzi schemes look like.
How to recognise investments that have high probability to actually be a ponzi scheme.

Share your experience with ponzi schemes, whether it is
running it
or
losing lots of money
or
making lots of money
or
promoting it
or
suffering from a ponzi related stockholm syndrome


There are many resources dedicated to helping people to recognize and avoid scams:
http://www.sec.gov/answers/ponzi.htm
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumerinformation/scamsandswindles
http://www.competitionbureau.gc.ca/eic/site/cb-bc.nsf/eng/02597.html
http://www.competitionbureau.gc.ca/eic/site/cb-bc.nsf/vwapj/Little-Black-Book-Scams-e.pdf
http://www.kpmg.com/ca/en/whatwedo/specialinterests/at-risk-magazine/pages/ponzischemes%E2%80%93howtorecognizethem.aspx
http://www.fbi.gov/scams-safety/fraud/


There is some action that can be taken by people to protect themselves and others:
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumerinformation/if_things_go_wrong
http://www.competitionbureau.gc.ca/eic/site/cb-bc.nsf/eng/02801.html

-
1714685141
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714685141

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714685141
Reply with quote  #2

1714685141
Report to moderator
1714685141
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714685141

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714685141
Reply with quote  #2

1714685141
Report to moderator
The Bitcoin software, network, and concept is called "Bitcoin" with a capitalized "B". Bitcoin currency units are called "bitcoins" with a lowercase "b" -- this is often abbreviated BTC.
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
cypherdoc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002



View Profile
July 04, 2012, 11:22:54 PM
 #2

anyone who hides their business model is up to no good.
Bitcoin Oz
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 686
Merit: 500


Wat


View Profile WWW
July 05, 2012, 12:41:36 AM
 #3

anyone who hides their business model is up to no good.

I thought it was clear silk road needs a mixer ?

Vladimir (OP)
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 812
Merit: 1001


-


View Profile
July 05, 2012, 12:43:45 AM
 #4

anyone who hides their business model is up to no good.

I thought it was clear silk road needs a mixer ?

yep, we heard ya, and this is an intriguing thought.

-
humanitee
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 1302
Merit: 502



View Profile
July 05, 2012, 12:46:15 AM
 #5

That was my initial thought but why minimum investment now? That was the straw that broke the camel's back for me, and made no god damn sense unless it was a ponzi.

Interested to hear some theorizing on that front.

▄▄▄██████▄▄▄
▄███▀▀▀▀▀████▄▄ █▄▄
▄▄          ▀▀████▄  ██▄
█████▄            ▀█████  ██▄
▄█████████           ▀█████ ███▄
▄█████████▀▀           ▀█████ ███▄
▄███  █████             ▀█████ ████
███  █████                █████ ████
███ █████                  ████  ████
███ █████                ▄████  ████
███ █████                ███████████
▀██ █████▄                █████████
▀██ ██████▄                ▀█████
▀██ ███████                  ▀▀▀
▀██ ██████▄▄                 
▀██ ██████▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄███▀
▀▀ █████████████████▀
▀▀▀██████▀▀▀▀

Fast, Secure, and Fully

DecentralizeTrading
BACKED BY:
─────────────────────────
BINANCE
─────── LAB
&█████████████████████████████████ █  ███
█▀    ▀█  ███▀▀▀▀▀████████  ████▀▀███▀ █
█  █████    ▄▄▄▄▄  █  ▀  █    ███  █  ██
█▄    ▀█  ██       █  ▄███  ██████   ███
█████  █  ██  ███  █  ████  ████  ▄  ███
█▄    ▄█▄  ▄█▄     ▀  ████▄  ▄█   ██  ██
████████████████████████████████████████


  Whitepaper
 Medium
Reddit
ElectricMucus
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057


Marketing manager - GO MP


View Profile WWW
July 05, 2012, 01:08:50 AM
 #6

I have the post directly under his OP which states now "Smells like a classical HYIP scam."

Some of you guys wanna rent it as advertising space?  
I don't wanna derail the thread but...

scnr  Cheesy
PatrickHarnett
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 518
Merit: 500



View Profile
July 05, 2012, 01:17:16 AM
 #7

anyone who hides their business model is up to no good.

The original ponzi business model was transparent enough.

Also, look around at the businesses you think you know and question their models.
Stephen Gornick
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2506
Merit: 1010


View Profile
July 05, 2012, 03:12:39 AM
 #8

Can't believe nobody has posted a photo of Ben.

Or this guy:


Unichange.me

            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █
            █


imsaguy
General failure and former
VIP
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 574
Merit: 500

Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.


View Profile WWW
July 05, 2012, 03:13:31 AM
 #9

anyone who hides their business model is up to no good.

Like Apple hiding their products so people can't copy them?

Coming Soon!™ © imsaguy 2011-2013, All rights reserved.

EIEIO:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=60117.0

Shades Minoco Collection Thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=65989
Payment Address: http://btc.to/5r6
Bitcoin Oz
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 686
Merit: 500


Wat


View Profile WWW
July 05, 2012, 03:18:13 AM
 #10

The world runs on 3 things I call GOD. Gold ,Oil and Drugs. Which one is most likely to be involved with bitcoin ?


PatrickHarnett
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 518
Merit: 500



View Profile
July 05, 2012, 03:51:58 AM
 #11

The world runs on 3 things I call GOD. Gold ,Oil and Drugs. Which one is most likely to be involved with bitcoin ?



WTF has gold got to do with anything.  Most US wars are over oil and ideology and that's where the money is.

And which one is the US dollar most likely to be associated with?
vokain
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019



View Profile WWW
July 05, 2012, 04:24:42 AM
 #12

anyone who hides their business model is up to no good.

I thought it was clear silk road needs a mixer ?

The SR is/was US based. That's the reason why there's no foreign language support and the only options to see prices is with USD/BTC
cbeast
Donator
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1736
Merit: 1006

Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.


View Profile
July 05, 2012, 02:16:44 PM
 #13

The world runs on 3 things I call GOD. Gold ,Oil and Drugs. Which one is most likely to be involved with bitcoin ?
All three. I'll sell my gold for Bitcoin to buy fuel to pick up my prescription.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
westkybitcoins
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 980
Merit: 1004

Firstbits: Compromised. Thanks, Android!


View Profile
July 05, 2012, 03:32:20 PM
 #14

Not an expert.

But, correct me if I'm wrong, it boils down to the following easy-to-determine model (in the case of Bitcoin at least:)

1) People contribute their X bitcoins
2) The "business" does something with the bitcoins
3) Everyone receives X+Y bitcoins back

If there's no other reasonably plausible source for the Y bitcoins, it's almost certainly a ponzi scheme.

Now, concerning the individual accused of having the above business model. I've not read all of the related threads; has he provided a reasonably plausible source for the bitcoin "interest" he returns? My understanding was that he avoids using the exchanges.

Bitcoin is the ultimate freedom test. It tells you who is giving lip service and who genuinely believes in it.
...
...
In the future, books that summarize the history of money will have a line that says, “and then came bitcoin.” It is the economic singularity. And we are living in it now. - Ryan Dickherber
...
...
ATTENTION BFL MINING NEWBS: Just got your Jalapenos in? Wondering how to get the most value for the least hassle? Give BitMinter a try! It's a smaller pool with a fair & low-fee payment method, lots of statistical feedback, and it's easier than EasyMiner! (Yes, we want your hashing power, but seriously, it IS the easiest pool to use! Sign up in seconds to try it!)
...
...
The idea that deflation causes hoarding (to any problematic degree) is a lie used to justify theft of value from your savings.
Vladimir (OP)
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 812
Merit: 1001


-


View Profile
July 05, 2012, 06:38:55 PM
 #15

It makes sense. It is so simple, is it not?

That specific individual is anonymous and there is no any evidence whatsoever known to me of:
Quote
2) The "business" does something with the bitcoins

He made a number of vague statements regarding this 2) but those statements have been inconsistent at least.

I personally do not believe a single word he says and until proven to the contrary assume that whatever he say is likely a lie.

-
westkybitcoins
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 980
Merit: 1004

Firstbits: Compromised. Thanks, Android!


View Profile
July 05, 2012, 07:47:24 PM
 #16

It makes sense. It is so simple, is it not?

That specific individual is anonymous and there is no any evidence whatsoever known to me of:
Quote
2) The "business" does something with the bitcoins

He made a number of vague statements regarding this 2) but those statements have been inconsistent at least.

I personally do not believe a single word he says and until proven to the contrary assume that whatever he say is likely a lie.


The thing is, step 2 is largely irrelevant. The bulk of the business will be done in USD, Euros or whatever, and any profits still have to be converted back to bitcoins.

Of course, one could claim the business was done in bitcoins. But that has problems that could actually be worse than the whole thing just being a ponzi. At the very least it would suggest that those borrowing the bitcoins are selling goods and/or services directly for bitcoins. I find that pretty implausible myself.

Bitcoin is the ultimate freedom test. It tells you who is giving lip service and who genuinely believes in it.
...
...
In the future, books that summarize the history of money will have a line that says, “and then came bitcoin.” It is the economic singularity. And we are living in it now. - Ryan Dickherber
...
...
ATTENTION BFL MINING NEWBS: Just got your Jalapenos in? Wondering how to get the most value for the least hassle? Give BitMinter a try! It's a smaller pool with a fair & low-fee payment method, lots of statistical feedback, and it's easier than EasyMiner! (Yes, we want your hashing power, but seriously, it IS the easiest pool to use! Sign up in seconds to try it!)
...
...
The idea that deflation causes hoarding (to any problematic degree) is a lie used to justify theft of value from your savings.
GeniuSxBoY
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 616
Merit: 500


View Profile
July 05, 2012, 08:47:45 PM
 #17

American insurance: biggest ponzi scheme ever

Be humble!
pirateat40
Avast Ye!
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 378
Merit: 250


"Yes I am a pirate, 200 years too late."


View Profile WWW
July 05, 2012, 08:51:25 PM
 #18

American insurance: biggest ponzi scheme ever

Nah its social security.


bulanula
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 518
Merit: 500



View Profile
July 05, 2012, 08:57:07 PM
 #19

Biggest red flags IMHO : huge returns over 3000% anually and after a while he still needs to use investor money ( instead of using his own capital to get filthy rich ).

This is a ponzi. Clear as day ...

The NDA and "I can't show you my business" is BS because he clearly hasn't got a clue. Arbitrage ? LOL !

Maybe he has invented time travel or free source of electricity from antimatter and he is using that to fund a mining operation where aliens are paying him to siphon all the BTC to another planet !

Occam's razor FTW doods ...
damnek
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 614
Merit: 500



View Profile
July 05, 2012, 09:16:34 PM
 #20

Although I have nothing invested in BS&T, the whole ordeal worries me a bit. What if it turns out that clients don't get their funds back? In that case bitcoin will have to take another hit, and price will go down, which also hurts my bitcoin savings. I really hope we'll see some clarification soon..
Pages: [1] 2 3 »  All
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!