Title: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: ProfessionalGoogler on May 15, 2016, 05:04:31 PM Will they be high?
Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: amacar2 on May 15, 2016, 05:58:50 PM Will they be high? Depends on the price of bitcoin and if it is low amount in bitcoin will be high but altogether it should not be more than current fiat rate. Lots of miner may left mining if they don't find it profitable making mining easier so that even at low transaction fee without sufficient block reward bitcoin network will keep running.Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: tzman on May 15, 2016, 06:15:50 PM Well thats a question to be handled over the next generations as i doubt we will be alive by 2140 thats when the mine of bitcoin should be over,but sure there is a concern since no more coins,what the miners will get to keep bitcoin security,or what will happen if the hash stop protects bitcoin what would be the next step?
Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: tiggytomb on May 15, 2016, 06:24:58 PM Well thats a question to be handled over the next generations as i doubt we will be alive by 2140 thats when the mine of bitcoin should be over,but sure there is a concern since no more coins,what the miners will get to keep bitcoin security,or what will happen if the hash stop protects bitcoin what would be the next step? I still hold hope for some kind of technology that will allow us to still be here. I would think it would be a whole new world at that point and bitcoin should finally be the currency of choice, fees would they be enough for miners to keep on mining? who knows, would be nice to have a time machine to have a quick look.Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: European Central Bank on May 15, 2016, 07:44:49 PM Let's hope something's in places or the whole system's gonna fall apart. The more layers there are on top the more expensive it might be to use on chain stuff. Maybe it'll attract news headlines in the future "bitcoin block chain transaction takes place".
Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: marlboroza on May 15, 2016, 07:54:00 PM hah that is really good question, but i don't think we should be worried about it as the last bitcoin is going to be mined in about 120 years ;D
in that time maybe no life will be left on earth. Maybe miners will work for fee or some new coin will replace bitcoin Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: julian071 on May 15, 2016, 08:24:33 PM BTC being totally transparent, you can just calculate:
If the miners want to make the same amount they do today, at a price of 500$/BTC it would work out like this: 1 block (25 bitcoins) created every 10 minutes -> for each minute, 2.5 bitcoins are created X $500/bitcoin = $1250/minute. So every minute $1250 in fees needs to come from transactions (instead of the block rewards today). Using 5 transactions/sec as maximum speed (with current block size), 300 transactions each minute. $1250/300 transactions = $4,16 per transaction. Of course this changes as the metrics change: 2x higher BTC price -> 2x higher fees 2x more transactions per block -> 1/2 fees Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: calkob on May 15, 2016, 09:38:17 PM They are certain to be higher but there is more likly to be higher transactions on the network by then also which means more people spending....:)
Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: fortunecrypto on May 16, 2016, 12:30:10 AM hah that is really good question, but i don't think we should be worried about it as the last bitcoin is going to be mined in about 120 years ;D in that time maybe no life will be left on earth. Maybe miners will work for fee or some new coin will replace bitcoin I agree with you this should be the least of our question ,our goal right now is to have bitcoin embrace but all people and merchants and to have it at five digit value.. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: btcjoin14 on May 16, 2016, 12:36:30 AM That won't be for a long time and it will probably increase a bit. Most of use won't even be alive when the last block is mined. They most likely will be proportionate according to bitcoins price.
Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: yayayo on May 16, 2016, 12:43:19 AM BTC being totally transparent, you can just calculate: If the miners want to make the same amount they do today, at a price of 500$/BTC it would work out like this: 1 block (25 bitcoins) created every 10 minutes -> for each minute, 2.5 bitcoins are created X $500/bitcoin = $1250/minute. So every minute $1250 in fees needs to come from transactions (instead of the block rewards today). Using 5 transactions/sec as maximum speed (with current block size), 300 transactions each minute. $1250/300 transactions = $4,16 per transaction. Of course this changes as the metrics change: 2x higher BTC price -> 2x higher fees 2x more transactions per block -> 1/2 fees Are you sure it's that easy? Clearly the metrics you state do influence transaction fees. But there are also a number of other factors that make calculation a bit more complicated or outright impossible. For example, one has to consider investment costs in hardware and the efficiency of the hardware. Also cost of electricity is important. I think as we head into the future, efficiency will improve further on all fronts due to increased competition - that might even include use of heat generated by miners for industrial purposes. Therefore I expect that the cost per transaction will increase far less than a simple calculation based on number of transactions, reward, and blocksize might suggest. (Btw. I think that 2x higher BTC price leads to half the fees in BTC and the same fees in fiat.) ya.ya.yo! Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: maokoto on May 16, 2016, 12:53:26 AM BTC being totally transparent, you can just calculate: If the miners want to make the same amount they do today, at a price of 500$/BTC it would work out like this: 1 block (25 bitcoins) created every 10 minutes -> for each minute, 2.5 bitcoins are created X $500/bitcoin = $1250/minute. So every minute $1250 in fees needs to come from transactions (instead of the block rewards today). Using 5 transactions/sec as maximum speed (with current block size), 300 transactions each minute. $1250/300 transactions = $4,16 per transaction. Of course this changes as the metrics change: 2x higher BTC price -> 2x higher fees 2x more transactions per block -> 1/2 fees Good math, and the results are not bad either. 4.16 per transaction does tno seem to high if we compare with bank transfers. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: electronicash on May 16, 2016, 12:55:57 AM Fees i think would be adjusted and I think they will do this after halving to balance and keep the miners mining. Or else it would be the start of bitcoin to gradually stop and may be replaced by newer and sophisticate coin. There are good alternatives anyway and so the path of btc depends to the devs where they'd had to solve issues for the future.
Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: Hirose UK on May 16, 2016, 01:34:48 AM Will they be high? wow, you think too far. there are still much bitcoins available to be mined, and I don't think it will be complete mined in the next fifty years. even if no bitcoins are available to be mined, the fees still depend on the price.I think you're too worried about that. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: MicroGuy on May 16, 2016, 01:55:53 AM Will they be high? By that time I doubt we'll still be using PoW so it's very difficult to predict how the forks will play out. If the consensus decision making process can somehow be "restored and maintained", I feel whatever the solution it is likely to be fair. ~~ Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: ProfessionalGoogler on May 16, 2016, 02:30:15 AM Will they be high? wow, you think too far. there are still much bitcoins available to be mined, and I don't think it will be complete mined in the next fifty years. even if no bitcoins are available to be mined, the fees still depend on the price.I think you're too worried about that. Not "worried" about anything but more for curiosity. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: OrangeSeller on May 16, 2016, 02:39:22 AM I am also wondering about the price of the bitcoin when the the last bitcoin have been mined and there is no more bitcoin mining. I think the fee will be higher then now.
but the truth is it will never happen in early future. bitcoin will always mine as same. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: Edwardard on May 16, 2016, 03:07:15 AM It is a very nice question. but i dont think mining will be stopped soon. maybe after we die there could be such problems but not now. so dont think about it.
Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: lumeire on May 16, 2016, 03:17:19 AM Fees i think would be adjusted and I think they will do this after halving to balance and keep the miners mining. Or else it would be the start of bitcoin to gradually stop and may be replaced by newer and sophisticate coin. There are good alternatives anyway and so the path of btc depends to the devs where they'd had to solve issues for the future. I don't think it needs to be adjusted manually to fit the miners, in fact the fees market already adjusts for itself. We're seeing fees higher than they were a few years ago, because the number of transactions exploded and each wants to be processed faster over the other. In a few more years, we'll probably see around ~0.001BTC more or less of fees just to get the transaction processed in the first hour. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: odolvlobo on May 16, 2016, 03:52:40 AM Will they be high? Users want low fees. Miners want fees that are high enough to cover costs. The fees will depend on many things including (but not limited to), the number of transactions, the maximum block size, and the marginal cost of including a transaction in a block. They could drop to as low as 1 satoshi. Ideally, total fees per block will be extremely high (whether due to a high fee per transaction or high transaction volume) because the integrity of Bitcoin depends on it. If the block reward is low enough, then there may be an economic incentive for someone mount a 51% attack. This points to a flaw in the Bitcoin security model: There is no direct incentive anyone to protect the integrity of Bitcoin. It is a "tragedy of the commons" problem. A user pays enough to motivate a miner to add their transaction to a block, but not necessarily enough to discourage someone from mounting a 51% attack. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: Amph on May 16, 2016, 07:49:18 AM they will certainly hold the same value as the total coin mined per day right now, otherwise miners would lose money, so let's assume this is true
we would end up with 3600 x 450 = $1.6M, so fee will range from 1M to 1.6M, at least 1M in value, to allow miner to not drop the mining scene and since only 50 btc of fee can be mined each day, you have that 1 btc should be valued around $20k Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: Cyaren on May 16, 2016, 07:53:32 AM I doubt it will increase from the current levels. When there is no more practical BTC that can be mined, the bitcoin price will be high. And therefore if the recommended transaction fee is too high, it'll cost too much for people to send small amounts of bitcoin.
The miners should make around the same in terms of purchasing value from the transaction fees though. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: Denker on May 16, 2016, 07:56:25 AM they will certainly hold the same value as the total coin mined per day right now, otherwise miners would lose money, so let's assume this is true we would end up with 3600 x 450 = $1.6M, so fee will range from 1M to 1.6M, at least 1M in value, to allow miner to not drop the mining scene and since only 50 btc of fee can be mined each day, you have that 1 btc should be valued around $20k I don't know why but I don't get that part.Could you explain that please? Why is it only possible to mine 50 btc of fee each day? Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: julian071 on May 16, 2016, 09:35:29 AM BTC being totally transparent, you can just calculate: If the miners want to make the same amount they do today, at a price of 500$/BTC it would work out like this: 1 block (25 bitcoins) created every 10 minutes -> for each minute, 2.5 bitcoins are created X $500/bitcoin = $1250/minute. So every minute $1250 in fees needs to come from transactions (instead of the block rewards today). Using 5 transactions/sec as maximum speed (with current block size), 300 transactions each minute. $1250/300 transactions = $4,16 per transaction. Of course this changes as the metrics change: 2x higher BTC price -> 2x higher fees 2x more transactions per block -> 1/2 fees Are you sure it's that easy? Clearly the metrics you state do influence transaction fees. But there are also a number of other factors that make calculation a bit more complicated or outright impossible. For example, one has to consider investment costs in hardware and the efficiency of the hardware. Also cost of electricity is important. I think as we head into the future, efficiency will improve further on all fronts due to increased competition - that might even include use of heat generated by miners for industrial purposes. Therefore I expect that the cost per transaction will increase far less than a simple calculation based on number of transactions, reward, and blocksize might suggest. (Btw. I think that 2x higher BTC price leads to half the fees in BTC and the same fees in fiat.) ya.ya.yo! No, of course it's not that easy, I mostly want to help to get this discussion started. Most complicating thing is the relation between mining costs, difficulty and bitcoin price. You can write pages full of theories about it, and knowing how that relation works might make you understand what will happen to the price after the halving. I for one agree with r0ach who says that the mining ecosystem works as a decentralised exchange. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: lolxxxx on May 16, 2016, 09:41:59 AM I don't think that there will be any effect on transaction fees it will be on us to put or not to put the fees.
But yes if the price of bitcoin at that time is 1k$ then 0.0001 will have larger value . Like now at current price 0.0001 has the value of 0.004+ $ . So the transaction fees will remain same only the value changes . We all know we only need some fees to get the transaction confirmed . We can send transaction without fees too. Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: Jasad on May 16, 2016, 10:04:26 AM Will they be high? Once no more bitcoin can be mined,bitcoin transaction will become high,just like another currency,for example paypal,they put high fee because paypal can getting from miner,its just like another currency. that my opinion. but if bitcoin amount still normal,i think fee of transaction will keep on low amount.Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: justspare on May 16, 2016, 10:09:15 AM I think that the transaction fees would be pretty high but it is really nothing for you to be worried about. It is only going to happen in about 120 years, so yeah.....
Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: TastyChillySauce00 on May 16, 2016, 10:42:43 AM the fee will probably be the same only the value of bitcoin to dollar increased, so,actually fee will get higher maybe about 2x in dollar,and still the same in bitcoin
or those miners will get away from bitcoin and mine another altcoin, who knows? Title: Re: What will transaction fees be like once no more BTC can be mined? Post by: Amph on May 16, 2016, 12:22:16 PM they will certainly hold the same value as the total coin mined per day right now, otherwise miners would lose money, so let's assume this is true we would end up with 3600 x 450 = $1.6M, so fee will range from 1M to 1.6M, at least 1M in value, to allow miner to not drop the mining scene and since only 50 btc of fee can be mined each day, you have that 1 btc should be valued around $20k I don't know why but I don't get that part.Could you explain that please? Why is it only possible to mine 50 btc of fee each day? 50 bitcoin is the average fee that miners are making currently, it may be bigger in the future or lower, it depend on the number of transactions |