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Title: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 18, 2016, 01:04:37 PM this thread is done new thread is here
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=post;board=81.0 Okay last jump we had a winner. link below https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1387464.0 +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh Difficulty History Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s Jan 26 2016 120,033,340,651 5.89% 859,232,121 GH/s Jan 13 2016 113,354,299,801 9.12% 811,421,684 GH/s Dec 31 2015 103,880,340,815 11.16% 743,604,444 GH/s Dec 18 2015 93,448,670,796 18.14% 668,931,642 GH/s Dec 06 2015 79,102,380,900 8.77% 566,236,898 GH/s Nov 24 2015 72,722,780,643 10.44% 520,569,941 GH/s So if you look above last two jumps were decent maybe rates are going to continue to be stable for a while maybe not. contest rules are not changed. we start picks on the 600th block and end picks on the 1200th uᴉoɔʇᴉq Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 171,099,415,155 (+3.39%) Adjust time: After 1416 Blocks, About 14.2 days >>> we start when this is 1416 Hashrate(?): 1,183,484,225 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.6 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: uᴉoɔʇᴉq Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 171,099,415,155 (+3.39%) Adjust time: After 816 Blocks, About 14.2 days>>> end picks at 816 Hashrate(?): 1,183,484,225 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.6 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: picks are 1.1 1.2 1.3 plus or minus below are a few of last months picks including the winner +4.2 = VirosaGITS +4.4 = ingiltere +5.0 = tlhIlwI +5.1 = wlefever +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = alh the contest winner is in bold. okay You need a 30 post minimum you need to be on site since Jan 31 2016 this is {b]free[/b] so if you make a pick you abide by my rules. only 1 entry once you make it you can not change it. I now have .5 btc to give away. This starts at .1 btc but if everyone misses it I will roll it over. Lastly I plan to add enough btc to this to go 1 week past the ½ ing At that point I may change the format quite a bit. Picks do not start until the 600th block but feel free to spec. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: judypug1956 on March 18, 2016, 02:50:55 PM Did block # 403201 mark first block of this adjustment period?
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: buyandhold on March 18, 2016, 03:14:15 PM Did block # 403201 mark first block of this adjustment period? yup. making this the 201st diff periodTitle: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 18, 2016, 03:30:03 PM Block 403201 was made at
403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 403241 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 17:18:25 40 blocks in 7 hours and 20 minutes should be 44 blocks so we are real time -10% Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 18, 2016, 05:56:17 PM Congrats to the winner, well guessed!
So basically the last two adjustments have cancelled each other out, I think we can all be happy with that. Hopefully diff will stay flat now until new hardware makes its way on to the scene. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 18, 2016, 10:28:47 PM Congratz to winner. It was under 5 so I feel we all won a little, no big jumps... so that is good.
We are losing value on BTC which stinks. A little over 10 dollars in a day is not a fun jump. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 18, 2016, 10:48:45 PM Block 403201 was made at 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 403267 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 22:40:02 67 blocks in 12 hours and 50 minutes should be 77 blocks so we are " real time " 67/77 -1 = -12.987% very early but very nice numbers. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Kexkey on March 18, 2016, 10:53:20 PM Congrats ingiltere!
Mining is so surprising! 2015 was a great year to mine. Can't say so for 2016 up to now... Anyone has inside info from Bitfury, Bitmain, Canaan or any other manufacturer to help us set the next difficulty change? ;) Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 19, 2016, 03:25:11 AM Block 403201 was made at
403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 403297 (Main Chain) 2016-03-19 03:06:38 97 blocks in 17 hours and 30 minutes should be 105 blocks so we are " real time " 97/105 -1 = (-7.619%) very early but very nice numbers. update block 403344 403344 (Main Chain) 2016-03-19 11:10:25 so this is the 144 block this jump and was done in 25 hours and 20 minutes we should have done 152 blocks so 144/152 - 1 = (-5.26%) Not bad Below is bitcoinwisdom's future guess it is higher because it uses part of last jump which was a positive number https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 169,085,767,187 (+2.17%) Adjust time: After 1872 Blocks, About 13.3 days Hashrate(?): 1,148,412,808 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.8 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 7:15 (3.1 minutes ago) and here is bitcoin charts they are more realtime https://bitcoincharts.com/ Blocks 403344 Total BTC 15.334M Difficulty 165496835118 Estimated 164437596179 in 1872 blks Network total 1163073.842 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.89 / 611 s 164437/165496 - 1 = (-0.639%) all 3 numbers -5.26% real time +2.17% bitcoinwisdom -0.639% bitcoincharts are good numbers. I will try to keep posting them this adjustment. I really would love to see the -5% come true. price is about 410 usd on coinbase. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on March 20, 2016, 12:27:54 AM While way hugely early, there isn't any indication of a huge increase coming this time around.
On a related topic: Where do folks get the BTC price since btcquote seems to be stuck at $413.36 for a week or so? Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HagssFIN on March 20, 2016, 12:31:11 AM While way hugely early, there isn't any indication of a huge increase coming this time around. BitcoinWisdom seems to be working ok https://bitcoinwisdom.com/On a related topic: Where do folks get the BTC price since btcquote seems to be stuck at $413.36 for a week or so? Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 20, 2016, 01:18:18 AM While way hugely early, there isn't any indication of a huge increase coming this time around. On a related topic: Where do folks get the BTC price since btcquote seems to be stuck at $413.36 for a week or so? Value seems to be slow moving which is good and bad. I want to see 450 again just as I would like a solid raise up.... but don't know how long that will be. I still can't figure out difficulty trends: Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s And looking to be another slow difficulty (hopefully). I'm still wondering who the gear was on feb 7th, and feb 19th periods. I don't think it was bitfury (unless they are really good about keeping quiet). So leaves in my head bitmain, avalon, or possibly those b-11's. Or a mix of those. All still complete guesses though. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 20, 2016, 05:53:00 AM Block 403201 was made at
403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 403446 (Main Chain) 2016-03-20 05:45:52 246 blocks in 44 hours should be 264 blocks so we are real time 246/264 -1 = (-6.81%) it is early but the numbers are good. next diff would be 154.2 would not this be something ;D A long way to go here. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 20, 2016, 07:48:18 AM Well much to early in the period to know what is going on, but the first full Day was -5.56% 136 Blocks, and the Period Run rate so far, 7 Hours in Today is -5.4% but climbing. So here's hoping it will be another low one.
Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 20, 2016, 11:40:01 AM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 168,615,957,781 (+1.88%) Adjust time: After 1729 Blocks, About 12.2 days Hashrate(?): 1,128,125,554 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.1 minutes 3 blocks: 30.4 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 7:30 (2.7 minutes ago) price 411 first this jump Block 403201 was made at 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 403488 (Main Chain) 2016-03-20 11:29:03 288 blocks should take 2 days or 48 hours it has taken 49 hours and 40 minutes we should have made 298 in 49 hours and 40 minutes so 288/298 - 1 = (-3.355 %) picks will start in about 312 blocks or 2 days we have made 367 blocks in the time we should have made 386 so 367/386-1 = (-4.92%) not bad so far but 1630 blocks left. so we may do well. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on March 21, 2016, 04:53:35 AM +1.69% at this moment!
missing the mining world over here! Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 21, 2016, 09:25:44 AM So two negative Days and Yesterday the first small positive with +1.39% 146 Blocks. Run rate this period, 9 Hours in Day 3, is -4.6%, but it seems to take 600 - 900 Blocks for any sort of stable position to emerge, we are at the mercy of how much hash is added. But OK so far..... :)
Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 21, 2016, 11:49:07 AM So two negative Days and Yesterday the first small positive with +1.39% 146 Blocks. Run rate this period, 9 Hours in Day 3, is -4.6%, but it seems to take 600 - 900 Blocks for any sort of stable position to emerge, we are at the mercy of how much hash is added. But OK so far..... :) Rich yeah it is very early https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 167,134,746,625 (+0.99%) Adjust time: After 1594 Blocks, About 11.3 days Hashrate(?): 1,136,186,659 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.6 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 7:45 (2.6 minutes ago) and price is 410 https://bitcoincharts.com/ Blocks 403623 Total BTC 15.341M Difficulty 165496835118 Estimated 164059882133 in 1593 blks -------- this is showing negative. Network total 1043857.652 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.29 / 681 s Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: TheYankeesWin! on March 21, 2016, 10:14:46 PM So are we still waiting for picks?
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 21, 2016, 10:18:51 PM So are we still waiting for picks? Picks start after the 600th block for the period, so https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Adjust time: After 1532 Blocks, About 10.8 days When that reads 1416 blocks picks are open. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 21, 2016, 10:19:54 PM So are we still waiting for picks? yes and you need more posts to join the contest.On current numbers we are at block 403684 we started at 403201 so this is 484 blocks time has been 72 + 12 = 84 hours and 30 minutes so 84 x 6 = 504 + 3 or 507 blocks for a 0% 484/507 - 1 = (-4.53%) not bad but a lot of time to go. https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 167,179,921,465 (+1.02%) this is a future number and is high Adjust time: After 1531 Blocks, About 10.8 days Hashrate(?): 1,130,411,628 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.4 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 18:20 (1.6 minutes ago) https://bitcoincharts.com/ Blocks 403685 Total BTC 15.342M Difficulty 165496835118 Estimated 165070693668 in 1531 blks Network total 1151163.418 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.83 / 617 s this is a mix of current and future it is (-0.257%) I like the current number -4.53% it it holds diff becomes 157.99 and would keep us safe until april 12 or 13. Fingers crossed Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 22, 2016, 02:13:06 AM I agree with fingers crossed, it has signs this could be a good change. Seems either manufactures are slowing down on making compared to january, or altcoins are helping. And could be a mix of both.
I would be very happy with a negative. Also past 24 hours price is moving up just a little and currently over 411. So not a huge jump but still looks nice to see. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 22, 2016, 07:00:27 AM I agree with fingers crossed, it has signs this could be a good change. Seems either manufactures are slowing down on making compared to january, or altcoins are helping. And could be a mix of both. I would be very happy with a negative. Also past 24 hours price is moving up just a little and currently over 411. So not a huge jump but still looks nice to see. Yes I have this feeling that if you were a big farm then you will have made your S7 / Avalon6 investment, perhaps you have turned off some older Miners and everyone is waiting for 14/16nm before making any more serious investments? Yesterday back to being a negative day with -3.47% and 139 Blocks. A possible band is emerging with the run rate moving between -4% & -6%, so here's hoping that the net of these 3 Periods can be Zero, or even a little negative? Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 22, 2016, 11:52:02 AM I agree with fingers crossed, it has signs this could be a good change. Seems either manufactures are slowing down on making compared to january, or altcoins are helping. And could be a mix of both. I would be very happy with a negative. Also past 24 hours price is moving up just a little and currently over 411. So not a huge jump but still looks nice to see. Yes I have this feeling that if you were a big farm then you will have made your S7 / Avalon6 investment, perhaps you have turned off some older Miners and everyone is waiting for 14/16nm before making any more serious investments? Yesterday back to being a negative day with -3.47% and 139 Blocks. A possible band is emerging with the run rate moving between -4% & -6%, so here's hoping that the net of these 3 Periods can be Zero, or even a little negative? Rich quite good numbers a little price creep to 415 usd https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,910,587,548 (+0.25%) Adjust time: After 1450 Blocks, About 10.3 days >>>> picks open in 34 blocks Hashrate(?): 1,155,904,833 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.6 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 7:45 (2.8 minutes ago) the (+0.25%) above is off by 4 percent or so we are real time 403767 (Main Chain) 2016-03-22 11:46:30 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 567 blocks in 4 days and 2 hours 4 x 144 = 576 + 12 = 588 so 567/588-1 = (-3.57%) this would mean a diff of 159.6 about march 31 Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 22, 2016, 04:29:59 PM I agree with fingers crossed, it has signs this could be a good change. Seems either manufactures are slowing down on making compared to january, or altcoins are helping. And could be a mix of both. I would be very happy with a negative. Also past 24 hours price is moving up just a little and currently over 411. So not a huge jump but still looks nice to see. Yes I have this feeling that if you were a big farm then you will have made your S7 / Avalon6 investment, perhaps you have turned off some older Miners and everyone is waiting for 14/16nm before making any more serious investments? Yesterday back to being a negative day with -3.47% and 139 Blocks. A possible band is emerging with the run rate moving between -4% & -6%, so here's hoping that the net of these 3 Periods can be Zero, or even a little negative? Rich quite good numbers a little price creep to 415 usd https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,910,587,548 (+0.25%) Adjust time: After 1450 Blocks, About 10.3 days >>>> picks open in 34 blocks Hashrate(?): 1,155,904,833 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.6 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 7:45 (2.8 minutes ago) the (+0.25%) above is off by 4 percent or so we are real time 403767 (Main Chain) 2016-03-22 11:46:30 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 567 blocks in 4 days and 2 hours 4 x 144 = 576 + 12 = 588 so 567/588-1 = (-3.57%) this would mean a diff of 159.6 about march 31 Looks like we leveled off a little over 415 to. So was a nice little boost but looks like were done for a few day's I would guess. We don't seem to get big upswings anymore very often. I still am very happy with looks of difficulty, I think altcoins could be helping on this. So I think it's temporary. Also it's hard to say when but I still fear next big batch of miners. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Brob12321 on March 22, 2016, 05:49:03 PM So picks should be open now correct ? Adjust time in 1414 blocks
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VRobb on March 22, 2016, 07:02:58 PM All right, game on!
A wise man once said, "foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of simple minds." That being said: +1.3% = VRobb :D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 22, 2016, 08:03:31 PM picks are open
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,857,183,920 (+0.22%) this is future time real time we are near (-3.00%) Adjust time: After 1400 Blocks, About 9.9 days Hashrate(?): 1,156,800,634 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.6 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: true real time standing https://blockchain.info/blocks/1458677268523 403816 (Main Chain) 2016-03-22 19:58:13 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 616 blocks in 4 days 10 hours and 20 minutes should be (4 x 144) + (6 x 10) + 2 = 638 so 616/638 - 1 = (-3.448%) Real diff number as of right now current picks below -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in +1.3 = VRobb Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HagssFIN on March 22, 2016, 08:11:20 PM Let's hope it gets lower
-2.5 = HagssFIN Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 22, 2016, 08:14:51 PM current picks below: -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in +1.3 = VRobb Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Brob12321 on March 22, 2016, 09:19:06 PM I'm going to go with:
-0.5 = Brob12321 Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 22, 2016, 10:01:41 PM current picks below: -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -0.5 = Brob12321 +1.3 = VRobb Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VirosaGITS on March 23, 2016, 12:57:06 AM +4.2 = VirosaGITS
Because once again. Why not :P Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 01:57:58 AM current picks below: -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -0.5 = Brob12321 +1.3 = VRobb +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: blindminer on March 23, 2016, 02:14:42 AM -1.5 = blindminer
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 02:23:57 AM current picks below: -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -0.5 = Brob12321 +1.3 = VRobb +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: adaseb on March 23, 2016, 02:32:39 AM adaseb = 0.0
0.0 = adaseb Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 02:34:11 AM current picks below: -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +1.3 = VRobb +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 23, 2016, 02:48:56 AM The week still is not looking bad on difficulty. And coin price is holding pretty well (coindesk http://www.coindesk.com/price/) :
Today's Open - $416.93 Today's High - $417.72 Today's Low - $416.35 So no big surges really lately on price. But if we can keep difficulty changes in 5 or less with that I will be happy. But I still will admit I cant for the life of me understand February's difficulty changes. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 03:00:51 AM The week still is not looking bad on difficulty. And coin price is holding pretty well (coindesk http://www.coindesk.com/price/) : Today's Open - $416.93 Today's High - $417.72 Today's Low - $416.35 So no big surges really lately on price. But if we can keep difficulty changes in 5 or less with that I will be happy. But I still will admit I cant for the life of me understand February's difficulty changes. that 3 week period near the Chinese new year holiday had to be a 1 time 1 cent power contract and someone ran s-3's + s -5's while swapping in s-7's a 3 week jumps can not be variance so it had to be that. http://e360.yale.edu/feature/chinas_great_dam_boom_an_assault_on_its_river_systems/2706/ maybe they load tested this dam https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Changheba_Dam timing could be this. the good thing is if true that hash may never come back on line. which would mean at least 3 good jumps march 31 April 15 May 1 this all translates to Feb 19 - May 12 = flat for 85-95 days Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: ezeminer on March 23, 2016, 03:03:29 AM +0.7 = ezeminer
I'm pretty surprised to see difficulty not moving much. Something to help miners is good to see. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 03:05:10 AM current picks below: -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +1.3 = VRobb +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VirosaGITS on March 23, 2016, 03:18:47 AM +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D If its too high, i will be plenty happy. If i win i'd keep the prize, but i'm totally okay with taking a pick that has very little chance of winning. :) As long as its not higher than that, i'm going to be pretty Okay with the result. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 03:25:22 AM +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D If its too high, i will be plenty happy. If i win i'd keep the prize, but i'm totally okay with taking a pick that has very little chance of winning. :) As long as its not higher than that, i'm going to be pretty Okay with the result. well what do i know not much really. But i do hope your pick is too high. ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 23, 2016, 03:32:57 AM +1.2 = mikestang
Looking very flat this period, but we've seen sever where things take a drastic turn at the last minute, so here's to hoping! Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 04:15:11 AM current picks below: -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 164,880,247,640 (-0.37%) Adjust time: After 1344 Blocks, About 9.6 days Hashrate(?): 1,190,946,225 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.8 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: it is lower then (-0.37%) 403872 (Main Chain) 2016-03-23 04:00:00 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 671 blocks in 4 days 18 hours 10 minutes should be 685 that means 671/685-1 = (-2.043%) we are about ⅓ into this jump Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on March 23, 2016, 04:21:39 AM +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D If its too high, i will be plenty happy. If i win i'd keep the prize, but i'm totally okay with taking a pick that has very little chance of winning. :) As long as its not higher than that, i'm going to be pretty Okay with the result. well what do i know not much really. But i do hope your pick is too high. ;D ;D It's 4-20, nothing can be wrong about his choice ! ;D ;D I'm still undecided on my guess, I will wait a bit Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 23, 2016, 07:04:45 AM So Yesterday we ended up with +2.78% 148 Blocks for the Day. Earlier this Morning we pushed out of the -3% to -6% band we had been tracking and hit -2%, however a very long 95 Minute Block has left the Period Run Rate at -3.9%. So we are still in negative territory but anything can happen from here...
Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Amph on March 23, 2016, 07:09:24 AM -3.0 = Amph
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 11:17:32 AM current picks below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D 403907 (Main Chain) 2016-03-23 11:06:22 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 707 blocks in 5 days 1 hour 20 min should be 5 x 144 = 720 + 6 + 2 = 728 707/728 - 1 = (-2.88%) Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: fr4nkthetank on March 23, 2016, 01:32:26 PM +3.7 = fr4nkthetank
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 03:00:46 PM current picks below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 23, 2016, 03:34:57 PM -0.7 = Notist3d
Thanks! And bitcoin price still is holding pretty strong. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Last of the V8s on March 23, 2016, 07:28:24 PM -1.0 = Last of the V8s
plox/thx Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 07:41:52 PM current picks below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.7 = Notist3d -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: indiemax on March 23, 2016, 09:21:38 PM -0.9 = indiemax
thanks ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 10:21:43 PM current picks below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: flikflak on March 23, 2016, 10:41:58 PM +1.1 = flikflak
thanks. I'd really like to have another negative jump... we will see. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 23, 2016, 10:44:12 PM current picks below:
-3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!! ;D ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: ingiltere on March 24, 2016, 02:38:59 AM Thanks for all the good wishes! New pick here:
+1.0 = ingiltere Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on March 24, 2016, 04:38:31 AM +0.9 = mavericklm
Thank you! atm: Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,554,506,634 (+0.03%) Adjust time: After 1191 Blocks, About 8.4 days Hashrate(?): 1,192,389,109 GH/s Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on March 24, 2016, 05:09:36 AM For what it's worth, btcquote.com seems to awoken from it's coma and is no longer stuck at $413.36.
It now reports $416.49 and changes. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 24, 2016, 08:03:09 AM So the rate continues to pick up a bit, Yesterday was+3.47% and 149 Blocks. Today, 7 Hours in, is off to a frisky start with the Days run rate at +14% which has pushed the Period to date rate up to -1.3%. However all of this so far could just be variance with the period heading for Zero?
Will as ever leave my pick to the last minute, not that it seems to do much good... Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 24, 2016, 10:29:23 AM I have real time number at
-1.499% current picks below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 164,700,417,921 (-0.48%) Adjust time: After 1162 Blocks, About 8.2 days Hashrate(?): 1,180,367,117 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.5 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 6:30 (1.6 minutes ago) price 414 Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: wpt1wpt1 on March 24, 2016, 11:51:40 AM +0.8 = wpt1wpt1
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: pusttiu on March 24, 2016, 02:48:49 PM +1.5 =pusttiu
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on March 24, 2016, 02:58:39 PM +1.9 =HerbPean
Thanks Phil ! Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 24, 2016, 04:08:00 PM current picks below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 164,898,322,419 (-0.36%) Adjust time: After 1127 Blocks, About 7.9 days >>>>>>>>> picking ends at 816 Hashrate(?): 1,204,500,545 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.1 minutes 3 blocks: 30.4 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 12:5 (2.0 minutes ago) price 415 Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: tertius993 on March 24, 2016, 09:05:29 PM I get the feeling we are in a period of basically stable hash rate and it's mainly variance right now.
+0.3 = tertius993 Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 24, 2016, 09:17:42 PM current picks below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.5 = Brob12321 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: zebedee on March 24, 2016, 11:17:25 PM -0.3 = Zebedee
Thx Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 24, 2016, 11:27:03 PM current picks below:
-3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.5 = Brob12321 -0.3 = Zebedee 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: edonkey on March 25, 2016, 04:44:55 PM -0.6 = edonkey
The cats really want another negative. And fishy treats if they guess right this time ;-) Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 25, 2016, 07:25:12 PM current picks below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.6 = edonkey -0.5 = Brob12321 -0.3 = Zebedee 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Brob12321 on March 25, 2016, 07:58:04 PM wow my prediction is looking like it might be on target, still a little bit off but hopefully it'll go down to -.5%, theres a lot of predictions real close together there so I guess id have to be dead on.
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 25, 2016, 08:30:20 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 165,543,889,013 (+0.03%) Adjust time: After 954 Blocks, About 6.6 days >>>>>> picks end at 816 Hashrate(?): 1,200,983,467 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.0 minutes 3 blocks: 30.0 minutes 6 blocks: 60.0 minutes Updated: 16:25 (4.5 minutes ago) https://blockchain.info/blocks 404262 (Main Chain) 2016-03-25 20:21:07 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 1062 blocks made in 7 days 10 hours 30 minutes should be 7 x 144 = 1008 6 x 10 = 60 6 x .5 = 3 1071 so 1062/1071 -1 = (- 0.84%) Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: kipper01 on March 26, 2016, 12:20:21 AM -0.1 =kipper01
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 26, 2016, 02:52:11 AM current picks below:
-3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.6 = edonkey -0.5 = Brob12321 -0.3 = Zebedee -0.1 =kipper01 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.5 = RichBC +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,134,795,465 (+0.39%) Adjust time: After 911 Blocks, About 6.3 days >>picks close at 816 Hashrate(?): 1,223,522,569 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.0 minutes 3 blocks: 29.9 minutes 6 blocks: 59.8 minutes Updated: 22:50 (3.3 minutes ago) Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 26, 2016, 09:11:32 AM So looks like Picks will close around 18:00 Tonight but with it being Easter it's going to get a bit busy here, so will not leave my pick to the last moment.
I think we are headed for a small positive, so... +0.5 = RichBC Good luck & Happy Easter everyone. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 26, 2016, 10:36:23 AM we have made 1151 blocks in the time it takes to make 1156
1151/1156-1 = (-0.432%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,399,713,096 (+0.55%) Adjust time: After 864 Blocks, About 6.0 days Hashrate(?): 1,217,278,156 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.9 minutes 3 blocks: 29.8 minutes 6 blocks: 59.6 minutes Updated: 6:30 (8.8 minutes ago) price = 415 Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: flikflak on March 26, 2016, 12:32:47 PM I think we are going up a little? And we still have another six days to go, so every bet has a chance to win.
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 26, 2016, 07:27:53 PM all picks are closed the
final picks are below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.6 = edonkey -0.5 = Brob12321 -0.3 = Zebedee -0.1 =kipper01 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.5 = RichBC +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS Good luck everyone! https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,593,890,077 (+0.66%) Adjust time: After 811 Blocks, About 5.6 days Hashrate(?): 1,235,067,662 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.9 minutes 3 blocks: 29.7 minutes 6 blocks: 59.4 minutes Updated: 15:25 (2.7 minutes ago) I have a real time number of (-0.495%) Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 27, 2016, 04:43:43 AM What could be interesting is what will happen if they start selling lots of S7's at new coupon price. We might see a temporary negative from machines being unplugged and shipped. How much... like anything hard to speculate.
But I do see them selling a decent amount at new coupon S7 price. Could be an interesting next month. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 27, 2016, 04:58:40 AM What could be interesting is what will happen if they start selling lots of S7's at new coupon price. We might see a temporary negative from machines being unplugged and shipped. How much... like anything hard to speculate. But I do see them selling a decent amount at new coupon S7 price. Could be an interesting next month. this is a good point last time I looked at their big wallet they were around 36000 btc I should check it https://blockchain.info/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V 31,999 btc Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VRobb on March 27, 2016, 05:18:12 AM Bitcoin Difficulty:165,496,835,118Estimated Next Difficulty:167,697,274,113 (+1.33%)Adjust time:After 745 Blocks, About 5.1 daysHashrate(?):1,232,764,153 GH/sBlock Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.8 minutes 3 blocks: 29.4 minutes 6 blocks: 58.9 minutes Updated:22:10 (5.3 minutes ago) I think we could hold right here, eh? :D Ach, as long as it's low, or even negative again, I'll be more than happy! Thanks to Philip for doing this and adding even more juice to the bitcoin game. You da man! Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: edonkey on March 27, 2016, 04:08:08 PM The price is shooting up this morning. I had a sell order at $422 that had sat there for 10 days. The price just blasted through and is now trading around $425.
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 27, 2016, 04:32:30 PM The price is shooting up this morning. I had a sell order at $422 that had sat there for 10 days. The price just blasted through and is now trading around $425. A nice spike upwards.Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 27, 2016, 04:51:19 PM The price is shooting up this morning. I had a sell order at $422 that had sat there for 10 days. The price just blasted through and is now trading around $425. A nice spike upwards.Yes very nice, back through £300, let's hope it can build from here? Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 27, 2016, 09:59:28 PM What could be interesting is what will happen if they start selling lots of S7's at new coupon price. We might see a temporary negative from machines being unplugged and shipped. How much... like anything hard to speculate. I don't think it will be enough to move the needle, the S7 has been on the market too long now for that to happen. Plus everything they are selling is already running so it will have a net 0 effect on network hash power.But I do see them selling a decent amount at new coupon S7 price. Could be an interesting next month. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 27, 2016, 10:30:15 PM The price is shooting up this morning. I had a sell order at $422 that had sat there for 10 days. The price just blasted through and is now trading around $425. A nice spike upwards.It is a nice sign not the 450 I keep hoping for. But it is something positive which is good. I wonder how much of it is due to people buying BTC to buy S7's personally. I might be giving them to much credit, but the new coupon price was a little surprising to me. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 27, 2016, 10:55:21 PM What could be interesting is what will happen if they start selling lots of S7's at new coupon price. We might see a temporary negative from machines being unplugged and shipped. How much... like anything hard to speculate. But I do see them selling a decent amount at new coupon S7 price. Could be an interesting next month. this is a good point last time I looked at their big wallet they were around 36000 btc I should check it https://blockchain.info/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V 31,999 btc they sold 63 btc worth of gear since this post. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: TheYankeesWin! on March 28, 2016, 03:38:41 AM What is the diff % in real time?
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 28, 2016, 03:41:01 AM all picks are closed the
final picks are below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.6 = edonkey -0.5 = Brob12321 -0.3 = Zebedee -0.1 =kipper01 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.5 = RichBC +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS Good luck everyone! https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 168,241,179,470 (+1.66%) A little high Adjust time: After 609 Blocks, About 4.1 days Hashrate(?): 1,219,055,168 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.8 minutes 3 blocks: 29.3 minutes 6 blocks: 58.6 minutes Updated: 23:40 (30.0 seconds ago) I have a real time number of (+0.142%) with 609 blocks to go we have 1406 made and 1404 is the norm maybe we hit that magic 0 Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 28, 2016, 06:41:20 AM So thigs looking quite stable at the moment. Yesterday was -2.08% 141 Blocks. This Morning, 6 Hours in, the Period to Date Run Rate has just sneaked into positive territory at +0.12%
Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on March 28, 2016, 12:04:29 PM Estimated Next Difficulty: 168,533,193,229 (+1.83%)
Adjust time: After 560 Blocks, About 3.8 days Hashrate(?): 1,215,308,390 GH/s Looks like the silence before another storm!.... Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 28, 2016, 12:26:25 PM Estimated Next Difficulty: 168,533,193,229 (+1.83%) Adjust time: After 560 Blocks, About 3.8 days Hashrate(?): 1,215,308,390 GH/s Looks like the silence before another storm!.... my guess is the storm hits in the april 15 to april 30 jump this jump ends say april 1 say +1% next one after that ends april 15 say -1% but april 15 to april 30 + 5% to + 10% Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: flikflak on March 28, 2016, 04:31:06 PM Antpool was @ 300PH/s around 10 days ago and now they are mining with 342+ PH/s. Those 40+ PH/s are +2.5% of the network... and its only one pool :(
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on March 28, 2016, 05:57:02 PM Antpool was @ 300PH/s around 10 days ago and now they are mining with 342+ PH/s. Those 40+ PH/s are +2.5% of the network... and its only one pool :( And there are new ~30PH pools popping up in China all the time, it's scary how fast they toss up farms over there. I'm really hoping the halving makes big farms not cost efficient to run and we start seeing chunks of 30-40PH drop off the network instead of add to it.Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 28, 2016, 06:33:46 PM Antpool was @ 300PH/s around 10 days ago and now they are mining with 342+ PH/s. Those 40+ PH/s are +2.5% of the network... and its only one pool :( And there are new ~30PH pools popping up in China all the time, it's scary how fast they toss up farms over there. I'm really hoping the halving makes big farms not cost efficient to run and we start seeing chunks of 30-40PH drop off the network instead of add to it.I see a sharp rise from april 15 to july 15 then the ½ an a big drop. this should be a lot of fun to watch Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 28, 2016, 10:13:06 PM Antpool was @ 300PH/s around 10 days ago and now they are mining with 342+ PH/s. Those 40+ PH/s are +2.5% of the network... and its only one pool :( And there are new ~30PH pools popping up in China all the time, it's scary how fast they toss up farms over there. I'm really hoping the halving makes big farms not cost efficient to run and we start seeing chunks of 30-40PH drop off the network instead of add to it.I see a sharp rise from april 15 to july 15 then the ½ an a big drop. this should be a lot of fun to watch A big thing is once we hit next gen to. Once we hit it we likely will see a skyrocket on difficulty and likely they will fill up internal farms of the lucky one that hit's it first before selling to public. Bitmain is either pushing to make another batch or they are clearing shelves with new coupon price. I personally hope it's just another batch as I would enjoy some extra time mining current gen before next gen. Your right that the next month will be something intersting to watch for sure. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 29, 2016, 02:49:37 AM all picks are closed the
final picks are below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.6 = edonkey -0.5 = Brob12321 -0.3 = Zebedee -0.1 =kipper01 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.5 = RichBC +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS Good luck everyone! time is ticking down https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 169,662,027,581 (+2.52%) Adjust time: After 449 Blocks, About 3.0 days Hashrate(?): 1,271,860,550 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.8 minutes 6 blocks: 57.5 minutes Updated: Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 29, 2016, 02:57:20 AM The good news to is the 424 price right now. We seem to be holding in 420+ currently... which is nice if we can have a new spot instead of 400. If that lasts we all really win.
I don't see a huge jump up on difficulty considering S7 current batch say's shipping in 5 working day's. It makes me wonder if bitmain is shipping and clearing shelves or if they are making a batch and shipping as they make. I think watching them over next week or two will be interesting. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on March 29, 2016, 04:50:00 AM While I forgot to make a guess this round, I probably wouldn't have guessed high enough. Looks to me like it's going to be north of 3%.
As for Bitmain and what it's shipping, I think that anybody that is expecting to receive a pristine newly manufactured device is deluding themselves. They are clearly selling "well tested" gear (i.e. used hardware with a full warranty). There may be some new production hardware mixed in, but the bulk of the latest batch will be used gear, just like it was with S5 in it's last batches. If you were to buy 10 of the latest batch, I'd be stunned if at least 6 weren't obviously used. I have no idea what they are doing with any newly cleared shelf space. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 29, 2016, 10:40:59 AM So looks like this Period has unfortunately entered a new upward phase. Yesterday was +18.06% with 170 Blocks. Things have calmed down a lot this Morning and the Period to Date Run Rate is, 10 Hours in, +1.36% however there has been a distinct turn up.
Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 29, 2016, 01:00:18 PM So looks like this Period has unfortunately entered a new upward phase. Yesterday was +18.06% with 170 Blocks. Things have calmed down a lot this Morning and the Period to Date Run Rate is, 10 Hours in, +1.36% however there has been a distinct turn up. Rich Well looks like an upgrade on the part of bitmaintech. So if they pull a s-7 at 4.7th off the shelf they are adding lets guess an 8th 1200 watt s-9. And off to the races we go. https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1459256405 we are close to the all time highs of 1300ph see the rectangles below https://i.imgur.com/xRXkCyK.png Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 29, 2016, 05:18:46 PM While I forgot to make a guess this round, I probably wouldn't have guessed high enough. Looks to me like it's going to be north of 3%. As for Bitmain and what it's shipping, I think that anybody that is expecting to receive a pristine newly manufactured device is deluding themselves. They are clearly selling "well tested" gear (i.e. used hardware with a full warranty). There may be some new production hardware mixed in, but the bulk of the latest batch will be used gear, just like it was with S5 in it's last batches. If you were to buy 10 of the latest batch, I'd be stunned if at least 6 weren't obviously used. I have no idea what they are doing with any newly cleared shelf space. And this is the big question. Will they fill up space with more S7's and they got some quick ROI selling at new low price. Or will something more exciting happen like S7+ (unlikely) or next gen. Bitmain has been very quiet on next gen.... but we have to believe they are working on it. So just a lot unknown but I think next gen will hit us like a rocket on difficulty. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 29, 2016, 05:37:20 PM we have 356 blocks or so left
Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 169,485,134,881 (+2.41%) Adjust time: After 356 Blocks, About 2.4 days Hashrate(?): 1,268,330,281 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.6 minutes 6 blocks: 57.3 minutes Updated: good luck to any one close 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.5 = RichBC +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS the ones above are the closest. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VirosaGITS on March 29, 2016, 07:41:03 PM the ones above are the closest. Sadly, it look like my Pick isint all that crazy anymore, eh? :P Hopefully it will remain too high for this round... Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 29, 2016, 08:11:42 PM the ones above are the closest. Sadly, it look like my Pick isint all that crazy anymore, eh? :P Hopefully it will remain too high for this round... Sadly yes.... We are at Period to Date +1.76% and if the latest slope continues we will probably land around +2.5% Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 29, 2016, 08:25:49 PM the ones above are the closest. Sadly, it look like my Pick isint all that crazy anymore, eh? :P Hopefully it will remain too high for this round... damn you VirosaGITS ;D ;D (all in fun not for real) yep it is what we deal with due to bitmaintech's ability to make tons of gear. With no real completion at the moment. Plus I suspect they can get short term 1 cent power contracts during certain times of the year. Say a dam has a lot of rain in March and April = Excess power and bitmaintech gets a good 3 week rate. I feel they could have 100 to 200 ph sitting idol in old gear and if they get a 1 cent contract they fire the stuff up. An s-3 burning at .75 watts earns 17.00 usd An s-4 burning at .70 watts earns 34.50 usd An s-5 burning at .51 watts earns 40.30 usd that would be in a month they may simply have far more s-7's not deployed an s-7 makes pretty good money 185 a month at 1 cent power. So we always face the fact the network may jump up from 1200 ph to 1300 ph in a day Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 30, 2016, 01:28:53 AM the ones above are the closest. Sadly, it look like my Pick isint all that crazy anymore, eh? :P Hopefully it will remain too high for this round... damn you VirosaGITS ;D ;D (all in fun not for real) yep it is what we deal with due to bitmaintech's ability to make tons of gear. With no real completion at the moment. Plus I suspect they can get short term 1 cent power contracts during certain times of the year. Say a dam has a lot of rain in March and April = Excess power and bitmaintech gets a good 3 week rate. I feel they could have 100 to 200 ph sitting idol in old gear and if they get a 1 cent contract they fire the stuff up. An s-3 burning at .75 watts earns 17.00 usd An s-4 burning at .70 watts earns 34.50 usd An s-5 burning at .51 watts earns 40.30 usd that would be in a month they may simply have far more s-7's not deployed an s-7 makes pretty good money 185 a month at 1 cent power. So we always face the fact the network may jump up from 1200 ph to 1300 ph in a day I still wonder about old A1's to on 1 cent contracts. There are a TON of lketc gear and other A1's in China that never were sold and were in data centers. I'm starting to wonder if they pulled out and swapped gear without me noticing or if some still have them going on super cheap electric. I know of a few data centers that were "cheap" but built to house A1's when then first came out. But my info on what happened to them at this point.... is none. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 30, 2016, 01:58:45 PM we have 226 blocks or so left
Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 168,877,874,330 (+2.04%) Adjust time: After 226 Blocks, About 1.5 days Hashrate(?): 1,270,926,543 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.5 minutes 3 blocks: 28.5 minutes 6 blocks: 57.0 minutes Updated: 9:55 (2.9 minutes ago) good luck to any one close 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.5 = RichBC +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS the ones above are the closest. As we near the finish a rollover may happen. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 30, 2016, 11:07:17 PM Were down to 413 on price so have lost the mid 420's we started difficulty period with. So kinda disappointing on that I keep hoping for new higher bottom. I wonder if Bitmain cashed in a lot of that S7 btc money or anything.
Biggest thing is wondering what Bitmain's next move is. They hit sales hard this week.... so wonder if one more S7 big batch that is mastered making cheap. Or if we see next gen.... which next gen scares the crap out of me on difficulty. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 31, 2016, 12:00:22 AM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 169,655,370,982 (+2.51%) Adjust time: After 162 Blocks, About 1.1 days Hashrate(?): 1,271,237,726 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.4 minutes 3 blocks: 28.3 minutes 6 blocks: 56.6 minutes Updated: 19:55 (4.3 minutes ago) just about a day to go. a rollover looks very possible so far bitmaintech has left this wallet below alone https://blockchain.info/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on March 31, 2016, 01:08:45 AM Estimated Next Difficulty: 169,834,611,457 (+2.62%)
Adjust time: After 158 Blocks, About 1.0 days Hashrate(?): 1,283,236,420 GH/s up a bit more small wallet, just 13milions ;D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on March 31, 2016, 10:14:48 AM So Yesterday was an ok +2.08% and 147 Blocks. However just when you think you know which way this beast is turning we have had an extremely slow start this Morning which has brought the Period to Date Run Rate, 10 Hours in, down to +1.1%
So about 18 Hours to go, will be interesting to see if this slowdown continues? Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 31, 2016, 12:07:27 PM So Yesterday was an ok +2.08% and 147 Blocks. However just when you think you know which way this beast is turning we have had an extremely slow start this Morning which has brought the Period to Date Run Rate, 10 Hours in, down to +1.1% So about 18 Hours to go, will be interesting to see if this slowdown continues? Rich hmmm they pulled all the s-7's off the shelf that they sold with the coupons and shipped them? I estimate they sold 400 s-7's so 400 x 4.7 = 18.8 ph 18.8/1300 = 1.44% which is very close to the drop in hash rate. The good thing with that is if true we will be near 0-1% for this jump. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: fr4nkthetank on March 31, 2016, 02:01:30 PM Good luck everyone !!! Just wanted to say how good it feels that the diff is slowing a bit
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 31, 2016, 03:34:07 PM Good luck everyone !!! Just wanted to say how good it feels that the diff is slowing a bit yes we could go down to 0 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 167,980,234,990 (+1.50%) Adjust time: After 85 Blocks, About 13.7 hours Hashrate(?): 1,243,111,905 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.6 minutes 3 blocks: 28.9 minutes 6 blocks: 57.8 minutes Updated: 11:30 (3.4 minutes ago) see drop below https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1459438204 we have made 1930 blocks 405131 (Main Chain) 2016-03-31 15:22:04 403201 (Main Chain) 2016-03-18 09:50:30 this has been 13 days and 5 hours 30 minutes 13 x 144 = 1872 blocks 5 x 6 = 30 blocks and 3 = 3 1905 is what we should have so 1930/1905 = 1.31% so all of the ones below : 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.5 = RichBC +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean look to stand a chance Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 31, 2016, 04:59:02 PM So diffficulty wise we are not looking bad. I am happy with a low difficulty change. I still am surprised S7 sales did not have a bigger impact, but maybe next period. But I'm happy difficulty wise.
Value wise not huge but we did start in mid 420's and are now around 416. So lost some value but not a ton. So hopefully we see a little rise, seems slow going on this. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on March 31, 2016, 05:44:23 PM So diffficulty wise we are not looking bad. I am happy with a low difficulty change. I still am surprised S7 sales did not have a bigger impact, but maybe next period. But I'm happy difficulty wise. Value wise not huge but we did start in mid 420's and are now around 416. So lost some value but not a ton. So hopefully we see a little rise, seems slow going on this. Less then 2% is really nice IMO. Two more weeks with just a small diff increase. 2 months of "stability" wasn't expected on my side. Now that the S7 price went quite down, we might see some uptrend tho ... This is interesting ... Bitmain seems to want to give a huge pressure on Bitfury pricing, if and when they come out with some products or just ship some chips at all. This silence radio is disturbing me. I was quite sure we would see a massive flood of the new gen just around the start of April. I'm not going to complain, I like the current Diff movement. If we could keep the same pace until the halving that would be epic. i'm just dreaming while i'm awake I guess :P Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 31, 2016, 09:14:59 PM So diffficulty wise we are not looking bad. I am happy with a low difficulty change. I still am surprised S7 sales did not have a bigger impact, but maybe next period. But I'm happy difficulty wise. Value wise not huge but we did start in mid 420's and are now around 416. So lost some value but not a ton. So hopefully we see a little rise, seems slow going on this. Less then 2% is really nice IMO. Two more weeks with just a small diff increase. 2 months of "stability" wasn't expected on my side. Now that the S7 price went quite down, we might see some uptrend tho ... This is interesting ... Bitmain seems to want to give a huge pressure on Bitfury pricing, if and when they come out with some products or just ship some chips at all. This silence radio is disturbing me. I was quite sure we would see a massive flood of the new gen just around the start of April. I'm not going to complain, I like the current Diff movement. If we could keep the same pace until the halving that would be epic. i'm just dreaming while i'm awake I guess :P I only wish we keep same pace, I agree 2 and under til having.... would be beautiful for miners. I think this S7 batch will do something. Either they are selling ton of racks for next gen, or selling a good amount of a new batch. Either way I see difficulty going up from bitmain. And big thing is next gen it scares me. I think if someone hit's specs we will see difficulty skyrocket as they pump out next gen chips. I don't think we can avoid the next gen difficulty wave that is coming (i think at least someday). Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on March 31, 2016, 09:49:56 PM So diffficulty wise we are not looking bad. I am happy with a low difficulty change. I still am surprised S7 sales did not have a bigger impact, but maybe next period. But I'm happy difficulty wise. Value wise not huge but we did start in mid 420's and are now around 416. So lost some value but not a ton. So hopefully we see a little rise, seems slow going on this. Less then 2% is really nice IMO. Two more weeks with just a small diff increase. 2 months of "stability" wasn't expected on my side. Now that the S7 price went quite down, we might see some uptrend tho ... This is interesting ... Bitmain seems to want to give a huge pressure on Bitfury pricing, if and when they come out with some products or just ship some chips at all. This silence radio is disturbing me. I was quite sure we would see a massive flood of the new gen just around the start of April. I'm not going to complain, I like the current Diff movement. If we could keep the same pace until the halving that would be epic. i'm just dreaming while i'm awake I guess :P I only wish we keep same pace, I agree 2 and under til having.... would be beautiful for miners. I think this S7 batch will do something. Either they are selling ton of racks for next gen, or selling a good amount of a new batch. Either way I see difficulty going up from bitmain. And big thing is next gen it scares me. I think if someone hit's specs we will see difficulty skyrocket as they pump out next gen chips. I don't think we can avoid the next gen difficulty wave that is coming (i think at least someday). The new Batch 16 of the S7 has one fan ... Not sure it's going to be a gold mine for them. I wanted to replace an S4 for a new S7 (used in fact) I will wait I think. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on March 31, 2016, 10:07:17 PM So diffficulty wise we are not looking bad. I am happy with a low difficulty change. I still am surprised S7 sales did not have a bigger impact, but maybe next period. But I'm happy difficulty wise. Value wise not huge but we did start in mid 420's and are now around 416. So lost some value but not a ton. So hopefully we see a little rise, seems slow going on this. Less then 2% is really nice IMO. Two more weeks with just a small diff increase. 2 months of "stability" wasn't expected on my side. Now that the S7 price went quite down, we might see some uptrend tho ... This is interesting ... Bitmain seems to want to give a huge pressure on Bitfury pricing, if and when they come out with some products or just ship some chips at all. This silence radio is disturbing me. I was quite sure we would see a massive flood of the new gen just around the start of April. I'm not going to complain, I like the current Diff movement. If we could keep the same pace until the halving that would be epic. i'm just dreaming while i'm awake I guess :P I only wish we keep same pace, I agree 2 and under til having.... would be beautiful for miners. I think this S7 batch will do something. Either they are selling ton of racks for next gen, or selling a good amount of a new batch. Either way I see difficulty going up from bitmain. And big thing is next gen it scares me. I think if someone hit's specs we will see difficulty skyrocket as they pump out next gen chips. I don't think we can avoid the next gen difficulty wave that is coming (i think at least someday). The new Batch 16 of the S7 has one fan ... Not sure it's going to be a gold mine for them. I wanted to replace an S4 for a new S7 (used in fact) I will wait I think. I think the coupon code will cause them more then normal sales, but I could be wrong. But I think a lot of those will be batch 15. I am not sure what to make of this new batch 16, I was kinda surprised they took off a fan. But they did manage to make production price even lower... which I'm sure goal was. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: flikflak on March 31, 2016, 10:57:08 PM The Batch 16 with only one fan looks really awkward - and of course the "warranty void" sticker is exactly where you would add the 2nd fan. For 7 bucks less, well I don't know what to say. Maybe they are running short on fans?
Batch 15 has arrived today and is already on the network "again". It looks new and smells like new, I can't complain yet. 2 boards are a bit wobbly (can't remember that before) and one board gets significant hotter than the other two... it still meets my expectations. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on March 31, 2016, 11:45:07 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118 Estimated Next Difficulty: 167,600,049,517 (+1.27%) Adjust time: After 39 Blocks, About 6.3 hours Hashrate(?): 1,230,908,914 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.0 minutes 6 blocks: 58.0 minutes Updated: 19:40 (4.7 minutes ago) 39 blocks left final picks are below: -3.0 = Amph -2.5 = HagssFIN -1.5 = blindminer -1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in -1.0 = Last of the V8s -0.9 = indiemax -0.7 = Notist3d -0.6 = edonkey -0.5 = Brob12321 -0.3 = Zebedee -0.1 =kipper01 0.0 = adaseb +0.3 = tertius993 +0.5 = RichBC +0.7 = ezeminer +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 +0.9 = mavericklm +1.0 = ingiltere +1.1 = flikflak +1.2 = mikestang this is the closest group +1.3 = VRobb +1.5 =pusttiu +1.9 =HerbPean +3.7 = fr4nkthetank +4.2 = VirosaGITS Good luck everyone! ignore below
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: flikflak on April 01, 2016, 12:05:18 AM Nice :D 124 Blocks for 31st May, thats ~13.8% less.
Don't get mocked today ;) Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on April 01, 2016, 02:07:29 AM Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,970,504,532 (+0.89%)
Adjust time: After 32 Blocks, About 5.2 hours Hashrate(?): 1,215,300,144 GH/s Bitch has no problems with hormones :D Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on April 01, 2016, 04:19:31 AM We dropped to 0.68%. And have 19 blocks left.
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on April 01, 2016, 05:32:43 AM Just awake in the UK and we are +0.98% with 4 Blocks to go...
Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: alh on April 01, 2016, 06:39:27 AM Bitcoin Difficulty: 165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty: 166,831,022,420 (+0.81%) Adjust time: After 1 Blocks, About 9.7 minutes Hashrate(?): 1,209,057,550 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.7 minutes 3 blocks: 29.2 minutes 6 blocks: 58.4 minutes Updated: 1:35 (4.7 minutes ago) Looks really good!!!! Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: RichBC on April 01, 2016, 07:22:02 AM Well my spreadsheet makes it +0.803% but we need the official number.
Rich Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: mavericklm on April 01, 2016, 07:27:01 AM Apr 01 2016 166,851,513,283 0.82% 1,194,369,655 GH/s
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty got so many misses myself!...... Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: adaseb on April 01, 2016, 07:36:15 AM Congrats to the winner. Crazy to believe how the difficulty pretty much froze for the last 2 periods.
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: flikflak on April 01, 2016, 11:32:06 AM Congratz wpt1wpt1!
It looks like Slush and Bitfury had very bad luck during the last 24h. Both found only 7 blocks instead of ~20 as usual. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on April 01, 2016, 12:00:38 PM New thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1421127.0 I need to pay off wpt1wpt1 I need your btc address we have .5 btc left. this brings us to June. I plan on adding more coin and to go past the ½ for 1 or tow jumps Difficulty History Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate Apr 01 2016 166,851,513,283 0.82% 1,194,369,655 GH/s so the winner is +0.8 = wpt1wpt1 Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s Jan 26 2016 120,033,340,651 5.89% 859,232,121 GH/s Jan 13 2016 113,354,299,801 9.12% 811,421,684 GH/s Dec 31 2015 103,880,340,815 11.16% 743,604,444 GH/s Dec 18 2015 93,448,670,796 18.14% 668,931,642 GH/s Dec 06 2015 79,102,380,900 8.77% 566,236,898 GH/s Nov 24 2015 72,722,780,643 10.44% 520,569,941 GH/s Nov 11 2015 65,848,255,180 5.77% 471,360,171 GH/s Oct 29 2015 62,253,982,450 2.25% 445,631,364 GH/s Oct 15 2015 60,883,825,480 0.12% 435,823,399 GH/s Oct 01 2015 60,813,224,039 2.49% 435,318,014 GH/s Sep 17 2015 59,335,351,234 4.17% 424,738,988 GH/s Sep 04 2015 56,957,648,455 4.98% 407,718,729 GH/s Aug 22 2015 54,256,630,328 2.95% 388,384,088 GH/s Aug 08 2015 52,699,842,409 0.81% 377,240,166 GH/s Jul 25 2015 52,278,304,846 2.35% 374,222,683 GH/s Jul 11 2015 51,076,366,303 3.39% 365,618,871 GH/s Jun 28 2015 49,402,014,931 -0.58% 353,633,397 GH/s Jun 14 2015 49,692,386,355 4.42% 355,711,957 GH/s May 31 2015 47,589,591,154 -2.50% 340,659,563 GH/s May 17 2015 48,807,487,245 2.44% 349,377,603 GH/s May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s Jul 25 2014 18,736,441,558 8.08% 134,120,673 GH/s Jul 12 2014 17,336,316,979 3.08% 124,098,191 GH/s Jun 29 2014 16,818,461,371 24.93% 120,391,236 GH/s © 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: notlist3d on April 01, 2016, 01:28:24 PM Congratz to winner as always. I feel like we all win when we get low numbers like this. I'm starting to not be quire as scared of bitmain if change was just a new 1 fan model.... might not be the big changes I was thinking might happen.
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: HerbPean on April 01, 2016, 03:06:33 PM Congrats !
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VirosaGITS on April 01, 2016, 04:59:35 PM Very happy i was quite too high :)
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: Mikestang on April 01, 2016, 06:19:52 PM Congrats to us all for a sub-1% increase. This was actually the closest I have ever been to a correct guess. We saw a bunch of hash come on and off again there toward the end, let's hope it stays off.
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: ezeminer on April 01, 2016, 06:59:09 PM Man the closest I've ever been a whole .03% :D
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: VRobb on April 01, 2016, 09:24:32 PM Way to go wpt1wpt1! I take it you like poker?? :D
Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on April 01, 2016, 09:28:24 PM Still waiting for the winners btc addy. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: wpt1wpt1 on April 02, 2016, 08:48:45 PM Wow just got back,
Phil PM'ed you my ADDY. That is the second time I am a winner. I would do my funny dance and all but am to tired from traveling. Title: Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc Post by: philipma1957 on April 02, 2016, 08:51:48 PM Wow just got back, Phil PM'ed you my ADDY. That is the second time I am a winner. I would do my funny dance and all but am to tired from traveling. paid two payments total of .1 https://blockchain.info/address/1NcT1rtmMStofpepFyyfQRsjcdGXBPEih6 and locked up see new thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1421127.0 |
