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Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: russian_pete on January 27, 2016, 05:29:10 PM



Title: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: russian_pete on January 27, 2016, 05:29:10 PM
http://motherboard.vice.com/pt_br/read/bitcoin-insustentavel


Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system.


Quote
The year is 2018. After a rough Greek exit from the eurozone, economic malaise has spread to Italy, Portugal, Spain, and France. Nervous citizens across Europe look for a way to get their money out as currency traders hammer the weakening euro, banks impose withdrawal limits, and their purchasing power plummets.

Enter Bitcoin.

Compared to the euro, the peer-to-peer decentralized electronic currency has now become a relatively stable digital asset. Fiendish buyers trade their euros en masse online for Bitcoin, and soon, depositors worldwide join them. The price of Bitcoin rises, prompting more user adoption by spenders and speculators, and recognition from governments and populations alike.

The above scenario sounds like a nice piece of prepper-bait from conspiracy site infowars.com. But could (or should) Bitcoin actually take over? Some of the more enthusiastic Bitcoin advocates argue that the currency is ready for prime time—in other words, ready to replace national currencies, or perhaps replace global banking’s creaking clearinghouses. Would this be good for the world?

From an environmental point of view, it certainly wouldn’t be good news. Unfortunately for Bitcoin advocates, the currency uses too much electricity right now—way too much: According to my calculation, a single Bitcoin transaction uses roughly enough electricity to power 1.57 American households for a day.

All that energy expenditure has an important purpose: it secures Bitcoin from attacks by speculators, criminals, and other evil-doers by raising the price of the computer power needed to gain control of all transactions on the network. The computers that make up the Bitcoin economy’s backbone are constantly ensuring security and verifiability for the network by solving cryptographic puzzles. This process is called “mining.” Those who participate in this network maintenance are rewarded in Bitcoin, incentivizing them to bulk up their machines so they can mine more efficiently.

There is potential for Bitcoin to become more efficient by stuffing more transactions into the mining process. But at the end of the day, if Bitcoin sees increased adoption and price and many more useful transactions, power consumption is almost guaranteed to grow.

Motherboard has previously covered how big Bitcoin mining operations can get. So how much electricity are we talking about?

Let’s take this Bitcoin mine in China as an example of the scale of today’s operations. It is supposedly running at 6 PH (quadrillion hashes) per second, according to a Chinese Bitcoin company CEO posting in a Bitcoin forum, with the aim to scale up to 12 PH per second. That would give it about 3.3 percent of the total power on the Bitcoin network. Because the Bitcoin network is set up to dole out around 3,600 BTC per day to miners, this mine would rake in about 118.8 BTC per day, or more than $30,000USD at the time of writing. That’s not a bad haul when your electricity costs are among the lowest in the world at 3 to 6 cents per kw/h, about a third of US prices.

Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system

Computer cooling firm Allied Control estimates the total power consumption of the Bitcoin network at 250 to 500 Megawatts. Looking at the total hashrate, which is the number of calculations the network can perform per second, and applying a generous miner efficiency of 0.6 watts per gigahash, we can estimate our own back-of-the-envelope Bitcoin network constant power draw at just under 215 MW, although this figure is always in flux (it’s important to note that many of the variables in my calculation are constantly changing slightly). That’s around enough zap to power 173,000 average American households’ daily electricity usage.

With about 110,000 transactions per day, that works out to 1.57 households daily usage of electricity per Bitcoin transaction. Yes, every time you buy something in Bitcoin, you could be using as much electricity as 1.57 American families do in a day.

“The actual figure is likely worse, given that a large number of transactions are exchanges and miners moving bitcoins around and other low-value ‘dust’ transactions,” said Matthew Green, a cryptography expert at Johns Hopkins University. “So each transaction where there’s an exchange of goods or services happening is really representing even more electricity.”

As climate change becomes a more pressing concern for humanity every day, this huge level of energy use is difficult to justify for a currency wanting to improve on the current arrangement.

“It appears there are significant challenges to ensuring that Bitcoin’s growth minimizes environmental impacts,” offered Jeremy McDaniels, a financial system sustainability expert with the UNEP. “Energy footprints could be an issue of major scale-up is achieved.”

There is hope that Bitcoin may be able to reduce its footprint, however.

One important thing to understand is that the electricity demands of Bitcoin mining won’t scale up linearly with increased usage or transactions. Bitcoin miners use special hardware to guess over and over at solutions to computational problems for each “block,” which records transactions into a permanent ledger. The first problem-solver “wins” the block and the reward: brand new bitcoins.

Bitcoin can currently handle up to 360,000 transactions per day given current limitations built into the technology, according to Jorge Stolfi, a computer science professor from Campinas University in Brazil, so there’s some headroom left before things bog down.

It would be possible to bring down the average power cost of each transaction by modifying the underlying Bitcoin protocol, but that’s no easy feat. The Bitcoin community is currently debating a big change that would mean the network could theoretically handle about 7.2 million transactions a day on a comparable level of electricity consumption, according to Stolfi. That would require a majority of the people mining Bitcoin to agree to the change, however.

Keeping power consumption high in general also makes the network more secure by making it harder for any one entity to gain control. “The right way to think about this is that the energy expenditure provides a level of protection against attacks—it establishes a price floor, currently in the many millions, to launch a 34 percent or 51 percent attack [where an attacker can block transactions and double spend bitcoins as they please],” Emin Gun Sirer, a Cornell professor and blogger at Hacking Distributed, explained in an email.

However, that same level of security could be maintained while allowing for more transactions, he said, shrinking the cost per transaction.

All that needs to happen, then, is to expand the userbase so we have more transactions, right?

Unfortunately for Bitcoin, if user adoption spikes, so will price—and so must power consumption. Bitcoin mining leads to an arms race among miners to grab a slice of the fixed rewards doled out by the network, Stolfi said. The higher the financial rewards, the more miners will invest in powerful equipment to keep up with the competition. The Bitcoin protocol will continue to increase the difficulty of the cryptopuzzles to keep rewards constant, continuing the arms race until the last block is mined.

That makes Bitcoin about 5,033 times more energy intensive, per transaction, than VISA

The bottom line? Price = energy. “The total revenue of the mining industry is Bitcoin price times BTC revenue in USD/day, independently of anything else; and the electricity consumption, also in USD/day, is some large fraction of that,” concludes Stolfi.

Green agrees: “Almost everything in Bitcoin is flexible, but that dynamic isn’t. Miners always have the incentive to throw as many hashes [requiring power] at the job as the price dictates.”

Of course, it wouldn’t be fair to knock Bitcoin’s electricity consumption without comparing it to payment systems most people use today. Let’s take VISA as an example.

According to Network Computing, the VISA network can process more than 80 billion transactions per year or 2,537 transactions per second, using two mirrored data centers, each capable of running the entire network. The larger data center is currently pulling enough power for 25,000 households’ daily electricity, so we’ll double that to account for VISA’s total draw. In 2013, VISA’s investor reports say the company processed 58.5 billion transactions.

Working off these (admittedly imperfect) figures, each VISA transaction consumes around 0.0003 household’s daily electricity use. That makes Bitcoin about 5,033 times more energy intensive, per transaction, than VISA, at current usage levels.



Both networks use a lot of houses worth of daily juice, but one of them processes millions more transactions. Image: Motherboard
Of course, VISA runs call centers, offices, and a whole lot else on electricity as well, which isn’t counted in this comparison. But those hardly matter due to the extreme difference between the two figures.

In a rosy 2014 Bitcoin sustainability study, Bitcoin analyst Hass McCook concluded that “Bitcoin has 99.8% fewer [carbon] emissions than the banking system,” which we can treat as a rough proxy for energy use. The study neglects to account for the vast size difference between the Bitcoin economy and the conventional money system, however—the world banking system’s market capitalization in 2010 alone was over 1,989 times bigger than today’s total Bitcoin valuation.

In light of the above analysis, Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system. In the future, Bitcoin could massively gain popularity, pile on millions more transactions, and still be unsustainable due to the arms race between miners.

In an email, Bitcoin expert Piotr Piasecki added some context to the comparison: “With the increase of the block size, there will be more transactions included in the block, so the cost per transaction should go down. While it might not reach such low levels as Visa, we are talking about two somewhat different systems. One is a database entry in a single system, another one is an immutable record of history in a decentralized ledger.”



What do you guys thing? is this barrier being solved by the improvements in the blockchain technology?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: jonald_fyookball on January 27, 2016, 05:53:48 PM
mostly FUD.

"cost per transaction" is a dumb metric at the moment because transaction volume is low,
relatively speaking.   With bigger blocks (or __insert your favorite scalability solution here___)
we could be about the same level of hashing power but be doing more transactions.

Even the article admits that.

 


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Lauda on January 27, 2016, 05:57:02 PM
The idiocy in this article is beyond the level of acceptance. With solutions LN this 'unsustainable' thing goes away and their "metric" that doesn't properly apply to Bitcoin. Even with the use of their metric, Bitcoin becomes the most efficient system out there.
Quote
With about 110,000 transactions per day, that works out to 1.57 households daily usage of electricity per Bitcoin transaction. Yes, every time you buy something in Bitcoin, you could be using as much electricity as 1.57 American families do in a day.
Makes zero sense because the electricity would be spent regardless of transactions being done or not.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: wayniac30 on January 27, 2016, 06:04:28 PM
“With the increase of the block size, there will be more transactions included in the block, so the cost per transaction should go down. While it might not reach such low levels as Visa, we are talking about two somewhat different systems. One is a database entry in a single system, another one is an immutable record of history in a decentralized ledger.”

The most important conclusion in the whole article... i agree it might be unsustainable now but once more transactions (yes a lot more) get included in a block we need to re-calculate it all.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: StevenS on January 27, 2016, 06:06:23 PM
Comparing the Bitcoin energy use to VISA's is comparing apples to oranges. The energy used by Bitcoin miners is used to secure Bitcoin itself. Networks like VISA, by contrast are secured not only by the energy used in its data centers, but by the banks themselves. This includes the energy used by the bank CEOs to take airline flights, the energy used in all bank branches, etc. I.e. there is a lot more energy securing the VISA network than just that used in their network and data centers.

The emphasis on efficiency makes this argument more complicated. The simple fact is that the Bitcoin network is designed to pay miners a total payment that today is 3600 BTC + transaction fees per day. Every student of economics know that when the payment is fixed, the market will automatically adjust to the most efficient use. This means that the energy and other resources used will be automatically equal to something around 3700 BTC per day. (The transaction fees are part of this, and will become a bigger part after each halving.)

This amount of BTC, the miner compensation, will be spent on several things: equipment, rent, personnel, and electricity. The electricity use will depend on how much it costs in comparison to the other factors. If the price of electricity goes up, then it will be more of an advantage to pay more for equipment that is more efficient.

VISA, on the other hand, pays more of its costs in equipment and personnel (including R&D).

The point is that the cost of mining will always be what is paid to the miners, and this is determined mostly by the price of bitcoin. In the far future, when the mining subsidy is much less, the transaction fees will be determined by the market, but it won't change the fact that the electricity costs will end up being exactly what the miners are paid.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: hollowmines on January 27, 2016, 06:10:21 PM
There seems to be an awful rush to declare bitcoin dead/unsustainable/scary of late - even moreso than usual. And none of it's been particularly credible or convincing so far.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on January 27, 2016, 06:27:57 PM
Comparing the Bitcoin energy use to VISA's is comparing apples to oranges. The energy used by Bitcoin miners is used to secure Bitcoin itself. Networks like VISA, by contrast are secured not only by the energy used in its data centers, but by the banks themselves.
No, Visa transactions are secured by VISA.
Quote
This includes the energy used by the bank CEOs to take airline flights, the energy used in all bank branches, etc. I.e. there is a lot more energy securing the VISA network than just that used in their network and data centers.
That's just silly. By your reasoning, it follows that we should add airline flights by folks like Danny Brewster to Bitcoin energy costs. And brick & mortar offices of Bitpay & the flights taken by its employees. And Bitcoin exchanges and their owners etc., etc.
Quote
The emphasis on efficiency makes this argument more complicated. The simple fact is that the Bitcoin network is designed to pay miners a total payment that today is 3600 BTC + transaction fees per day. Every student of economics know that when the payment is fixed, the market will automatically adjust to the most efficient use. This means that the energy and other resources used will be automatically equal to something around 3700 BTC per day. (The transaction fees are part of this, and will become a bigger part after each halving.)
Either we're severely overpaying to secure Bitcoin now (~10% of total BTC in existence per year), or Bitcoin is not going to be sufficiently secure after the halving. Take your pick :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Dalkore on January 27, 2016, 06:28:09 PM
I would not declare Bitcoin dead but as we go along, energy usage will become a large issue that does not have a easy solution.   Bitcoin mining is a zero-sum game, difficulty determines profitability and profitability determines the health of the network.  One thing is for sure, the Bitcoin network will centralize like Visa so that only a handful of large mining interests or ASIC chip makers will control the network.  This will come much sooner than people expect.  


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Meuh6879 on January 27, 2016, 06:30:34 PM
mostly FUD.

http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img537/5737/vxQvDa.gif

Bitcoin network is the most (and big) transparent thing in the world ... and the bankster system ? The right opposit ... it lies in every part of his number, it's black order book and DEBT against citizen.

I prefer an open network.
Bankster network is not open AT ALL !


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on January 27, 2016, 06:36:44 PM
...
I prefer an open network.
Bankster network is not open AT ALL !

What does "transparency" mean, when I don't know IRL identities behind BTC addys? Coins are tumbled all the time, coins are stolen all the time, exchanges claim hacks (GOX, Inputs, Cryptsy, etc.), Bitcoin businesses vanish without a trace, where are all these coins?
And I don't mean taint analysis of thousands of addys, that's useless.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: RodeoX on January 27, 2016, 06:48:50 PM
It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::) 


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Meuh6879 on January 27, 2016, 06:56:15 PM
What does "transparency" mean, when I don't know IRL identities behind BTC addys?

transparency is trusted network.

i can't sell my car in the actual (FIAT) system ... even the bankster network don't verify the FIAT account before i receive the payment !!! (Eurozone, Wire can be "delete" after 3-5 days ... on your account if sum is corrupt)

in Bitcoin network, this can't append after 2 hours.
if i receive a payment, it's real and usable money ... trusted and verified 6 times (!).

i don't want the identity of the bidder ... i want money !  ;D
that's why bitcoin is better over all solution ... because it don't NEED KYC ...


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 07:08:03 PM
It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::) 

Actually yeah, by far.  Let me break it down for you:
An average block contains 2.7 * (takes 600 seconds to mine a block) = 1620 transactions. At most (some blocks are mined empty, as in "no* transactions).
For this, miners receive 25 BTC, which, at current rate, is roughly 12,000 dollars.
Meaning ~$7.40 PER TX.
Assuming that 1/3 of that is electrical cost (let's be generous), that's about $2.50 in energy cost, PER TRANSACTION.

Unless you think US Post Office is spending $2.50 in gas alone to deliver a check...


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on January 27, 2016, 07:12:23 PM
What does "transparency" mean, when I don't know IRL identities behind BTC addys?

transparency is trusted network.

i can't sell my car in the actual (FIAT) system ... even the bankster network don't verify the FIAT account before i receive the payment !!! (Eurozone, Wire can be "delete" after 3-5 days ... on your account if sum is corrupt)

in Bitcoin network, this can't append after 2 hours.
if i receive a payment, it's real and usable money ... trusted and verified 6 times (!).

i don't want the identity of the bidder ... i want money !  ;D
that's why bitcoin is better over all solution ... because it don't NEED KYC ...


Speed/irreversibility of transactions is transparency?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: calkob on January 27, 2016, 07:26:03 PM
What an absolute load of dung designed to confuse and put of the average punter,  probably written by someone who used to work for Visa......  ;)


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: franky1 on January 27, 2016, 08:05:31 PM
they quote 110,000 tx per day..??(764 a block??)
um try triple that
which then makes the transactions per household 4.71 per household

and so a world wide currency that uses the equivalent electric of just 170,000 houses...... thats actually good,
seeing as there are 94,725 (http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2014/10/05/24-7-wall-st-banks-with-most-branches/16648133/) FIAT bank branches, which have equivelent floor plan of ATLEAST 4 houses (680,000 houses)
lets not forget the skyscapers and private office buildings of wall street.

lets not forget how many ATM's there are..

in short there are far more fiat buildings, using far more electric then the measly 170,000 household electric consumption.. yet fiat funds are not inflation protected not circulation controlled. not protected by as much security..


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: commandrix on January 27, 2016, 08:15:24 PM
When you really think about it, the "mainstream" financial system is also unsustainable. Look at the number of times Wall Street and the banking industry very nearly derailed the economy. If the amount of electricity used to maintain the Bitcoin network is a concern, why doesn't the energy sector invest more in "green" renewable energy sources that don't rely on fossil fuels?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Meuh6879 on January 27, 2016, 08:20:22 PM

Speed/irreversibility of transactions is transparency?

yes, you have money or not.  ;D
in FIAT system, it's ... perhaps ... eventually ... wait a little week to be sure.  ::)


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Meuh6879 on January 27, 2016, 08:28:59 PM
If the amount of electricity used to maintain the Bitcoin network is a concern, why doesn't the energy sector invest more in "green" renewable energy sources that don't rely on fossil fuels?

true, but actual system of money even kill the scientific futur ... to derive the mathematic genius to ... create algorythm in financial crap reality.

they are rich ... but they don't evolve. :-\

but, Bitcoin change this ... because, when you have a environment in you can't cheat ... you can plan other and evolved study about ... energy for example. 8)

Bitcoin win.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: ATguy on January 27, 2016, 08:30:50 PM
Quote
Unfortunately for Bitcoin, if user adoption spikes, so will price—and so must power consumption.


Not necessary. Bitcoin block rewards halve every 4 years, so if Bitcoin price double every 4 years, power consumption should be the same. If Bitcoin price doesnt double in 4 years, power consumption should decrease correspondigly.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 08:30:59 PM
they quote 110,000 tx per day..??(764 a block??)
um try triple that
which then makes the transactions per household 4.71 per household

and so a world wide currency that uses the equivalent electric of just 170,000 houses...... thats actually good,
seeing as there are 94,725 (https://bitcointalk.org/story/money/business/2014/10/05/24-7-wall-st-banks-with-most-branches/16648133/) FIAT bank branches, which have equivelent floor plan of ATLEAST 4 houses (680,000 houses)
lets not forget the skyscapers and private office buildings of wall street.

lets not forget how many ATM's there are..

in short there are far more fiat buildings, using far more electric then the measly 170,000 household electric consumption.. yet fiat funds are not inflation protected not circulation controlled. not protected by as much security..


>world wide currency
I can send a BTCeanie anywhere in the world. Does it make Beanie Babies a "world wide currency"? If not, what is it that makes BTC a world-wide currency?

>bank branches, ATMs
Do you go to your bank's branch office to send VISA transactions? Most people don't either. Because they don't have to.
Bitcoin businesses have brick & mortar footprint too. Or, rather, they should. Maybe that way they wouldn't constantly get haxx0red for millions of dollars, usually belonging to other people.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on January 27, 2016, 08:37:25 PM

Speed/irreversibility of transactions is transparency?

yes, you have money or not.  ;D
in FIAT system, it's ... perhaps ... eventually ... wait a little week to be sure.  ::)

You clearly don't understand the word "transparency."  Understanding the words you use is important :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: franky1 on January 27, 2016, 08:43:05 PM

>world wide currency
I can send a BTCeanie anywhere in the world. Does it make Beanie Babies a "world wide currency"? If not, what is it that makes BTC a world-wide currency?


you cant buy a pizza, computer, furniture, vehicles with beanie babies.. but you can with bitcoin.. so bitcoin is a currency
also if bitcoin is not world wide. then tell me what country bitcoin is limited/restricted to?

is bitcoin only accepted in shops in just one country? or can you buy a computer in any country, from different merchants.
can you walk into a pizza place in america and use bitcoin over the counter face to face,, yes
can you walk into a pizza place in canada and use bitcoin over the counter face to face,, yes
can you walk into a pizza place in asia and use bitcoin over the counter face to face,, yes
can you walk into a pizza place in europe and use bitcoin over the counter face to face,, yes

>bank branches, ATMs
Do you go to your bank's branch office to send VISA transactions? Most people don't, either. Because they don't have to.
do i go to bitfury office to use bitcoin? most people dont because they dont have to.
QR codes are your friend

Bitcoin businesses have brick & mortar buildings too, or, rather, they should. Maybe that way they wouldn't constantly get haxx0red for millions of dollars, usually belonging to other people.
fiat businesses have brick & mortar retail buildings too. maybe FIAT brick and mortar businesses should have less buildings, as it would lessen the risk of identify theft by not having to spread your personal details to so many stores. :D


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Meuh6879 on January 27, 2016, 08:46:11 PM
You clearly don't understand the word "transparency."  Understanding the words you use is important :)

transparency is the ledger of Bitcoin.
bankster don't have this ... that's why, they fail at the end because they don't want trust anyone because of this ... particularity.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: RodeoX on January 27, 2016, 08:47:15 PM
It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::) 

Actually yeah, by far.  Let me break it down for you:
An average block contains 2.7 * (takes 600 seconds to mine a block) = 1620 transactions. At most (some blocks are mined empty, as in "no* transactions).
For this, miners receive 25 BTC, which, at current rate, is roughly 12,000 dollars.
Meaning ~$7.40 PER TX.
Assuming that 1/3 of that is electrical cost (let's be generous), that's about $2.50 in energy cost, PER TRANSACTION.

Unless you think US Post Office is spending $2.50 in gas alone to deliver a check...

Hmmm. That is interesting. I would have thought actual delivery would be much more inefficient. But $2.50 per Tx is a lot. I wonder how miners can be profitable charging only pennies per Tx?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: jonald_fyookball on January 27, 2016, 08:52:48 PM
It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::) 

Actually yeah, by far.  Let me break it down for you:
An average block contains 2.7 * (takes 600 seconds to mine a block) = 1620 transactions. At most (some blocks are mined empty, as in "no* transactions).
For this, miners receive 25 BTC, which, at current rate, is roughly 12,000 dollars.
Meaning ~$7.40 PER TX.
Assuming that 1/3 of that is electrical cost (let's be generous), that's about $2.50 in energy cost, PER TRANSACTION.

Unless you think US Post Office is spending $2.50 in gas alone to deliver a check...

Hmmm. That is interesting. I would have thought actual delivery would be much more inefficient. But $2.50 per Tx is a lot. I wonder how miners can be profitable charging only pennies per Tx?

Because their costs have nothing to do with the number of transactions they are processing but rather the blocks they solve.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 09:00:00 PM

>world wide currency
I can send a BTCeanie anywhere in the world. Does it make Beanie Babies a "world wide currency"? If not, what is it that makes BTC a world-wide currency?


you cant buy a pizza, computer, furniture, vehicles with beanie babies.. but you can with bitcoin.. so bitcoin is a currency
also if bitcoin is not world wide. then tell me what country bitcoin is limited/restricted to?

is bitcoin only accepted in shops in just one country? or can you buy a computer in any country, from different merchants.
can you walk into a pizza place in america and use bitcoin over the counter face to face,, yes
can you walk into a pizza place in canada and use bitcoin over the counter face to face,, yes
can you walk into a pizza place in asia and use bitcoin over the counter face to face,, yes
can you walk into a pizza place in europe and use bitcoin over the counter face to face,, yes

I can buy a pizza from a pizzeria that accepts BTCeanie BTCabies. Granted, not many do, but not many accept BTC, either :(

Quote
>bank branches, ATMs
Do you go to your bank's branch office to send VISA transactions? Most people don't, either. Because they don't have to.
do i go to bitfury office to use bitcoin? most people dont because they dont have to.
QR codes are your friend
???
What does BitFury have to do with your analogy?

Quote
Bitcoin businesses have brick & mortar buildings too, or, rather, they should. Maybe that way they wouldn't constantly get haxx0red for millions of dollars, usually belonging to other people.
fiat businesses have brick & mortar retail buildings too. maybe FIAT brick and mortar businesses should have less buildings, as it would lessen the risk of identify theft by not having to spread your personal details to so many stores. :D
???
Again, what are you talking about? If I haven't made myself clear, I'll spell it out:
Bank offices = Offices of Bitcoin exchanges, Bitcoin payment processors, Bitcoin Foundation -- that sort of thing.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 09:09:37 PM
It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::)  

Actually yeah, by far.  Let me break it down for you:
An average block contains 2.7 * (takes 600 seconds to mine a block) = 1620 transactions. At most (some blocks are mined empty, as in "no* transactions).
For this, miners receive 25 BTC, which, at current rate, is roughly 12,000 dollars.
Meaning ~$7.40 PER TX.
Assuming that 1/3 of that is electrical cost (let's be generous), that's about $2.50 in energy cost, PER TRANSACTION.

Unless you think US Post Office is spending $2.50 in gas alone to deliver a check...

Hmmm. That is interesting. I would have thought actual delivery would be much more inefficient. But $2.50 per Tx is a lot. I wonder how miners can be profitable charging only pennies per Tx?

Because they get paid 25BTC for each block they solve. The few pennies they charge per tx are almost irrelevant. Many miners chose to mine *empty blocks* -- blocks containing *no* transactions.
That's why Bitcoin has 10% yearly base money inflation :-\

Think of it like this:
Imagine the Central Bank paying commercial banks a few billion bucks every 10 minutes they stay open. They don't even have to conduct any business (process tx), as long as they stay open, they get a few billion dollars every ten minutes.
For Bitcoin miners, it's not a few billion dollars, it's 25 BTC every ten minutes.
*In the banks/central bank example, the Central Bank gives $AFB/10mins (a few billion dollars every ten minutes) to all the branch banks. They have to divvy $AFB/10mins amongst themselves.
If bank A has 10 branches, and bank B 100, bank B gets x10 as much as bank A. For miners, that's decided with hashrate: If you do more hashes (which roughly means have more/newer gear), you have a better chance of getting that 25BTC reward. The reward isn't split among the miners -- the miner who solves the block gets the whole 25BTC. Hope that's a bit clearer.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: franky1 on January 27, 2016, 10:20:30 PM
??
What does BitFury have to do with your analogy?
bitfury. = bank
because bitfury is to do with mining.. (the settling of transactions)

???
Again, what are you talking about? If I haven't made myself clear, I'll spell it out:
Bank offices = Offices of Bitcoin exchanges, Bitcoin payment processors, Bitcoin Foundation -- that sort of thing.

bank are to do with the money handling onchain..=miners
off chain things like exchanges.. you might aswell call them paypal/western union/bureau de change
bitcoin foundation.. you might aswell call that financial advise office, silicon valley, consumer advice offices

you said that you dont need to physically go to a bank to use visa.. and i said i dont need to physically go to a miner to use bitcoin.

but now you are just trolling
..
but as a obvious troll i hope you do well with your beanie babies. im guessing you value them as much as your harry potter first editions.... kind of find it odd for someone that thinks bitcoin is not a world wide currency, that you actually think its worth wasting your time trolling on.. maybe its time you went to your basement and start hand washing your beanie babies to keep them prestine


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: interbtc on January 27, 2016, 10:34:38 PM

It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::) 

Actually yeah, by far.  Let me break it down for you:
An average block contains 2.7 * (takes 600 seconds to mine a block) = 1620 transactions. At most (some blocks are mined empty, as in "no* transactions).
For this, miners receive 25 BTC, which, at current rate, is roughly 12,000 dollars.
Meaning ~$7.40 PER TX.
Assuming that 1/3 of that is electrical cost (let's be generous), that's about $2.50 in energy cost, PER TRANSACTION.

Unless you think US Post Office is spending $2.50 in gas alone to deliver a check...


You're only considering the part of transacting coins when you're calculating, whereas you should also include the fact that there is another point in generating blocks,
which is generating supply. Now calculate how much entire world is spending on generating their fiat and putting it in circulation.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 11:04:57 PM
??
What does BitFury have to do with your analogy?
bitfury. = bank
because bitfury is to do with mining.. (the settling of transactions)
You clearly don't understand what banks do.
"... raise capital from investors or lenders, and then use that money to make loans, buy securities and provide other financial services to customers. These loans are then used by people and businesses to buy goods or expand business operations ..."
Also see here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Underwriting
When you buy your first house, you go to a bank.
Does BitFury lend money? Can it help me refinance my house? Doe it engage in underwriting? No? Then it's not a bank.
Now you know.

Quote
???
Again, what are you talking about? If I haven't made myself clear, I'll spell it out:
Bank offices = Offices of Bitcoin exchanges, Bitcoin pay
Quote
you said that you dont need to physically go to ament processors, Bitcoin Foundation -- that sort of thing.
bank to use visa.. and i said i dont need to physically go to a miner to use bitcoin.
but now you are just trolling
..
but as a obvious troll i hope you do well with your beanie babies. im guessing you value them as much as your harry potter first editions.... kind of find it odd for someone that thinks bitcoin is not a world wide currency, that you actually think its worth wasting your time trolling on.. maybe its time you went to your basement and start hand washing your beanie babies to keep them prestine

If you're not aware of it, many people, much like yourself, invested in BTCeanie BTCabies because artificial scarcity1 gave BTCeanies value. Just like Bitcoin.
I quote:
"...By 1998, parents were paying double or triple the retail price for “retired” Beanie Babies. Beanie Baby handbooks with catalogues of Beanie Babies and their prospective prices were being sold everywhere. A USA Weekly poll found that 64% of Americans claimed to own at least one Beanie Baby. [mass adoption! -ed] Peggy Gallagher, a collector from Chicago, once bought 30 “Chilly the Polar Bear” Beanie Babies from Ty’s Germany supplier at $7 each and later sold them for $1800 each. [see $1200 Bitcoin bubble]"

Granted, BTCeanie enthusiasts were only using beanies as a store of value that made them rich while they sat on their butts. They didn't think BTCeanies would become a world currency, but now Bitcoin enthusiasts have also given up on the idea of Bitcoin becoming A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. So now Bitcoin & BTCeanies have that in common, too :)

1. "[Ty Warner's] strategy of deliberate scarcity, producing each new design in limited quantity, restricting individual store shipments to limited numbers of each design and regularly retiring designs, created a huge secondary market for the toys and increased their popularity and value as a collectible."--http://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/May-2014/Ty-Warner/http://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/May-2014/Ty-Warner/


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: jonald_fyookball on January 27, 2016, 11:13:48 PM
  but now Bitcoin enthusiasts have also given up on the idea of Bitcoin becoming A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. 

only certain misguided smallblockers have.

The rest of us are as excited as ever about Bitcoin.



Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 11:15:29 PM

It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::) 

Actually yeah, by far.  Let me break it down for you:
An average block contains 2.7 * (takes 600 seconds to mine a block) = 1620 transactions. At most (some blocks are mined empty, as in "no* transactions).
For this, miners receive 25 BTC, which, at current rate, is roughly 12,000 dollars.
Meaning ~$7.40 PER TX.
Assuming that 1/3 of that is electrical cost (let's be generous), that's about $2.50 in energy cost, PER TRANSACTION.

Unless you think US Post Office is spending $2.50 in gas alone to deliver a check...


You're only considering the part of transacting coins when you're calculating, whereas you should also include the fact that there is another point in generating blocks,
which is generating supply. Now calculate how much entire world is spending on generating their fiat and putting it in circulation.

I'm comparing the cost of mailing a check to the cost of a Bitcoin transaction. "Cost of distribution"? I'm not interested in debasing my BTC by inflating base money supply at a rate of 10% per annum by "distributing" BTC to miners, no more so than you're interested in the FED "printing moar money out of thin air."


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: lumeire on January 27, 2016, 11:18:32 PM
  but now Bitcoin enthusiasts have also given up on the idea of Bitcoin becoming A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. 

only certain misguided smallblockers have.

The rest of us are as excited as ever about Bitcoin.


True, who said we've given up? Bitcoin is still young, anything still is possible IMO.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 11:24:04 PM
 but now Bitcoin enthusiasts have also given up on the idea of Bitcoin becoming A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.  

only certain misguided smallblockers have.

The rest of us are as excited as ever about Bitcoin.

It won't happen. The recent dev drama is nothing new -- was always there.  Bitcoin depends on consensus. Consensus is hard to reach, and, as it became painfully clear, even agreeing on what "consensus" means can't be agreed on.
The Hitchhiker's Guide tells us that flying is simple: it involves learning to throw yourself at the ground and missing.
"Clearly, it is this second part, the missing reaching consensus, that presents the difficulties."


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: jonald_fyookball on January 27, 2016, 11:30:45 PM
 but now Bitcoin enthusiasts have also given up on the idea of Bitcoin becoming A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.  

only certain misguided smallblockers have.

The rest of us are as excited as ever about Bitcoin.

It won't happen. The recent dev drama is nothing new -- was always there.  Bitcoin depends on consensus. Consensus is hard to reach, and, as it became painfully clear, even agreeing on what "consensus" means can't be agreed on.
The Hitchhiker's Guide tells us that flying is simple: it involves learning to throw yourself at the ground and missing.
"Clearly, it is this second part, the missing reaching consensus, that presents the difficulties."

It already happened!  We already have a peer to peer currency.  Pretty amazing if you think about it.

And I believe that the economic majority will force us through the impasse on scalability should consensus prove to be illusive.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Tavos on January 27, 2016, 11:30:54 PM
It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::) 

Actually yeah, by far.  Let me break it down for you:
An average block contains 2.7 * (takes 600 seconds to mine a block) = 1620 transactions. At most (some blocks are mined empty, as in "no* transactions).
For this, miners receive 25 BTC, which, at current rate, is roughly 12,000 dollars.
Meaning ~$7.40 PER TX.
Assuming that 1/3 of that is electrical cost (let's be generous), that's about $2.50 in energy cost, PER TRANSACTION.

Unless you think US Post Office is spending $2.50 in gas alone to deliver a check...
But what if the block size is increased? More transactions, same amount of electricity. Could keep increasing till it gets very cheap in terms of electricity.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: countryfree on January 27, 2016, 11:36:08 PM
I don't like the idea of forecasts based on power usage per transaction, or cost per transaction because nothing's fixed. Computers may become much more efficient in the future. When Intel launched its latest microprocessor for laptops, it was saying exactly that, giving users more autonomy when running on battery.

Coming increase in block size will also change a lot of things.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: franky1 on January 27, 2016, 11:40:21 PM
You clearly don't understand what banks do.
"... raise capital from investors or lenders, and then use that money to make loans, buy securities and provide other financial services to customers. These loans are then used by people and businesses to buy goods or expand business operations ..."
Also see here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Underwriting
When you buy your first house, you go to a bank.
Does BitFury lend money? Can it help me refinance my house? Doe it engage in underwriting? No? Then it's not a bank.
Now you know.
when you get a mortgage. you are not given funds from other peoples bank accounts..
money is created!! .. same as miners.. they create funds too (block reward)
here straight from the horses mouth
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/qb14q1prereleasemoneycreation.pdf
create money through loans

Learn more
please

waffly troll about CuntChocula's fascination of beanie babies that has not relevance to bitcoin

bored now.. moving on


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: BurtW on January 27, 2016, 11:41:22 PM
I don't like the idea of forecasts based on power usage per transaction, or cost per transaction because nothing's fixed. Computers may become much more efficient in the future. When Intel launched its latest microprocessor for laptops, it was saying exactly that, giving users more autonomy when running on battery.

Coming increase in block size will also change a lot of things.
The total amount of energy used for Bitcoin mining is independent of the efficiency of the mining equipment used.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Windpower on January 27, 2016, 11:41:38 PM
http://motherboard.vice.com/pt_br/read/bitcoin-insustentavel


Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system.


Quote
The year is 2018. After a rough Greek exit from the eurozone, economic malaise has spread to Italy, Portugal, Spain, and France. Nervous citizens across Europe look for a way to get their money out as currency traders hammer the weakening euro, banks impose withdrawal limits, and their purchasing power plummets.

Enter Bitcoin.

Compared to the euro, the peer-to-peer decentralized electronic currency has now become a relatively stable digital asset. Fiendish buyers trade their euros en masse online for Bitcoin, and soon, depositors worldwide join them. The price of Bitcoin rises, prompting more user adoption by spenders and speculators, and recognition from governments and populations alike.

The above scenario sounds like a nice piece of prepper-bait from conspiracy site infowars.com. But could (or should) Bitcoin actually take over? Some of the more enthusiastic Bitcoin advocates argue that the currency is ready for prime time—in other words, ready to replace national currencies, or perhaps replace global banking’s creaking clearinghouses. Would this be good for the world?

From an environmental point of view, it certainly wouldn’t be good news. Unfortunately for Bitcoin advocates, the currency uses too much electricity right now—way too much: According to my calculation, a single Bitcoin transaction uses roughly enough electricity to power 1.57 American households for a day.

All that energy expenditure has an important purpose: it secures Bitcoin from attacks by speculators, criminals, and other evil-doers by raising the price of the computer power needed to gain control of all transactions on the network. The computers that make up the Bitcoin economy’s backbone are constantly ensuring security and verifiability for the network by solving cryptographic puzzles. This process is called “mining.” Those who participate in this network maintenance are rewarded in Bitcoin, incentivizing them to bulk up their machines so they can mine more efficiently.

There is potential for Bitcoin to become more efficient by stuffing more transactions into the mining process. But at the end of the day, if Bitcoin sees increased adoption and price and many more useful transactions, power consumption is almost guaranteed to grow.

Motherboard has previously covered how big Bitcoin mining operations can get. So how much electricity are we talking about?

Let’s take this Bitcoin mine in China as an example of the scale of today’s operations. It is supposedly running at 6 PH (quadrillion hashes) per second, according to a Chinese Bitcoin company CEO posting in a Bitcoin forum, with the aim to scale up to 12 PH per second. That would give it about 3.3 percent of the total power on the Bitcoin network. Because the Bitcoin network is set up to dole out around 3,600 BTC per day to miners, this mine would rake in about 118.8 BTC per day, or more than $30,000USD at the time of writing. That’s not a bad haul when your electricity costs are among the lowest in the world at 3 to 6 cents per kw/h, about a third of US prices.

Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system

Computer cooling firm Allied Control estimates the total power consumption of the Bitcoin network at 250 to 500 Megawatts. Looking at the total hashrate, which is the number of calculations the network can perform per second, and applying a generous miner efficiency of 0.6 watts per gigahash, we can estimate our own back-of-the-envelope Bitcoin network constant power draw at just under 215 MW, although this figure is always in flux (it’s important to note that many of the variables in my calculation are constantly changing slightly). That’s around enough zap to power 173,000 average American households’ daily electricity usage.

With about 110,000 transactions per day, that works out to 1.57 households daily usage of electricity per Bitcoin transaction. Yes, every time you buy something in Bitcoin, you could be using as much electricity as 1.57 American families do in a day.

“The actual figure is likely worse, given that a large number of transactions are exchanges and miners moving bitcoins around and other low-value ‘dust’ transactions,” said Matthew Green, a cryptography expert at Johns Hopkins University. “So each transaction where there’s an exchange of goods or services happening is really representing even more electricity.”

As climate change becomes a more pressing concern for humanity every day, this huge level of energy use is difficult to justify for a currency wanting to improve on the current arrangement.

“It appears there are significant challenges to ensuring that Bitcoin’s growth minimizes environmental impacts,” offered Jeremy McDaniels, a financial system sustainability expert with the UNEP. “Energy footprints could be an issue of major scale-up is achieved.”

There is hope that Bitcoin may be able to reduce its footprint, however.

One important thing to understand is that the electricity demands of Bitcoin mining won’t scale up linearly with increased usage or transactions. Bitcoin miners use special hardware to guess over and over at solutions to computational problems for each “block,” which records transactions into a permanent ledger. The first problem-solver “wins” the block and the reward: brand new bitcoins.

Bitcoin can currently handle up to 360,000 transactions per day given current limitations built into the technology, according to Jorge Stolfi, a computer science professor from Campinas University in Brazil, so there’s some headroom left before things bog down.

It would be possible to bring down the average power cost of each transaction by modifying the underlying Bitcoin protocol, but that’s no easy feat. The Bitcoin community is currently debating a big change that would mean the network could theoretically handle about 7.2 million transactions a day on a comparable level of electricity consumption, according to Stolfi. That would require a majority of the people mining Bitcoin to agree to the change, however.

Keeping power consumption high in general also makes the network more secure by making it harder for any one entity to gain control. “The right way to think about this is that the energy expenditure provides a level of protection against attacks—it establishes a price floor, currently in the many millions, to launch a 34 percent or 51 percent attack [where an attacker can block transactions and double spend bitcoins as they please],” Emin Gun Sirer, a Cornell professor and blogger at Hacking Distributed, explained in an email.

However, that same level of security could be maintained while allowing for more transactions, he said, shrinking the cost per transaction.

All that needs to happen, then, is to expand the userbase so we have more transactions, right?

Unfortunately for Bitcoin, if user adoption spikes, so will price—and so must power consumption. Bitcoin mining leads to an arms race among miners to grab a slice of the fixed rewards doled out by the network, Stolfi said. The higher the financial rewards, the more miners will invest in powerful equipment to keep up with the competition. The Bitcoin protocol will continue to increase the difficulty of the cryptopuzzles to keep rewards constant, continuing the arms race until the last block is mined.

That makes Bitcoin about 5,033 times more energy intensive, per transaction, than VISA

The bottom line? Price = energy. “The total revenue of the mining industry is Bitcoin price times BTC revenue in USD/day, independently of anything else; and the electricity consumption, also in USD/day, is some large fraction of that,” concludes Stolfi.

Green agrees: “Almost everything in Bitcoin is flexible, but that dynamic isn’t. Miners always have the incentive to throw as many hashes [requiring power] at the job as the price dictates.”

Of course, it wouldn’t be fair to knock Bitcoin’s electricity consumption without comparing it to payment systems most people use today. Let’s take VISA as an example.

According to Network Computing, the VISA network can process more than 80 billion transactions per year or 2,537 transactions per second, using two mirrored data centers, each capable of running the entire network. The larger data center is currently pulling enough power for 25,000 households’ daily electricity, so we’ll double that to account for VISA’s total draw. In 2013, VISA’s investor reports say the company processed 58.5 billion transactions.

Working off these (admittedly imperfect) figures, each VISA transaction consumes around 0.0003 household’s daily electricity use. That makes Bitcoin about 5,033 times more energy intensive, per transaction, than VISA, at current usage levels.



Both networks use a lot of houses worth of daily juice, but one of them processes millions more transactions. Image: Motherboard
Of course, VISA runs call centers, offices, and a whole lot else on electricity as well, which isn’t counted in this comparison. But those hardly matter due to the extreme difference between the two figures.

In a rosy 2014 Bitcoin sustainability study, Bitcoin analyst Hass McCook concluded that “Bitcoin has 99.8% fewer [carbon] emissions than the banking system,” which we can treat as a rough proxy for energy use. The study neglects to account for the vast size difference between the Bitcoin economy and the conventional money system, however—the world banking system’s market capitalization in 2010 alone was over 1,989 times bigger than today’s total Bitcoin valuation.

In light of the above analysis, Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system. In the future, Bitcoin could massively gain popularity, pile on millions more transactions, and still be unsustainable due to the arms race between miners.

In an email, Bitcoin expert Piotr Piasecki added some context to the comparison: “With the increase of the block size, there will be more transactions included in the block, so the cost per transaction should go down. While it might not reach such low levels as Visa, we are talking about two somewhat different systems. One is a database entry in a single system, another one is an immutable record of history in a decentralized ledger.”



What do you guys thing? is this barrier being solved by the improvements in the blockchain technology?
Maybe in the future, the power usage per transaction will be to high for what miners get paid. But not now.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 11:47:35 PM
 but now Bitcoin enthusiasts have also given up on the idea of Bitcoin becoming A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.  

only certain misguided smallblockers have.

The rest of us are as excited as ever about Bitcoin.

It won't happen. The recent dev drama is nothing new -- was always there.  Bitcoin depends on consensus. Consensus is hard to reach, and, as it became painfully clear, even agreeing on what "consensus" means can't be agreed on.
The Hitchhiker's Guide tells us that flying is simple: it involves learning to throw yourself at the ground and missing.
"Clearly, it is this second part, the missing reaching consensus, that presents the difficulties."

It already happened!  We already have a peer to peer currency.  Pretty amazing if you think about it.

And I believe that the economic majority will force us through the impasse on scalability should consensus prove to be illusive.

"Economic Majority" is the people in fiat. The folks hodling shitloads of BTC don't count -- no mechanism exists for them to enforce their decision, or even *to voice it*.
Scalability's as elusive as consensus. Remember, the blockchain keeps growing by a block every ~10 minutes. No way to prune it, currently -- just keeps growing and growing :(

And a system which claims to respond to the wants of "economic majority," with no clear path for this "economic majority" to make a change? "No worries brah, the market will fix everything, invisible hand lol"?

*OVER A YEAR* of arguing over this -- the most predictable, technically trivial problem -- *and still no solution*?!
Color me impressed.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 27, 2016, 11:55:57 PM
You clearly don't understand what banks do.
"... raise capital from investors or lenders, and then use that money to make loans, buy securities and provide other financial services to customers. These loans are then used by people and businesses to buy goods or expand business operations ..."
Also see here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Underwriting
When you buy your first house, you go to a bank.
Does BitFury lend money? Can it help me refinance my house? Doe it engage in underwriting? No? Then it's not a bank.
Now you know.
when you get a mortgage. you are not given funds from other peoples bank accounts..
money is created!! .. same as miners.. they create funds too (block reward)
here straight from the horses mouth
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/qb14q1prereleasemoneycreation.pdf
create money through loans

Learn more
please

Go argue with Investopedia (http://www.investopedia.com/university/banking-system/banking-system3.asp), from whence the quoted text was gleaned, irrelevant to my point.
Which I'll repeat:
"Does BitFury lend money? Can it help me refinance my house? Doe it engage in underwriting? No? Then it's not a bank."



Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: franky1 on January 28, 2016, 12:02:19 AM

Go argue with Investopedia (http://www.investopedia.com/university/banking-system/banking-system3.asp), from whence the quoted text was gleaned, irrelevant to my point.
Which I'll repeat:
"Does BitFury lend money? Can it help me refinance my house? Doe it engage in underwriting? No? Then it's not a bank."

banks create money
banks control the circulation of money
banks process and ensure transactions are settled.

why are you obsessed with talking about lending which has no relevance to bitcoins function..


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 28, 2016, 12:22:18 AM

Go argue with Investopedia (https://bitcointalk.org/university/banking-system/banking-system3.asp), from whence the quoted text was gleaned, irrelevant to my point.
Which I'll repeat:
"Does BitFury lend money? Can it help me refinance my house? Doe it engage in underwriting? No? Then it's not a bank."

banks create money
banks control the circulation of money
banks process and ensure transactions are settled.

why are you obsessed with talking about lending which has no relevance to bitcoins function..

ELY2:
1. You claim BitFury is analogous to a bank office.
2. I point out that BitFury doesn't do anything that the bank does: It doesn't lend money, it doesn't underwrite, it doesn't help me buy a house or finance a business. That's what banks do.
Bitcoin will need things like banks, because people don't have a million dollars to buy a new house -- they need a mortgage. There were several flegling Bitcoin "banks," from Pirateat40's Bitcoin Savings and Trust to Danny Brewster's Neo Bee, with many in between.
Unfortunately, they didn't work out so well... :(
Remember the funky ads? :D
http://s2.postimg.org/onlche5ft/neo2.jpg

TL;DR: No. Those buildings with people in them that are called banks are no more similar to BitFury than they are to aardvarks.
Now go play your vidya.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Ikron on January 28, 2016, 12:31:48 AM
New articles making bold statements that never seem to deliver.......


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: aso118 on January 28, 2016, 01:11:51 AM
I don't like the idea of forecasts based on power usage per transaction, or cost per transaction because nothing's fixed. Computers may become much more efficient in the future. When Intel launched its latest microprocessor for laptops, it was saying exactly that, giving users more autonomy when running on battery.

Coming increase in block size will also change a lot of things.
The total amount of energy used for Bitcoin mining is independent of the efficiency of the mining equipment used.

Why is that? For a given hashing power, total amount of energy used should decrease if the efficiency of the mining equipment used improves.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: russian_pete on January 28, 2016, 01:25:21 AM
There seems to be an awful rush to declare bitcoin dead/unsustainable/scary of late - even moreso than usual. And none of it's been particularly credible or convincing so far.

Well, thank you everyone for pointing that out. Being a novice in the bitcoin world, I'm still learning how to apprehend all this FUD about our beloved coins.

While it's pretty clear news like this one have an impact on bitcoin price (in a larger or smaller scale) what is left unasked is: how could we discover who's behind this negative fuzz? Is there any way to monitor the performance of big players and plot it against such "news"?



Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: BurtW on January 28, 2016, 01:27:26 AM
I don't like the idea of forecasts based on power usage per transaction, or cost per transaction because nothing's fixed. Computers may become much more efficient in the future. When Intel launched its latest microprocessor for laptops, it was saying exactly that, giving users more autonomy when running on battery.

Coming increase in block size will also change a lot of things.
The total amount of energy used for Bitcoin mining is independent of the efficiency of the mining equipment used.

Why is that? For a given hashing power, total amount of energy used should decrease if the efficiency of the mining equipment used improves.
There is a whole thread about it here:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=694401.0

Basically, for a given price per BTC and a given era (BTC per block) the miners together can "afford" and will spend most of the block reward + fees on energy.  This is by design.  If equipment gets more efficient then the miners will just buy more equipment until they are consuming as much energy as they can afford.

The formula I previously derived for the amount of power, P, consumed by the Bitcoin mining network is:

P = (6(50/2e) + f)(x)(1 - g)/c [kW]

where:

x = exchange rate [USD/BTC]
e = era [0..32] (we are currently in era 1)
f = average fees per hour [BTC/hour]
c = cost of energy [USD/kWh]
g = average gross profit margin [unitless ratio]

Note that the total power consumption is not dependent on efficiency.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: MyBTT on January 28, 2016, 01:47:49 AM
http://motherboard.vice.com/pt_br/read/bitcoin-insustentavel


Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system.


Quote
The year is 2018. After a rough Greek exit from the eurozone, economic malaise has spread to Italy, Portugal, Spain, and France. Nervous citizens across Europe look for a way to get their money out as currency traders hammer the weakening euro, banks impose withdrawal limits, and their purchasing power plummets.

Enter Bitcoin.

Compared to the euro, the peer-to-peer decentralized electronic currency has now become a relatively stable digital asset. Fiendish buyers trade their euros en masse online for Bitcoin, and soon, depositors worldwide join them. The price of Bitcoin rises, prompting more user adoption by spenders and speculators, and recognition from governments and populations alike.

The above scenario sounds like a nice piece of prepper-bait from conspiracy site infowars.com. But could (or should) Bitcoin actually take over? Some of the more enthusiastic Bitcoin advocates argue that the currency is ready for prime time—in other words, ready to replace national currencies, or perhaps replace global banking’s creaking clearinghouses. Would this be good for the world?

From an environmental point of view, it certainly wouldn’t be good news. Unfortunately for Bitcoin advocates, the currency uses too much electricity right now—way too much: According to my calculation, a single Bitcoin transaction uses roughly enough electricity to power 1.57 American households for a day.

All that energy expenditure has an important purpose: it secures Bitcoin from attacks by speculators, criminals, and other evil-doers by raising the price of the computer power needed to gain control of all transactions on the network. The computers that make up the Bitcoin economy’s backbone are constantly ensuring security and verifiability for the network by solving cryptographic puzzles. This process is called “mining.” Those who participate in this network maintenance are rewarded in Bitcoin, incentivizing them to bulk up their machines so they can mine more efficiently.

There is potential for Bitcoin to become more efficient by stuffing more transactions into the mining process. But at the end of the day, if Bitcoin sees increased adoption and price and many more useful transactions, power consumption is almost guaranteed to grow.

Motherboard has previously covered how big Bitcoin mining operations can get. So how much electricity are we talking about?

Let’s take this Bitcoin mine in China as an example of the scale of today’s operations. It is supposedly running at 6 PH (quadrillion hashes) per second, according to a Chinese Bitcoin company CEO posting in a Bitcoin forum, with the aim to scale up to 12 PH per second. That would give it about 3.3 percent of the total power on the Bitcoin network. Because the Bitcoin network is set up to dole out around 3,600 BTC per day to miners, this mine would rake in about 118.8 BTC per day, or more than $30,000USD at the time of writing. That’s not a bad haul when your electricity costs are among the lowest in the world at 3 to 6 cents per kw/h, about a third of US prices.

Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system

Computer cooling firm Allied Control estimates the total power consumption of the Bitcoin network at 250 to 500 Megawatts. Looking at the total hashrate, which is the number of calculations the network can perform per second, and applying a generous miner efficiency of 0.6 watts per gigahash, we can estimate our own back-of-the-envelope Bitcoin network constant power draw at just under 215 MW, although this figure is always in flux (it’s important to note that many of the variables in my calculation are constantly changing slightly). That’s around enough zap to power 173,000 average American households’ daily electricity usage.

With about 110,000 transactions per day, that works out to 1.57 households daily usage of electricity per Bitcoin transaction. Yes, every time you buy something in Bitcoin, you could be using as much electricity as 1.57 American families do in a day.

“The actual figure is likely worse, given that a large number of transactions are exchanges and miners moving bitcoins around and other low-value ‘dust’ transactions,” said Matthew Green, a cryptography expert at Johns Hopkins University. “So each transaction where there’s an exchange of goods or services happening is really representing even more electricity.”

As climate change becomes a more pressing concern for humanity every day, this huge level of energy use is difficult to justify for a currency wanting to improve on the current arrangement.

“It appears there are significant challenges to ensuring that Bitcoin’s growth minimizes environmental impacts,” offered Jeremy McDaniels, a financial system sustainability expert with the UNEP. “Energy footprints could be an issue of major scale-up is achieved.”

There is hope that Bitcoin may be able to reduce its footprint, however.

One important thing to understand is that the electricity demands of Bitcoin mining won’t scale up linearly with increased usage or transactions. Bitcoin miners use special hardware to guess over and over at solutions to computational problems for each “block,” which records transactions into a permanent ledger. The first problem-solver “wins” the block and the reward: brand new bitcoins.

Bitcoin can currently handle up to 360,000 transactions per day given current limitations built into the technology, according to Jorge Stolfi, a computer science professor from Campinas University in Brazil, so there’s some headroom left before things bog down.

It would be possible to bring down the average power cost of each transaction by modifying the underlying Bitcoin protocol, but that’s no easy feat. The Bitcoin community is currently debating a big change that would mean the network could theoretically handle about 7.2 million transactions a day on a comparable level of electricity consumption, according to Stolfi. That would require a majority of the people mining Bitcoin to agree to the change, however.

Keeping power consumption high in general also makes the network more secure by making it harder for any one entity to gain control. “The right way to think about this is that the energy expenditure provides a level of protection against attacks—it establishes a price floor, currently in the many millions, to launch a 34 percent or 51 percent attack [where an attacker can block transactions and double spend bitcoins as they please],” Emin Gun Sirer, a Cornell professor and blogger at Hacking Distributed, explained in an email.

However, that same level of security could be maintained while allowing for more transactions, he said, shrinking the cost per transaction.

All that needs to happen, then, is to expand the userbase so we have more transactions, right?

Unfortunately for Bitcoin, if user adoption spikes, so will price—and so must power consumption. Bitcoin mining leads to an arms race among miners to grab a slice of the fixed rewards doled out by the network, Stolfi said. The higher the financial rewards, the more miners will invest in powerful equipment to keep up with the competition. The Bitcoin protocol will continue to increase the difficulty of the cryptopuzzles to keep rewards constant, continuing the arms race until the last block is mined.

That makes Bitcoin about 5,033 times more energy intensive, per transaction, than VISA

The bottom line? Price = energy. “The total revenue of the mining industry is Bitcoin price times BTC revenue in USD/day, independently of anything else; and the electricity consumption, also in USD/day, is some large fraction of that,” concludes Stolfi.

Green agrees: “Almost everything in Bitcoin is flexible, but that dynamic isn’t. Miners always have the incentive to throw as many hashes [requiring power] at the job as the price dictates.”

Of course, it wouldn’t be fair to knock Bitcoin’s electricity consumption without comparing it to payment systems most people use today. Let’s take VISA as an example.

According to Network Computing, the VISA network can process more than 80 billion transactions per year or 2,537 transactions per second, using two mirrored data centers, each capable of running the entire network. The larger data center is currently pulling enough power for 25,000 households’ daily electricity, so we’ll double that to account for VISA’s total draw. In 2013, VISA’s investor reports say the company processed 58.5 billion transactions.

Working off these (admittedly imperfect) figures, each VISA transaction consumes around 0.0003 household’s daily electricity use. That makes Bitcoin about 5,033 times more energy intensive, per transaction, than VISA, at current usage levels.



Both networks use a lot of houses worth of daily juice, but one of them processes millions more transactions. Image: Motherboard
Of course, VISA runs call centers, offices, and a whole lot else on electricity as well, which isn’t counted in this comparison. But those hardly matter due to the extreme difference between the two figures.

In a rosy 2014 Bitcoin sustainability study, Bitcoin analyst Hass McCook concluded that “Bitcoin has 99.8% fewer [carbon] emissions than the banking system,” which we can treat as a rough proxy for energy use. The study neglects to account for the vast size difference between the Bitcoin economy and the conventional money system, however—the world banking system’s market capitalization in 2010 alone was over 1,989 times bigger than today’s total Bitcoin valuation.

In light of the above analysis, Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system. In the future, Bitcoin could massively gain popularity, pile on millions more transactions, and still be unsustainable due to the arms race between miners.

In an email, Bitcoin expert Piotr Piasecki added some context to the comparison: “With the increase of the block size, there will be more transactions included in the block, so the cost per transaction should go down. While it might not reach such low levels as Visa, we are talking about two somewhat different systems. One is a database entry in a single system, another one is an immutable record of history in a decentralized ledger.”



What do you guys thing? is this barrier being solved by the improvements in the blockchain technology?
Maybe in the future, the power usage per transaction will be to high for what miners get paid. But not now.
Very true. Miners wouldn't mine if they weren't earning money. So the power to earning ratio is good.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: russian_pete on January 28, 2016, 02:05:24 AM
http://motherboard.vice.com/pt_br/read/bitcoin-insustentavel


Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system.


Quote
The year is 2018. After a rough Greek exit from the eurozone, economic malaise has spread to Italy, Portugal, Spain, and France. Nervous citizens across Europe look for a way to get their money out as currency traders hammer the weakening euro, banks impose withdrawal limits, and their purchasing power plummets.

Enter Bitcoin.

Compared to the euro, the peer-to-peer decentralized electronic currency has now become a relatively stable digital asset. Fiendish buyers trade their euros en masse online for Bitcoin, and soon, depositors worldwide join them. The price of Bitcoin rises, prompting more user adoption by spenders and speculators, and recognition from governments and populations alike.

The above scenario sounds like a nice piece of prepper-bait from conspiracy site infowars.com. But could (or should) Bitcoin actually take over? Some of the more enthusiastic Bitcoin advocates argue that the currency is ready for prime time—in other words, ready to replace national currencies, or perhaps replace global banking’s creaking clearinghouses. Would this be good for the world?

From an environmental point of view, it certainly wouldn’t be good news. Unfortunately for Bitcoin advocates, the currency uses too much electricity right now—way too much: According to my calculation, a single Bitcoin transaction uses roughly enough electricity to power 1.57 American households for a day.

All that energy expenditure has an important purpose: it secures Bitcoin from attacks by speculators, criminals, and other evil-doers by raising the price of the computer power needed to gain control of all transactions on the network. The computers that make up the Bitcoin economy’s backbone are constantly ensuring security and verifiability for the network by solving cryptographic puzzles. This process is called “mining.” Those who participate in this network maintenance are rewarded in Bitcoin, incentivizing them to bulk up their machines so they can mine more efficiently.

There is potential for Bitcoin to become more efficient by stuffing more transactions into the mining process. But at the end of the day, if Bitcoin sees increased adoption and price and many more useful transactions, power consumption is almost guaranteed to grow.

Motherboard has previously covered how big Bitcoin mining operations can get. So how much electricity are we talking about?

Let’s take this Bitcoin mine in China as an example of the scale of today’s operations. It is supposedly running at 6 PH (quadrillion hashes) per second, according to a Chinese Bitcoin company CEO posting in a Bitcoin forum, with the aim to scale up to 12 PH per second. That would give it about 3.3 percent of the total power on the Bitcoin network. Because the Bitcoin network is set up to dole out around 3,600 BTC per day to miners, this mine would rake in about 118.8 BTC per day, or more than $30,000USD at the time of writing. That’s not a bad haul when your electricity costs are among the lowest in the world at 3 to 6 cents per kw/h, about a third of US prices.

Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system

Computer cooling firm Allied Control estimates the total power consumption of the Bitcoin network at 250 to 500 Megawatts. Looking at the total hashrate, which is the number of calculations the network can perform per second, and applying a generous miner efficiency of 0.6 watts per gigahash, we can estimate our own back-of-the-envelope Bitcoin network constant power draw at just under 215 MW, although this figure is always in flux (it’s important to note that many of the variables in my calculation are constantly changing slightly). That’s around enough zap to power 173,000 average American households’ daily electricity usage.

With about 110,000 transactions per day, that works out to 1.57 households daily usage of electricity per Bitcoin transaction. Yes, every time you buy something in Bitcoin, you could be using as much electricity as 1.57 American families do in a day.

“The actual figure is likely worse, given that a large number of transactions are exchanges and miners moving bitcoins around and other low-value ‘dust’ transactions,” said Matthew Green, a cryptography expert at Johns Hopkins University. “So each transaction where there’s an exchange of goods or services happening is really representing even more electricity.”

As climate change becomes a more pressing concern for humanity every day, this huge level of energy use is difficult to justify for a currency wanting to improve on the current arrangement.

“It appears there are significant challenges to ensuring that Bitcoin’s growth minimizes environmental impacts,” offered Jeremy McDaniels, a financial system sustainability expert with the UNEP. “Energy footprints could be an issue of major scale-up is achieved.”

There is hope that Bitcoin may be able to reduce its footprint, however.

One important thing to understand is that the electricity demands of Bitcoin mining won’t scale up linearly with increased usage or transactions. Bitcoin miners use special hardware to guess over and over at solutions to computational problems for each “block,” which records transactions into a permanent ledger. The first problem-solver “wins” the block and the reward: brand new bitcoins.

Bitcoin can currently handle up to 360,000 transactions per day given current limitations built into the technology, according to Jorge Stolfi, a computer science professor from Campinas University in Brazil, so there’s some headroom left before things bog down.

It would be possible to bring down the average power cost of each transaction by modifying the underlying Bitcoin protocol, but that’s no easy feat. The Bitcoin community is currently debating a big change that would mean the network could theoretically handle about 7.2 million transactions a day on a comparable level of electricity consumption, according to Stolfi. That would require a majority of the people mining Bitcoin to agree to the change, however.

Keeping power consumption high in general also makes the network more secure by making it harder for any one entity to gain control. “The right way to think about this is that the energy expenditure provides a level of protection against attacks—it establishes a price floor, currently in the many millions, to launch a 34 percent or 51 percent attack [where an attacker can block transactions and double spend bitcoins as they please],” Emin Gun Sirer, a Cornell professor and blogger at Hacking Distributed, explained in an email.

However, that same level of security could be maintained while allowing for more transactions, he said, shrinking the cost per transaction.

All that needs to happen, then, is to expand the userbase so we have more transactions, right?

Unfortunately for Bitcoin, if user adoption spikes, so will price—and so must power consumption. Bitcoin mining leads to an arms race among miners to grab a slice of the fixed rewards doled out by the network, Stolfi said. The higher the financial rewards, the more miners will invest in powerful equipment to keep up with the competition. The Bitcoin protocol will continue to increase the difficulty of the cryptopuzzles to keep rewards constant, continuing the arms race until the last block is mined.

That makes Bitcoin about 5,033 times more energy intensive, per transaction, than VISA

The bottom line? Price = energy. “The total revenue of the mining industry is Bitcoin price times BTC revenue in USD/day, independently of anything else; and the electricity consumption, also in USD/day, is some large fraction of that,” concludes Stolfi.

Green agrees: “Almost everything in Bitcoin is flexible, but that dynamic isn’t. Miners always have the incentive to throw as many hashes [requiring power] at the job as the price dictates.”

Of course, it wouldn’t be fair to knock Bitcoin’s electricity consumption without comparing it to payment systems most people use today. Let’s take VISA as an example.

According to Network Computing, the VISA network can process more than 80 billion transactions per year or 2,537 transactions per second, using two mirrored data centers, each capable of running the entire network. The larger data center is currently pulling enough power for 25,000 households’ daily electricity, so we’ll double that to account for VISA’s total draw. In 2013, VISA’s investor reports say the company processed 58.5 billion transactions.

Working off these (admittedly imperfect) figures, each VISA transaction consumes around 0.0003 household’s daily electricity use. That makes Bitcoin about 5,033 times more energy intensive, per transaction, than VISA, at current usage levels.



Both networks use a lot of houses worth of daily juice, but one of them processes millions more transactions. Image: Motherboard
Of course, VISA runs call centers, offices, and a whole lot else on electricity as well, which isn’t counted in this comparison. But those hardly matter due to the extreme difference between the two figures.

In a rosy 2014 Bitcoin sustainability study, Bitcoin analyst Hass McCook concluded that “Bitcoin has 99.8% fewer [carbon] emissions than the banking system,” which we can treat as a rough proxy for energy use. The study neglects to account for the vast size difference between the Bitcoin economy and the conventional money system, however—the world banking system’s market capitalization in 2010 alone was over 1,989 times bigger than today’s total Bitcoin valuation.

In light of the above analysis, Bitcoin’s power usage per transaction isn’t remotely sustainable as a wholesale replacement for the conventional financial system. In the future, Bitcoin could massively gain popularity, pile on millions more transactions, and still be unsustainable due to the arms race between miners.

In an email, Bitcoin expert Piotr Piasecki added some context to the comparison: “With the increase of the block size, there will be more transactions included in the block, so the cost per transaction should go down. While it might not reach such low levels as Visa, we are talking about two somewhat different systems. One is a database entry in a single system, another one is an immutable record of history in a decentralized ledger.”



What do you guys thing? is this barrier being solved by the improvements in the blockchain technology?
Maybe in the future, the power usage per transaction will be to high for what miners get paid. But not now.
Very true. Miners wouldn't mine if they weren't earning money. So the power to earning ratio is good.

It is indeed good, specially if you're looking at a wider time range. As history proved, btc price tend to go up (since there's a limited supply). hence the earnings are even bigger. The appreciation of the coin through time is usually unconsidered from such calculations.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: sandal on January 28, 2016, 02:17:33 AM
How many $$ does it take for the bnanking institution to pen-test their systems?

Probably a lot more t han the cumulative power costs to run Bitcoin.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: ATguy on January 28, 2016, 07:28:21 AM
It's so much greener to put a check in the mail so that it can be driven to the recipient. The recipient can then drive it to the bank and the bank can fire up their computer and enter the data.  ::) 

Actually yeah, by far.  Let me break it down for you:
An average block contains 2.7 * (takes 600 seconds to mine a block) = 1620 transactions. At most (some blocks are mined empty, as in "no* transactions).
For this, miners receive 25 BTC, which, at current rate, is roughly 12,000 dollars.
Meaning ~$7.40 PER TX.
Assuming that 1/3 of that is electrical cost (let's be generous), that's about $2.50 in energy cost, PER TRANSACTION.

Unless you think US Post Office is spending $2.50 in gas alone to deliver a check...

Hmmm. That is interesting. I would have thought actual delivery would be much more inefficient. But $2.50 per Tx is a lot. I wonder how miners can be profitable charging only pennies per Tx?

Because their costs have nothing to do with the number of transactions they are processing but rather the blocks they solve.


This. The actual cost of Bitcoin transactions are pennies, and only orphan increase determine the cost of Bitcoin transaction for rational miner.



Because they get paid 25BTC for each block they solve. The few pennies they charge per tx are almost irrelevant. Many miners chose to mine *empty blocks* -- blocks containing *no* transactions.
That's why Bitcoin has 10% yearly base money inflation :-\


The 25 BTC for each block is a fair way to distribute 21 million Bitcoins over time, and has nothing to do with cost of transaction.

BTW if miners are allowed to include more than about 1000 transactions into the block, these  pennies they charge per tx would definitively sum up, and as long as the tx fees are worth more than loses from orphan risk, it is win-win situation to include many more txs (both for user waiting for 1st confirmation  and miner getting more fees).


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 28, 2016, 11:50:47 AM
...
The 25 BTC for each block is a fair way to distribute 21 million Bitcoins over time, and has nothing to do with cost of transaction.

BTW if miners are allowed to include more than about 1000 transactions into the block, these  pennies they charge per tx would definitively sum up, and as long as the tx fees are worth more than loses from orphan risk, it is win-win situation to include many more txs (both for user waiting for 1st confirmation  and miner getting more fees).

"If miners are allowed"?!
Friend, miners are allowed, they don't wanna. Arguments are being made that Bitcoin doesn't need more tps, that it's not for sexual microtransactions (or, rather, anything but major transactions, as in B2B settlement network, not P2P cash).
Impasse. For over a year. Devs are quitting. Devs are calling each other poopy-head.
See blocksize drama.
Good luck.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: BurtW on January 28, 2016, 03:33:31 PM
Also, with better ASIC for mining ... electricity usage for bitcoin transaction will be much more efficient that now.

Not true.  The total power/energy consumption of the Bitcoin mining system is independent of miner efficiency.  You do have a point concerning the number of transactions.  Larger blocks with more transactions per block will lower the ratio of Total Energy per Transaction.

There is a whole thread about it here:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=694401.0

Basically, for a given price per BTC, a given era (BTC per block) and a given fee rate (BTC/hour) the miners together can "afford" and will spend most of the block reward + fees on energy.  This is by design.  If equipment gets more efficient then the miners will just buy more equipment until they are consuming as much energy as they can afford.

The formula I previously derived for the amount of power, P, consumed by the Bitcoin mining network is:

P = (6(50/2e) + f)(x)(1 - g)/c [kW]

where:

x = exchange rate [USD/BTC]
e = era [0..32] (we are currently in era 1)
f = average fees per hour [BTC/hour]
c = cost of energy [USD/kWh]
g = average gross profit margin [unitless ratio]

Note that the total power consumption is not dependent on efficiency.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: johnyj on January 28, 2016, 05:58:17 PM
This article shows that we are still in the very very early stage of adoption. When people eventually realize that money without free entry of production and a production cost will worth nothing, they will not question bitcoin's production costs

In principle, anything without a production cost will worth nothing, so should fiat money. But why fiat money still have some value is totally a historical phenomenon that is inherited from the gold standard, where each piece of fiat money was a presentation of corresponding amount of gold. Now fiat money is backed by nothing so it should worth nothing

Or you can say like this, if the fiat money that costs almost nothing to produce can worth so much, then bitcoin which costs magnitudes higher than fiat money to produce will worth at least magnitudes more


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: jonald_fyookball on January 28, 2016, 06:33:29 PM
This article shows that we are still in the very very early stage of adoption. When people eventually realize that money without free entry of production and a production cost will worth nothing, they will not question bitcoin's production costs

In principle, anything without a production cost will worth nothing, so should fiat money. But why fiat money still have some value is totally a historical phenomenon that is inherited from the gold standard, where each piece of fiat money was a presentation of corresponding amount of gold. Now fiat money is backed by nothing so it should worth nothing

Or you can say like this, if the fiat money that costs almost nothing to produce can worth so much, then bitcoin which costs magnitudes higher than fiat money to produce will worth at least magnitudes more

philosophically i disagree. its not the cost of production that makes it valuable...its the scarcity and utility.

Gold didn't cost anything to mankind, it was already on the planet.
Whether it got here by nuclear fusion or from a magic genie is
irrelevant.

Fiat currency is created out of thin air but people use it (has utility)
and its (somewhat) scarce, therefore it has value.

However, a cryptocurrency that costs energy is perceived as more fair.
IF proof of stake currencies like NxT were widely used, perceived as
fair in distribution, and as secure as Bitcoin, they would be as valuable.






Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: johnyj on January 28, 2016, 06:45:02 PM
This article shows that we are still in the very very early stage of adoption. When people eventually realize that money without free entry of production and a production cost will worth nothing, they will not question bitcoin's production costs

In principle, anything without a production cost will worth nothing, so should fiat money. But why fiat money still have some value is totally a historical phenomenon that is inherited from the gold standard, where each piece of fiat money was a presentation of corresponding amount of gold. Now fiat money is backed by nothing so it should worth nothing

Or you can say like this, if the fiat money that costs almost nothing to produce can worth so much, then bitcoin which costs magnitudes higher than fiat money to produce will worth at least magnitudes more

philosophically i disagree. its not the cost of production that makes it valuable...its the scarcity and utility.

Gold didn't cost anything to mankind, it was already on the planet.
Whether it got here by nuclear fusion or from a magic genie is
irrelevant.

Fiat currency is created out of thin air but people use it (has utility)
and its (somewhat) scarce, therefore it has value.

However, a cryptocurrency that costs energy is perceived as more fair.
IF proof of stake currencies like NxT were widely used, perceived as
fair in distribution, and as secure as Bitcoin, they would be as valuable.


If it cost nothing to dig out gold, then it will worth nothing. Scarcity is only a means to increase the cost of production. But if the cost of production is zero then even it is very scarce it will not command any value, because the arbitraging will make sure the value will always equal to its cost: If it costs $0.1 to produce a POS coin while the market price is $100, everyone will mine coin and immediately sell, to pocket a 1000x profit, or to borrow lots of POS coins to sell, and mine them back to return the loan, to pocket a 1000x profit

Another reason why cost-less fiat money would still have some value is because people are forced to use them to pay tax, so even if everyone uses bitcoin all the time and never touch USD, when the time comes that you need to pay the tax, you would still need to purchase USD, that gives it some value



Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: virtualdn on January 28, 2016, 06:57:35 PM
There are so many people attacking Bitcoin, one of the clear signs that this coin is set to succeed... watch for the signs folks.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: StevenS on January 28, 2016, 07:01:26 PM
Basically, for a given price per BTC and a given era (BTC per block) the miners together can "afford" and will spend most of the block reward + fees on energy.  This is by design.  If equipment gets more efficient then the miners will just buy more equipment until they are consuming as much energy as they can afford.
Why most on energy? There are other costs to mine, including amortization of equipment, maintenance, rent, network connection, etc. Why is energy the dominant cost?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 28, 2016, 07:04:09 PM
@johnyj:
1. Bitcoin is no more scarce than Beanies, and getting less scarce by the minute. Every ten minutes, actually. As in every ten minutes 25 more BTC mined out of thin air.

2. If "work" (turning electricity into heat, the Rube Goldberg way) is what makes BTC valuable, why would BTC value fluctuate?
If I spend days boiling water & then freezing it in my freezer (turning electricity into heat, the Rube Goldberg way), will my water become more valuable?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: franky1 on January 28, 2016, 07:17:55 PM

2. If "work" (turning electricity into heat, the Rube Goldberg way) is what makes BTC valuable, why would BTC value fluctuate?
If I spend days boiling water & then freezing it in my freezer (turning electricity into heat, the Rube Goldberg way), will my water become more valuable?


because bitcoin value is a combination of factors. cost of production. trust in its security and ultimate 21m cap scarcity(math) and price speculation..
https://i.imgur.com/bAZKXRy.jpg


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: AtheistAKASaneBrain on January 28, 2016, 07:27:55 PM
The first thing I have done is press ctrl+f and search for "lightning", 0 results found.
Those guys don't know jack shit, Vice is known for their sensationalist and overblown headlines, these guys are not very different from gawker and the rest of "we have satoshi everyone!" type of journalism. "According to Vice" actually made me laugh.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 28, 2016, 07:33:34 PM
@franky1:
I'm glad you're discovering colors and stuff, but your drawing makes little sense.
If it did, BBQ coin would still be worth the electricity & math that went into it (assuming BBQ is worthless & dead, haven't checked).


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Succubus on January 28, 2016, 07:34:53 PM
More and more journalists trying to say something smart about bitcoin and they just have no luck!


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: franky1 on January 28, 2016, 07:44:40 PM
@franky1:
I'm glad you're discovering colors and stuff, but your drawing makes little sense.
If it did, BBQ coin would still be worth the electricity & math that went into it (assuming BBQ is worthless & dead, haven't checked).

speculation of BBQ dropped off first not completely, but it sent people into worry that they would not be secure as the price was dropping..and so the trust dropped off.. not completely, but very low... and then desire to mine dropped. leaving only a very small amount of price of math and speculation.. but that to eventually went to 0


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 28, 2016, 08:00:23 PM
@franky1:
I'm glad you're discovering colors and stuff, but your drawing makes little sense.
If it did, BBQ coin would still be worth the electricity & math that went into it (assuming BBQ is worthless & dead, haven't checked).

speculation of BBQ dropped off first not completely, but it sent people into worry that they would not be secure as the price was dropping..and so the trust dropped off.. not completely, but very low... and then desire to mine dropped. leaving only a very small amount of price of math and speculation.. but that to eventually went to 0

Which leaves me wondering what your picture means, in terms of addressing "what gives BTC value."

You've clarified that it's not the sum total of electricity which was turned into heat by miners.
Still unsure what the "math" stripe means -- how is that quantified? Did it vanish along with trust?
And still not sure why "speculation of BBQ dropped" -- can this also happen to Bitcoin?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: jonald_fyookball on January 28, 2016, 08:03:50 PM
@franky1:
I'm glad you're discovering colors and stuff, but your drawing makes little sense.
If it did, BBQ coin would still be worth the electricity & math that went into it (assuming BBQ is worthless & dead, haven't checked).

speculation of BBQ dropped off first not completely, but it sent people into worry that they would not be secure as the price was dropping..and so the trust dropped off.. not completely, but very low... and then desire to mine dropped. leaving only a very small amount of price of math and speculation.. but that to eventually went to 0

Which leaves me wondering what your picture means, in terms of addressing "what gives BTC value."

You've clarified that it's not the sum total of electricity which was turned into heat by miners.
Still unsure what the "math" stripe means -- how is that quantified? Did it vanish along with trust?
And still not sure why "speculation of BBQ dropped" -- can this also happen to Bitcoin?

Math and electricity isn't literal on the graph.  Obviously "math" doesn't
"increase" over time... and electricity would be related to hash rate but wouldn't be linear.

It's just a style of demonstration.



Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: johnyj on January 28, 2016, 08:48:17 PM
@johnyj:
1. Bitcoin is no more scarce than Beanies, and getting less scarce by the minute. Every ten minutes, actually. As in every ten minutes 25 more BTC mined out of thin air.

2. If "work" (turning electricity into heat, the Rube Goldberg way) is what makes BTC valuable, why would BTC value fluctuate?
If I spend days boiling water & then freezing it in my freezer (turning electricity into heat, the Rube Goldberg way), will my water become more valuable?


If Beanies can be send on internet anonymously, and have limited supply and have a mining cost, and free entry of production, e.g. anyone can make it, then I guess it will have some value just like any other alt-coins. But since bitcoin already occupied this market segment, the competition is hard

Fluctuation of the price is caused by speculative capital, but they also follow the fundamentals. When they anticipate a large increase of demand when they forecast the difficulty is going to rise (difficulty is a good measure for demand since mining is the lowest cost to acquire pure clean bitcoin), they will start to drive the market price to start a round of bubble

Bitcoin's major demand comes from 3 area: Secure and annoymous long term value store, anti-inflation, world-wide instant transaction. If your boiled ice block can do the same thing, I guess it will also become valuable


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Ya-ing on January 28, 2016, 08:59:23 PM
Never thought about it, but in the case that there ends to be a very wide adoption, there will be lots of power compsumption and bandwith used just in updating the blockchain from a user to another. That is true.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 28, 2016, 09:01:43 PM
@johnyj:
1. Bitcoin is no more scarce than Beanies, and getting less scarce by the minute. Every ten minutes, actually. As in every ten minutes 25 more BTC mined out of thin air.

2. If "work" (turning electricity into heat, the Rube Goldberg way) is what makes BTC valuable, why would BTC value fluctuate?
If I spend days boiling water & then freezing it in my freezer (turning electricity into heat, the Rube Goldberg way), will my water become more valuable?


If Beanies can be send on internet anonymously, and have limited supply and have a mining cost, and free entry of production, e.g. anyone can make it, then I guess it will have some value just like any other alt-coins. But since bitcoin already occupied this market segment, the competition is hard

Fluctuation of the price is caused by speculative capital, but they also follow the fundamentals. When they anticipate a large increase of demand when they forecast the difficulty is going to rise (difficulty is a good measure for demand since mining is the lowest cost to acquire pure clean bitcoin), they will start to drive the market price to start a round of bubble

Bitcoin's major demand comes from 3 area: Secure and annoymous long term value store, anti-inflation, world-wide instant transaction. If your boiled ice block can do the same thing, I guess it will also become valuable

1. I can't send Beanies through the internet, though your bitcoin isn't soft and cuddly. What does this have to do with scarcity?
2. My boiled ice hasn't lost 2/3rds of its value over the past couple of years, so it most certainly beats Bitcoin as "store of value."
Again, you haven't answered my question: Is my boiled ice more valuable now that I wasted a bunch of electricity and my time put work into it?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: franky1 on January 28, 2016, 09:18:03 PM

Math and electricity isn't literal on the graph.  Obviously "math" doesn't
"increase" over time... and electricity would be related to hash rate but wouldn't be linear.

It's just a style of demonstration.



its the TRUST in maths that increases over time.
EG
trust that the difficulty is so high it would cost millions to attack the hashes. and that new methods of random key generation make private keys more secure
and the trust that the code isnt going to be obsolete in 1 year increases..

as for the electric.. miners obviously mine. and they dont just produce heat, they produce hashes.. and as the difficulty increases the cost of hashing increases.. and so the electricity(hashing cost) is at a steady rise..

as for speculation.. thats just pure emotion.. way above the logic of the trust in maths and costs of hashing. where anything can influence it. and miners love speculation,  and they love trust as it means they can sell at a profit

you will always see a speculation uptrend(goodnews) that has resistance points.. basically where peoples pockets finally empty or they wake up to the hype.
you will always see a speculation downtrend (bad news) that has a resistance points.. there are many. but usually main one is by people who didnt care about the bad news and speculate that bitcoin is cheap to buy in as they can see passed the temporary bit of drama. if that fails the next speculation resistance point users wont want to sell at a loss, they would rather hold. and the next resistance point is miners wont sell at a loss.. unless the coin is dead which is only after all speculation dies and all trust dies.. so speculation will always be wild and illogical at times but will always be higher than cost of creation and trust of utility of the currency.

im not even gonna bite into c*ntcholulas troll about beanie babies or BBQ coin.. as thats just meandering so far off topic that even he knows he is a lost cause seeking answers to that random crap


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on January 28, 2016, 09:41:14 PM
...
its the TRUST in maths that increases over time.
EG
http://s29.postimg.org/dacmyloiv/huh.gif
im not even gonna bite into c*ntcholulas troll about beanie babies or BBQ coin.. as thats just meandering so far off topic that even he knows he is a lost cause seeking answers to that random crap

Nah f*nky, it ain't trust in math.
Fixed your chart so it reflects reality & makes a bit more sense :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: countryfree on January 28, 2016, 11:57:44 PM
Also, with better ASIC for mining ... electricity usage for bitcoin transaction will be much more efficient that now.

Not true.  The total power/energy consumption of the Bitcoin mining system is independent of miner efficiency.  You do have a point concerning the number of transactions.  Larger blocks with more transactions per block will lower the ratio of Total Energy per Transaction.

There is a whole thread about it here:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=694401.0

Basically, for a given price per BTC, a given era (BTC per block) and a given fee rate (BTC/hour) the miners together can "afford" and will spend most of the block reward + fees on energy.  This is by design.  If equipment gets more efficient then the miners will just buy more equipment until they are consuming as much energy as they can afford.

No, men are not like that. The car I'm driving today is much more fuel-efficient than the one I was driving a few years ago, and gas is cheap. So I could afford to drive much more, but I don't. Changing conditions have given me extra purchasing power, but I'm spending my money on other things. Now if I were a miner and electricity suddenly become cheaper, maybe I would just be happy that my mining has become more profitable, and I'll look for other ways to invest my growing income.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: NorrisK on January 29, 2016, 12:02:34 AM
If you want to use the cost per transaction of bitcoin as a measure of bitcoin success, maybe we should also take into account what current technologies use as recources..

Do you think banks run for free? They have massive data centers as well, massive security measures and insane redundancies to make sure everything stays safe. This probably takes a similar amount of recources as bitcoin mining, but nobody seems to care about that.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: BurtW on January 29, 2016, 12:53:57 AM
Now if I were a miner and electricity suddenly become cheaper [or I purchase a more efficient miner], maybe I would just be happy that my mining has become more profitable, and I'll look for other ways to invest my growing income.
That may be true for you as an individual.  But what happens to the mining system in aggregate is that if there is money to be made more people will start mining and people that are mining will add more equipment.

This will happen until your windfall profits are once again reduced.

System wide the mining network will grow until it uses the amount of power/energy it can afford.

Sure, those people with cheaper electricity and/or more efficient equipment will make above average profits.  But those people with more expensive electricity and/or less efficient equipment will make lower than average profit [some even mining at a loss].

I am talking about the entire Bitcoin mining system and calculating energy/power consumption system wide.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: AtheistAKASaneBrain on January 29, 2016, 01:00:46 AM
Oh no, Bitcoin fees are so high! Really? There's no point in debating this thing anymore. Fees will be irrelevant once LN is released since they will be cheap af. Even block size was increased in order to have cheaper fees on-chain, people would still use LN nonetheless because who wants to pay extra fees for on-chain transactions unless you are buying a car or something.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: tommygunyeah on January 29, 2016, 01:08:21 AM
Never thought about it, but in the case that there ends to be a very wide adoption, there will be lots of power compsumption and bandwith used just in updating the blockchain from a user to another. That is true.

Yeah, that is pretty obvious, but the question is, how does this actually impact the environment compared to other payment methods currently existing?

Think about Visa or Mastercard, and all the infra-structure they have to mantain. Distribution of machines, issuing of cards, handling frauds, etc etc etc... That is a HUGE amount of resources that this analysis is not taking into consideration.



Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: ajun96 on January 29, 2016, 01:10:15 AM
More and more journalists trying to say something smart about bitcoin and they just have no luck!
yeah many people who want to drop bitcoin, many people who do not like about bitcoin? Why ?
whether he government officials who are paid to create fear?


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: johnyj on January 29, 2016, 02:56:22 AM

1. I can't send Beanies through the internet, though your bitcoin isn't soft and cuddly. What does this have to do with scarcity?
2. My boiled ice hasn't lost 2/3rds of its value over the past couple of years, so it most certainly beats Bitcoin as "store of value."
Again, you haven't answered my question: Is my boiled ice more valuable now that I wasted a bunch of electricity and my time put work into it?

If you plot the exchange rate performance of bitcoin for more than 4 years (which is a reward halving cycle), you get a risk/reward ratio which no investment can beat. It is a long term value storage, although it is disrupted by short term bubbles and crashes, similar to housing

You inverted the cause and result: People spend energy to dig out gold because it has value, not because the digging action itself will generate value. Higher mining cost is a result of competition. You should ask why so many people crazily mine bitcoin even they pay more electricity than coin's exchange rate



Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: BCEmporium on January 29, 2016, 03:03:40 AM
I think they're missing the spot: we are still at the mining era.
This era will last until the 21 million bitcoins come to exist, onwards the tx fees will dictate the market and the hashing power will most likely be way lower.
Blocksize, compression, light chains, whatever scalability solution will come, will handle the tx rate issues.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: tommygunyeah on January 29, 2016, 10:24:12 AM

You inverted the cause and result: People spend energy to dig out gold because it has value, not because the digging action itself will generate value. Higher mining cost is a result of competition. You should ask why so many people crazily mine bitcoin even they pay more electricity than coin's exchange rate



This is my opinion as well. Even if a mining operation is deficitary in the short term, what a miner is looking is the long term, when it will compensate the invested capital and generate a reasonable profit.

I believe that this "compensation points" for many people is the reason why there's still a good volatility in the market (I mean, not everyone os HOLDING), which helps to keep the market alive.



Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on January 29, 2016, 02:19:49 PM

1. I can't send Beanies through the internet, though your bitcoin isn't soft and cuddly. What does this have to do with scarcity?
2. My boiled ice hasn't lost 2/3rds of its value over the past couple of years, so it most certainly beats Bitcoin as "store of value."
Again, you haven't answered my question: Is my boiled ice more valuable now that I wasted a bunch of electricity and my time put work into it?

If you plot the exchange rate performance of bitcoin for more than 4 years (which is a reward halving cycle), you get a risk/reward ratio which no investment can beat. It is a long term value storage, although it is disrupted by short term bubbles and crashes, similar to housing

Only if you don't understand what risk/reward ratio means.
But yeah, if you track any_shitcoin_Not_dead_yet performance since its inception, you get infinite profit. They all started at 0 (zero), so any positive number is infinite growth.

Quote
You inverted the cause and result: People spend energy to dig out gold because it has value, not because the digging action itself will generate value. Higher mining cost is a result of competition. You should ask why so many people crazily mine bitcoin even they pay more electricity than coin's exchange rate

So it's not the work that gives gold value, but the fact that gold has value in the first place?! So much for work giving BTC its value :(
Folks put plenty of work into mining fool's gold too, because they thought it had value. It didn't. That's what made them fools.
Avoid mirrors.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: johnyj on January 29, 2016, 05:45:39 PM

Quote
You inverted the cause and result: People spend energy to dig out gold because it has value, not because the digging action itself will generate value. Higher mining cost is a result of competition. You should ask why so many people crazily mine bitcoin even they pay more electricity than coin's exchange rate

So it's not the work that gives gold value, but the fact that gold has value in the first place?! So much for work giving BTC its value :(
Folks put plenty of work into mining fool's gold too, because they thought it had value. It didn't. That's what made them fools.
Avoid mirrors.

It is not cost decide bitcoin's value, but the cost is an indicator of how much it worth, it is the same for gold, no cost, no value. And you know, most of the fool guys are rich, so they can afford it  :D


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: funkenstein on January 29, 2016, 07:59:00 PM
http://frass.woodcoin.org/is-bitcoin-inefficient/


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: knowhow on January 29, 2016, 08:18:54 PM

Quote
You inverted the cause and result: People spend energy to dig out gold because it has value, not because the digging action itself will generate value. Higher mining cost is a result of competition. You should ask why so many people crazily mine bitcoin even they pay more electricity than coin's exchange rate

So it's not the work that gives gold value, but the fact that gold has value in the first place?! So much for work giving BTC its value :(
Folks put plenty of work into mining fool's gold too, because they thought it had value. It didn't. That's what made them fools.
Avoid mirrors.

It is not cost decide bitcoin's value, but the cost is an indicator of how much it worth, it is the same for gold, no cost, no value. And you know, most of the fool guys are rich, so they can afford it  :D

Well i agree with you and those argument is valid  since to hold or to try gold market mining is just for people with 200k dollars atleast and the result isnt sure,spending the same ammount at bitcoin is a sure as you will mine and get blocks ,the time you will be able to recover your investment and roi its another question but the thing is we still mining bitcoins in the future after it ends a system must be done to keep bitcoin safe and keep people interest to be part of it.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: greBit on January 29, 2016, 08:39:56 PM
http://frass.woodcoin.org/is-bitcoin-inefficient/

I have a different opinion on Bitcoin because always there are two side of a coin we can only guess the future but can't predict exactly


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: HarryKPeters on January 29, 2016, 09:09:22 PM
http://frass.woodcoin.org/is-bitcoin-inefficient/

I have a different opinion on Bitcoin because always there are two side of a coin we can only guess the future but can't predict exactly

There is always another story and this time i believe in that story.

Right now bitcoin has a problem which we can overcome.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: naidray on January 31, 2016, 01:29:04 PM
Do you guys think that it is true that bitcoin will disappear from the world. I don't think so as it has a bright future instead. Because it is something different and has many advantageous as an answer to modern digital world's requirements.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Anddos on January 31, 2016, 01:36:20 PM
Isn't Vice a gossip magazine? Just trying to get visitors.

On another point - Bitcoin will not disappear, at least not until all of it will be mined. That's my opinion at least.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bitlost on January 31, 2016, 02:52:06 PM
mostly FUD.

http://imagize[Suspicious link removed]ageshack.us/a/img537/5737/vxQvDa.gif

Bitcoin network is the most (and big) transparent thing in the world ... and the bankster system ? The right opposit ... it lies in every part of his number, it's black order book and DEBT against citizen.

I prefer an open network.
Bankster network is not open AT ALL !

Agree completely. And this article totally ignores the "bank system energy consumption". I mean, it spends a lot of energy, but COMPARED TO WHAT? Such a tendentious article...

BTW, they quoted bitcointalk on the article, so they're probably reading this right now.

So, better articles next time, Vice reporters!


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: RealBitcoin on January 31, 2016, 03:29:28 PM
My ass is unsustainable too, especially if so much crap comes out of it.

These MSM presstitutes need to get a life and stop spreading bullshit of thing they know nothing about.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: knowhow on February 01, 2016, 04:25:23 PM
Even being a negative feedback is good to keep bitcoin alive,soo being good or bad feedbacks wont affect in any way the bitcoin ,just need to keep being talking about it,its wizzard bitcoin is soo related to the ilegal that it is growing and well time will teacth who didnt enter early to think twice about inovation.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Anddos on February 01, 2016, 09:39:31 PM
Even being a negative feedback is good to keep bitcoin alive,soo being good or bad feedbacks wont affect in any way the bitcoin ,just need to keep being talking about it,its wizzard bitcoin is soo related to the ilegal that it is growing and well time will teacth who didnt enter early to think twice about inovation.

I don't think you need to worry about bad advertising. Bitcoin won't be affected just because some reporter tried to stir the waves a bit with his article.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: CuntChocula on February 01, 2016, 09:44:56 PM
Even being a negative feedback is good to keep bitcoin alive,soo being good or bad feedbacks wont affect in any way the bitcoin ,just need to keep being talking about it,its wizzard bitcoin is soo related to the ilegal that it is growing and well time will teacth who didnt enter early to think twice about inovation.

I don't think you need to worry about bad advertising. Bitcoin won't be affected just because some reporter tried to stir the waves a bit with his article.

Probably not. Let's check tho... BTC only down ~$25 since pub date. Meh.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bitlost on February 01, 2016, 10:59:01 PM
Even being a negative feedback is good to keep bitcoin alive,soo being good or bad feedbacks wont affect in any way the bitcoin ,just need to keep being talking about it,its wizzard bitcoin is soo related to the ilegal that it is growing and well time will teacth who didnt enter early to think twice about inovation.

I don't think you need to worry about bad advertising. Bitcoin won't be affected just because some reporter tried to stir the waves a bit with his article.

This specific article doesn't even add up! It's all a bunch of nonsensical comparations.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Anddos on February 02, 2016, 10:48:36 PM
Even being a negative feedback is good to keep bitcoin alive,soo being good or bad feedbacks wont affect in any way the bitcoin ,just need to keep being talking about it,its wizzard bitcoin is soo related to the ilegal that it is growing and well time will teacth who didnt enter early to think twice about inovation.

I don't think you need to worry about bad advertising. Bitcoin won't be affected just because some reporter tried to stir the waves a bit with his article.

This specific article doesn't even add up! It's all a bunch of nonsensical comparations.


Maybe what's happening is exactly what they want. Bad advertising, the price drops, they buy, then when the price goes up they sell. Might be smarter than it seems at first glance.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: countryfree on February 02, 2016, 11:50:47 PM
I think they're missing the spot: we are still at the mining era.
This era will last until the 21 million bitcoins come to exist, onwards the tx fees will dictate the market and the hashing power will most likely be way lower.
Blocksize, compression, light chains, whatever scalability solution will come, will handle the tx rate issues.

That's an easy one. We sure may wonder what will happen when this is over, that's a good question, but let's be honest, I don't care about the answer. Really. And nobody here should. We'll be gone when this happens.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: funkenstein on February 03, 2016, 12:10:41 AM
I think they're missing the spot: we are still at the mining era.
This era will last until the 21 million bitcoins come to exist, onwards the tx fees will dictate the market and the hashing power will most likely be way lower.
Blocksize, compression, light chains, whatever scalability solution will come, will handle the tx rate issues.

That's an easy one. We sure may wonder what will happen when this is over, that's a good question, but let's be honest, I don't care about the answer. Really. And nobody here should. We'll be gone when this happens.

If you really don't care about things that happen after "you are gone"..  this means you are a small child.  Seriously, grow up and start caring about the world.  This is it.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: knowhow on February 03, 2016, 01:49:57 PM
I think they're missing the spot: we are still at the mining era.
This era will last until the 21 million bitcoins come to exist, onwards the tx fees will dictate the market and the hashing power will most likely be way lower.
Blocksize, compression, light chains, whatever scalability solution will come, will handle the tx rate issues.

That's an easy one. We sure may wonder what will happen when this is over, that's a good question, but let's be honest, I don't care about the answer. Really. And nobody here should. We'll be gone when this happens.

The thing is you can die before the era of mining ends,but will you sell your bitcoins or give them to the childs or parent ,the same way with those who have gold... do you think they dont care if it will being worth more or less in the future?Knowing that their investment may turn into a good life to the childs and family ,im sure it makes a difference,being alive or not,you can affect family life ,suppose bitcoin hit the 2000 dollars and you had a good ammount in possesion.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Anddos on February 03, 2016, 06:48:18 PM
Exactly. It's a long way until mining will end, and probably most of us won't be here to witness it. We should focus on the here and now.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: BTCBinary on February 03, 2016, 08:11:03 PM
IMO, the Vice doesn't actually understands how bitcoin works and how its being changed to surpass certain flaws. The Blocksize increase is bound to lower the transaction fees and this will turn BTC even more attractive


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: justspare on February 03, 2016, 08:15:05 PM
No one can really predict what is going to happen to Bitcoin. I would say it is sustainable, just a bit unstable.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Anddos on February 04, 2016, 10:33:29 PM
Unstable, yes. but what currency IS stable? This is a normal behavior. And seeing as how VICE is all about gossip I don't think it's the best place to get your advice for your investments.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on February 04, 2016, 11:32:47 PM
Unstable, yes. but what currency IS stable? This is a normal behavior.
You missed a few letters :)
unsustainable


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Anddos on February 05, 2016, 02:50:16 PM
Unstable, yes. but what currency IS stable? This is a normal behavior.
You missed a few letters :)
unsustainable

I wrote exactly what I wanted. Please do check the context. Stable - unstable. Also, see the previous post to which I was responding.
But thank you for that, Grammar Nazi Man.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: ~Bitcoin~ on February 05, 2016, 03:02:39 PM
Bitcoin is atleast not a some sort of centralized ponzi seem like e-gold in past so bitcoin will be functioning whatever value it will have in future.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on February 05, 2016, 03:38:26 PM
Unstable, yes. but what currency IS stable? This is a normal behavior.
You missed a few letters :)
unsustainable

I wrote exactly what I wanted. Please do check the context. Stable - unstable. Also, see the previous post to which I was responding.
But thank you for that, Grammar Nazi Man.

Dear Friend!
The Vice article in question addresses Bitcoin's unsustainability, not how hilariously unstable it is. The word "unstable," you might be amused to know, occurs exactly 0 (zero) times in the article.
Why, you ask?
Because that's not what the article is about.

In the future, consider familiarizing yourself with such seminal economics tomes as "Go, Dog. Go!" before offering us your learned, cromulent critiques.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: davinchi on February 05, 2016, 04:51:28 PM
Unstable, yes. but what currency IS stable? This is a normal behavior. And seeing as how VICE is all about gossip I don't think it's the best place to get your advice for your investments.

There is a huge difference between unstable and unsustainable. The article says that bitcoins consume a lot of energy and electricity which is not true and miners do earn from the effort they give in with regards to the electricity they pay for.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Redrose on February 05, 2016, 04:55:03 PM
This is a dumb article. Who really cares about the power consumption of Bitcoin ? I'm sure that Google consume more power than us. But is Google "unsustainable" ? No.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: blunderer on February 05, 2016, 05:01:52 PM
This is a dumb article. Who really cares about the power consumption of Bitcoin ? I'm sure that Google consume more power than us. But is Google "unsustainable" ? No.

If Google was used by a handful of people, and expanding that userbase was improbable (because all of its data centers, combined, allowed just 3 searches per second), you'd probably have a point.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Anddos on February 06, 2016, 09:56:47 AM
Unstable, yes. but what currency IS stable? This is a normal behavior.
You missed a few letters :)
unsustainable

I wrote exactly what I wanted. Please do check the context. Stable - unstable. Also, see the previous post to which I was responding.
But thank you for that, Grammar Nazi Man.

Dear Friend!
The Vice article in question addresses Bitcoin's unsustainability, not how hilariously unstable it is. The word "unstable," you might be amused to know, occurs exactly 0 (zero) times in the article.
Why, you ask?
Because that's not what the article is about.

In the future, consider familiarizing yourself with such seminal economics tomes as "Go, Dog. Go!" before offering us your learned, cromulent critiques.

Yes "dear friend" but as you can see "again" I was answering to the previous post put by another user, not the initial post.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on February 06, 2016, 10:16:26 AM
Unstable, yes. but what currency IS stable? This is a normal behavior.
You missed a few letters :)
unsustainable

I wrote exactly what I wanted. Please do check the context. Stable - unstable. Also, see the previous post to which I was responding.
But thank you for that, Grammar Nazi Man.

Dear Friend!
The Vice article in question addresses Bitcoin's unsustainability, not how hilariously unstable it is. The word "unstable," you might be amused to know, occurs exactly 0 (zero) times in the article.
Why, you ask?
Because that's not what the article is about.

In the future, consider familiarizing yourself with such seminal economics tomes as "Go, Dog. Go!" before offering us your learned, cromulent critiques.

Yes "dear friend" but as you can see "again" I was answering to the previous post put by another user, not the initial post.

The post above yours is another non-sequitur-spewing signature ad spammer, like yourself. Bumping his shitty post count. Possibly your alt.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: pogress on February 06, 2016, 10:18:24 AM
This is a dumb article. Who really cares about the power consumption of Bitcoin ? I'm sure that Google consume more power than us. But is Google "unsustainable" ? No.

If Google was used by a handful of people, and expanding that userbase was improbable (because all of its data centers, combined, allowed just 3 searches per second), you'd probably have a point.

Doesnt matter because only free market can decide whether something is worth the effort, in our example power consumption of Bitcoin mining. I could say cars are waste and dangerous for our planet as well, but free market sees it differently.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: bargainbin on February 06, 2016, 10:25:32 AM
This is a dumb article. Who really cares about the power consumption of Bitcoin ? I'm sure that Google consume more power than us. But is Google "unsustainable" ? No.

If Google was used by a handful of people, and expanding that userbase was improbable (because all of its data centers, combined, allowed just 3 searches per second), you'd probably have a point.

Doesnt matter because only free market can decide whether something is worth the effort, in our example power consumption of Bitcoin mining. I could say cars are waste and dangerous for our planet as well, but free market sees it differently.

"Free market decides"? Free market decides by imposing draconian fucking regulations when shit gets bad. Price is not the only mechanism available to the invisible hand. Cars are regulated to death: emissions, safety, speed, must have license to drive -- EVERYTHING.
Nice choice of example :D


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: Amph on February 06, 2016, 10:50:47 AM
This is a dumb article. Who really cares about the power consumption of Bitcoin ? I'm sure that Google consume more power than us. But is Google "unsustainable" ? No.

If Google was used by a handful of people, and expanding that userbase was improbable (because all of its data centers, combined, allowed just 3 searches per second), you'd probably have a point.

Doesnt matter because only free market can decide whether something is worth the effort, in our example power consumption of Bitcoin mining. I could say cars are waste and dangerous for our planet as well, but free market sees it differently.

"Free market decides"? Free market decides by imposing draconian fucking regulations when shit gets bad. Price is not the only mechanism available to the invisible hand. Cars are regulated to death: emissions, safety, speed, must have license to drive -- EVERYTHING.
Nice choice of example :D

not to mention, it's not exactly a free market the one of bitcoin, with all the manipulation going on, still more free than the crap you have with fiat


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: PakistanHockeyfan on February 07, 2016, 08:01:14 AM
Well, most people have the opinion of most cryptocurrencies being rather unsustainable. It's an opinion that we should respect. We don't have to agree with it, but we surely do have to respect it.


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: funkenstein on February 12, 2016, 01:57:37 AM
Well, most people have the opinion of most cryptocurrencies being rather unsustainable. It's an opinion that we should respect. We don't have to agree with it, but we surely do have to respect it.

Hmm maybe I just roll in different circles but I've never heard that opinion.  I would respect anyone stating their own opinion, just for that as it is..  but in this case..  where is that person or the "most people" you refer to?  I don't see an argument to respect here.  


Title: Re: Bitcoin is unsustainable, according to Vice
Post by: BurtW on March 04, 2016, 12:01:45 AM
Well, most people have the opinion of most cryptocurrencies being rather unsustainable. It's an opinion that we should respect. We don't have to agree with it, but we surely do have to respect it.
Most people have the opinion that PakistanHockeyfan does not know most people or their opinions.